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Oil(wti)

$74 could be pivotal for WTI over the near termCommodities were broadly lower yesterday with the CRB index falling to a 4-day low. Geopolitical tensions are rising following Russia’s decision to back out of a key grain deal which allowed Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea. Weak data from China and news that Libya will restart oil production also saw WTI fall for a second day. What has caught our eye is that WTI played very nicely with its round numbers yesterday, printing the high of the day at $76, a lower high at $75 and lows around $74. It is also considering the break of a trendline, although unless volatility picks up it runs the risk of moving sideways through it (which is not in the spirit of a trendline break). Still, $74 appears to be a pivotal level over the near-term. And if prices print a minor bounce, we’d still consider shorts below $75 with a view for it to trade to $73. Take note that it is contract expiration today so we may see spills of undesirable volatility, but overall we want to see which way momentum takes this market next.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by CityIndex
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/12/23For Wednesday, 72.83 can contain selling through the balance of the week, above which the 77.48 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested - possibly through the balance of July.   A daily settlement above 77.48 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.   Downside Wednesday, closing below 72.83 signals 69.15 within several days, possibly yielding another test next week of 67.08, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.48 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/11/23For Tuesday, 72.83 can contain selling into later week, above which the 77.41 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested, possibly through the balance of July.   A daily settlement above 77.41 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out into later year and a significant upside continuation point over the same time horizon.   Downside Tuesday, closing below 72.83 signals 69.25 within several days, possibly allowing another test of 67.08 by the end of next week, able to contain selling on a weekly basis and above which 77.41 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI CRUDE OIL: First time since April on the 1D MA100WTI Crude Oil reached the 1D MA100 for the first time since April 28th. The 1D technicals turned green (RSI = 59.140, MACD = 0.550, ADX = 29.727) and if the 1D candle closes over the 1D MA100, then an emerging Channel Up will lead it to the 1D MA200 and consequently we will target a HH (TP = 76.50). We will take the loss if the price crosses under the Channel Up and the 4H MA50, where we will go short and target the S1 (TP = 66.80) on the long term. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOIL
by InvestingScope
2
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 7/10/23A two-sided framework continues through summer between 62.14 long-term support, and 81.97 long-term resistance, both regions able to contain seasonal activity.   Downside, a weekly settlement below 62.14 indicates 53.87 within several months, longer term Fibonacci support able to contain selling into later year.   Upside, a weekly settlement above 81.97 indicates 94.67 within several months, able to contain annual highs. - For Monday, 72.82 can contain selling into later week, above which the 77.34 formation is likely by the end of next week or sooner, able to contain weekly buying pressures when tested, possibly through the balance of July.   A daily settlement above 77.34 indicates the more significant 81.97 long-term resistance level within 1 - 2 more weeks, where the broader market can top out through the balance of the year and a significant upside continuation point into later year.   Downside Monday, closing below 72.82 signals 69.35 within several days, possibly another test of 67.08 by the end of next week, able to contain selling through next week and above which 77.34 is attainable over the next 3 - 5 weeks.
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
USDCAD-07/03/2023Preferred direction: SELL Comment: Despite the fact on Friday the downward impulse after breaking out the lower border of the balance did not take place, the priority of sell remains. However, the action plan has been slightly changed. The most potential sell should be considered at the upper border of the current balance, most likely in the format of a false breakout. An alternative scenario, also sell, can be considered at the lower border of the same balance, that is, in the format of a breakdown of the level of 1.32399. The target is still the same at the level of 1.31385. Thank you for like and share your views!
Short
by Viktor_strifor_analyst
3
WTI rallies form range lows - break of $70 up next?WTI crude posted a strong rally from the $67 support level thanks to another strong drawdown of crude inventories. The fact it rallied over 3% despite the stronger US dollar and hawkish comments from Powell makes us wonder if it could have broken above $70 were the dollar not to dominate FX majors on Wednesday. Still, prices are trading within a range between $67 - $72/73, and whilst prices action remains choppy o the daily chart there are some opportunities to trade the range on lower timeframes. A triple bottom has formed on the daily along with a 2bar bullish reversal (bullish piercing line). String volumes accompanied the rally from the $67.50 area to show demand around those lows and the OBV (on balance volume) broke above its previous swig high, which hints at a breakout for prices. Prices are drifting higher at the open, but we’d consider bullish setups above or around the daily pivot point or 10/20 EMAs if prices pullback for a potential swing-trade long to $70.A break above which brings the resistance zones around $71 and $72 into focus.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CityIndex
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 6/29/23For Thursday, the 67.08 level can contain weekly selling pressures, above which 72.77 is attainable by the end of next week, possibly yielding 77.17 by the end of July. Upside Thursday, 69.95 can contain session strength, while closing above 69.95 signals 72.77 within 2-3 days, where the market can top out into later next week and the point to settle above for yielding the more meaningful 77.17 within 3-5 more days. Downside Thursday, closing below 67.08 indicates 64.10 within 3-5 days, 62.14 longer-term support within 2-3 weeks, where the broader market can bottom out through summer activity
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
WTI Light Sweet Crude Oil, 6/27/23For Tuesday, the 67.08 level can contain weekly selling pressures, above which 72.92 is attainable within the week, possibly yielding 77.00 within 2-3 weeks. Upside Tuesday, 70.67 can contain session strength, while closing above 70.67 signals 72.92 within 2-3 days, where the market can top out through the balance of the week and the point to settle above for yielding the more meaningful 77.00 within 3-5 more days. Downside Tuesday, closing below 67.08 indicates 64.67 within the week, 62.14 longer-term support within 1-2 weeks, where the broader market can bottom out through summer activity
NYMEX:CL1!
by SpecialeAnalysis
OIL - Potential up move before a bigger dropFundamental Analysis WTI remains stable as global interest rates are decided, showing signs of a potential increase for the week. The People's Bank of China's decision to lower rates aims to boost economic growth and improve the outlook for oil. Currently, WTI is trading at $71.25, a slight increase from before. Despite elevated prices worldwide and a slowing economy, major central banks, such as the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed), have chosen to keep rates unchanged. The ECB raised rates to a 22-year high, while the Fed decided to skip its June meeting but revised its peak rates upward, surpassing the 5.50% threshold. Although this initially strengthened the US dollar, WTI prices were affected by Jerome Powell's neutral comments, causing the gains to diminish. In contrast to the ECB and the Fed, the People's Bank of China reduced rates due to the slower-than-expected recovery of the Chinese economy. Recent data suggests a loss of momentum, which impacted the rise in oil prices, especially after Saudi Arabia announced a cut in its crude oil output starting in July. Growing demand in China has supported oil prices, with refinery output reaching its second-highest level on record. The CEO of Kuwait Petroleum Corp estimates that Chinese oil demand will continue to increase in the second half of the year. It's important to note that the voluntary cuts in crude oil production by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) will limit supply in the near future. Additionally, the US dollar has weakened following the Fed's decision to keep rates unchanged, which also contributes to favourable conditions for WTI prices. Technical Analysis From a technical perspective, WTI is currently moving horizontally on the charts, staying within the range of approximately $63.50 to $68.00 throughout the year. Our long term view is bearish, but right now we would expect a move up to $76 Price range before we could see another bigger drop which would most likely break the $63 price level.
TVC:USOILLong
by financialflagship
1
#Gasoil Update Gasoil Elliott Wave story is less controversial than Crude Oil story . The price rests on Moving Averages support and Gasoil crack appears to be on an upward trend too. This suggests that refinery margins are likely to improve. In practice, this means that Gasoil prices are likely to grow faster than Oil prices, perhaps due to unsatisfied demand for diesel fuel. What I also dislike a bit here is that wave (ii) seems a bit too complicated, being a combination of flat w, simple zigzag x and another simple zigzag y. I was taught that although possible such combinations are rare and shall be used only labeling in retrospective when no other alternatives fit. Now it is part of the ongoing trade and if I am proven wrong I will have to stricten my rules about this combination.
VANTAGE:GASOIL
by Fomenka
WTI CRUDE OIL: Solid buy opportunity, targeting the 1D MA100.WTI Crude Oil has a sudden sell-of on the current 4H candle that touched the 69.00 price level and was quickly bought back. The 4H timeframe remained neutral despite this (RSI = 48.787, MACD = 0.110, ADX = 18.840), providing the ideal buy opportunity for the final leg upwards and test of the 1D MA100. As you can see, the 4H RSI is fairly similar to the the first 2 weeks of may where the Channel Down started the bullish leg to the HH trendline. We are bullish already with TP = 74.50. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
4
WTI OIL Sell on the MA100 (1d).WTI Crude Oil reversed upwards today as the RSI (1d) managed to stay over its MA. With the exception of April 3rd, every contact with the MA100 (1d) has been a sell signal since it first broke downwards on July 5th 2022. The long term trend remains bearish inside a Channel Down, so we will keep selling until it breaks. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on either the MA50 or MA100 (1d). Targets: 1. 67.15 (Support 1). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is at a level symmetric to January 13th when again it was approaching the MA100 (1d) for rejection. That created a Neutral Zone inside the 0.5 and 0.1 Fibonacci levels that lasted for 3 months. We see similar lavels now. Use that to your advantage for buying low and selling high in the next weeks for as long as it lasts. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingBrokersView
18