Oil(wti)
WTIThis chart is focused on short-term ICT analysis, showing liquidity zones, displacement, and market structure shifts.
1. Smart Money Liquidity Grab at 63.59-64.61
This is an Expected Liquidity Pool.
ICT concepts suggest that institutions often engineer liquidity grabs at key support levels before reversing.
The area around 64.61 is a sell-side liquidity sweep, designed to trap retail shorts before Smart Money initiates a bullish move.
2. Market Structure Shift (MSS) at 68.53
A break above 68.53 is a bullish shift, signaling a change in trend.
Displacement with a fair value gap (FVG) around 68.53 confirms momentum.
If price reclaims 68.53, expect Smart Money to target buy-side liquidity at 79.32 and later 91.21.
3. Buying Zone & Smart Money Accumulation (75-77 Range)
Once price reaches 79.32, expect a retracement into the 75-77 range, allowing Smart Money to re-accumulate.
A break above 91.21 unlocks the potential for higher moves, aligning with the higher time frame Elliott Wave 5 targets.
Treasury Secretary Bessent: Make Iran broke again Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, speaking at the Economic Club of New York, said the U.S. is enforcing sanctions on Iran for “immediate maximum impact,” warning that Iranians should move their money out of the rial.
The goal is to cut Iran’s oil exports from 1.5 million barrels per day to near zero.
His comments came as oil prices fell to multiyear lows on Wednesday, driven by concerns that tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China could slow economic growth and weaken crude demand.
Following Bessent’s remarks, both U.S. crude and Brent prices turned positive, with JP Morgan analysts noting that a decline in Iranian supply is currently the only bullish factor for oil prices.
Bessent also signaled that the administration is prepared to impose full-scale sanctions on Russian energy if it helps lead to a ceasefire in Ukraine. This is a welcome shift from the Trump administration, who so far has only been pressuring the victim of the war rather than the perpetrator.
USOIL WTI The price was in a downward trend, moving within a descending channel. A breakout from this channel indicates potential trend reversal or correction.
Consolidation Zone Identified:
The price is currently in a consolidation phase (marked in orange).
A breakout above this zone could confirm bullish momentum, while rejection could push it lower.
Key Resistance Levels for Upside Targets:
If the price breaks above the consolidation zone, it could rally toward 71.246 and 72.103 as potential resistance levels.
Green arrows indicate bullish breakout targets.
Key Support Levels for Bearish Move:
If the price fails to break above the consolidation zone, A further breakdown below this support level could push the price toward 68.400 and 66.888, the next major support.
Conclusion:
The next major move will depend on how price reacts to the consolidation zone. A breakout above could lead to bullish targets, while failure could send prices lower toward the next major support. Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. 🚀📉
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 67,037 (Wave C).The price is still in a downtrend and I believe that before the price starts an upward movement it needs to complete a big “ABC” correction and a small five-wave formation.
I think the price will reach the level of 67,037. This level is quite important, because in its area we need to look carefully for reversal patterns.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USOIL Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL made a rebound
From the long-term rising
Support but has now reached
A horizontal resistance level
Of 70.80$ from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Oil - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Bearish trend pattern
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening
Until the strong resistance zone holds I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Approaching the 2year Buy Zone.WTI Crude Oil turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.899, MACD = -0.720, ADX = 32.215) failing to cross above the 1D MA50 last Thursday and eventually getting rejected to today's low. This low just hit the HL trendline of September and is about to enter the S1 Zone that has been holding since March 2023. Every breach inside this Zone has been the best long term buy opportunity on WTI. Until the Zone breaks, we will treat it as the best buy entry, aiming at the LH Zone (TP = 77.00).
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Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 68.926 (Wave C).Colleagues, price has worked the downward movement perfectly, but I believe the downward movement is not over yet.
Wave “C” is a five-wave wave and now the price is in the correction of wave “4”.
I expect the price to reach the downtrend line in the area of 72.00 level, then I expect the price to decline to the area of 68.926.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI OIL Weak price action on the medium-term.WTI Oil (USOIL) is extending the Bearish Leg of the Triangle pattern after the recent January 13 rejection on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). Until the 1W RSI turns bearish again, and more importantly the Support Zone gets hit, we expect this bearish trend to be extended.
The strongest Demand Level for the past 2 years has been this Support Zone, so our medium-term Target is on its top at $68.00.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Aiming at 82.00 long term.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.507, MACD = -0.150, ADX = 34.872) as only today it crossed above the 1D MA50, following a correction since Jan 15th. The prevailing pattern is a Channel Up and we are very close to its bottom. The two bullish waves it had already, peaked after at least a +20% rise. As the 1D RSI is already on the S1 Zone, we anticipate a new bullish wave to start gradually and aim at the top of the Channel Up (TP = 82.00).
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OIL Short - Tariffs Might Pump The USDUSD goes up. Oil goes down. Oil is heavily longed, I expect a major flush down.
Possible Crude Down to $30/BarrelSince the covid oil bull market we've yet to have a breakdown as supply catches back up with equilibrium. I would expect at some point we get a price back down to $30. First major support would potentially be $52.
USOIL - Bearish Head and Shoulders Hello Traders !
The USOIL failed to break the resistance level (80.148 - 79.652).
The price formed a head and shoulders pattern.
Currently, The neckline is broken !
So, I expect a bearish move📉
________________
TARGET: 74.450🎯
Hellena | Oil (4H): LONG to area of 82.000 (Wave "5"). Colleagues, all trading instruments are behaving extremely unpredictably right now due to the situation with Trump's inauguration among other things.
I see this as an opportunity to redraw the waves.
Apparently now the price is developing wave “4” and will finish it soon. I expect the price to reach the area of 82.000, renewing the high of wave “3”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI OIL expecting a +10% rise.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Up, supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the December 27 break-out. The price has already made contact with the bottom of the pattern (Higher Lows trend-line) so it is already a buy opportunity.
The ultimate buy signal technically, however, has been the 4H RSI Higher Lows since the December 06 Low, so it is possible to see one more small pull-back before the trend reverses.
Since the previous two Bullish Legs have increased by at least +10% since their 4H RSI Lows, we are targeting $84.40, which is the Resistance 1 level, exactly on the +10% mark.
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USOIL - NEW BREAKOUTHello Traders !
On the daily time frame, The USOIL broke the resistance level (79.57 - 80.13).
This key level becomes a new support level !
So, I expect a bullish move🚀
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TARGET: 81.55🎯
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?! (UPDATE):Oil prices have now broken above the trendline that started forming back in September 2023! We've seen a strong bullish rejection from our green support zone + trendline breakout.
Currently up 850 PIPS (12% ROI) in profit from our support zone. Keep an eye out because rising Oil prices will create havoc in the markets!
WTIUSD_1H_SellWest Texas Oil Analysis Intermediate time Elliott wave analysis style The market is completing five ascending waves and as long as it can maintain the resistance of 74.74, it can enter the next descending wave. Support and targets will be 73.73, 73.50, 73.20, 72.82, and 72.32 respectively.
Waiting for Clarity: Insights on Oil and the 70 Put OptionsLet’s talk about WTI oil for a moment.
In the upcoming monthly expiration series set for January 15, there’s some interesting action happening with the 70 put options. Traders aren’t just dumping these puts; they’re actively reselling them, and there are definitely buyers stepping in. What’s even more intriguing is that the same 70 puts are being picked up in the next options series as well.
Now, if you look at the charts, it seems like prices have finally broken out of that range they’ve been stuck in for a while and are gearing up to move higher.
With this kind of sentiment in play, I’m going to hold off on making any buys for now and wait for some clearer signals before jumping in.
Oil Bulls Go for the Break into Yearly OpenOil prices are threatening a major breakout here after clearing resistance yesterday at the objective 2024 yearly open near 72.14 .
The focus is on todays close with respect to the 61.8% retracement at 73.90 . A daily close above would keep the focus on a possible rally towrads the 78.6% retracement at 75.89 and the October high-close at 77.25 - note the highlighted slope confluence (look for a larger reaction there IF reached).
Initial support back at 72.14 with bullish invalidation now raised to 71.02 .
MB
Brent - good start of oil in the new year!Brent oil is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour time frame and is moving in its upward channel. On the ceiling of the ascending channel, we will look for oil selling positions. In case of a valid break of the $75 range, we can see the continuation of the downward trend. On the other hand, within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward.
Over the past three months, the Brent crude oil market has emerged as the largest commodity market in the world, with a daily trading volume of $75.2 billion. The credit rating agency Fitch has stated that geopolitical tensions may increase volatility in the global oil and gas sector. The agency expects global oil demand in 2025 to grow at a similar pace to 2024, although this growth is likely to be slower than in 2022 and 2023.
President Joe Biden is reportedly planning to impose a 20-year ban on leasing public lands for oil and gas exploration in Nevada. According to Fox News, this move is being considered in the final weeks of Biden’s presidency, just ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration. This prohibition would prevent companies from leasing federal lands in the region for oil and gas exploration or extraction activities.
As reported by Axios, Biden has been reviewing potential options for a military strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities. This action would only be considered if Iran takes significant steps toward building nuclear weapons before January 20. Reports indicate that Iran has enriched uranium to 60%, which is close to the 90% threshold required for weapons-grade material. Additionally, advancements in Iran’s centrifuge technology suggest the country could achieve this level within a matter of days.
However, reports also caution that developing a nuclear warhead would still require at least one year. These assessments come as Biden approaches the end of his term and Donald Trump prepares to assume the presidency.
Trump’s approach to Iran and its nuclear program is a topic of great interest, given his record during his first term. Previously, Trump adopted a “maximum pressure” strategy against Iran and withdrew from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). The question now arises whether he will pursue a similar course of action or take a different approach in his new administration.
Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area at 66.867.Colleagues, oil has been in a sideways movement for the last month and is not living up to our expectations, but I still believe that the price will start a downward movement to the support area at 66.867.
Now the price is in a complicated wave movement, which I named (A, B, C). In fact, the movement is more complicated, but I will not describe the rules of the Leading diagonal now.
So I expect that the price will reach the area of 72, complete wave 2 and start a downward movement.
But there is a variant when the price will start the movement at once.
Therefore, I do not recommend long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
