NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsMy last speculation on this pair earned us over 200pips before the Bullish momentum began (see link below for reference purposes); Despite a long term Bullish perspective, I am beginning to see a short term opportunity to do a temporary sell on the Kiwi in the coming week as the Bears gear to step into the game.
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Top)
Observation: i. After breaking out of Double Bottom Neckline on the 14th of October 2021 (see daily chart), the Kiwi recorded a 3.42% growth over the Dollar to set the tone for a Bullish momentum in the long term.
ii. As it is now, it appears we are about to witness a correction phase into the Double Bottom Neckline (see daily chart) to incite a bullish trend continuation.
iii. Double Top: An extremely bearish technical reversal pattern forming after price tested a peak two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs ($0.72100/0.71900) is an emphatic signal that awaits confirmation in the mode of a fall below the support level which is also equal to the low between the two prior highs (Neckline @ $0.71500).
iv. At this juncture, the Breakdown/Retest of the identified Neckline shall welcome an opportunity to open a position in the coming week.
v. In the midst of a potential Breakout/Retest of Neckline, there is a possibility that the price might do a climb to test the identified "New Supply level" within $0.71800/0.71500 in the early hours/days of the new week to incite further decline in price... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 4 to 10days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Nzdusdforecast
NZDUSDThe New Zealand dollar rallied significantly last week to break above the 0.70 level. The market is forming some type of bullish pennant, or perhaps even a falling wedge. Either way, the market is suggesting that it could break out to the upside. If we can break above the previous week high, then I think that the New Zealand dollar has a high likelihood of looking towards the 0.74 handle. To the downside, the 0.69 level continues offer support.
#NZDUSD SELL OPPORTUNITYIn 4H time frame we have clear bearish move, which followed by bullish corrective move. price retraced to 50% area of Fibonacci ratio in corrective manner, price failing to create HH which base on Dow theory is the first signal for trend weakness.
for trading this pair at 6th of October if price manage to come lower than 0.69490 and remain below the EMA 144 in 15 minute time frame could signal for short position first target is 0.69130 and 2nd target would be 0.68950.
will update this pair again for u guys.
NzdUsd- 0.7 zone is a strong sell After consolidating around a week above the important 0.7 figure, NzdUsd has broken below, confirming the continuation of the recent down trend.
At this moment the pair is trading in the support zone and we can have a small rebound.
This corrective rally can be a good opportunity for bears to open short positions slightly under 0.7
NZDCAD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
NZDJPY top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
NzdUsd- I'm expecting higher pricesAfter the false break under 0.69 support, NzdUsd quickly reversed and has risen more than 350 pips in not even a month.
Now the pair is consolidating, but 0.7070 is a very clear base.
I'm expecting a break above resistance and continuation to the upside.
Dips should be bought IMO
NZDUSD Bearish short Bullish longHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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The NZD/USD pair closed the first day of the week virtually unchanged and continues to move sideways during the first half of the day on Tuesday.
Today the price was able to reach the resistance zone between 0.7132 - 0.7159 but wasn't able to hold above it or breakout which shows how the Bears still have power in them to keep the price sideways move for the time being.
Possible Scenarios for the market :
Scenario 1 :
The price is trending near the resistance zone 0.7132 - 0.7159 if the Bulls were able to gather some force then we will see a breakout happen to that zone which will lead to more buyers going in which will push the price up to the main target at the resistance line at 0.72130.
Scenario 2 :
Today started Bullish but mid-day it turned Bearish, The bears are trying to drive the price back and if there were able to take control over the market then we will see the price drop to the support line at 0.70870 where the battle for control will start again, and looking at technical analysis shows that the outcome will probably be for the Bulls which will push the price back up to the resistance line at 0.7132
Technical indicators show :
1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign)
2) The RSI is at 61.58 showing Great strength in the market. No divergences were found between the indicator and the market.
3) The MACD is above the 0 line which indicates that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line.
Daily Support and Resistance :
support Resistance
1) 0.7104 1) 0.7132
2) 0.7087 2) 0.7141
3) 0.7077 3) 0.7159
Weekly Support and Resistance :
support Resistance
1) 0.7069 1) 0.7163
2) 0.7025 2) 0.7213
3) 0.6976 3) 0.7256
Fundamental point of view :
The dollar was down on Tuesday morning in Asia, as investors await U.S. inflation data that could provide a clue to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s timetable for asset tapering.
The U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.06% to 92.597, after retreating from a two-week high of 92.887 hit earlier on Monday.
Later in the session, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August. Previewing the inflation report, "August's Core CPI figure is critical for the and for markets. According to FXstreet
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
NZDUSD ShortMy view of NZDUSD . Potential short opportunity.
After a smaller pullback from the current price (0.71071), I would enter at around 0.71249 . We should see immediate moves to the downside. BUT! New Zeland’s GDP q/q report release may cause some bullish movement , as the economy is expected to grow 16.4% per annum in the second quarter. If it does not break the downtrend structure , we should see moves to the downside. Target expected to be hit in 25 days based on the previous movement it has made (this is only a speculation).
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 0.71249
- SL: 0.71962
- TP 1: 0.68125
- TP 2: 0.67137
KEY NOTES
- Apr-Sep LH (lower highs) and (lower lows) on D1. We are in a downtrend .
- New Zeland’s GDP q/q report release on 16th of September 2021 .
- Short confirmed if GDP q/q report release does not break the downtrend structure.
Enjoy the rest of your weekend and happy trading.
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsIt's over 300pips move in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes) and the appearance of a Double Top pattern is leaving me with no choice but to look out for Bearish momentum in the coming week(s). There is high hope for the Greenback in the nearest future as the focus remains on the Fed tapering timeline
Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Top)
Observation: i. The Kiwi enjoyed a tremendous 5.33% gain over the Dollar in the last 3 weeks but appears to have found Resistance @ $0.71700 which gave rise to a Double Top structure.
ii. Double Top: An extremely bearish technical reversal pattern forms after price tested the peak ($0.717000/0.71600) two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs with confirmation awaiting us if the price falls below the Demand level which is equal to the low between the two prior highs.
iii. The appearance of a couple of shooting star candlesticks on the last trading days of last week further emphasizes the expectation of a plunge in the coming week(s).
iv. Shooting star: the price tried to rise significantly during the last two days (9th/10th Sept 2021), but then the sellers took over and pushed the price back down.
iii. Even as we remain patient for confirmation in the Breakdown of Neckline, I am comfortable being in this trade anywhere below Key level @ $0.71200... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 5 to 10days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NZDUSDThe New Zealand dollar rallied quite a bit during the week, and it now looks as if it is going to test the 0.72 handle. Pay close attention to the US Dollar Index because I think this is more or less going to be an indictment on the US dollar overall. Pullbacks at this point should continue to see plenty of buying opportunities, at least until we break down below the 0.69 level, which is an area where we have seen plenty of buyers over the last couple of weeks.
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-up detailsIt is over 200pips move in our direction since my last publication on this pair (see link below for reference purposes - the positive outcome from this speculation is indeed interesting as one of my client did not believe in our sell position hence he closed the trade😄and lost the opportunity to recover his account ) and it appears that we have milked the Bearish move to its end as the appearance of a reversal set-up at this juncture hints at a possible rally which might be a correction of the impulse leg we took advantage of. The Kiwi hit 10-month lows on Friday as coronavirus lockdowns undermined their economies and pushed out policy tightening hereby sparking a steep drop in bond yields.
After hitting a month low @ $0.68050 early in the week, the Kiwi bounced higher in a rangebound trade to post a slight gain at the end of the week with signs of a reversal in the air should price break and close above key level @ $0.68400.
Tendency: Uptrend (Bullish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom)
Observation: i. Since the beginning of the month of August 2021, we witnessed a spiral move downward as the price continued to find lower lows.
ii. After hitting bottom @ $0.68100, we witnessed multiple rejections of this level during the latter part of last week trading session which gave rise to the appearance of a Double Bottom pattern - a very strong reversal setup.
iii. Double Bottom: a charting pattern that describes a change in trend and a momentum reversal from prior leading price action shall be confirmed as soon as the price does a Breakout/Retest of the Neckline which is also my Key level at this juncture.
iv. Considering the Bearish momentum on this pair; it is advisable that we become patient for confirmation which shall be at the completion of reversal pattern to hop in the rally.
v. Please note that this reversal might be a correction of the bearish impulse leg (temporarily bullish) and if the price breaks above a 61.8/78.6% retracement then we can be looking at the possibility of an outright reversal... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 100 pips.
Risk/Reward : 1:5
Potential Duration: 3 to 7days
NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.
This is a long-term perspective and you might watch this space for speculation on lower time frames as price action is been monitored.
Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
NZDUSD Potential Long into 0.71250 (extended target)Top-down analysis
Monthly - Previous monthly candlestick closure, Doji candlestick ( Potential ranging inside the doji)
Weekly - Previous weekly candlestick closure, Long wick closure upside and also not correlated in Daily timeframe
Daily - Made a higher high and a momentum
( but not a great momentum due to weekly candlestick closure)
Potential movement next week might be going lower a big to get some liquidity to continue upside farther.
Confluences for Upside movement;
a. FIB 78.6%
b. Minor key level
c. Daily market structure