NZDUSD - Long from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. My point of interest is if price go a little bit lower and then rejects from trendline + liquidity zone + institutional big figure 0.61000.
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Nzdusdsell
NZD/USD - Bearish Harmonic Pattern Signals Downtrend TrendThe NZD/USD currency pair is currently exhibiting strong bearish signals. A Bearish Harmonic Pattern has formed at a key resistance area, indicating a potential reversal. Additionally, a Bearish RSI Divergence on the 4-hour chart further supports our bearish bias.
_________________Technical Indicators_____________________
Bearish Harmonic Pattern:
The Bearish Harmonic Pattern detected at the key resistance level suggests a potential downward movement. This pattern is known for its high probability of signaling trend reversals, reinforcing our expectation of a bearish trend.
Bearish RSI Divergence:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart shows a bearish divergence, adding another layer of confirmation to our bearish outlook. The divergence indicates weakening momentum, suggesting that the recent upward movement is losing strength.
___________________Trade Setup_______________________________
Entry and Stop Loss
Entry Point: 0.61345
Stop Loss: 0.61535
The entry point is strategically placed below the resistance area to capture the expected downward movement. The stop loss is set slightly above the resistance to protect against potential breakouts.
Take Profit Levels:
To maximize potential profits, we have set three take profit levels:
TP-1: 0.61155
TP-2: 0.60965
TP-3: 0.60775
These levels are based on historical support zones and Fibonacci retracement levels, ensuring logical and technically sound exit points.
Conclusion:
The confluence of a Bearish Harmonic Pattern and a Bearish RSI Divergence at a critical resistance area strongly indicates a potential bearish trend for the NZD/USD pair. By following the outlined trade setup, traders can effectively capitalize on this anticipated market movement. Always ensure to manage risk appropriately and adjust stop losses and take profits as the market evolves.
NZDUSD - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance and then rejects from bullish order block
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NZDUSD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupI have two options here; bullish continuation from here or bearish break.. Potential BEARISH move
! Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity NZDUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
Markets next move awaits Fed speeches this week Markets next move awaits Fed speeches this week
In April, the US economy saw a modest increase of 175,000 jobs, marking its slowest growth in six months, notably below market projections of 243,000 and a considerable drop from the robust 315,000 jobs added in March.
So, now we know the NFP data from last Friday, has this changed investors' outlook for fed rate cuts, and subsequently limit the recent strength in the USD? After the NFP, the USD was weakest against the NZD, falling by a little more than 0.75%.
The market might want to see a few more similar NFPs before they really get their hopes up again though.
Consequently, the prevailing sentiment might still be tilted in favor of the NZD/USD sellers. Any bullish sentiment that lingers may need to await the pair's crossing of the 50 and 200-day SMA in the upcoming trading sessions.
The upcoming week is marked by significant speeches from Fed officials, events that could potentially quash the NZD's upward momentum. This limitation on the NZD's upside potential might be reflected across all major currencies.
Import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to iCloud, Google, or Outlook to get alerts direct to your inbox, enabling you to plan your positions in advance.
NZDUSD - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect downside move after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block + institutional mid figure 0.60500.
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🚨AUDUSD will Fall by H&S Pattern🚨🏃 AUDUSD is moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($0.598-$0.593) 🔴 and managed to break the Support lines .
📈From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that AUDUSD has succeeded in forming a Head and Shoulders Pattern .
🔔I expect AUDUSD to fall at least to the 🎯 Target 🎯 I have specified on the chart.
New Zealand Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( NZDUSD ), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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NZDUSD - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here price respected my last analysis and filled the imbalance, now we can see a rejection from bearish order block + FIBO 0.5 level. I expect price to continue bearish move to take liquidity below equal lows.
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NZDUSD Bearish Momentum Expected from Anti-Butterfly PatternHarmonic Pattern Formation: Anti-Butterfly (XABCD)
NZDUSD is currently forming an Anti-Butterfly Harmonic Pattern on the 4-hour time frame.
The pattern consists of four distinct legs: X, A, B, and C, with Point D indicating a potential reversal area.
Confluence with Trendline and Fibonacci Level:
The Anti-Butterfly pattern is accompanied by a trendline, adding confluence to the potential reversal zone.
Price has exhibited a strong rejection at a key resistance level and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, indicating significant selling pressure.
Bearish Momentum Expected from Point D:
With the rejection at resistance and Fibonacci level, we anticipate a shift in momentum towards a bearish trend from Point D of the harmonic pattern.
Trade Setup:
Entry: 0.59215
Stop Loss: 0.59560
Profit Targets:
TP-1: 0.58867
TP-2: 0.58525
TP-3: 0.58175
Rationale:
The entry point aligns with the anticipated reversal from Point D of the harmonic pattern, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio.
The stop loss is placed above the recent swing high to mitigate potential losses in case of a reversal.
Profit targets are set at key support levels based on previous price action and Fibonacci extensions.
Risk Management:
Maintain proper position sizing to limit exposure to potential losses.
Regularly monitor the trade for any signs of invalidation or early exit signals.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own analysis and consider your risk tolerance before entering any trade.
NZDUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaOur analysis of the NZDUSD pair on higher time frames reveals a dominant bearish trend. Currently, the pair is approaching a crucial support level, with a potential retracement setting up a trading range. In the accompanying video, we present a trade idea contingent on favorable price action development. We identify key support and resistance levels, examine chart patterns, and conduct price action analysis to pinpoint a specific price behavior that would justify market entry. Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading carries inherent risks, and it is essential to employ robust risk management strategies at all times.
NZDUSD - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + FIBO 0.5 level.
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NZD/USD: Bearish Outlook and Entry StrategyResistance Level:
NZD/USD faces a crucial resistance level, signaling a possible reversal.
Harmonic Pattern:
The formation of the XABCD harmonic pattern reinforces bearish sentiment.
Anticipated Movement:
A downward trajectory is expected, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish.
Entry Strategy:
Short position suggested upon breach of 4-hour lower high, entry near 0.60150.
Risk Management:
Set stop-loss at 0.60500 to mitigate potential losses.
Take Profit Levels:
TP-1: 0.59774, TP-2: 0.59400, TP-3: 0.59035.
In summary, NZD/USD is poised for a downward movement, with entry and exit strategies outlined for traders' consideration.
NZDUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity NZDUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
NZDUSD - Sell opportunity ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then rejects from bearish order block + trendline.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
NZDUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity NZDUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗
Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
NZDUSD - Still bullish ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are still in a bullish market structure, so I am looking for a long. I expect bullish price action from here as price can reject from bullish order block + trendline. I see price to fill the imbalances higher.
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NZDUSD: On an Upward Trend, but with Some ConsiderationsGreetings, fellow traders! The past week proved to be just as volatile as the preceding one. After two weeks of trading, the bulls and bears seem to have reached a stalemate. The news from RBNZ initially caused the exchange rate to drop, but it subsequently rebounded by more than 2000 pips throughout last week.
Following the breakthrough of the downward trend's high on February 20th, there is technically an upward trend in place. However, it's important to note that the growth spurts are accompanied by deep corrections, indicating that the upward momentum may not be as strong.
While the growth seen this week is undeniably impulsive, there are a few key points to consider. Firstly, the high did not surpass the previous peak of the trend. Secondly, an unusual configuration of two consecutive market imbalances has emerged on the daily chart.
A similar scenario unfolded in early November last year and was resolved by closing these imbalances prior to the continuation of the upward trend that persisted until the end of the year:
The overbought signals generated by our trading strategy indicators are also contributing to the downward pressure.
We are currently exploring the possibility of an even deeper retracement into the 0.6050-0.6200 range. Our anticipated point of a decline's completion is around the 0.6110 level, which corresponds to the closure of the lower imbalance.
At present, we have entered two sell positions at 0.61539 and 0.61888. We are preparing to close these positions, with a tentative target date around Tuesday, March 12th.
NZDUSD: the odds of a turnaround are on the rise.Hello, Successful Traders! $-) Our analysis of the situation shows that the market is locally overbought and the current upward momentum is losing steam. It seems that any upcoming downward movement will be relatively moderate in size, while a fresh surge of growth will surpass the peak reached on January 31st.
Furthermore, time also points to the possibility of a reversal. The duration of the downward trend matches closely with the average.
We've decided to enter a sell trade at 0.61372 for the entire trade limit. Our plan is to close the position within the next couple of days.
25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues?25% chance of RBNZ rate hike on Tues?
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is likely to maintain its interest rate at the existing 5.50%, yet there might be a notable 25% probability of a 25-basis points hike.
Why? In part, the RBNZ provided a hawkish signal post its recent meeting.
The RBNZ's forward guidance suggests an inclination towards future hikes, with the March 2024 outlook adjusted to 5.63%, and December 2024 elevated to 5.66%.
ANZ Bank goes a step further, forecasting consecutive rate hikes until April, culminating in a 6.00% OCR. NZ Bank stands alone in predicting a rate hike, the consensus among other market economists leans heavily towards maintaining the status quo.
KiwiBank economists share the consensus view that the RBNZ will likely keep the interest rates unchanged. However, they anticipate a continuation of strong language and a “very forceful, hawkish bias,”
A Reuters survey resulted in 27 out of 28 economists foreseeing no change.
Still, these disparities in predictions highlight the uncertainty surrounding the impending decision and the potential for a significant market reaction depending on the central bank's course of action as well as the language they use to deliver the news.
The RBNZ delivers its decision on Tuesday 9:00 pm (US time, UTC -5).