Recovery in Trump health supporting Crude pricesLast week, WTI Crude prices ended lower by 8 percent as worries over second wave of the covid-19 virus clouded the demand prospects for
Crude. Resurgence of the covid-19 virus is a major setback for the already shackled Oil market. Alarming increase in Covid-19 cases raised worries
over reinforcement of lockdown in major economies which undermined the outlook for Crude. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) is also reluctant to increase Oil production from January 2021 in an attempt to counter the weak demand. Moreover, rising exports from Libya and Iran despite the production cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting (OPEC) also weighed on the prices.
However, hopes of further stimulus infusion by the U.S. as the democrats and the white house officials work on striking a deal limited the fall in Crude prices.
Recovery in President Donald Trump’s health after being tested positive might support Oil prices; however, bleak economic outlook reflecting the
resurgence of covid-19 virus undermined the outlook for Crude.
Suggestion: BUY CRUDE FROM 37.65-60 SL BELOW 36.20 TGT 39/39.40 ELSE SELL BELOW 36 SL ABV 37.70 TGT 34.50/34
Oil(wti)
OIL (VIDEO IDEA UPDATED) - AMAZING RESULT Last night video idea ended up being a HUGE success.
Oil did drop up to 6% at some point and closed the day at a 4% minus!
Take a look at yesterday's video and notice how the price of Oil did drop indeed and how it rebounded and stopped at our previous support which now became a resistance.
Technical analysis for a seminar!
USOIL WTI crude oil path and directionHello everyone
In crude oil we have a uptrend channel since may 2020
so far the channel is intact and respected but soon we are about to make a critical decision
Watch the price action on lower time frame on the key level of the charts for direction
good luck and trade with care
any question feel free to ask me :)
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Daily Time Frame Analysis
hey guys,
I know that many of you are struggling with making long-term predictions on wti.
being fundamental trader or technician, the future right now is unknown.
the only thing that we must admit for now is that the market is currently consolidating.
we broke below the uptrend parabolic channel and now we are trading within a wide horizontal daily range.
in my view, a breakout of that range will show the future direction of the market.
I remain bearish biased and stick to a bearish scenario.
second corona wave at least in europe looks unavoidable.
but we will see!
share in the comment section what you think will happen!
RidetheMacro| USDRUB Macro Outlook Commentary📌 macro financial level, COVID continues to be having a misplaced lasting effect among nations with locations like France and different European nations being hit once more with a 2nd wave. These unsure black swan activities make it very tough to give you alternate thoughts due to the fact any 2nd the important authority or authorities can intrude with the loose markets.
📍 Now, the IMF have made a forecast recent months that America will keep growing favorably in evaluation the Russia. However, those predictions are very unstable within side the present day weather because of COVID. It’s essential to hold a watch in this forecast as they may alternate if new records comes out signaling contrary convictions. E.g. if COVID receives worse within side the United States it’s not going they’ll develop quicker than Russia, particularly thinking about there’s a few hypothesis that
📍 Russia Exxon Mobil is a massive oil company in United States and there’s a inverse relationship between oil and the USD. Generally commodities will have an inverse relationship to the USD so there’s no surprise here that there’s an inverse relationship between Exxon and USDRUB. When Exxon goes down USD seems to rise. CURRENTLY Exxon (With Orange line) so there’s room to move up which could see USDRUB (with purple color line) fall in value, especially if the Untied States continue to open up its economy which will get people buying petrol, exporting more oil and factories using oil has advanced an early vaccine for COVID which can assist improve the economy and better economy Ahead.
✅ Exxon Vs USDRUB Chart Below 📊
📍 2nd we also want to see how the crude version impacts USDRUB. Since the 2000 we have VERY interesting statistics. That being there’s a 91% negative correlation between oil and USDRUB. Again, we’re data driven and reinforce that saying that oil has an inverse relationship with USD value.
✅ WTI Vs USDRUB Chart Below 📊
📍 3rd The final factor is the S&P500 priced in RUB to how wealthy America is compared to Russia. Because majority of peoples pensions are held within their country of residence stock index. Right Now S&P 500 dropping well day by day. so investors is long USD to protect against deflation in the S&P500 assets.
✅S&P 500 VS USDRUB Chart Below 📊
Like, subscribe and leave your comments below! 🤝
Until next time,
Ride the macro
Trade Idea and Full Explanation on USOILWe will analyze the short trade we are planning to take on USOIL. Please read the entire post if you want to have the full idea of what we are doing here.
REVERSAL SITUATION: The price has reached a significant Resistance zone and broke the bullish compression
CORRECTIVE STRUCTURE: Now, after the bearish movement from the resistance zone, we can see a corrective structure. This type of structure is formed by an ABC pattern and moves sideways. Check the yellow arrows, all of them are examples of previous bearish corrective structures, and we will see the resolutions of them to use them as a model to trade the current one.
TARGET and STOP: Our Target is the next support/resistance zone. There we will close our positions. Our stop is above the corrective structure. There we will assume that our view was incorrect.
ENTRY: We will wait for the same behavior as all the previous corrections. Check the images
Based on that, we will wait for 1H candlestick to reach the lower trendline of the corrective structure and corrects it there. After that, we will set our entry-level below that correction.
RISK AND RATIO: The risk Reward Ratio we are aiming at this trade is 2, meaning that we are willing to win twice of what we are willing to risk. We will take a 1% risk on this trade
As a final idea, it is essential to understand that profitability on trading comes from creating a statistical advantage over a certain amount of trades. To do that, you need the correct relation between your Hit Rate (how many times you are right) and your Average Risk Reward Ratio.
CANCELATION: When we develop an entry, we must be ready for a cancelation of the setup. Meaning that the price didn't move as expected, and the price didn't trigger our entry. There we will be ready to cancel our setup and start from 0 with a new analysis
WTI OIL SET FOR DUMP TO 35$After being short on this asset class for the whole week, due to a bearish stance on global demand, over supply, a tremendous rally presenting over bought conditions & doubtfulness in global trade agreements, after witnessing a clean break of the ascending trend line last week I increased my position sizing, with the negative crude inventory data released yesterday and a manipulative push upwards I added an additional short at 1H resistance zone (41$). I will be scaling in further positions towards my targets providing we break the highlighted support zones.
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Bullish Reaction is Highly Probable! Here is Why
WTI reached strong daily structure support.
though I can not say that it is the major zone of demand,
the market is oversold after a massive selloff and pullback will be highly probable.
on hourly, the price formed a double bottom formation and successfully broke and closed above its minor resistance.
I will buy the market on retest aiming at 38.3 level
good luck
WTI US Oil clearly retracing back Since 6 March 2020 when the level been broken heavily NOW, its been under test !! which is opportunity for shorting for small journey.
So the plan:
* 20 Jun candle will be the point our point planning entry, any clear bearish candle with be my confirmation after retest back level 40-39 $
* SL will be 41.80
Two levels will be interested:
1- TP = 33
2- TP = 31
To break the above resistance it need naturally break the fear and push from below strongly to go beyond 40s and above for the long run. So we will set for longs at level of TP2 for our next trade :))
and it may go tell 30-27 $, but TP 1 & TP 2 is more than enough.
Lets see & Lets watch.
All the best
Bearish Idea on Crude Oil Consider this just an idea, IF the scenario happens, we will have an interesting setup to take, and if not, we don't do anything, and that's always good for your trading capital.
Main items we can see on the chart:
a) The price was inside a compression
b) Currently, we can see a bearish breakout of the previous structure
c) This doesn't mean that the price should start a new bearish trend. The price has been on a bullish movement since APRIL; we need confirmations first.
d) That's the reason we will wait for a clear pullback to the broken structure. IF that happens, we will trade towards the next support zone.