Hellena | Oil (4H): Short to support area 80.22.Colleagues, the price has redrawn the waves a bit, I was waiting for it and at the moment I assume that the price may update the wave "C", then I expect the price to decline to the support area of 80.22. This movement should update the minimum of the wave "B", then I will make a markdown and expect an upward movement, but for now I am considering only short positions.
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Oil(wti)
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area (maximum of wave C).Dear colleagues, I suppose that the upward movement is not over yet! The price is forming Multiple Zigzag. I expect the price to reach the support area at 79.00, having finished wave X, after which I expect the upward movement to continue at least to the resistance area - the maximum of wave C at 83.00.
I do not recommend entering short positions! We are looking for a good entry into a long position.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
a daily price action after hour update - oilGood evening and i hope you are well.
Let me start today with a beautiful quote, which is often repeated in some form or another and indefinitely more people do not grasp.
As we’ve discussed, every security is a claim on some set of cash flows that will be delivered to investors over time. Yet at any given moment, the only two things that determine the price of a stock are a) the highest price the most eager buyer is willing to pay, and b) the lowest price that the most eager seller is willing to accept. If enough buyers are eager and enough sellers are hesitant, the price will advance. If enough sellers are eager and enough buyers are hesitant, the price will decline. It doesn’t matter why.
www.hussmanfunds.com
I recommended the market comment from John P. Hussman on x yesterday but i want to make sure, more people read it because it’s that amazing and free. Props to him for doing it.
wti crude oil
bull case: Bulls doing a good enough job keeping this above 80 and they got a retest of 82 today. Market is not accepting anything above 82 for now, but if bulls keep at it, something will give. We probably range more between 80 - 82 until a clear breakout and i think i can go either way. Bar 10 + 11 was strong enough that we could get a second leg up. We formed a good looking two legged pullback on the 1h chart and we could move higher soon.
bear case: Bears scalping at best here, it’s probably more bulls taking profit. They would need to get a really good close below 80 with follow through, for lower prices. Right now odds of that are very small. Best they can probably get is a trading range 80 - 83.
short term: Neutral with slight bullish favor inside given range
medium-long term: Market needs to reach the big bear trend line around 84 and we need to see the reaction there. It’s a bull trend but on the weekly it’s a weak looking trend with many overlapping bars. Could easily reach 84 and trade back down to 75 again over some weeks.
That’s it for today, have a good night and talk to you tomorrow.
WTIUSD_2HHello 👋
📊West Texas Oil Analysis Analysis in the short and medium term is in the style of Elliot waves. Due to the formation of 5 rising waves, the market can enter correction, which will be formed in the form of ABC wave, which is currently expected to complete wave A, and any high can be a correction to continue falling. $82.0 range resistance Support and target $78.0 and $79.0
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?😳 (12H UPDATE)Oil position still active in the Gold Fund for our bigger investors. Oil moving smooth in our predicted bias! While it'll be a loss for majority of the public who suffer from higher Oil prices, we'll be profiting as we've managed to get in on the right side of the market📈
Buyers still holding strong. GET INTO LONG TERM OIL POSITIONS NOW!
CRUDE OIL TO HIT $160?😳 (2D UPDATE)Oil position still active in the Gold Fund for our bigger investors. Oil moving very smooth in our predicted direction! While it'll be a loss for majority of the public who suffer from higher Oil prices, we'll be profiting as we've managed to get in on the right side of the market📈
Buyers still holding strong. GET INTO LONG TERM OIL POSITIONS NOW!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to 100% Fibo 85.00.Dear Colleagues, price has reached the minimum acceptable target of 61.8% Fibonacci extension at 82.94 and now I assume that wave C will be equal to wave A. This is quite a risky forecast, so I recommend to take risks and enter with a risk of no more than 1-5% of your deposit.
My target is in the area of 100% Fibonacci extension at 85.00.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to 61.8% Fibo 82.94.Dear Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet. At the moment we are witnessing a combined correction and I expect wave B to end at 79.99, after which I expect the upward movement to continue in wave C to the 61.8% Fibonacci extension at 82.94.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Strifor || BRENT-14/03/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: After a very long accumulation in oil, most likely the buyer is ready for the long-awaited growth. According to the results of yesterday's trading, the price was fixed at the highs, which indicates the strength of the buyer against the backdrop of growing market sales.
In this regard, we maintain a strong buy priority towards levels 86 and 87 . Both scenarios are displayed on the chart, where scenario №1 is more likely.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Oil continues to ascend within the upward-sloping channelWest Texas Intermediate crude oil regained a bullish momentum and managed to establish a new high at $81.58, which marks the highest value in over four months. Additionally, RSI, MACD, and Stochastic all moved higher on the daily chart. These developments are positive for oil and bolster a bullish case in the short term and medium term. However, while it is possible that oil might reach $85 per barrel (or perhaps even $90, depending on the global economy, oil supply/demand dynamics, and the situation in the Middle East), we are skeptical about such high price tags as $100 per barrel in the coming months. In our opinion, the United States will continue to ramp up its production against OPEC, which is trying to balance the market by cutting its own production quotas. Furthermore, the declining industrial and manufacturing production in Europe and the United States is likely to continue holding a lid over rising oil prices. Consequently, at the moment, we see very limited upside for oil.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the ADX’s daily chart, which reflects the trend’s momentum. Yellow arrows indicate a temporary decline in momentum ahead of the OPEC’s monthly report and subsequent awakening after the report.
Illustration 1.02
The image above shows the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bullish
Weekly time frame = Bullish
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area 81.85. Dear Colleagues, price has strongly updated the low, completing wave 2. I suppose that the price can still make a small correction, but I put the target in the same place as last time - resistance area 81.85.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bullish trend is still relatively weakWest Texas Intermediate crude oil continues to trade within the upward-sloping channel. However, its bullish trend remains weak, as reflected in the relatively low (but growing) value of ADX (on the daily time frame). In the past two trading sessions, the daily RSI continued to flatten, Stochastic turned lower, and MACD performed a bearish crossover while staying above the midpoint. With these developments unfolding, we pay close attention to the 20-day SMA and resistance levels at $79.25 and $79.72. The price’s ability to retest these resistance levels and ideally maintain a ground above them will bolster a bullish case in the short term. In contrast, a breakdown below the 20-day SMA might hint at oil wanting to slide toward the channel's lower bound.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily graph of USOIL and two simple moving averages. The yellow arrow indicates the oil’s recent retracement toward its 20-day SMA, which acts as a support.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows the daily MACD. The yellow arrow highlights a bearish crossover between the MACD and signal lines. While this is slightly bearish, it is important to note that MACD remains in the bullish territory.
Illustration 1.03
The chart above illustrates simple support/resistance levels derived from past peaks and troughs; one more alternative resistance lies at $79.72.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bullish (weak)
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Hellena | Oil (4H): Long to resistance area of 80.00.Dear Colleagues, The price is trading in a small range and I suppose that the price will update the local high of 79.50 and reach the resistance area of 80.00.
But before this movement a correction to the area of 50-61.8% Fibonacci level 77.45 is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
DRQ: Falling Wedge with Bullish Divergence at a 0.886 RetraceDRQ shows notable Bullish Divergences on both the Monthly and Quarterly Timeframes at a 0.886 Fibonacci Retrace and is currently trading within a Falling Wedge.
If the Bullish Divergence and Falling Wedge play out, I would expect to see DRQ make its way up to around $60 as a first target and around $94 as a full profit target.
CRUDE OIL Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL has formed a
Bearish wedge pattern
And is now trying to
Make a bearish breakout
So we are bearish baised
And IF the breakout is confirmed
Then we can go short
Sell!
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