EUR/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD levels into US PPI, CPI and RBNZTwo key inflation reports for the US and a potentially live RBNZ meeting over the next 24 hours has put EUR/USD, AUD/USD and NZD/USD onto my radar. And in each case, these markets have risen to interesting levels which hint at a weaker US dollar over the near-term. Part of this may be because traders are front-running weaker US inflation data.
If the RBNZ treat markets to a dovish cut, it could make for the more volatile move out of the three pairs, whereas weaker US PPI and CPI could help EUR/USD have another crack at breaking above 1.10.
NZDUSD
NZDUSD | 15m Trade Plan | Intraday15m current market condition : Took entire buy-side liquidity
During killzones:
Plan A : Take a short position after a 15m bearish confirmation.
Plan B : After inducement is taken, take a long position following a 15m bullish confirmation.
Plan C : Wait for the entire sell-side liquidity sweep, then take a long position based on a 15m bullish confirmation.
note : It's more likely that the marked demand zone will not be respected by the upcoming market session(s).
NZDUSD Set To Fall! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NZDUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.6025 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5970
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6055
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Second Attempt at Shorting NZDUSDI’m back at it with a second attempt to short NZDUSD, and here’s why this setup caught my attention.
Current Overview:
- 4-Hourly Chart:
i) Rising Channel: The pair is moving within a rising channel.
ii) RSI Divergence: This divergence signals a potential weakening of the uptrend, which adds confidence to the short setup.
Shorting Opportunity:
- 1-Hourly Chart:
i) Type 2 Bearish Shark Pattern: This pattern gave me a solid entry at 0.6029.
Strategy:
- 1st Target:
i) Extended to: 0.5992
ii) Why: The market reversed beyond the original 1st target, allowing me to extend it for better profit potential.
- 2nd Target: Keeping it open to adjust based on how the market moves.
Final Thoughts:
This setup combines a classic RSI divergence with a well-defined Bearish Shark Pattern, making it a compelling opportunity for a second short attempt. If you’re considering a similar trade, keep an eye on the targets and be ready to adapt as the market unfolds.
What’s your take on this setup? Have you noticed similar patterns in your trading? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
Levels discussed on Livestream 12th August 12th August
DXY: Likely to consolidate above 103, if broken, could retest 102 support level.
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5960 SL 25 TP 65
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6610 SL 40 TP 70
GBPUSD: Buy 1.2790 SL 30 TP 65
EURUSD: Buy 1.0950 SL 25 TP 50
USDJPY: Sell 145 SL 70 TP 300
USDCHF: Look for reaction at resistance of 0.8750
USDCAD: Sell 1.3710 SL 20 TP 55
Gold: Broke above 2434 (61.8%) could trade up to 2450, beyond that could see 2480
NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the NZD/USD with the target of 0.592 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
NZDUSD..BUYAfter the price reaches the specified level,
Enter the buy deal with the Hammer candle or Ingulf candle signal
Consider your risk management before entering a trade.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
All consequences of using this signal are at your own risk.
NZDUSD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.599.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.601.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NZDUSD SELLI'm risking of my trading capital on this trade.
My stop loss is placed above a recent swing high to limit potential losses in case the trade goes against me.
I'll consider scaling out of the position or trailing my stop loss as the trade progresses in my favor.
Trade Update:
I'll provide updates on the trade as it develops, including any adjustments to the stop loss or take profit levels.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions. Trading carries risks, and it's possible to lose more than your initial investment.
NZDUSD - Short idea !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: On daily time frame price formed hidden divergence and here we have regular divergence with rejection from LZ. After break of structure below 0.59800 I will go short.
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NZDUSD - Top Down Analysis (ICT)Quite interesting chart on NZDUSD. I give my analysis and opinion on what is likely to transpire next. Let's see what happens today (Friday) as I'm expecting the weekly to close below certain levels if I am correct in price coming for the SSL first. However, it may not happen today as there is no high impact news offering a catalyst for a manipulative move lower. We could see a weak close lower and then more aggressive action on PPI and CPI next week. Again, this is under the assumption that my bias of price wanting to go for the SSL first is correct.
- R2F
NZD Outlook: ANZ’s Forecast for Next Week NZD Outlook: ANZ’s Forecast for Next Week
ANZ anticipates that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will maintain its current interest rates at the August 14 meeting but may signal potential rate cuts before the year ends. Although ANZ estimates a small 10-15% chance that the RBNZ might shift to an easing bias during this coming meeting.
Markets are currently pricing in 89 basis points of cuts by November 2024 and 222 basis points by November 2025. However, ANZ is cautioning against expecting such drastic moves and that markets could be disappointed with this reflected in market volatility if the RBNZ doesn't deliver.
A key level to watch on the downside is April’s low which has twice served as a support level in recent weeks, rebuffing sellers.
NZD/USD is currently moving higher, nearing the 100 SMA on the daily chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that momentum remains strong, with the potential for a softer unemployment claim report from the US influencing the pair’s short-term direction.