USOIL BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on USOIL right now from the resistance line above with the target of 71.10 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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Oil
USOIL Is Forming A Bull FlagHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USOIL for a buying opportunity around 76 zone, USOIL is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 76 support and resistance area.
In Above chart USOIL have also formed a bull flag in which in a consolidation phase now heading towards the trend support.
Trade safe, Joe.
WTI Oil H4 | Falling to pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 77.08 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 75.50 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 79.82 which is a pullback resistance.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Oil: Keep buying.
Wait until it reaches a high and then go short.
For a month, I used the correct trading signals as a reference. This is what everyone can see. There is no mistake in the operation.
I want to post my views here to save those who continue to lose money. Or those who don’t know how to trade or don’t make any profit. I just use my expertise.
If you keep losing money, leave me a message. Even if you are a novice. Follow me and you can see the changes in your balance in a very short time.
USoil: Oil prices will continue to rebound this week.Oil is about to form an oversold rebound situation, and the target this week is expected to be above 74. The current price is around 72.2. The USoil quote on tradingview is used as the basis.
Investors with large amounts of funds can buy in advance.
If your trading continues to lose money. Or the profit is not ideal. Remember to refer to my trading instructions or follow me. Prevent further losses. NYMEX:CL1! MCX:CRUDEOIL1! NYMEX:MCL1! MATBAROFEX:WTI1!
USOIL Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 77.44.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 75.87 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
WTI OIL Short-term pullback possible but doesnt change the trendLast week (August 06, see chart below), we made a strong bullish case on WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) and why on the 1M time-frame, the long-term target is $110.00, a symmetric approach on the 10-year Super Cycles:
Today we shift back to the shorter term 1D time-frame, as the price went from $73.00 to $80.00 within a week, and we are looking for potential pull-backs. Short-term corrections on medium-term Channel Ups have been common in the past 1.5 year and are displayed by the red ellipse patterns.
Yesterday's rejection took place on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is something that also took place on January 29 2024. Assuming that a new Channel Up will emerge, we expect it to reach at least the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at $91.50, similar to the April 05 2024 High.
There are numerous Resistance levels involved this time however, with the strongest being the Lower Highs trend-line that started after the September 28 2023 High. As a result caution is advised once the price approaches that level.
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WTI: Knock, knock…WTI recently rejected the lower edge of the turquoise Target Zone between $79.67 and $85.86. We expect a further advance into this range before the high of turquoise wave B can be established. The price should then turn around and sell off with the last leg of the green wave (2) into our same-colored Target Zone between $49.85 and $27.93.
OIL: inside day, first red day, 3 days pump and dumpHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week ✅
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day ✅
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day ✅
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump ✅
Dump&Pump
Frontside
Backside ✅
4. THESIS:
Long: secondary, the inside day can give either a reversal or trend continuation setup, depending on how it sets up. It's just broken out, eventually it will consolidate till 10:30am MRN, I would be willing to take a reversal LOD back to the HOD of the inside day.
Short: primary, potential weekly pump and dump, price currently on the backside move. Not really the 3 session setup I like to trade, but space enough to take a good RR short trade.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
WTI Oil H4 | Bullish uptrend to resume?WTI oil (USOIL) has bounced off a pullback support and could potentially climb higher from here.
Buy entry is at 78.66 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 77.90 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 82.01 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Time For Pullback
WTI Oil may pull back from a recently broken
daily structure resistance that turned into a support now.
As a confirmation, I see a double bottom pattern on an hourly time frame.
I think that the price can bounce to 79.25 level.
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2024-08-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Oil - Bears showed signs of life, rejecting 80 with decent selling. Still an inside bar to Monday and bulls bought it at the bull trend line. Below 78 bears start hoping again, but it’s more reasonable to expect more upside. At the very least a retest of 80 and if bears are strong, they try to keep that resistance.
comment: Expected pullback by the bears and bulls bought the bull trend line. Everything in order so far, retest of 80 is expected. If bulls are strong, we will break above for 81 or 82. Below 77.6 bears could get hopeful and again but I doubt it. Daily ema is at 77.2, so that would be their first target.
current market cycle: trading range (triangle)
key levels: 77 - 82
bull case: Bulls tried twice at 80.15 and then mostly stepped aside after bears increased the selling pressure on bar 37/38. They bought the bull trend line and want a retest of 80 from here. If they fail to keep it above the bull trend line and 77.6, they risk that 80 was a lower high and bears might try to sell down to 72 again. Since Monday was so strong, more upside is the higher probability outcome over the next days.
Invalidation is below 78.6.
bear case: Bears generated decent selling pressure and retest the bull trend line. I don’t think they want to fight hard for 79 and will try to keep it below 80 again. If they would manage to break below the bull trend line, their next target would be the daily ema at 77.2.
Invalidation is above 79.
short term: Bullish above 78.8 for retest of 80. Bearish below 77.6 for more downside.
medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 82/84. The high of the triangle got tested until mid of April and we have now tested the lows around 72.5. We are at the bear trend line and odds favor the bears if they stay below 86.27 for trading back down below 76 again. Update: If we break below 70.67, the triangle is dead and we need to find new support. Will update this again when it happens.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Sell below bar 37. Can take most off at the double bottom bar 50 + 54 and exit runner once the market reached the bull trend line and refused to trade below it.
USOIL ( BREAKOUT LAST SUPPLY ZONE ) ( 4H )USOIL
HELLO TRADERS
after breakout last supply zone , the price stabilizing up trading , on the Friday price can be breaking supply zone and starting a rising , currently it will be attempt to reach a next supply zone around 78.56 .
Tendency , after price breaking a supply zone , currently price is under upward pressure .
Upward Zone : currently price trying to reach a resistance level (1) at 78.56 , possibly of the price retest a turning level at 76.37 before rising , breaking resistance level (1) with remain this level it continues the upward trend to touch resistance zone between 81.02 and 83.53 .
Downward Zone: by breaking turning level with closing 4h candle below it , the price decline to reach support level (1) 74.76 , after remain below this level we see a downward trend to reach a regions 71.80 and 69.64 .
CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt for retest to reach a turning level at 76.37 before to see upward trend .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 78.56 ,81.02 , 83.53 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 74.76, 71.80 , 69.64 .
USOIL BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the USOIL with the target of 75.00 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band.However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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WTI successfully rebounded for 5 consecutive trading days
Oil prices, which had hit their lowest due to concerns about a slowdown in the US manufacturing economy and job market, stopped falling and rose for five consecutive trading days. As the US labor market shows signs of recovery, concerns related to the US economic outlook have diminished, and worsening geopolitical concerns in the Middle East are also putting upward pressure on oil prices.
In particular, the rebound in US Initial Jobless Claims has somewhat diluted concerns about a decline in oil demand. Last week, Weekly Jobless Claims reached 233K, down 17,000 from the previous week and below market expectations of 241K.
In addition, China's July CPI, which exceeded expectations, also helped improve the recent market mood. China's National Bureau of Statistics announced that the CPI rose 0.5% in July, showing an upward trend for the sixth consecutive month, raising expectations of increased Chinese oil demand.
USOIL reached a bottom of 71.20 and rose for five consecutive trading days, rebounding to the 79.00 level. The price has formed a descending channel since early July, but the recent rebound quickly breached the channel’s upper bound. Moreover, EMA21 has golden-crossed EMA78, sending a typical bullish signal.
If USOIL sustains the current uptrend and breaches the 79.70 resistance, the price may gain upward momentum toward the 81.70 level. Conversely, if USOIL fails to hold above the 78.00 support, the price could fall further to the 76.50 level.
Oil crushing it's slippery slope NYMEX:MCL1!
After nearly a month of selling, oil seems to be taking back buyer's momentum that first started on July 17th, 2024 and ended on August 6th, 2024. When the creation of the "W" formed shortly after hitting a 10 min supply area, this signaled the last moments of Oil's sell trend. As we go into this week, we see that oil is still coming in hot to take back supply area's that it created on the 1hr timeframe, but it's due for a pullback. Depending on after market movements, we can possibly see Oil start to pullback to continue making buy structure to the upside. Oil has a good possibility to make it back to the areas of 83.50 and 84.50. Since in current time right now as I'm typing this, Oil has already broken 3 LH's (lower high) that were created between July 22nd, 2024 and August 1st, 2024. We can see pullbacks in the range of 78.84 and 77.12 to potentially see continuation of buying movements. Within this outlook, my current analysis is buyers market until price shows other signs.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST AUG 12-16th: USD INDICES GOLD SILVER OILThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast AUG 12-16th.
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US & UK OIL
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Disclaimer:
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