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Nzdusdsignal

NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week Kiwi clung to early gains during the Friday trading session which is represented on the chart with a Bullish engulfing candle from the $0.70100 level and it does not appear it is ready to let go in the nearest future considering the obvious - we are in a long term Bullish perspective (see weekly chart below)! The Greenback has been on a pedestal from mid-February 2021 till last month (March 2021) when it appears to have lost the momentum and found Bottom @ $0.69500 which was immediately followed by Higher Highs that resulted in a Breakout of my Key level @ $0.70250 during last week trading session; A feat that signifies the completion of a simple reversal set-up paving the way for possible gains in the coming week(s) amidst falling US Treasury bond yields. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Reversal pattern (Double Bottom) Observation: i. The appearance of a Double Bottom pattern on the chart describes the reversal or change in trend and momentum from prior leading price action. ii. Breakout of Key level @ $0.70250 during last week trading session is a clue that Buyers are gradually gaining momentum and strength at this juncture in the market. iii. A Bullish engulfing candle appearing at the $0.70250 zone (1st of April 2021) which has been a Supplication area in the last 10 days signals that market participants are tending towards changing preference to support the Kiwi. iv. There is a possibility that price might do a correction after the Neckline Breakout that might dip into $0.69850/0.70300 zone - a new Demand level for future buys. v. This been said, conscious traders might be patient to confirm sellers are no more viable at this juncture in the market by waiting for a Breakout/Retest of $0.70400 (Supplication area) to join the rally... Trade consciously :)! Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 350 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:8 Potential Duration: 7 to 12days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upPrice continues to play out in accordance with expectations as it moved over 300pips in our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes). As the majority foretell a risk of further decline in the Kiwi in the coming week(s), I beg to take the opposite direction and maintain a Bullish bias on this pair. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Harmonic (AB = CD) pattern Observation: i. In the last 13 weeks, Buyers have found a niche around NZ$0.71000/0.70500 hereby making this area a strong Demand level. ii. We have experienced a sharp decline in price in the last two weeks after the Kiwi hit a peak of NZ$0.74650 in late Feb. 2021. iii. At this juncture in the market, it is impossible to ignore the pattern the decline has formed on its way down to the Demand zone - a Harmonic (AB = CD) structure. iv. ABCD pattern with parameters explained below; a. Leg A-to-B appears to be in harmony with the C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg falls at 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move @ NZ$0.71000/0.70500 area. iv. Considering the stronghold of NZ$0.71000/0.70500 area by buyers in the past, the AB = CD pattern makes a "good" reversal set-up at this juncture in the market as I anticipate a Breakout/Retest of my Key level @ NZ$0.71850 to join the rally (any area above Demand area is good for me). v. If the price moves as expected and reaches the Supply zone, It is advisable to lock in profit to avoid getting caught up with selling pressure and note that a further Breakout of NZ$0.73000 might confirm a rally continuation. Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 4 to 10days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new weekWe did not get to see a rejection of our neckline in my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) as the price continues to find new highs. Since the beginning of the year 2021; price has consistently been dominant above the Key level with tendencies of finding new highs as price breaks out of Bearish trendline. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Trendline | Breakout | Supply & Demand Observation: i. A successful Breakout of Trendline (20th Jan 2021) followed by a rejection of this line 8 days after is a sign that we might be on to experience a temporary/permanent rally soon. ii. The rejection of Bearish trendline shall be a yardstick to look for buying opportunity in the coming week. Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 150 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3 Potential Duration: 2 to 6 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
2
NZDUSD | Perspective for the new weekIt is fascinating to see how the Key level @ $0.71600 appears to be a decision-maker for traders in the last 30days as Breakdown/Breakout of this level points at the prevailing direction of the price. Looking beyond this... We are now at a juncture in the market where the chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal becomes a unique tool for us to make a trading decision. On the chart is a baseline with three peaks, with the outside two close in height and the middle is highest (Head and Shoulder). Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Reversal pattern (H & S) | Breakdown | Supply & Demand Observation: i. After making a peak @ $0.73100, Price have continue to risk further decline as it keeps finding Lower Lows. ii. A significant breakdown of my Key Level @ $0.71600 (Neckline) last week confirms the completion of a Head and Shoulder pattern. iii. My attention in the coming week shall be shifted to Selling opportunities and the Neckline area shall be the risk limit. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 200 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:5 Potential Duration: 5 to 10 days NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
3
Is NzdUsd carving the right shoulder?In my previous analysis, I said that I expect NzdUsd to have found a medium-term top above 0.73 and the pair dropped from that zone. More, Kiwi also has broken under the channel's support and, at this point, we can consider the top confirmed. Yesterday the 0.7150 zone offered support and the pair had a new attempt to reconquer 0.72. At this point 0.7240 is resistance and a new leg down could follow. Also, a drop under 0.7150 would confirm a H&S pattern and the target for sellers can be 0.7 important support
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
2