Market Analysis: NZD/USD Could Continue HigherMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Could Continue Higher
NZD/USD is showing positive signs and might attempt a fresh increase above 0.5720.
Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is holding gains above the 0.5695 support zone.
- There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 0.5720 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair started a steady increase from the 0.5585 zone. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.5635 resistance to start the recent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above 0.5695 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.5760 zone and is currently correcting gains. The pair corrected lower below the 0.5720 level. The pair also traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.5595 swing low to the 0.5759 high.
Besides, there was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 0.5720. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is now below 50. On the downside, there is major support forming near 0.5695.
The next major support is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.5595 swing low to the 0.5759 high at 0.5660.
If there is a downside break below the 0.5660 support, the pair might slide toward the 0.5635 support. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 05585.
On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.5720. The next major resistance is near the 0.5760 level. A clear move above the 0.5760 level might even push the pair toward the 0.5800 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.5840 resistance zone in the coming days.
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Nzdusdanalysis
NZDUSD Ready for a Bullish MoveHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NZDUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZD/USD Analysis & Probability AssessmentTimeframes Analyzed:
15-Minute (M15)
30-Minute (M30)
1-Hour (H1)
4-Hour (H4)
Daily (D1)
📊 Market Structure Update
✅ Bearish Trend Dominance: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming the downtrend.
✅ Current Price Zone (~0.5600 - 0.5620): Price is testing the discount zone, which is a key demand area.
✅ Liquidity Grab Potential: A previous weak low has been taken, indicating possible price reaction.
✅ Premium Zone (~0.5730 - 0.5780): The strongest resistance, where sellers will likely dominate.
🔹 Probability for Trade Setups
1️⃣ Bullish Setup (Higher Probability - 70%)
Entry Zone: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Discount Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530
Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 - 0.5670
Probability: 70%
Reasoning:
The discount zone is holding, meaning buyers are stepping in.
RSI recovering from oversold levels.
MACD crossover approaching bullish momentum.
Liquidity sweep of weak lows, increasing reversal chances.
📌 Confirmation Needed:
Bullish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Hammer, Morning Star)
Volume increase on bullish breakout
RSI moving above 40
2️⃣ Bearish Setup (Lower Probability - 50%)
Entry Zone: 0.5650 - 0.5670 (Resistance Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5700
Take Profit (TP): 0.5580
Probability: 50%
Reasoning:
The overall trend is bearish, but price is at discount demand zone, meaning a reversal is possible.
RSI is still low, signaling price exhaustion.
If price rejects 0.5650 - 0.5670, it could resume downward.
📌 Confirmation Needed:
Bearish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Shooting Star, Evening Star)
RSI staying below 60
Volume declining near resistance zone
🎯 Final Probability Breakdown
Bullish Trade (Buying at 0.5550 - 0.5580) ➝ 70% Probability
Bearish Trade (Selling at 0.5650 - 0.5670) ➝ 50% Probability
📌 Best Trade for Now: BUY from 0.5550 - 0.5580, as price is reacting to the discount zone and showing bullish signs.
NZD/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis & Trade Setup
Timeframes Analyzed:
30-Minute (M30)
1-Hour (H1)
4-Hour (H4)
Daily (D1)
Market Structure Overview
✅ Bearish Trend: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming a downward momentum.
✅ Liquidity Sweeps: Weak lows were taken out, showing potential liquidity grabs before a possible reversal.
✅ Premium & Discount Zones:
Premium Zone (~0.5750 - 0.5800): Ideal for short positions.
Discount Zone (~0.5550 - 0.5580): Currently testing this area, a key decision point.
Trade Scenarios
📉 Scenario 1: Short Trade (Higher Probability - 70%)
Entry: 0.5620 - 0.5650 (If price retraces higher)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5670
Take Profit (TP): 0.5550 (Discount Zone)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3+
Probability: 70%
📌 Confirmation: Look for bearish price action near 0.5620 - 0.5650 before entering a short.
📈 Scenario 2: Long Trade (Moderate Probability - 55%)
Entry: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Current Discount Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530
Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 (Previous Support Turned Resistance)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2
Probability: 55%
📌 Risk: The long trade is counter-trend but might work if a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) appears.
Conclusion & Recommendations
Best Trade: Short from 0.5620 - 0.5650, targeting 0.5550.
Watch for a break of the weak low at 0.5580—if it holds, a reversal could be in play.
Confirmation Needed: Price action at key levels before executing trades.
NZDUSD - Long from bullish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill that small imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish OB.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?Market Analysis: NZD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?
NZD/USD is also rising and could aim for a move above the 0.5800 resistance.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating above the 0.5720 support.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.5735 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed AUD/USD. The New Zealand Dollar formed a base above the 0.5675 level and started a decent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair climbed above the 0.5720 resistance. It tested the 0.5775 resistance before there was a pullback. The recent low was formed at 0.5734 and the pair is again rising above the 50-hour simple moving average.
It cleared the 0.5750 resistance and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5772 swing high to the 0.5734 low. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is back above 50 signaling a positive bias.
On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5772 swing high to the 0.5734 low at 0.5762. The next major resistance is near the 0.5775 level.
A clear move above the 0.5775 level might even push the pair toward the 0.5800 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.5880 resistance zone in the coming days.
On the downside, there is a support forming near the 0.5750 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.5750 support, the pair might slide toward 0.5735. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.5735. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5695.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZDUSD TRADE PLAN🎯 Optimized Trade Plan
Entry Zone: Between 0.57351 and 0.57214 (watch for bullish confirmations such as rejection wicks or bullish engulfing candles).
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.57136, ensuring protection against liquidity grabs.
Take Profit (TP): At 0.58116, which aligns with a strong supply zone and premium pricing.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Targeting a 1:4+ risk-reward ratio, making this a high-probability trade.
If price rejects before touching 0.57351, a more aggressive entry can be taken at 0.57415, but this increases risk.
Confirmation Checklist Before Entering:
✅ Price reacts to 0.57351 zone with bullish rejection.
✅ Bullish candlestick patterns form (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar, or strong wick rejection).
✅ DXY (US Dollar Index) shows signs of weakness, supporting NZD strength.
✅ Volume increases as price enters the demand zone.
Alternative Scenario (If Price Breaks Below 0.57136)
If 0.57136 is broken and structure shifts bearish, the setup is invalidated.
This could indicate a deeper retracement toward 0.57000 or lower before finding buyers.
In this case, a wait-and-see approach is better before re-entering.
📌 Final Thoughts
Primary Bias: Bullish, expecting a dip to equilibrium (~0.57351) before a strong rally.
Alternative Bias: If price breaks 0.57136, re-evaluate for further downside.
Trade Management: If price reacts aggressively, scaling into the position could be a good strategy.
NZDUSD Ready for a Bullish MoveHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Next draw of liquidity: NzdUsd0.58083 is a weekly POI that have been respected before. I'm anticipating price to retest that zone again this week , hence anticipating the news (Existing Home Sales) by 10:00 New York time to push price to my point of interest and rejection kicks in.
Therefore this weekly candle might close with a rejection of that zone and next week would be bearish till we clear this week low 0.56779
I'm anticipating price to also clear previous week low (the monthly low) 0.55164 by next month.
Kindly boost if you find this insightful 🫴
NZD/USD Strength Persists: Dips Remain Buying OpportunitiesOver the past two weeks, I have drawn attention to major USD pairs, suggesting that a reversal could be imminent and that an upside correction might follow the downtrend from the last quarter of 2024.
NZD/USD is no exception. After finding strong support around the 0.5550 zone, the pair began to reverse to the upside. Following last week’s higher low, it broke resistance on Friday. After an initial correction and confirmation, bulls have regained control.
I expect NZD strength to continue, and as long as 0.5650 holds, there is a high probability of a move toward 0.58 or higher.
In conclusion, buying dips remains a favorable strategy, aiming for a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
NZDUSD OUTLOOKOn the monthly charts, we have a bearish outlook with signs of bullish correction. On the same monthly chart, we have a fresh order block indicating there is downside pressure.
Lately, the Kiwi has come under a lot of pressure since China cut their interest rates. Presently we are anticipating a further weakening of the kiwi across the board caused by weakening economic data from China.
On the daily charts, the Kiwi is set to form new lows confirming the medium term bearish trend as we wind down the year.
#NZDUSD 4HNZDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming an expanding pattern, indicating increased market volatility and potential bearish movement. This pattern suggests that price swings are widening, with lower lows and higher highs, often leading to a strong directional move once a breakout occurs.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the expanding pattern signals possible downside movement, especially if price rejects a key resistance area.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered near the upper boundary of the expanding pattern or after confirmation of bearish rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support zones based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The expanding pattern reflects increasing price fluctuations, and if sellers gain control, a strong bearish move can follow. Confirmation through price action and volume analysis will help validate the trade setup.
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.56300 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.58650 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
💫Fundamental Analysis
New Zealand Economic Trends: New Zealand's economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace in 2025, driven by consumer spending and business investment.
US Economic Trends: The US economy is expected to grow at a slower pace in 2025, driven by declining business investment and government spending.
Monetary Policy: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, while the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025.
Trade Policies: The US-New Zealand trade relationship is expected to remain stable, with no major changes in trade policies anticipated.
💫Macro Economics
Global GDP Growth: The World Bank forecasts global GDP growth to accelerate to 3.4% in 2025, up from 3.2% in 2024.
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, driven by increasing demand and supply chain disruptions.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, supporting currency markets.
Unemployment Rate: The global unemployment rate is expected to decline to 5.4% in 2025, driven by job growth in emerging markets.
💫COT Data
Net Long Positions: Institutional traders have increased their net long positions in NZD/USD to 55%.
COT Ratio: The COT ratio has risen to 2.1, indicating a bullish trend.
Open Interest: Open interest in NZD/USD futures has increased by 12% over the past month, indicating growing investor interest.
💫Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 60% bullish, 40% bearish
Retail Sentiment: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +25.
💫Technical Analysis
Moving Averages: 50-period SMA: 0.5684, 200-period SMA: 0.5594.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 4-hour chart: 54.21, daily chart: 51.14.
Bollinger Bands: 4-hour chart: 0.57280 (upper band), 0.5624 (lower band).
💫Market Overview
Current Price: 0.57280
Daily Change: 0.08%
Weekly Change: 1.40%
💫Next Move Prediction
Bullish Move: Potential upside to 0.5850-0.5950.
Key Support Levels: 0.5684, 0.5594.
Key Resistance Levels: 0.5850, 0.5950.
💫Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for NZD/USD is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected increase in New Zealand's interest rates, bullish market sentiment, and growing investor interest are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global trade policies and unexpected economic data releases.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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NZDUSD Strong Bullish BreakoutNZD/USD has broken a key resistance level on the H1 timeframe, confirming strong bullish momentum. This breakout signals a shift in market sentiment, with buyers taking control and pushing the price higher. If the momentum continues, we could see further upside movement.
📌 Trade Details:
✅ Entry: 0.56860
🔹 Support Level/Stop Loss: 0.56180
🎯 Target 1: 0.57540
🎯 Target 2: 0.58100
As long as the price holds above the support level, the bullish trend remains intact. Traders should watch for confirmation and follow proper risk and money management to maximize gains while protecting capital. Stay disciplined and trade wisely!
NZDUSD Bullish Flag developing? The NZDUSD currency pair sentiment appears neutral, supported by the longer-term sideways consolidation trading range. The recent price action appears to be an oversold bullish flag pattern, however, it needs to be taken in consideration as a part of the longer-term sideways consolidation. This could be indicative of intraday Bulls and Bears fight for dominance.
The key trading level is at 0.5600, the current swing low range from 12th February 2025. A continuation of the selling pressure below the 05625 level and a daily close below the 0.5600 support level could target additional downside support at 0.5550 followed by the 0.5517 and 0.5500 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, an oversold rally from the current levels and a confirmed breakout above 0.5700 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for a further rally and a retest of 05735 resistance followed by 0.5760 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.