LTC Long (conditional mid-term)#LTC Long (conditional mid-term)
If - then.
Why:
• General Bullish bias/Uptrend
Where:
• Lower border of 12H uptrend channel
• Volume POC of the range
• Zone begins: HL SSL
• Zone ends: Lower OB
• SL Under next swing low and demand POI
- Still in premium Zone.
Risk: Low
The probability of a general bullish uptrend continuation is always higher than the probability of a reversal.
Amount:
SL is medium sized- 4,3%
Safe entry on 1.86% x25
will expose you to the risk of 2% total.
OB
EURNZD bearish temporary to start big bullishIn general the price in uptrend, in short time it will correction to 1.7932 which is OB then retracement because it rebound two times from current resistance and didn't brook previous high.
Yo can sell from current price and stop loss 1.80879
Keep on mind if hit stop loss and then return and close under resistance sell it again with same stop loss.
USDCAD Strong BearishMy 3 reasons to expect bearish:
-Tweezer top pattern on daily which is strong pattern,
-It's rebound from OB area also on daily
-It's rebound from previous resistance
Technically all condition is available to support bearish but the dollar index is still bullish. If index not close over 103.36 this will support my idea.
XRPUSDT D Bullish Setup:50% fill of the FVG,POC,liquidity poolsTechnical indicators suggest growth. There is a possibility of a growth reaction from the 50% fill of the imbalance, POC, liquidity pool with a liquidity sweep below the previous low and the completion of a truncated fifth wave of Elliott. Liquidity pools have formed above, which will act as a magnet for the price. This scenario will be invalidated if the price consolidates below the POC. Then, expectations for the price are in the order block (OB) zone.
Bitcoin - The dump before the massive pump !!!By now a lot of traders and investors are very nervous about Bitcoin's next move, and justifiably, I don't think many people saw this particular setup coming, although it is normal for Bitcoin to have such volatility.
However, In the above chart, we see a particular situation which could present itself with various moves and targets. This is combined with a possible Black Swan event (meaning large scale military conflict) or even significant loss of confidence in the petro dollar, due to external influence such as BRICS and the mere fact that the USA is printing more $$$ into their way into oblivion and hyper-inflation. Why does it matter if the USD takes a hit? Unfortunately at this current point in time, Bitcoin seems to be +80% correlated with the S&P500.
Thus, we are at a critical point in the market where, based on previous price action (chart history) and some issues that have affected and/or will affect the market, we now have 5x Potential targets as follows:
Target #1 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $57,736.05 to $59,535.00
Target #2 = Daily Gap: Range between $45,288.65 to $46,800.00
Target #3 = Daily Gap: Range between $44,396.50 to $45,242.12
Target #4 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $43,399.98 to $44,331.10
Target #5 = Daily FVG+OB: Range between $40,300.24 to 41,394.34
Target #1 is where the current price is centered inside a DAILY FVG + OB. This would be the optimal reversal point, however going by my Level count, we are still in Level 2 which means an inevitable drop again to a lower price point, either within the Lower FVG+OB range between $52,088.00 to $54,476.47 or to one of the lower targets #2 through to 5. My guess is there will be another dump, either due to some financial issue or possible military action in the Middle East or Ukraine. I labelled this as Possibility #1 in the chart above.
Target #2 is where price action could come down to one of the Daily Gaps and then reverse. I see this as a low probability move, especially due to the fact that Bitcoin has an irritating habit of retracing back to 98% of it's previous high.
Target #3, again, could come down to one of the Daily Gaps and then reverse.
Target #4, is a high probability reversal point where due to the Daily FVG + OB being where most of the liquidity would be held, seems the most logical target before a solid reversal. I have labelled this as Possibility #2.
Target #5, is a high probability reversal point due to the Daily FVG+OB as well as it being at the 98% retracement point that Bitcoin seems to so often follow. I have labelled this as Possibility #3.
Therefore at this point in time, due to the many issues currently under the microscope together with potential conflict escalation in the Middle East and/or Ukraine, and the level count showing a level 2, I see it highly probable that the current boxed reversal zone will be invalidated and we will achieve a much lower reversal point more than likely between Possibility #2 and Possibility #3.
Note that I am still very bullish on this, even though the DAILY EMA shows BEARISH trend, it is only temporary as the WEEKLY EMA is still very much BULLISH !
I shall update when price action reveals more useful information.
PEPEUSDTHi
As you see in the chart we have parallel channels that candles move on them clearly
on the other hand we have OTE + FVG and Order block
so i expect that channel will be break and candles are bearish till FVG in 1h
then we can start Buying from 0.00001502 with a SL on 0.00001478
every 4% save your profit
BTC 1hr ScenarioBTC Looking bearish and bullish in 1hr TF so I will advice you be patience at this point.... Is good to take a quick long on BTC with 30mins bullish OB below but if 1hr bearish OB above mitigated before 30mins bullish OB mitigate mean that you should consider taking short after 5mins CHoCH to downside after the bearish OB mitigated
Follow for more update and trade setup
BTC Liquidity belowChecking on 4hrs timeframe today and I saw liquidity below with valid bullish OB at 63.5k.... This means you should all be careful and don't be greedy with your position as BTC might come down anytime to clear the liquidity below to mitigate the unmitigated bullish OB below
Follow for more market update and trade setup
BTCUSDT.pIn my opinion, BTC is currently in a critical range, making it more challenging to predict its next movement. It could either break its all-time high (ATH) or experience a downward trend from the weekly (OB) zone. However, I've observed a reversal pattern in the 1-hour (1H) and 4-hour (4H) charts, suggesting a potential downward movement for BTC. Nevertheless, there's a possibility that BTC might first sweep the liquidity at the ATH before heading downward.
MAVIA BullishMAVIA is ready for another pump to the upside but we need little retracement to the bullish OB on 15mins unmitigated OB below.....MAVIA swept liquidity before last pump and i'm expecting it to respect the bullsih OB below................
Wait for entry below before considering longing
Follow for market update and trade setup
SOLSUSDT.PI only publish my own ideas when considering entering a position. I strive to predict future market movements, exploring various probable scenarios. In each scenario, I define approximate entry prices, profit levels, and stop-loss points.
It would be delightful if you could express your opinion about this analysis.
LOCKHEED MARTIN CORP - LONG THEN BIG SHORTIn examining the technical analysis (TA) of Lockheed Martin Corp's stock chart, we observe discernible indications of a potential trend reversal. Notably, multiple Bearish daily Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are present, accompanied by a Bearish Order Block (OB) situated just beneath the preceding major peak of $508.10, as delineated in the accompanying chart by blue boxes.
From a fundamental analysis perspective, information from reliable sources indicates imminent challenges within a specific segment of the company's operations. These challenges, poised to become public knowledge shortly, could substantially impact Lockheed Martin's growth trajectory if not adeptly managed.
The root of these challenges can be traced back to 'a program', which is on the brink of exposure due to impending government intervention. Should the company persist in a non-transparent approach to these issues, we anticipate a marked increase in bearish market sentiment favoring selling, potentially depressing the stock's value significantly below its support level at $393.77.
Conversely, if Lockheed Martin's management adeptly capitalizes on the significant commercial and public relations opportunities—particularly concerning the mass production of a groundbreaking, revolutionary product—we foresee a robust market sentiment driving the stock well beyond its all-time high of $508.10. One of the new opportunities could emerge from diversifying Lockheed Martin Corp's business model, potentially exploring manufacturing sectors beyond their traditional scope, or through strategic collaborations with a company (example: 'Tesla') known for their innovation and lateral thinking, thus broadening the range of their market engagement.
Currently, it is imperative for investors, including myself, to encourage Lockheed Martin to engage proactively with governmental entities and the broader community. Such engagement could pave the way for a brighter communal future, concurrently augmenting the intrinsic value of the company. Assuming the mass production of this innovative product materializes, it could potentially double the company's value in a relatively short timeframe. This projection might appear ambitious, but the potential is undeniable once fully comprehended.
However, failure to seize this opportunity could precipitate considerable selling pressure, potentially triggering a significant market correction over time, with the potential to reach a critical support level of $119.95.
MAV CHoCH to upsideLooking into MAV on LTF we can see it CHoCH to the downside with BOS followed but bull was able to drag the price to break above previous HL..............
And looking into the demand area we can see there is unmitigated bullish OB and which is where our entry is...... Wait for entry and long from there and do always remember to manages your risk
Wait for entry
Follow for more market update and trade setup.......
11/26/23 DXY Daily Outlook11/26/23 DXY Daily Outlook
#DXY #DailyOutlook
We tapped into the 4H-FVG(L), into the YOP again, and took out the PDL PWL with the move up during the over night sessions and into the NY session. We left a new 4H-FVG through the lows taken out, a new 4H-OB, a Price gap on the 1H LTF and in the process of trading down into the PWH from 8/30.
This will be our biggest news release, however, we do have a few #FOMC speakers but not Powell. We also have Richmond Manufacturing Index numbers #RMI and the S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y at 9:00am.
10:00am
USD
CB #ConsumerConfidence
101.0 102.6
XXX/USD bullish
USD/XXX bearish
#BullishCase: A bullish move on Dollars means that we are seeing a LTF move through the 4H-FVG. Once we move through it we see that price uses the 4H-FVG as an IFVG setup to the upside. We then target the previous -POIs, the PDH from Monday and back into the 4H-IFVG range.
#BearishCase: A bearish scenario is a bit more probable at the moment still. We left fresh -POIs and we can look to take setup off of each of these, the Price Gap, the 4H-FVG, 4H-OB, and as you can see on the 1H TF these same POIs are available as well.
1H chart
4H chart
D chart
11/28/23 NAS Daily Outlook11/28/23 NAS Daily Outlook
#NAS #DailyOutlook
We took the PDL and traded into the 4H+FVG then bounced off of it as projected. We traded into and off of the W-FVG(L) again. I personally didn't catch this one from focusing on SPX's choppiness. We set the high PDH inside of the W-FVG and the low PDL inside of the 4H+FVG and left SSL inside of the NY open session.
This will be our biggest news release, however, we do have a few #FOMC speakers but not Powell. We also have Richmond Manufacturing Index numbers #RMI and the S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y at 9:00am.
10:00am
USD
CB #ConsumerConfidence
101.0 102.6
#BullishCase: The bullish case is how we respond to this 1H+FVG we made during London session yesterday as we are simultaneously holding near the high of the 4H+FVG(H) near 15954.4. We should be looking for price to reach back into the W-FVG(L) and the for the PDH/PWHs.
#BearishCase: The bearish case will be how we manage the fresh liquidity left behind within the NY open session SSL($). Below that we still have the 4H+FVG that is holding us up but we'll still be aiming for the PDL lows from Tuesday and Wednesday.1H chart
4h chart
D chart:
11/28/23 US30 Daily Outlook11/28/23 US30 Daily Outlook
#US30 #DailyOutlook
No trade today! Too choppy for my liking and the price is just ranging to with entries that don't meet my requirements. We took out a PDL and tapped a PWH and made a PDH. We took liquidity from both the long (BSL) and the short side (SSL). Our closest HTF POI is the W-RB/D-OB and we're in the wicks but we haven't tapped into the body yet so, still think that this will be our POI to consider. The over night sessions were probably the cleanest but the entire NY session was choppy.
This will be our biggest news release, however, we do have a few #FOMC speakers but not Powell. We also have Richmond Manufacturing Index numbers #RMI and the S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y at 9:00am.
10:00am
USD
CB #ConsumerConfidence
101.0 102.6
#BullishCase: The bullish case is the LTF BSL($) that is above us and a move into the following: WOP, price completely through the PWH, the PDH from 11/26, and into the W-RB/D-OB.
#BearishCase: The bearish case is PDH and back into the 1H+OB from 11/22 (Do you see it?). If we trade through this swing low with impulse, then I will aim for the PDLs from Thursday and Friday and then into the D-OB(L).
1H chart
4H chart
D chart
11/28/23 SPX Daily Outlook11/28/23 SPX Daily Outlook
#SPX #DailyOutlook:
We made the low of the day during the over night sessions. There was a NWOG that was left on Sunday and this is where price has been reacting during the NY open session. The PM sessions fell down into the 4H+FVG(H), TDO and D+OB(H) then pushed into the NWOG. There was also a bounce in the London/ Pre Market Session off of the D+OB(H) again. On the open the price rejected the PG but then held the D+OB(H) again and ranging through the NY open until the close.
This will be our biggest news release, however, we do have a few #FOMC speakers but not Powell. We also have Richmond Manufacturing Index numbers #RMI and the S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y at 9:00am.
10:00am
USD
CB #ConsumerConfidence
101.0 102.6
#BullishCase: The bullish case will be our response to the NWOG (New Week Open Gap) which we have reacted off of and sold off from but, at the current price we are sitting near the low again. We could use the PG to push through and buy from and the aim will be the PDH/PWHs. Look for an impulse through and a return to it.
#BearishCase: The PDL from Monday is our POI for the sell setup. We need to watch the LTFs for an impulse through the low and on the LTFs once we trade through the low wait for a fresh -POI for a LTF setup.
1H chart
4H chart
D Chart