NZDUSD,🔴CPI is coming...🔴(Details on caption)
Hello traders
As you can see the market maker sell model is forming on the NZDUSD 15 minutes chart and now we are on the second distribution phase. We looking for a mid-term high form in the premium, then the price goes down for the sell-side liquidity as a final target.
Simply put, the market structure shifted after touching the 4-hour bearish order block and we can expect the price to continue downtrend to sell-side liquidity.
In this scenario, I don't want the to price reach 0.61400 or higher.
💥Please pay attention: Today we have the CPI today and High volatility is expected💥
Nzdusdsignal
NZ Economist's bold call opens opportunity in NZD? NZ Economist's bold call opens opportunity in NZD?
Sharon Zollner, chief economist at ANZ (the country’s largest retail bank), says the RBNZ may lift interest rates to 6% at its next meetings in February (27th) and April. Zollner accounts for 25 basis points in each meeting.
This could potentially open some targets to the upside in the NZD/USD, including a yearly high for the pair. On its way up, we might want to see little hesitation in the recent consolidation band of 0.62130 and 0.62611 before this eventuates though.
Zollner pointed out that a series of "small but unwelcome data surprises" was enough to kickstart the hiking cycle again. She mentioned that it's not uncommon for central banks to resume hiking after a break, citing three instances when the Reserve Bank did so after the 2007 Global Financial Crisis.
Obviously Zollner's prediction is only that, a prediction (and perhaps biased at that?). On the flip side, Kelly Eckhold, the chief economist at Westpac (New Zealand's second-largest retail bank), disagreed with the market predictions of another rate hike, countering Zollner's hawkish stance. Eckhold interpreted the new data to suggest a "higher for longer" scenario, expecting rates to stay at 5.50% until 2025. Which might not exactly be bad news for the upside prospects of the NZD/USD too.
NZDUSD BUY | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
The completed correction, recovery and formation of a pre-breakout set-up hint at the continuation of growth. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity NZDUSD
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NzdUsd- Resumption of the up move?In a recent post, I emphasized that it is of paramount importance for Kiwi bulls to maintain the 0.6010-0.6030 zone.
As long as this level remains intact, the drop from the recent peak is considered only a correction to the initial upward movement that began in November of last year.
As indicated by the chart, this level is identified by horizontal support and the Golden Fibonacci zone, which spans between 50% and 61%.
So far, the pair has held this level intact and reversed strongly after touching it.
Additionally, there has been a break above the descending trend line, further reinforcing this bullish outlook.
With that said, I m bullish on OANDA:NZDUSD as long as the price stays above the recent low, and buying dips is my strategy.
Furthermore, a trade targeting the recent high resistance level could potentially offer a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio, depending on the entry point.
DeGRAM | NZDUSD trend continuation opportunityNZDUSD is trading in the descending channel. Price pulled back from the support level.
There's a kill zone level where resistance level 61.8% fibo perfectly lines up with it.
The market is consolidating near the psychological level 0.61000, creating divergence.
We expect a bearish move to complete the AB=CD pattern.
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#NZDUSD: Possible Big Selling Opportunity! Dear Traders,
Hope you had a great weekend, now looking at the big picture of NZDUSD, we think price will likely to reverse after touching our area, DXY may become reverse in a week or two, while the pair is yet far from our entry point. We expect smooth drop; ensure you take appropriate risks when trading.
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DeGRAM | NZDUSD pullback from confluence levelNZDUSD is moving in an ascending channel. The market has dropped from the major resistance level.
The market is creating a bearish harmonic pattern, which is additional confluence.
We expect a pullback from the resistance since the market is moving sideways on the 4-hourly chart.
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NZDUSD Looking BullishThe Business Confidence report for New Zealand's NZD/USD reveals a positive shift in business sentiment, with a rise to 36.5 in January from the previous figure of 33.3. This indicates an optimistic change in how businesses perceive the economic environment. However, the NZD Activity Outlook, measuring firms' expectations for their own activity, witnessed a slight dip, decreasing to 25.7% from the earlier reading of 29.2%.
NZDUSD Bearish Outlook: Technical and Fundamental AnalysisA comprehensive analysis spanning multiple timeframes presents a bearish outlook, augmented by fundamental factors. On the monthly chart, there's a clear rejection at a significant resistance level, indicating strong selling pressure at these price points. Shifting to the weekly timeframe, a notable observation is the breach of a critical support level, which has now turned into resistance. This shift was accompanied by a consolidation phase, highlighting a significant mitigation of positions and the addition of substantial short positions, further validating the bearish sentiment.
The daily chart provides a more granular view, showcasing a distinct breakdown in structure towards the downside. This technical breakdown suggests continued bearish momentum in the short term, as lower lows and lower highs form part of a downtrend.
From a fundamental perspective, the strength and momentum of the USD are evident, fueled by recent data releases that have kept the dollar "hot." Additionally, there's an observed bullish divergence with bonds, although this doesn't necessarily imply a long-term trend reversal.
On the New Zealand side, the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release is anticipated to show a cool off, potentially setting the stage for an upward price correction. However, this expected bullish move should be interpreted with caution, as price action leading up to significant catalysts often respects the prevailing trend, which, in this case, is bearish.
In summary, while short-term bullish opportunities may arise from fundamental data releases such as the NZD CPI, the overarching technical analysis across monthly, weekly, and daily charts suggests a bearish trend for NZDUSD. Traders might consider looking for sell opportunities on rallies or breaks of structure, keeping an eye on key support and resistance levels for entry and exit points. Fundamental factors, including the strength of the USD and upcoming economic indicators, should be monitored closely to gauge their impact on the currency pair's direction.
DeGRAM | NZDUSD hidden divergenceNZDUSD broke out of the descending channel. It is approaching the fibo cluster level.
The market is in a bearish trend. The price dropped from the resistance twice.
Price action created the hidden divergence, which is a signal of trend continuation.
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NZDUSD : Long Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the NZDUSD chart. The price has broken the uptrend line and is moving in a descending channel. The price has reached the specified key level and we expect this level to play the role of a support level and the price will have a correction up to around 0.62000. Good luck.
DeGRAM | NZDUSD bullish opportunityNZDUSD broke out of the ascending channel, printing the AB=CD pattern, or equal-measured move, and a bullish harmonic pattern.
The D point is complete right at the confluence level and psychological level at 0.61000.
We expect buy opportunities at support and Fibo extension levels.
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nzdusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
DeGRAM | NZDUSD structure based tradeNZDUSD is currently testing the structural resistance, which is psychological as well.
It's decelerating while approaching the resistance at 0.63000.
The market created a divergence at this level.
We expect a pullback from this resistance level.
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NZDUSD Technical Analysis And Trade Idea The NZDUSD has shown notable upward momentum, reaching a significant resistance point on both daily and weekly charts. This video offers an extensive analysis, carefully scrutinizing price actions and uncovering potential trade prospects through comprehensive assessments across various timeframes, spanning from weekly down to 15-minute intervals. Expect a thorough examination encompassing price fluctuations, market trends, trend assessments, and critical technical analysis elements. It's essential to highlight that the insights shared in this video are purely educational and should not be construed as financial guidance.
NZDUSD H1, FUTURE PERSPECTIVE ✅🧠Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for NZDUSD H1. At the moment, we can see a phase of accumulation, I expect a manipulation until 0.6115 and after that, to execute LONG TRADE.
Also, the level of 0.61700 is an important level of resistance to follow. Exactly from this level, I expect the distribution and I will look for a LONG TRADE ENTRY.
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NzdUsd to reach 0.65 in mid-termFX:NZDUSD has been in a downtrend for nearly two years. However, after reaching a low at the 0.55 zone, which aligns neatly with the pandemic's 2020 low in October 2022, the pair staged a robust recovery, gaining approximately 1000 pips and reaching the trend line once again.
Subsequently, a new decline occurred, halting at 0.58 and establishing a higher low on our long-term chart. Another recovery ensued, propelling the pair back above the crucial 0.6 level, significant both psychologically and technically. This was accompanied by a touch of the descending trend line.
The recent correction formed a bullish flag, and the pair rebounded strongly from just above the technical support. Currently, the pair is hovering around resistance, and I anticipate a potential breakout. Such a break could lead to further gains, with the medium-term target set at 0.65.
I maintain a bullish stance as long as the pair remains above the recent low of 0.6050.
DeGRAM | NZDUSD bearish opportunityNZDUSD and EURUSD have very similar price action.
Price is consolidating between the 0.62200 - 0.61300 levels.
The bulls could not push the price further up, and it created divergence at resistance.
We expect a bearish trend; pullback.
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