Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area 65.268.We need to talk about one important nuance. Many people ask “Hellena, you say you can't buy oil, but it's going up. Well, it is, yes. But all my data and wave markings suggest that the price will soon start a downward movement. There are major changes in geopolitics and I am not in a position to stop them. I just set a stoploss and wait for the trade that will bring me profit.
Now coming to the forecast, I think that the downward movement will start soon, but before it, the price may rise quite high, maybe even to the area of 74.000.
But the main direction is the support area of 65.268.
There are 2 possible ways to enter the trade:
1) Entry at market price.
2) Limit pending sell orders if the price starts an upward movement to the area of 74.484.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Oil
WTI OIL Approaching a potential rejection level.Our last short-term analysis (March 18, see chart below) on WTI Oil (USOIL) hit the $70.00 Target and is currently extending the uptrend:
We believe however that this uptrend may be coming to a temporary end as not only does it approach the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) that has been intact since February 03, but also the 73.40 Symmetrical Resistance that kick started the -7.70% September 24 2024 rejection.
As you can this this is also where the 1D RSI 67.00 Resistance is, which has also caused 2 rejections.
Based on that, we will wait for a short on the 1D MA200 to target $68.00.
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WTI Oil H4 | Pullback support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 69.99 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 68.40 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 72.94 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
CRUDE OIL LONG SIGNAL|
✅CRUDE OIL is trading in a
Strong uptrend and was making
A local bearish correction but
A horizontal support level was
Hit at 71.00$ so we can go
Long on with the TP of 71.72$
And the SL of 70.59$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
OIL - Key Fibonacci Levels and Potential Market MovesThis chart presents a detailed technical analysis of Crude Oil Futures on the 1D timeframe, highlighting key Fibonacci levels, Fair Value Gaps (FVGs), and potential price movements.
Key observations:
- The price is currently around $71.44, moving towards a key decision zone.
- A significant Fibonacci retracement zone (0.618 - 0.65) is marked near $74, aligning with a key resistance area.
- The "Golden Pocket" from the greater downtrend remains a crucial area to watch for a potential reversal.
- Two Fair Value Gaps (FVG & IFVG) are identified, which could act as liquidity zones.
Possible Scenarios:
🟢 Option 1: Bullish breakout, price moves above $74 and continues toward $78+ levels.
🔴 Option 2: Rejection from resistance, leading to a potential pullback below $70.
🔴 Option 3: Strong rejection, price drops back towards the Fibonacci 0 level (~$64).
Which option do you think is most likely? Let me know your thoughts! 🚀📉
OIL Today's strategyIn view of the fact that a large number of news items with a significant influence on the market trend are about to be released today, before the news breaks, we can conduct transactions within the established price range by adopting the strategy of selling high and buying low. In order to effectively control risks and seize potential profit opportunities at the same time, it is advisable that you keep your position within 20%.
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Crude oil's Strong Return: Exclusive Trading Strategy and LayoutOverall, yesterday's market can be considered as a one-sided upward trend within the day. Both crude oil and gold gave a wonderful performance on the upward path yesterday. Gold reached a record high yesterday, and crude oil didn't show any weakness either, breaking through the $71 mark in one go. Traders who followed John's advice yesterday are believed to have reaped good profits. The data released by the US Energy Information Administration yesterday showed a decrease in production, which further pushed crude oil above $71 and to the current high of $71.8. Every time crude oil is at a crucial juncture and needs to choose a direction, there will be bullish news in the market to support it. This is caused by the excessive instability resulting from the current turbulent international situation, and Trump's fickle policies also lead to the dual nature of the market that makes it prone to fluctuations.
Crude oil reached around $71.8 at its highest point yesterday, and the trend and price levels basically met the expectations. Judging from the current trend of crude oil, there are signs of a continued rebound. The resistance levels above are $72.5, $73.3 and $74 respectively, while the support levels below are $70.9, $70.4 and $69.9 respectively.
USOIL
buy@70-70.5
tp:72-73
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
WTI CRUDE OIL TRADE SETUP : BREAKOUT OR BREAKDOWN ?📊 Key Observations:
🔹 Trend:
🚀 Strong bullish move followed by a correction 📉
🔻 Price is testing a support zone
🔹 Pattern Formation:
📏 Descending channel or flag-like structure
📍 Price is near a breakout point
🔹 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry Zone: Around 70.77
🛑 Stop Loss: 70.44 - 70.49 (Risk limit ❌)
🎯 Target Point: 71.80 (Profit zone ✅)
🔹 Indicators & Confirmation:
📊 DEMA (9) at 70.92 → Price is slightly below short-term momentum
🔥 A breakout above resistance could confirm a bullish move 🚀
📌 Conclusion:
✅ If price breaks the trendline upwards → Buy 📈 aiming for 71.80 🎯
❌ If support at 70.44-70.49 fails → More downside possible ⚠️
🚀 Watch for volume & candlestick confirmation before entering!
OIL Today's strategyThe prospects for global economic growth have become dismal due to the tariff policy. When the United States imposes additional tariffs on all goods, the costs of international trade will increase significantly, and trade exchanges among countries will inevitably be curbed. The profit margins of many enterprises that rely on imports and exports will be severely squeezed, and their production scales are likely to be reduced accordingly, which in turn will lead to a decrease in the activity level of industrial activities. Since industrial production has always accounted for a large proportion of the demand for crude oil, the contraction of industrial activities will surely deal a heavy blow to the demand side of crude oil.
Trump's comprehensive tariff policy has a negative impact on the crude oil market from multiple dimensions, such as economic growth, OPEC strategies, inventory, and financial market speculation. Therefore, it is expected that the price of crude oil will show a downward trend in the coming period.
OIL Today's strategy
sell@70-70.5
tp:69-68.5
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USOIL Strategy Analysis: will riseThe threat of secondary tariffs on Russian and Iranian oil by Trump is a factor closely watched by the market. Although he has no immediate intention to implement it for the time being, the future supply risk is gradually rising.
The uncertainty in the market comes not only from tariff policies, but also from potential sanctions on the supplies from Russia and Iran, as well as the impact of OPEC+'s production increase.
Oil trading strategy:
buy @ 70.95-71.15
sl 70.3
tp 71.65-71.85
Preserve capital, manage risk, generate returns, achieve sustainable long-term profitability, and continuously learn and develop through trading. Access the link below the article to obtain more information.
Crude Oil: WTI Recovers Slightly Above the $70 ZoneSince touching the key support level at $67 , WTI crude oil has posted a notable recovery of more than 7% in recent weeks, and is now hovering slightly above the $70 per barrel mark. For now, the bullish bias remains intact as comments from the White House suggest potential tariffs ranging from 25% to 50% on countries that choose to trade Russian oil. According to President Trump, Russia has failed to implement a ceasefire in the short term and this could lead to additional tarrifs. Although this new tariff strategy has no official date, if enacted, it could significantly disrupt global oil supply, reinforcing short-term bullish expectations for crude.
Wide Sideways Range:
For several months now, oil has been moving within a stable sideways range between $81 (resistance) and $67 (support) per barrel. So far, there hasn't been any significant breakout from this channel, making it the dominant structure on the chart in the short term.
MACD:
The MACD histogram continues to oscillate just above the zero line, but recent sessions have shown slight bearish momentum, possibly signaling a pause in the upward movement as the dominance of the moving averages appears to be neutralizing.
TRIX:
A similar situation is developing in the TRIX indicator, with the line hovering just below the neutral 0 level. This suggests that the strength of the 18-period moving average has entered a zone of balance, lacking a clear directional force.
The behavior of both indicators implies that momentum is gradually weakening as the price approaches resistance levels.
Key Levels:
$73: A key resistance level located near the midpoint of the sideways range, also aligning with the 200-period moving average. A breakout above this level could trigger a solid short-term bullish trend.
$81: A distant resistance level marking the top of the current range. Price action reaching this level could be decisive in confirming a long-term bullish breakout.
$67: A significant support level , marking the lower boundary of the range. A return to this level could revive previously dormant bearish pressure and potentially resume a longer-term downtrend that began several weeks ago.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
USOIL Daily Analysis: Bullish Reversal from Key Support USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) daily chart showing price action analysis.
Key Observations:
Support Zone:
A strong demand zone is marked around $65-$66, which has acted as a reversal area in the past.
The price has recently bounced off this zone, indicating potential buyer interest.
Current Price Action:
Price is currently trading at $68.25.
A bullish move started from the support region, with a higher low formation suggesting potential upside momentum.
Potential Scenario:
The chart suggests a pullback before continuation to the upside.
If the support holds, $70-$72 could be the next target.
If price fails to hold above $66, further downside towards $64 may be possible.
Outlook:
Bullish Bias 📈 as long as the price remains above the demand zone.
Watch for a higher low confirmation before entering a long trade.
Breakout above $70 could signal a stronger rally.
OIL Today's strategyAt present, it appears that USOIL has clearly defined its upward direction.
Looking back at the recent trend of USOIL, although the overall price fluctuations have been rather complex, the upward trend has become increasingly prominent. Previously, the market had doubts about the direction of oil prices at multiple stages, and the price hovered around the dividing point, with both buyers and sellers in the market engaging in a fierce battle.
However, as time went by, USOIL broke through this obstacle with strong momentum, demonstrating the dominance of the bullish forces and also clarifying the direction for the subsequent trend.
USOIL
buy@70-70.5
sell:71.5-72
Here is a reminder again.We need to carefully analyze how the various data that will be released next will affect the market, so as to determine the correct direction for our subsequent trading activities.
We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy
Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day
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WTI Oil H4 | Falling to pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 71.06 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 69.80 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 72.94 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower with a gap-down amid growing recession fears. Although it did not reach the 20-month moving average (MA) on the monthly chart, last month’s long bearish candlestick has resulted in a sell signal on the monthly futures chart—the first time in three years since February 2022. From a monthly perspective, the 16,900–17,500 range appears to be a good buying zone, but it is important to monitor whether the index reaches this level within this month’s candle. The 20-month MA is likely to be briefly breached, even if a lower wick forms.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq is currently finding short-term support around 19,000, but given the large gap between the 3-week and 5-week MAs, a rebound remains a possibility. On the daily chart, a sell signal has not yet been confirmed. If further declines confirm a bearish crossover, the Nasdaq could enter a third wave of selling, with a target of 17,300. The key question is whether the market experiences another sharp drop.
However, given the significant distance from the 5-day MA, the more likely scenario is sideways movement for a few days, allowing the moving averages to catch up before a potential further decline. In this case, it is advisable to trade within the range but always use stop-losses. The 240-minute chart also shows strong downward movement. While the market is in oversold territory, making short-selling more favorable, there is also the possibility of a range-bound pattern forming on the daily chart. If taking buy positions at the lows, strict stop-loss management is essential.
Crude Oil
Oil closed higher following news of tariffs imposed on Russian oil. The price successfully broke above the key resistance at $70, also surpassing the 240-day MA. On the monthly chart, oil has now entered a range where further upside potential exists, and there is a possibility that the MACD could attempt a bullish crossover with the signal line.
On the daily chart, the MACD has moved above the zero line, pulling the signal line upward. If the price stays above the 240-day MA, it may form a strong trend reversal pattern with accelerated gains. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains above the zero line and is crossing above the signal line, indicating continued buying momentum.
Overall, it is best to focus on buying dips, as April’s first trading session could see the price gapping above the 240-day MA. Holding overnight short positions carries risk, so caution is advised.
Gold
Gold closed higher, driven by strong demand for safe-haven assets. On the monthly chart, gold formed a long bullish candlestick. However, given the large gap between the price and the 3-month & 5-month MAs, a pullback remains a possibility. The key question is whether gold will continue rising before a correction or correct first before resuming its uptrend. It is best to monitor the price action closely.
On the daily chart, the MACD is forming a third wave of buying pressure, opening the possibility for a price target around 3,216. Thus, it is advisable to focus on buying dips, while being cautious about chasing highs due to potential volatility. The 240-minute chart indicates that strong buying momentum continues, as gold remains in overbought territory.
Since this is the beginning of a new month, key economic reports—including the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the U.S. Jobs Report—could significantly impact gold’s volatility. For both buy and sell positions, it is essential to set stop-loss levels, as increased volatility is expected.
With Trump’s tariff policies increasing the risk of a global recession, liquidity in global equity markets is drying up, reducing the attractiveness of stocks. The clear contrast between Nasdaq and gold’s performance is likely to persist for some time.
As we enter April’s first trading session, trade cautiously and adapt to market conditions.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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WTI Crude Oil (XTIUSD) – H4 SELL SetupWTI Crude Oil (XTIUSD) – H4 SELL Setup
Price has reacted from a key H4 supply zone after taking out previous highs. A clean bearish shift suggests continuation to the downside.
🔹 Entry: At supply zone
🔹 SL: Above mitigation zone
🔹 TPs:
First support
Equal lows
Extended swing low
Bias: Bearish
Reasoning: Liquidity sweep + market structure shift + imbalance
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. However, following the announcement of mutual tariffs after the previous session’s close, the index experienced a significant gap-down. On the daily chart, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, generating a sell signal, though confirmation is still pending. If today's session closes with a bearish candle, we must monitor whether this leads to a third wave of selling, signaling further downside.
Due to the gap-down, the price is now significantly distanced from the 3-day and 5-day moving averages (MAs), making it crucial to observe whether the price rebounds intraday or continues to decline further. With the first support level at 19,000 now breached, the next key support is around 18,500. When considering buy positions, it is essential to manage stop-loss risk carefully.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared but is not yet confirmed. If confirmed, it could trigger a third wave of selling pressure, potentially leading to further declines. Given the increased market volatility, a cautious approach is recommended—reducing leverage and only trading at key price levels to minimize potential losses.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed higher while maintaining a range-bound movement around $72. On the daily chart, the MACD has moved above the signal line and the zero line, establishing a bullish trend. However, following the mutual tariff announcement, the price gapped down, dropping below $70. The strongest support zone lies around $68, making it crucial to observe whether the MACD adjusts and aligns with the signal line before rebounding from this support level to resume the bullish trend.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has appeared, but with multiple support levels nearby and both MACD and the signal line still above the zero line, the market is likely to attempt rebounds. A buy-the-dip approach remains favorable, but caution is necessary given today’s OPEC meeting, which could lead to increased volatility.
Gold
Gold closed higher, finding support at the 5-day MA. Following the mutual tariff announcement, the price initially gapped up to around 3,200, before pulling back. As previously mentioned, the upward target for this wave is around 3,216, with strong buying momentum continuing. On the daily chart, gold is trading between the 5-day MA and the upper Bollinger Band, maintaining a one-way bullish structure.
A bullish strategy remains favorable unless the daily close falls below the 10-day MA. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD remains above the zero line and previously attempted to break above the signal line but has since pulled back. Since buying momentum is still present, if the price finds support at a key supply zone, another leg higher could occur, potentially triggering a golden cross in the MACD and leading to a third wave of buying pressure.
Short positions should be approached with caution, and given the increased market volatility, risk management is crucial. Whether buying or selling, stop-loss discipline is essential to manage potential risks.
Market volatility has surged since the pre-market session due to Trump’s mutual tariff policies. Volatility is both an opportunity and a risk for traders. Do not let greed lead to losses in a market that doesn’t match your trading style. Adjust position sizes accordingly and only trade within your comfort zone. The market is always open. Do not focus solely on today—take a steady and stable approach to trading.
Wishing you a successful trading day!
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USOIL is expected to rise to 72.200I. Supply and Demand
(1) Supply
OPEC+ plans 200,000 bpd monthly production hikes in 2025, yet may deepen cuts if prices drop. In 2016, cuts reversed a price slump. EIA projects 440,000 bpd US output growth in 2025, but shale oil costs and regulations could limit growth.
(2) Demand
Global economic recovery, especially in emerging economies, will lift oil demand in manufacturing and transportation. Also, rising temperatures will boost construction and agricultural oil demand.
II. Geopolitics
The Middle East’s instability, such as the Israel - Palestine conflict and Iran nuclear issue, may disrupt oil supplies. US sanctions on Iran also disrupt global supply.
III. Macroeconomy
Loose monetary policies in many countries are weakening the dollar. Since oil is dollar - denominated, a weaker dollar spurs demand. Rising inflation expectations also prompt investors to hedge with oil.
IV. Market Sentiment
Optimism about oil demand and supply concerns boost investor confidence. Geopolitical and economic uncertainties drive up oil’s safe - haven demand.
Overall, multiple factors favor USOIL price increases. But markets are volatile—investors should stay alert.
💎💎💎 USOIL 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@70.200 - 70.500
🎁 TP 71.800 - 72.200
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates