Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area 65.268.We need to talk about one important nuance. Many people ask “Hellena, you say you can't buy oil, but it's going up. Well, it is, yes. But all my data and wave markings suggest that the price will soon start a downward movement. There are major changes in geopolitics and I am not in a position to stop them. I just set a stoploss and wait for the trade that will bring me profit.
Now coming to the forecast, I think that the downward movement will start soon, but before it, the price may rise quite high, maybe even to the area of 74.000.
But the main direction is the support area of 65.268.
There are 2 possible ways to enter the trade:
1) Entry at market price.
2) Limit pending sell orders if the price starts an upward movement to the area of 74.484.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Oil(wti)
WTI OIL Approaching a potential rejection level.Our last short-term analysis (March 18, see chart below) on WTI Oil (USOIL) hit the $70.00 Target and is currently extending the uptrend:
We believe however that this uptrend may be coming to a temporary end as not only does it approach the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) that has been intact since February 03, but also the 73.40 Symmetrical Resistance that kick started the -7.70% September 24 2024 rejection.
As you can this this is also where the 1D RSI 67.00 Resistance is, which has also caused 2 rejections.
Based on that, we will wait for a short on the 1D MA200 to target $68.00.
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CRUDE OIL LONG SIGNAL|
✅CRUDE OIL is trading in a
Strong uptrend and was making
A local bearish correction but
A horizontal support level was
Hit at 71.00$ so we can go
Long on with the TP of 71.72$
And the SL of 70.59$
LONG🚀
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Oil - Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 25th I shared this "Oil - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation Higher"
I expected to see retraces and further continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bullish move delivered as expected!!!
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Oil - Expecting The Price To Bounce Higher FurtherH1 - Price has created series of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Higher highs based on the moving averages of the MACD indicator
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two strong support zones hold.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: 1M MA100 providing huge buying pressure to $77.50WTI Crude Oil has reclaimed its bullish technical outlook on 1D (RSI = 62.688, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 49.608) as is about to end the month on a strong green 1M candle and a huge 1M RSI bullish divergence. The most important development here is that the current 1M candle (March) marginally hit the 1M MA100 and immediately rebounded. This trendline has been the market's major long term support since April 2021, so essentially for the last 4 years. We believe that this is enough to cause a medium term rebound to the LH Zone and possibly even just outside of it to test the 1M MA50. For now however, our target is contained inside this zone (TP = 77.50).
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Last pull to 4H MA50 possible, $72 target remainsWTI Crude Oil just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.181, MACD = -0.570, ADX = 39.438) as it crossed above the 4H MA200. It is still under the 1D MA50, so the newly emerged Channel Up may pull the price back under the 4H MA50 one last time before the next, even stronger bullish wave. Overall, we remain long (TP = 72.00), even more so on the long term.
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 65.268.Colleagues, I believe that the downward movement is not over yet, and now the price is in a complex combined correction. The second correction also consists of “ABC” waves.
In an ideal scenario, the price completes wave “C” in the 70.000 area and starts the downward movement to the support area of 65.268.
In general, the plan has not changed since the last forecast, but the bulls still have strength, so we should take the upward movement as an opportunity to profitably go short.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
CRUDE OIL LONG SIGNAL|
✅USOIL made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 68.60$ so we are bullish
Biased so we can enter a
Long trade with the TP of 69.46$
And the SL of 68.17$
LONG🚀
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Oil - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation HigherH1 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Bearish divergence on the moving averages of the MACD indicator.
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two strong support zones hold.
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CRUDE OIL Will Go Up After Pullback! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading in a
Local uptrend and the price
Made a strong bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 68.40$ so after a pullback
And a retest of the new support
We will be expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Hard rebound on 1.5 year support targeting $72.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.748, MACD = -1.080, ADX = 23.603), which indicates the slow transition from a bearish trend to bullish. This started when the price hit the S1 level, a 1.5 year Support, and bottomed. The slow rebound that we're having since formed a Channel Up on a bullish 1D RSI, much like the one in September 2024, which eventually peaked after a +10.70% price increase. A similar rebound is expected to test the 1D MA200. The trade is long, TP = 72.00.
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CRUDE OIL Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL made a sharp
And sudden move up
And it seems that it will
Soon hit a horizontal
Resistance level of 68.80$
From where we can go short
On Oil with the TP of 67.67$
And the SL of 68.87$
Sell!
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WTI Possible Scenarios:
1- Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above 66.160, it could push towards 67.900, filling the Fair Value Gap.
A break above 67.900 could confirm further upside potential.
2-Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below 65.800, it could signal further downside towards 65.500 or lower.
The trendline resistance could push price lower if rejection occurs.
Entry Zone: Around 66.160.
Stop Loss: Around 65.800.
Target Price: Around 67.895.
OIL / WTI PoV - LONGThe analysis of the current oil price highlights the $65/66 range as a critical level for a potential rally. After a period of consolidation and corrections in recent weeks, oil seems to have found strong support around these levels, with prices oscillating between $65 and $66 per barrel. These levels represent an important liquidity zone, as in the past, the price has found support here, suggesting that there could be an opportunity for a bullish rebound if the price manages to remain stable above this threshold.
A rally above the $65/66 level could be supported by several fundamental factors, including improved demand prospects, a reduction in global inventories, and potential policies from OPEC. If demand for oil increases, especially with economic recoveries in certain regions or a rise in industrial production globally, there could be further support for prices. Additionally, OPEC+'s stance in the production-limiting agreement and potential supply cuts could keep the market tight, pushing prices higher.
Geopolitical dynamics also play a significant role in determining the direction of oil. Any tensions or disruptions in supply from key producing countries, such as those in the Middle East, could serve as catalysts for further price increases. Another factor that could support prices is the depreciation of the dollar, which typically benefits oil, as the commodity is priced in dollars.
However, if the price fails to maintain stability above the $65/66 level, we might see a new correction phase, with prices possibly retreating to lower levels. A move away from these levels could mark the beginning of a new bearish phase, with the risk of prices sliding back towards $60 per barrel or even lower if demand weakens or if there are supply excesses in the market.
In summary, the $65/66 level is crucial for the price of oil. Maintaining or closing above these levels could pave the way for a rally, while failure to do so could lead to further price weakening. With OPEC+ policies playing a key role in balancing the market, the next few months will be critical in determining the future direction of oil prices.
WTIThis chart is focused on short-term ICT analysis, showing liquidity zones, displacement, and market structure shifts.
1. Smart Money Liquidity Grab at 63.59-64.61
This is an Expected Liquidity Pool.
ICT concepts suggest that institutions often engineer liquidity grabs at key support levels before reversing.
The area around 64.61 is a sell-side liquidity sweep, designed to trap retail shorts before Smart Money initiates a bullish move.
2. Market Structure Shift (MSS) at 68.53
A break above 68.53 is a bullish shift, signaling a change in trend.
Displacement with a fair value gap (FVG) around 68.53 confirms momentum.
If price reclaims 68.53, expect Smart Money to target buy-side liquidity at 79.32 and later 91.21.
3. Buying Zone & Smart Money Accumulation (75-77 Range)
Once price reaches 79.32, expect a retracement into the 75-77 range, allowing Smart Money to re-accumulate.
A break above 91.21 unlocks the potential for higher moves, aligning with the higher time frame Elliott Wave 5 targets.
Treasury Secretary Bessent: Make Iran broke again Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, speaking at the Economic Club of New York, said the U.S. is enforcing sanctions on Iran for “immediate maximum impact,” warning that Iranians should move their money out of the rial.
The goal is to cut Iran’s oil exports from 1.5 million barrels per day to near zero.
His comments came as oil prices fell to multiyear lows on Wednesday, driven by concerns that tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China could slow economic growth and weaken crude demand.
Following Bessent’s remarks, both U.S. crude and Brent prices turned positive, with JP Morgan analysts noting that a decline in Iranian supply is currently the only bullish factor for oil prices.
Bessent also signaled that the administration is prepared to impose full-scale sanctions on Russian energy if it helps lead to a ceasefire in Ukraine. This is a welcome shift from the Trump administration, who so far has only been pressuring the victim of the war rather than the perpetrator.
USOIL WTI The price was in a downward trend, moving within a descending channel. A breakout from this channel indicates potential trend reversal or correction.
Consolidation Zone Identified:
The price is currently in a consolidation phase (marked in orange).
A breakout above this zone could confirm bullish momentum, while rejection could push it lower.
Key Resistance Levels for Upside Targets:
If the price breaks above the consolidation zone, it could rally toward 71.246 and 72.103 as potential resistance levels.
Green arrows indicate bullish breakout targets.
Key Support Levels for Bearish Move:
If the price fails to break above the consolidation zone, A further breakdown below this support level could push the price toward 68.400 and 66.888, the next major support.
Conclusion:
The next major move will depend on how price reacts to the consolidation zone. A breakout above could lead to bullish targets, while failure could send prices lower toward the next major support. Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. 🚀📉