Oil prices may fall more than expected.I think Brent crude oil prices will continue to fall.
In the coming years, renewable energy could steadily reduce demand for Brent crude oil.
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
Oil
WTI creates a price gap, room for price declineTVC:USOIL dropped sharply in the Asian trading session today, October 28, at press time WTI crude oil maintained a decrease of 3dollars on the day, equivalent to 4.18% and is currently trading at 68.6USD/barrel.
The current risk aversion in the geopolitical situation has subsided. Israel's weekend retaliatory strike against Iran bypassed Tehran's oil and nuclear infrastructure without disrupting energy supplies, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and further weakening pressure on the supply side, at the same time causing disadvantages for rising oil prices.
With the US election approaching and demand expected to show no signs of recovery, some fundamental pressures have returned, causing the energy market to fall into a negative state again.
Technically, on the daily chart of TVC:USOIL It created a GAP jump right at the opening of trading earlier this week and recovered slightly from the upper edge of the price channel.
Although WTI crude oil recovered, it still has not reached the closest support level with the target of around 67.14 - 66.44USD, so WTI crude oil still has the ability to fall further before "filling the GAP".
Usually, price gaps are filled, but this is sometimes not immediate, it can happen over the next one or more months, the important thing in trading is that it depends on the trend.
WTI crude oil has been under pressure from the EMA21 moving average. Note to readers in the previous issue of WTI crude oil, along with that, the Relative Strength Index broke down from the 50 level, showing that The downside potential is very wide and the slope of the RSI also shows a huge downward momentum.
Technically, WTI crude oil has enough pressure to decrease in price with main resistance at EMA21 and the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level. Along with the downtrend, notable technical levels of WTI crude oil will be listed as follows.
Support: 67.14 – 66.44USD
Resistance: 68.59 – 69.73 – 70.56USD
#202443 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
wti crude oil: Dead zone 70 - 72. Best not to trade it and wait for the breakout. I have no opinion on who wins it. For me to believe the bullish breakout to be good, I need to see follow through selling above 73, otherwise it could still be just a retest of the previous support.
Quote from last week:
comment: Bulls started ok on Monday and the close was neutral but Tuesday really killed every last bull who bought above 71 and hoped for a second leg up above 75. Market has now left a giant bearish island reversal between 71 and 72.5 and that is as bearish as it gets. Bulls last hope now is to hold above the bull trend line at 68.
comment: Bulls actually managed to hold it above 68 and the trend line but failed to close the bear gap completely. This leaves us in nowhere land between 70-72 and a proper triangle. Play that until it’s clearly broken. No more deeper analysis needed.
current market cycle: trading range (triangle on the weekly tf)
key levels: 63 - 78
bull case: Bulls need a daily close above 72.7 for a chance of retesting north of 75. Below 68 things get really spicy.
Invalidation is below 68.
bear case: Bears need a daily close below the bull trend lines (also head & shoulders neckline) for lower prices. First would be below 69 and second is below 68. If they manage that, market is free to test down to 66 and then 64. If the neckline breaks, measured move would be 59ish but that is very far fetched.
Invalidation is above 72.7.
outlook last week:
short term : Neutral 68-70 but leaning bearish near 71. Not the best spot to trade currently.
→ Last Sunday we traded 68.69 and now we are at 71.78. Decent outlook.
short term: Neutral 68-70 but leaning bearish near 71. Not the best spot to trade currently.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-20 : No idea where this wants to go in the remaining 2 months of this year so I am neutral until we have a better pattern. The big triangle on the weekly chart is alive and until that changes, no more updates.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Adjusted bear gap
USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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USOIL: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
Balance of buyers and sellers on the USOIL pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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WEEKLY FORECAST OCT 26th: SELL US & UK CRUDE OIL In this video, we will analyze the CRUDE OIL markets in the US and UK, looking through the lens of ICT Concepts.
Price has traded up into a bearish FVG, so therefore I am BEARISH. Price can turn neutral in this geopolitical environment, but maybe the inside bar will act as a harbinger of bearish things to come.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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USOIL Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 71.62.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 73.20 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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WTI CRUDE OIL Every pull back inside this Channel Up is a buy.WTI Crude Oil / USOIL is trading inside a 1hour Channel Up.
Having crossed above the 1hour MA50, it is now expected to support this new bullish wave.
The 1hour MACD is already on a Bullish Cross, confirming the bullish wave.
Buy and target 73.50 (+5.73% rise).
Previous chart:
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Mag 7 Earnings - Something will Break (Ceiling or Floor?)797 stocks reporting earnings next week
Notables include
GOOGL
LLY
CAT
META
MSFT
COIN
AMZN
AAPL
XOM
CVX
MA
V
$15 trillion in market cap at play as the US markets are still very close to all-time highs with a melty-uppy vibe. I'm cautiously bullish and could certainly see the highs get blown off with strong earnings momentum dominating the sentiment. I could also see Mag 7 disappoint investors with "not enough growth" and any pullbacks on Mag 7 will certain drag on the entire market.
Survive next week, then it's onto the US Election, FED, Non-Farm Payroll. No big deal, it's just trading :)
Thanks for watching!!!
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish bounceWTI oil (USOIL) ) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 69.33 which is a swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 68.46 which is a level that aligns under a pullback support and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 71.93 which is a swing-high resistance.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bearish Trend Continues
WTI Crude Oil may continue falling after a test of a key daily resistance.
A breakout of a support line of a bearish flag gives us a strong bearish confirmation.
With a high probability, the price will drop to 68.9 level.
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WTI turns sharply lowerCrude oil prices were over 3% higher this week, but as i mentioned in my previous post, the risks remained tilted towards the downside following a 9% drop the previous week. Lo and behold, WTI has now turned sharply lower after testing broken support between $71.50 to $72.50 area in the last couple of days. At the time of writing, it was back to the $70.00 level, which, if breached decisively, could pave the way for more losses in the days ahead.
Middle East tensions have slightly stabilized as Israel has so far refrained from attacking Iran and has said it will not target its nuclear facilities. However, the situation remains volatile due to Israel’s ongoing operations in Lebanon, which has reignited concerns about disrupted oil supply.
Meanwhile, the oil market is also cautious about a possible Trump victory in the US election, as his policy of boosting oil production could lead to oversupply and further price declines.
by Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 71.32.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 75.37 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USOIL SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USOIL pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 67.89 level.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Keeps respecting the long term Support Zone.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.339, MACD = -0.320, ADX = 27.988) as it is recovering from last week's red candle that almost touched the S1 Zone. As long this holds, WTI will be bullish on the medium term at least, as on the long term the formation of the 1W Death Cross is bearish. The presence of the LH trendline doesn't allow much room for higher targets and since the previous rebound on the S1 Zone (December 11th 2023) came close to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, our target is in the vicinity of those (TP = 78.00).
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WTI "US CRUDE OIL" Market Heist Plan on Bearish SideOla! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
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