USOIL:i think it will continue to fall
Hello traders, I think crude oil will continue to fall, what do you think?
From the 4 hour chart
Near 79 is the support level of the last few rebounds. I think it can be regarded as a short-term watershed. If this support level is broken, the downside will open below. Conversely, if support is formed here again, you can wait to buy short positions near 80.7. From a margin perspective, the downside is significantly higher than the upside. Judging from the current K-line distribution, the signal of peaking at the high level is obvious, so I think it will fall below here, and then accelerate the decline.
Therefore, in terms of strategy, 79sell tp is around 77.3, and it will be around 76 after breaking the position
If you agree with my point of view, welcome to follow
TVC:USOIL FX:USOILSPOT BLACKBULL:USOIL.F
Oil(wti)
On the Rise as expected 🛢️🏌🏻 (Bad news...) ⛳A well times Long on the previous Oil post:
Unfortunately i was right and I think the 'price is right at 88-92$' in the best case scenario....'
100$ barrels still a valid scenario for end of year.. i hope we don't see that
Why bad news?
The answer is off course inflation.
We live in a dirty world where humans still make wars and play all kind of dirty tricks for money and power.
Hope you filled up your tanks at the previous post, if not maybe do so while it's still early.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR ⛳
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to 38.2%-50% Fibo lvl`sDear colleagues, I believe that wave 3 is not yet complete, which means that my previous idea did not materialize. Therefore, I expect the price to update its high after a correction to 78.00
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USOIL:I think shorting is the main
Hey traders, I think crude oil is about to reach a short position, what do you think?
From the 4-hour chart, the pressure of crude oil is around 77-77.2. If it does not break through 77.3, then the strategy can be shorted around 77-77.3. The target is first around 75.5, and after it breaks, look around 74.
If it reaches near 74 to form a support, then backhand to do more.
If you agree with my point of view, welcome to pay attention
BLACKBULL:USOIL.F FX:USOILSPOT TVC:USOIL
✅CRUDE OIL RISKY SHORT🔥
✅CRUDE OIL is going up to retest a horizontal resistance of 77.33$
Which makes me locally bearish biased
And I think that we will see a pullback
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 76.50$
However, as it is a counter-trend
Trade I would suggest using
A lower risk per trade
SHORT🔥
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PVVM Analysis & Trade Idea - USOILMacro PVVM Analysis:
The Macro PVVM score provides us with an understanding of the long-term trend of the asset. On 7/10/2023, the Macro PVVM was at -9, indicating a slightly bearish sentiment in the long-term. However, by 7/20/2023, it had climbed to 60, suggesting a notable strengthening of the bullish trend.
Considering the range of the Macro PVVM (-150 to 150), the asset is not yet overbought, but the increasing trend signifies a positive sentiment in the long-term. This suggests that TVC:USOIL might have potential for further growth in the foreseeable future.
Micro PVVM Analysis:
The Micro PVVM score represents the short-term trend of the asset. On 7/10/2023, the Micro PVVM was at 98, which indicates a strongly bullish sentiment in the short-term. However, it experienced a slight dip to 72 by 7/20/2023. The momentum seems to be weakening slightly, as it has declined from the peak of 114 seen on 7/12/2023.
Key Takeaways:
1. The long-term trend of EASYMARKETS:OILUSD has turned bullish, as evidenced by the increasing Macro PVVM score.
2. The short-term trend has been predominantly bullish, though it experienced a slight decline in recent days.
Trade Idea:
Considering the current technical analysis, you might consider a long position in TVC:USOIL . Traders could wait for the correction expected by the Micro PVVM to end and then enter long positions.
CRUDE OIL On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
This is my opinion on the CRUDE OIL next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 76.77
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 80.26
Safe Stop Loss - 74.31
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long until the end of wave 5Dear colleagues, I see a five-wave structure in which the price is completing corrective movement 4 and is about to begin impulsive movement 5. I anticipate that the price will reach at least the resistance area of 77.22.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI CRUDE OIL Double rejection on the 1day MA200WTI Crude Oil hit and is getting rejected on the 1day MA200 today. That is the 2nd time 4 days to do so.
That is a technicals Double Top rejection and if the 1day RSI crosses under its MA, it will confirm the bearish move.
The long term pattern is a Channel Down and as we described last time, this isn't just near its top but also near the 1week MA50.
Sell and target the 1week MA200 at 68.50.
Previous chart:
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$74 could be pivotal for WTI over the near termCommodities were broadly lower yesterday with the CRB index falling to a 4-day low. Geopolitical tensions are rising following Russia’s decision to back out of a key grain deal which allowed Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea. Weak data from China and news that Libya will restart oil production also saw WTI fall for a second day.
What has caught our eye is that WTI played very nicely with its round numbers yesterday, printing the high of the day at $76, a lower high at $75 and lows around $74. It is also considering the break of a trendline, although unless volatility picks up it runs the risk of moving sideways through it (which is not in the spirit of a trendline break).
Still, $74 appears to be a pivotal level over the near-term. And if prices print a minor bounce, we’d still consider shorts below $75 with a view for it to trade to $73. Take note that it is contract expiration today so we may see spills of undesirable volatility, but overall we want to see which way momentum takes this market next.
#Oil Update #OOTTDespite the fact that the price moved almost exactly as outlined in the prior report, the short term subdivisions are difficult to read at this stage. There is no cause to close long positions at this point. I'll just have to be patient.
Gasoil appears to offer a more clear picture.
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to Fibo LvlDear colleagues, the price is currently in a descending channel. I anticipate that the price will break above the upper boundary of the channel and reach the resistance area and the 0.618 Fibonacci level - 76.72.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/12/23For Wednesday, 72.83 can contain selling through the balance of the week, above which the 77.48 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested - possibly through the balance of July.
A daily settlement above 77.48 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.
Downside Wednesday, closing below 72.83 signals 69.15 within several days, possibly yielding another test next week of 67.08, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.48 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/11/23For Tuesday, 72.83 can contain selling into later week, above which the 77.41 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested, possibly through the balance of July.
A daily settlement above 77.41 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.
Downside Tuesday, closing below 72.83 signals 69.25 within several days, possibly allowing another test of 67.08 by the end of next week, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.41 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
WTI CRUDE OIL: First time since April on the 1D MA100WTI Crude Oil reached the 1D MA100 for the first time since April 28th. The 1D technicals turned green (RSI = 59.140, MACD = 0.550, ADX = 29.727) and if the 1D candle closes over the 1D MA100, then an emerging Channel Up will lead it to the 1D MA200 and consequently we will target a HH (TP = 76.50).
We will take the loss if the price crosses under the Channel Up and the 4H MA50, where we will go short and target the S1 (TP = 66.80) on the long term.
Prior idea:
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WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/10/23A two-sided framework continues through summer between 62.14 long-term support, and 81.97 long-term resistance, both regions able to contain seasonal activity.
Downside, a weekly settlement below 62.14 indicates 53.87 within several months, longer term Fibonacci support able to contain selling into later year.
Upside, a weekly settlement above 81.97 indicates 94.67 within several months, able to contain annual highs.
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For Monday, 72.82 can contain selling into later week, above which the 77.34 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested, possibly through the balance of July.
A daily settlement above 77.34 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out through the balance of the year and a significant upside continuation point into later year.
Downside Monday, closing below 72.82 signals 69.35 within several days, possibly another test of 67.08 by the end of next week, able to contain selling through next week and above which 77.34 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
USDCAD-07/03/2023Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Despite the fact on Friday the downward impulse after breaking out the lower border of the balance did not take place, the priority of sell remains. However, the action plan has been slightly changed. The most potential sell should be considered at the upper border of the current balance, most likely in the format of a false breakout. An alternative scenario, also sell, can be considered at the lower border of the same balance, that is, in the format of a breakdown of the level of 1.32399. The target is still the same at the level of 1.31385.
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