USOIL: Bears Are Winning! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 63.133 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 62.366..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
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Oil
Chevron: The Chart’s Reaching a Critical PointChevron is starting to look very interesting again — but let’s be clear from the start: Chevron, like every oil giant, lives and dies by the price of oil. If oil rips higher or collapses due to global politics, supply shocks, or economic chaos, Chevron NYSE:CVX follows. No exceptions.
That said, what we’re seeing on the chart right now is increasingly pointing toward a deeper correction — specifically down to the $113–$100 zone. That would make sense structurally as a Wave 4 retracement.
But there’s a technical nuance here. Wave 1’s high sits at $103 — and depending on how strict your Elliott Wave rules are, Wave 4 dipping into Wave 1 is bad territory. Personally, I’m okay with a brief touch into that range, but I don’t want to see price hanging around below $103 for long.
From a trend perspective, we’re clearly in a downward channel. We just saw a textbook bull trap:
Chevron broke out with a solid +7% move over two weeks,
Followed immediately by a massive 22% drop,
One of the sharpest two-week declines since — yeah — March 2020, pandemic levels.
Now, price is hovering around $130, and the setup is simple:
If this level holds, great — maybe we’re bottoming.
If it breaks, I’m looking to buy between $113 and $100. That’s where the structure aligns, the volume kicks in, and risk/reward starts to make sense again.
So here’s the real question:
Do we see $200 first — or $100?
I’m leaning $100 first.
Not because I’m bearish long-term— but because that level would clean up the chart, shake out the noise, and give us a real shot at riding the next strong leg higher with conviction.
Would love to hear what you think — where’s your bet?
April 25, 2025 - Trump’s Tango, Tech, and Insider DramaHello everyone, it’s April 25, 2025. We’re closing in on Trump’s 100-day mark back in the White House, and if there’s one word to sum up his impact on markets: chaos. With 137 executive orders signed already, he’s turned global markets into a high-stakes rollercoaster though this week saw signs of recovery, confidence remains fragile, and volatility is still running the show.
The main trigger? You guessed it: Trump and his tariff diplomacy. After weeks of U-turns, threats, and NYSE:TWTR meltdowns, he’s finally announced that talks with China have begun. That was enough to send the AMEX:SPY up 2%, pull the CME_MINI:NQ1! out of correction territory (+2.74%), and ignite a 5.63% jump in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, even though it’s still miles below its all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting at $3,332, BLACKBULL:WTI hovers around $63.21, and INDEX:BTCUSD has skyrocketed to $93,200. Not bad for a week that started in total disarray.
Now here’s where things get fishy: US indices started climbing before Trump’s announcement—classic “somebody knew something.” Insider trading? Just your average Thursday. And while Trump claims talks are underway, the Chinese side played coy, denying any ongoing negotiations. Either someone’s lying, or the talks are happening over dim sum in DC.
Beyond geopolitics, NASDAQ:GOOG crushed earnings expectations and added a juicy dividend and GETTEX:70B in buybacks, exploding 6% after-hours. Meanwhile, NASDAQ:INTC flopped—flat profits, poor outlook, and a CEO trying to turn cost-cutting into a growth story. The market wasn’t buying it: down 5.7% after-hours.
NYSE:NOW , though, is living its best life. Strong results, AI momentum, and federal contracts boosted shares 15%. Other names like NASDAQ:PEP , NYSE:PG , and NASDAQ:AAL warned on the future thanks to—you guessed it—political and economic uncertainty.
On the macro front, ECONOMICS:USIJC (US jobless claims) ticked higher, inflation seems to be cooling, and if next week’s PCE and employment data confirm the slowdown, the Fed might just blink and cut rates in May. Market hopes are pinned on Powell holding steady—unless, of course, Trump decides to live-tweet through it.
Futures are up 0.37% ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) this morning, signaling optimism—possibly misplaced—in Trump’s “friendly” overtures toward China. Let’s just say we’re one golf game away from another market tantrum.
Enjoy your weekend, stay alert, and cross your fingers for a quiet Sunday tweet-wise.
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialCrude oil lacks upward momentum, with the target pointing to $60.
USOIL
sell@62.8-63.3
tp:61.5-61
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
CRUDE OIL BEARISH WEDGE|SHORT|
✅CRUDE OIL has formed a
Bearish wedge pattern and
Then made a breakout and a
Pullback so we are locally
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$BTC $GOLD Performance% Comparison Chart (Apr '24-Apr '25)Performance% Comparison Chart (Apr '24-Apr '25)...
CRYPTOCAP:BTC surges back, locking in a 42% gain alongside TVC:GOLD over a year! S&P 500 shows life, but #Oil is the big loser, taking the biggest hit with a brutal -26% decline. Let's watch the shifts! But where does the momentum go next?!🤔
CRYPTOCAP:BTC TVC:GOLD SP:SPX MARKETSCOM:OIL
Cheers!
Primary and secondary rhythm: sudden drop in crude oil pricesLast week, OPEC announced a new compensation plan to offset previous overproduction. Under the plan, eight affected countries plan to reduce production by a total of 457,000 barrels per day by mid-2026, failing to sustain a short-term rise in oil prices.
Crude oil's short-term trend hit strong resistance near 64.90 and fell, with the decline erasing the gains of the previous three trading days. The MACD fast and slow lines remain within bearish momentum, indicating abundant downward momentum. From the perspective of primary and secondary rhythms, the decline in the North American market yesterday formed a primary downward trend, while the weak rebound in early trading today represents a secondary rhythm. According to the law of primary-secondary alternation, crude oil is expected to continue to decline today, breaking below the 61.50 support level and testing 60.
USOIL
sell@62.8-63.3
tp:61.5-61
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
WTI crude about to resume lower?WTI formed a large bearish engulfing candle on its daily chart yesterday near the key $65 resistance level. Was that an indication that prices have ended their corrective bounce? Time will tell, but today's oil prices have bounced back. With the trade uncertainty in the background, demand concerns remain high.
So, I wouldn't be surprised if prices were to resume lower from here. The trend is clearly bearish with the moving averages all pointing lower, not to mention the lower highs and lower lows.
If the selling resumes, watch for possible bounces at the next key round handles like $62, $61 and $60. But there is always the possibility of a sweep below this month's earlier lows if macro concerns intensify.
Meanwhile, the bullish idea is off the table for me for now until we see some progress in US-China trade talks at least, or if prices show a major bullish reversal signal.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Crude oil---sell near 64.00, target 63.00-62.00Crude oil market analysis:
Recently, crude oil has been running up. Yesterday, the daily line had a technical retracement under the pressure of 65.00. Today, we are still bearish. Let's continue to sell when it rebounds. There is still a lot of room for crude oil to fall. Today's crude oil rebounded near 64.00 and sold. If it breaks below 60.00, it will open up a new space for a big drop. The recent data and fundamentals of crude oil are suppressing it. Buy today and expect a big rebound.
Operational suggestions:
Crude oil---sell near 64.00, target 63.00-62.00
Looking to sell CLI'm looking to sell CL futures based on yesterdays' price action on daily chart which suggests that we might see the next leg down in line with Daily downtrend.
Looking to short pending one more move higher to take equal highs created in early London session and looking for breaker lower to structure logic stop loss and sufficient R:R.
USOILUSOIL price is near the support zone 62.10-60.89. If the price cannot break through 60.89, it is expected that in the short term there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying in the red zone.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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WTI OIL Oversold rebound at the bottom of 7-month Channel Down.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit last week the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 7-month Channel Down while its 1D RSI turned oversold (<30.00), the lowest it's been since March 2020 and the COVID crash.
Naturally, the price rebounded but still hasn't even tested the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which indicates that it remains a strong medium-term buy opportunity. With the previous Lower Low almost reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, we expect to see at least $72.50 in the medium-term.
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Crude Oil Is Making Hard Work of Gains into ResistanceCride oil may have recovered back above $60, but it is making hard work of it. And with resistance looming and large specs increasing short bets, perhaps a pullback due. But does that mean a break below $60 is imminent?
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index
Concerns about demand limit the upside potentialYesterday's strategic analysis noted that U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil exports limited crude oil's upside, though short-term rebounds occurred. Combined with the U.S. plan to zero out Iranian energy exports, short-term news-driven oil price gains primarily reflect supply disruptions and sentiment repair rather than fundamental improvements.
While U.S.-Iran sanctions and OPEC quota adjustments may trigger periodic tensions, intensified global trade concerns and institutional downward revisions to demand forecasts will cap the upside potential of oil price rebounds.
USOIL
sell:64.5-65
tp:63-62
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Long From Support Explained
There is a high chance that WTI Crude Oil will go up
from the underlined key daily support.
As a confirmation, the price violated both a neckline of an inverted
head & shoulders pattern and a resistance line of a falling wedge
on an hourly time frame.
Goals: 63.780 / 64.275
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USOIL Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 63.68
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 61.56
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 63.114.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 68.050 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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