NZDUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 0.6107, which is a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be at 0.6038, a pullback support level close to the 127.2% Fibo extension
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6176, which is a pullback resistance level.
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NZDUSD
Bearish drop?NZD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6127
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6172
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6053
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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The Kiwi has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could fall to the the 1st support level which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6127
1st Support: 0.6051
1st Resistance: 0.6174
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Gold in sellGild finally confrms the sell @2621
Now we got sell correct
In 15mins we got LOW for buy confrmation
Follow the entry for buy
On top 2645 is only 4h zone also above on 50%fibo
So we need 15mins (HIGH) reverse confrmation...
Once got it we can entr IN 2645
BUT 2652 is day confrmation zone
(Confrmation is based on my experience)
So we can entry there
Strictly follow SL
Happy Speculate the Gold
NZD/USD BULLS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly falling on the 1D timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.618 because the pair is oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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NZDUSD: Short Term SellEntry: 0.6080
Stop Loss: 0.6140 (60 pips above entry)
Take Profit: 0.5980 (100 pips below entry, offering a 1.67:1 reward-to-risk ratio)
Reasoning:
The New Zealand dollar is displaying signs of weakness, and with global risk-off sentiment prevailing, NZD/USD may continue to fall towards 0.5980. This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity.
New Zealand dollar sinks after RBNZ cuts by 50 bpsThe New Zealand dollar is sharply lower on Wednesday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6079 in the European session, down 0.96% on the day.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered the cash rate by 50 basis points on Wednesday to 4.75%. The RBNZ cut rates by 25-bps in August, the first rate cut in over four years. The jumbo rate cut had been priced in by the markets but the dramatic move has sent the New Zealand dollar sharply lower.
The rate statement noted that inflation was within the target range and was “converging on the 2% midpoint”. This is a remarkable turnaround by the central bank, which only a few months ago was warning that inflation was too high and could force the Bank to raise rates. The RBNZ had projected that initial rate cut would not occur before mid-2025 but has moved up the timetable in dramatic fashion.
The decision to cut rates by 50 bps is not surprising, given that inflation has been falling and GDP contracted in the second quarter. New Zealand releases the quarterly inflation report next week and if inflation is within expectations, it could set up another rate cut at the November meeting.
The RBNZ would like to continue trimming rates but the sharp decline of the New Zealand dollar is a concern. The New Zealand dollar has plunged 4.25% in October and has slipped to a seven-week low. Today’s oversized cut sent the kiwi sharply lower and further cuts will add downward pressure on the currency.
NZD/USD has pushed below several support levels and is testing support at 0.6079. Below, there is a monthly support level at 0.5995
There is resistance at 0.6131 and 0.6153
NZDUSD: Broke under both MAs. Strong sell signalNZDUSD is highly bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.216, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 38.839) as it smashed through both the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA200. The long term structure is a Rectangle (R1 and S1 Zone) and the current pattern that is emerging is almost identical with the previous bearish waves towards the S1 Zone. It is possible to see a medium term reboudn back to the 1D MA50 but on the long term we are bearish (TP = 0.58600).
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NZD/USD Giving An Amazing Bearish P.A , Short After D Closure ?we have a very good bearish price action but we need a daily closure below our daily support and if we have a closure below we will sell it when the price back to retest the broken support and we will targeting the old buying area and we will buy again from there .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Take Hit, Turn RedMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Take Hit, Turn Red
NZD/USD is also moving lower and might struggle to recover above 0.6225.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.6380 resistance zone.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6145 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.6380 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum and traded below 0.6265 against the US Dollar.
The pair settled below the 0.6150 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 0.6075 zone and is currently consolidating losses. Immediate resistance on the upside is near 0.6145.
There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6145 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6378 swing high to the 0.6074 low. The next resistance is the 0.6225 level.
The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6378 swing high to the 0.6074 low is also at 0.6225. If there is a move above 0.6225, the pair could rise toward 0.6265.
Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.6380 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near the 0.6075 level.
The next major support is near the 0.6040 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.6040, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6020 level. The next key support is near 0.6000.
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Breaking: NZD Slips as RBNZ Cuts Rates by 50 bpsAt its October meeting, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points, lowering it from 5.25% to 4.75%, in line with expectations.
The NZD/USD pair deepens its decline, falling below the crucial 100 AND 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). A clear break could set the stage for a move toward the psychological 0.6000 level.
Looking ahead, traders will focus on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes, set for release later on Wednesday.
NZD/USD - RBNZ poised to cut, but by how much?The New Zealand dollar is down for a sixth straight day and has fallen 3.6% during that time. NZD has stabilized on Tuesday and is trading at 0.6120 in the North American session, down 0.07% on the day.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets on Wednesday and is widely expected to a cut rates, but by how much? The markets have priced in an oversize rate cut of 50 basis points, but a modest cut of 25 bps cannot be ruled out.
The RBNZ joined the rate-cutting club of major central banks in August after holding rates for over a year. The August cut which brought the cash rate down to 5.25%, marked the first rate cut in over four years. That move surprised the markets as the central bank had projected its first rate cut would not take place until mid-2025.
Why would the RBNZ slash by 50 bps? Elevated interest rates have weighed on economic activity and GDP contracted by 0.2% in the second quarter. Inflation eased to 3.3% in the second quarter, closer to the RBNZ’s upper band of the 1-3% target range.
The RBNZ’s latest projections have inflation falling to 2.3% in Q3. The inflation report won’t be released until next week and if the RBNZ chops rates by 50 bps and inflation is higher than the RBNZ estimate, it will put the central bank in an awkward position.
Another factor which supports a 50-bps cut is that the Federal Reserve lowered rates by 50 bps in September, which allows the RBNZ to do the same without risking a sharp decline in the value of the New Zealand dollar.
NZD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6137 and 0.6161
There is support at 0.6100 and 0.6076
Will NZD/USD Extend Losses? Traders Await RBNZ’s Interest RateThe NZD/USD pair continues its downward trend, turning lower for the sixth straight day as traders react to the less-than-optimistic Chinese economic outlook. As China remains New Zealand's largest trading partner, any signs of economic slowdown in China tend to have a significant impact on the New Zealand Dollar (NZD).
Focus on RBNZ Interest Rate Decision
Looking ahead, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is set to announce its interest rate decision following its scheduled policy meeting. If the RBNZ adopts a hawkish stance due to rising inflationary pressures, it is likely to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR). A rate hike would typically attract more capital inflows, providing support to the NZD. Conversely, if the central bank takes a more dovish approach by lowering the OCR in response to lower inflation, the NZD could weaken further.
The RBNZ’s decision will play a crucial role in determining the short-term direction of NZD/USD. Higher rates generally boost a currency, while lower rates tend to weaken it as investors seek higher returns elsewhere.
Technical Outlook: Bearish Momentum Remains
In our previous forecast, which you can review here:
NZD/USD Slips as Fed Powell Hints at Gradual Rate Cuts, we closed a bearish position from a supply area after successfully capturing downside movement. The current price action suggests another potential bearish impulse, particularly around the 0.60500 level. In a worst-case scenario for the NZD, the price could drop further to 0.58750, another key demand area based on historical support.
However, we view this deeper decline as less likely at the moment, given that market sentiment may shift based on the RBNZ's upcoming decision.
Waiting for a Bullish Setup
Currently, we have no open position on NZD/USD, as we wait for the pair to reach a demand area before considering a potential bullish trade. The demand zone around 0.60500 is a critical level to watch for any signs of reversal, but we remain cautious and are monitoring upcoming economic events closely.
Conclusion
As the NZD/USD pair continues to slide, all eyes are on the RBNZ and its interest rate decision. Traders should remain vigilant, as a hawkish move could trigger a rebound in the New Zealand Dollar, while dovish policies may deepen the pair's decline. For now, we are on the sidelines, awaiting a clearer opportunity to enter the market.
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Nzdusd is looking good for buy"In the past few days, NZD/USD has experienced a significant decline and is currently resting within my yellow demand zone, which is still fresh. I've decided to enter a long position, targeting a 4R return. Remember to always follow proper money management rules and to use a stop loss."
NZDUSD to continue in the selloff?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6120 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6090.
We look to Sell at 0.6160 (stop at 0.6184)
Our profit targets will be 0.6100 and 0.6090
Resistance: 0.6150 / 0.6160 / 0.6175
Support: 0.6120 / 0.6100 / 0.6090
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NZD Sinking as RBNZ Preps 50bps Cut The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely expected to slash the Official Cash Rate by 50 basis points this Wednesday, a move that's adding pressure on the New Zealand dollar.
A Reuters survey of 28 economists reveals that 60% anticipate the central bank will deliver a half-point cut, while market pricing suggests near-certainty of such a decision. Major banks—ANZ, ASB, BNZ, Kiwibank, and Westpac—are all forecasting a similar outcome.
The kiwi has fallen to $0.611, down 3.33% since last Monday, extending its decline into a key technical zone, marked by the 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages, as well as the 50% retracement level from the July rally.
Meanwhile, escalating tensions in the Middle East are further driving investors into the safe-haven U.S. dollar.
NZDUSD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupYou can expect a reaction in the direction of selling from the specified resistance zone
NZDUSD moving higher as it tests the strong resistance level..
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity NZDUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
How Much More Longer BearishOn this pair, we find that on the weekly timeframe, the market is Bullish. Price even went all the way up towards our liquidity target but failed to close above it. We are currently witnessing another pullback.
On the Daily, price is bullish. We have seen prices currently retrace into the daily zone.
But there is a lot of speculation as to whether or not this our refined daily reversal zone has what it takes to invite the bulls of demand to hold prices at that level and drive it back up.
Now my Analysis:
As much as I would want the daily zone to hold, as this is the fastest way for us to find a LONG trading opportunity, jumping on the rally towards the confluence weekly/daily liquidity targets. But I have a bit of reservation on this. This is because of the force with which prices have come into the daily reversal zone. Prices have come into the zone with a strong push, and not the usual gentle slide in expected of a reversal zone. Dont get me wrong, I am not concluding that the zone will fail, but rather I am saying that instead of the initial 70% chance I had of the zone holding, I now have a 40% chance of it holding because of price action.
In the event that the zone holds, we will expect to see the rally resume with prices gravitating towards our liquidity target above; and we will excitedly pull out out panzy pips trading system and jump on the trade.
But what happens if the zone fails..?
Where this is the case, we will look to see prices deep further towards the Weekly zone below. From where we will look to see some bullish reversal and again place our trade setup right beside price and stand ready to trade.
In all of these, we do not and cannot completely rule out the possibility of catching some bearish trades where the daily zone is breached and price dips towards the Weekly zone.
Share your thoughts guys and let us see your perspective on the market
Potential bullish rise off overlap support?NZD/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level top our take profit.
Entry: 0.6156
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.6122
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6207
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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NZDUSD Bullish Week**NZD Dollar Value Correlation to USD
>We are now in the Oversold region Signaling for a bullish trend week.
Note: Every time we get Oversold Readings (Green Vertical Lines) we always get a Bullish Move
**Election Year Seasonality forecast
>Bullish until early next Week.
Technicals:
>Price already tested the Daily Supply Zone last Friday, preparing for a Bullish Week ahead.
>Price could reach to the opposing Supply Zone that initiated the bearish imbalance.
OTHERS:
>Scalpers can ride the bullish trending week
>Long term traders can position for a Sell for next week or position a Long trade at Supply for a retest.
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***