NZDUSD
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.56400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.56400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
NZDUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.5639
Stop Loss - 0.5608
Take Profit - 0.5693
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZD/USD Sell Setup – Cup & Handle Pattern Confirmed**📉 NZD/USD Sell Setup – Cup & Handle Pattern Confirmed! 🚀**
NZD/USD is showing a **Cup & Handle pattern**, with **EMA50 confirming a strong sell signal**. This setup suggests potential downside movement.
### **🔹 Trade Details:**
✅ **Sell Entry:** **0.56050**
✅ **Stop Loss:** **0.56650** (60 pips above entry)
### **📊 Take Profit Levels:**
- **TP1:** **0.55650** (40 pips down)
- **TP2:** **0.55250** (80 pips down)
- **TP3:** **0.54850** (120 pips down – final target)
### **📌 Trade Strategy:**
- **EMA50 confirms the bearish trend** – strong sell confirmation.
- **Proper risk management is key** – use stop loss to protect capital.
- **Monitor price action** – if momentum stays strong, TP2 and TP3 could be reached.
🚨 **Trade Setup is Active! Follow your risk management plan and execute wisely!** 📉🔥
NZD/USD Analysis & Probability AssessmentTimeframes Analyzed:
15-Minute (M15)
30-Minute (M30)
1-Hour (H1)
4-Hour (H4)
Daily (D1)
📊 Market Structure Update
✅ Bearish Trend Dominance: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming the downtrend.
✅ Current Price Zone (~0.5600 - 0.5620): Price is testing the discount zone, which is a key demand area.
✅ Liquidity Grab Potential: A previous weak low has been taken, indicating possible price reaction.
✅ Premium Zone (~0.5730 - 0.5780): The strongest resistance, where sellers will likely dominate.
🔹 Probability for Trade Setups
1️⃣ Bullish Setup (Higher Probability - 70%)
Entry Zone: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Discount Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530
Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 - 0.5670
Probability: 70%
Reasoning:
The discount zone is holding, meaning buyers are stepping in.
RSI recovering from oversold levels.
MACD crossover approaching bullish momentum.
Liquidity sweep of weak lows, increasing reversal chances.
📌 Confirmation Needed:
Bullish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Hammer, Morning Star)
Volume increase on bullish breakout
RSI moving above 40
2️⃣ Bearish Setup (Lower Probability - 50%)
Entry Zone: 0.5650 - 0.5670 (Resistance Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5700
Take Profit (TP): 0.5580
Probability: 50%
Reasoning:
The overall trend is bearish, but price is at discount demand zone, meaning a reversal is possible.
RSI is still low, signaling price exhaustion.
If price rejects 0.5650 - 0.5670, it could resume downward.
📌 Confirmation Needed:
Bearish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Shooting Star, Evening Star)
RSI staying below 60
Volume declining near resistance zone
🎯 Final Probability Breakdown
Bullish Trade (Buying at 0.5550 - 0.5580) ➝ 70% Probability
Bearish Trade (Selling at 0.5650 - 0.5670) ➝ 50% Probability
📌 Best Trade for Now: BUY from 0.5550 - 0.5580, as price is reacting to the discount zone and showing bullish signs.
NZD/USD Bullish Setup with EMA Cross & Strong SupportNZD/USD Bullish Trade Setup Analysis
Trade Parameters:
Entry: Buy at 0.56000
Stop Loss: 0.55500 (-50 pips)
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 0.56350 (+35 pips)
TP2: 0.56700 (+70 pips)
TP3: 0.57000 (+100 pips)
Technical Analysis:
EMA7 Crossover EMA21 & EMA50:
The short-term EMA (7-period) crossing above the medium-term EMA (21-period) and long-term EMA (50-period) signals a potential bullish trend formation.
EMA21 Approaching EMA50:
This suggests that the momentum is shifting towards an extended uptrend.
Support Level at 0.55850:
This key level serves as a safety net, meaning if price respects this support, the uptrend remains valid.
Risk Management & Considerations:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
TP1: 0.7:1 (risking 50 pips to gain 35 pips – not ideal for RRR but useful for partial profit-taking).
TP2: 1.4:1 (better RRR, a reasonable target).
TP3: 2:1 (strong RRR, allowing for a more profitable trade).
Trade Management :
If the price reaches TP1 (0.56350), consider moving the SL to breakeven to protect your capital.
Be cautious of economic news that could impact NZD/USD (like RBNZ statements, U.S. inflation data, or employment reports).
Conclusion:
This trade is based on a developing bullish trend, confirmed by EMA crossovers and a strong support zone at 0.55700. Proper risk management is essential to protect capital, and adjusting the stop loss as price moves in favor can maximize gains. 🚀
NZDUSD capped by resistance at 0.5690The NZD/USD currency pair remains in a bearish trend, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. However, recent intraday price action suggests sideways consolidation, indicating a potential buildup before the next significant move.
Bearish Scenario:
The key level to watch is 0.5690, aligning with the previous consolidation zone.
A potential oversold rally toward 0.5690, followed by a bearish rejection, could reaffirm the downtrend.
If sellers regain control, downside targets include 0.5580, followed by 0.5560, with 0.5530 acting as a key longer-term support.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above 0.5690 on a daily close would challenge the bearish outlook.
This could trigger further upside momentum, leading to a test of 0.5716, followed by 0.5770 if bullish pressure strengthens.
A sustained move above 0.5770 could indicate a broader trend shift.
Conclusion:
The overall sentiment remains bearish, but short-term consolidation suggests a possible test of 0.5690 before the next directional move. A bearish rejection at this level would reinforce the downtrend, while a breakout above 0.5690 would open the door for further upside. Traders should monitor price action closely at this key resistance zone for confirmation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
LONG ON NZD/USDNZD/USD is giving nice uptrend structure from the higher TF.
Currently it has pulled back to a key support area and is looking good for a rise.
Dollar (DXY) is overall bearish and currently falling. (This has a inverse correlation with XXX/USD pairs)
I will be buying NZD/USD to the next resistance level / previous high for about 150-200 pips.
Bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5686
1st Support: 0.5547
1st Resistance: 0.5761
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis & Trade Setup
Timeframes Analyzed:
30-Minute (M30)
1-Hour (H1)
4-Hour (H4)
Daily (D1)
Market Structure Overview
✅ Bearish Trend: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming a downward momentum.
✅ Liquidity Sweeps: Weak lows were taken out, showing potential liquidity grabs before a possible reversal.
✅ Premium & Discount Zones:
Premium Zone (~0.5750 - 0.5800): Ideal for short positions.
Discount Zone (~0.5550 - 0.5580): Currently testing this area, a key decision point.
Trade Scenarios
📉 Scenario 1: Short Trade (Higher Probability - 70%)
Entry: 0.5620 - 0.5650 (If price retraces higher)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5670
Take Profit (TP): 0.5550 (Discount Zone)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+
Probability: 70%
📌 Confirmation: Look for bearish price action near 0.5620 - 0.5650 before entering a short.
📈 Scenario 2: Long Trade (Moderate Probability - 55%)
Entry: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Current Discount Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530
Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 (Previous Support Turned Resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Probability: 55%
📌 Risk: The long trade is counter-trend but might work if a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) appears.
Conclusion & Recommendations
Best Trade: Short from 0.5620 - 0.5650, targeting 0.5550.
Watch for a break of the weak low at 0.5580—if it holds, a reversal could be in play.
Confirmation Needed: Price action at key levels before executing trades.
NZDUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.559.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.566.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Bullish bounce off pullback support?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5606
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.5567
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.5664
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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NZDUSD - Long from bullish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill that small imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish OB.
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NZD_USD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NZD_USD went down from
The rising resistance just as
We predicted in our previous
Analysis now the pair has
Reached the horizontal support
Of 0.5690 from where we are
Already seeing a local bullish
Reaction and we will be
Expecting a further bullish rebound
LONG🚀
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NZDUSD Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.5691 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.5731
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD at Key Support - Bullish Continuation SetupOANDA:NZDUSD has broken above a key resistance zone, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook.
After making a new high, price has now pulled back for another retest of this support zone, presenting a potential continuation setup.
If buyers step in at this level, the price could resume its upward momentum toward 0.57610 as the next key target. A strong rejection from this zone would further confirm bullish strength.
However, a deeper breakdown below the support area could indicate a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action for bullish confirmation will be key before entering long positions.
What’s your outlook on this setup? Let me know your thoughts!
Falling towards overlap support?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5692
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5664
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5745
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD Short-term Channel Up aiming higher.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a 20-day Channel Up and today hit its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Last time it did (February 18), it held and initiated a rebound marginally above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
Given that the current pull-back is almost as strong (-1.30%) as the previous, but more importantly the 4H RSI hit its 1-month Higher Lows trend-line, we expect a rebound. Our Target is again the 1.236 Fib ext, this time at 0.57900.
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Could the Kiwi bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.5693
1st Support: 0.5663
1st Resistance: 0.5744
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.