Get started

Oil

XAUUSD | Trade idea- **Gold Price:** Gold is holding above $2,500 ahead of the US Non-Farm Payroll data, having reached a high of $2,523 yesterday and currently trading around $2,517. - **US Economy Expectations:** - August Non-Farm Payroll is expected to increase by 164,000, up from 114,000 in the previous month. - Unemployment rate is expected to rise to 6.5%, from 6.4%. - **Rate Cut Probability:** The likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has decreased to 57% from 70% a week ago (CME Fed Watch Tool). - **US Dollar Index:** - Bullish outlook with minor support around 101.20/100.50. - Near-term resistance at 102/102.80. - **Gold Price Drivers:** - **Global Stock Market:** Bearish, which is positive for gold. - **US Dollar Index:** Bullish, which is negative for gold. - **US 10-Year Bond Yield:** Bearish, positive for gold. - **Technical Analysis:** - **Support:** Near-term support at $2,470; a break below targets $2,449/$2,430. - **Resistance:** Minor resistance at $2,520; a break above could lead to $2,525/$2,530.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by DynamicCapital-FX
Crude OIL $UKOIL Classic patternI've seen this pattern many times over the last 5 years on different instruments, and its working out to over 50% The essence of this pattern is a classic triangle with horizontal support, most of the participants realize that we will break down, but not everyone believes that we will take liquidity off the top before going down. An instrument like oil is quite trivial and it can fall without taking liquidity off the top. But I want to share a few examples of my theory working out, where the upper resistance line is broken before the drop-down Best regards EXCAVO
FX:UKOIL
by EXCAVO
6
How to Use Intermarket Analysis? - Crude Oil Potential DirectionAn example of Crude Oil and Palm Oil in my intermarket analysis to demonstrate how I identify potential upcoming trends and why I believe both are about to move. To help narrow down potential opportunities in other markets, you can apply the techniques I am about to share. Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures & Options Ticker: MCL Minimum fluctuation: 0.01 per barrel = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by konhow
USOIL / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE IN THE DAILY CHART - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELO TRADERS The overall trend is uptrend , until trading above demand zone in the daily chart . Current Position Prices are above the demand zone, which is a strong support area. This indicates that the current support level is holding and may lead to a price increase , For an uptrend to be confirmed, prices need to break and stabilize above turning level at 71.82 . Successfully doing so suggests that the bullish momentum is strong enough to push prices towards the next resistance levels at 74.24 and then 76.21. If prices fall below 71.82 and stabilize, it indicates that the support level is no longer effective, potentially leading to a decline , If prices reach 69.18 and a 4-hour or 1-hour candle closes below this level, it suggests a continuation of the downtrend. A further break and stabilization below 68.28 would confirm a sustained bearish trend, indicating further price decreases. KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 71.82 . RESISTANCE LEVELS : 74.24 , 76.21 . SUPPORT LEVELS : 69.18 , 68.28 .
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
USOIL Is Going Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 69.81. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 72.72 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
Spot Crude Oil 30-Minute Chart AnalysisStrategy Overview: The chart shows Spot Crude Oil on a 30-minute timeframe, where price action is consolidating around the 70.00 USD level. The market is currently trading in a tight range, suggesting the possibility of an upcoming breakout. Key Levels: Support Levels: The price is finding support at 69.871, which acts as a critical level for potential upward movements. A break below this support could signal further downside momentum, possibly testing lower levels around 69.399. Resistance Levels: The nearest resistance sits at 70.431, where the price may face selling pressure if tested. Further resistance is identified in the 72.00-72.50 zone, marked as a strong supply area. A successful breakout above this resistance could indicate a stronger bullish move in the medium term. Trading Strategy: Buying Strategy: A buy entry can be considered near the support level of 69.871, with a stop loss just below this level. The first target would be the 70.431 resistance zone, and the second target can be the 72.00-72.50 range. Selling Strategy: If the price fails to break above 70.431, a short position can be initiated targeting a pullback towards 69.871. A break below this level would confirm the bearish momentum. RSI Confirmation: The RSI indicator is showing neutral momentum, hovering around the middle range. A breakout above 70.431 may be confirmed if the RSI moves into overbought territory, while a drop below 69.871 could push the RSI toward oversold conditions. Conclusion: With price consolidating between 69.871 and 70.431, this chart suggests both buying and selling opportunities based on how the market reacts to these key levels. The upcoming sessions could see either a breakout above resistance for bullish continuation or a failure that could result in a bearish correction.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by Nigouk
Oil Is Heading Down In Price, Support at $72 Just Broke, Low $60The price of Oil was in a trading range between $72 and $85ish, this past week it broke down support and now is going to head lower, I suspect we can see $62ish at first level of support, but I think mid $50's is now on the table. Why? Elections are upon us and they want to make costs come down, so it looks like they are curbing inflation and thus justify more rate drops. Also if Trump wins, he is talking about lower energy costs and ramping up production in the US, so the outlook is bearish for the energy commodities prices... as supply increases and demand remains the same, price goes down... and so the bear market starts.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by FinancialLiberties
Crude Breaking Down From An Elliott Wave Triangle Crude oil turned down this summer, from the upper triangle resistance trendline, as shown on our daily count, so it looks like more weakness can be coming still this year as drop from 81 unfolded in five waves while pullback to 80.00 can possibly be already completed after recent drop below $70, and now also out of a triangle. So we think that bears are in progress now and that more weakness can be coming within impulsive sell-off. Any near-term bounce can possibly stop at $72.00, a new resistance. Rise above 74 will suggest that break down failed. 
NYMEX:CL1!
by ew-forecast
USOIL / STILL CONTINUES A DOWNTREND - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 71.85 . The significant decline in USOIL prices yesterday suggests a bearish momentum, which aligns with the observed price action falling below the critical level of 71.85. This indicates a continuation of the downward trend, making the next support level at 69.81 a logical target. If prices break this support, it would likely trigger further selling pressure, leading to declines toward 68.46 and 66.85, which are key levels of interest based on previous market behavior. On the other hand, for a reversal to the upside, the price needs to break back above 71.85, which currently serves as a turning point. Breaching this level would signal a potential shift in market sentiment, opening the way to test the resistance at 74.24. If the price stabilizes above this resistance, it would reinforce the bullish case, paving the way for further gains toward 76.21 and eventually 77.51. KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 71.85 . RESISTANCE LEVELS : 74.24 , 76.21 , 77.51 . SUPPORT LEVELS : 69.81 , 68.46 , 66.85 .
TVC:USOILShort
by ArinaKarayi
OIL: Day 3 short traders triggered in the marketHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you! “Trade setups, not movements” 1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion) Monday DAY 1 Opening Range Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week ✅ Thursday DAY 2 Friday DAY 3 Closing Range 2. SIGNAL DAY First Red Day First Green Day 3 Days Long Breakout 3 Days Short Breakout ✅ Inside Day 3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE Pump&Dump Dump&Pump ✅ Frontside ✅ Backside 4. THESIS: Long: Primary, market reversing at the low of the week, day 3 short is a potential signal of reversing market. No setup yet has been identified, and don't forget that even if the reversal is possible, the market is still on the frontside down move, it can give a scalp, retesting the LOW for a better setup by the end of the week. Short: Considering the current situation, I wouldn't exclude this market keep going lower if setups for that scenario. Eventually the market will place a HOD and locked it, I would be willing to short OIL after the news Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement. Gianni
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by GianniPichichero
2
WTI Oil H4 | Overhead pressures remainWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 71.65 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 72.60 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 68.19 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
Will the theme of weak demand and oversupply dampen oil prospectMacro theme: - Oil prices have declined since last week as investors expect an OPEC+ supply increase in Oct and a potential deal in Libya to resume production, possibly adding over 500,000 barrels per day. - Weak economic data from China, including Tue's ISM Manufacturing PMI, highlighted the country's sluggish recovery, fuelling calls for more stimulus. - Concerns over China's weak demand and the prospect of increased supply are likely to keep oil prices under pressure in the short term. Technical theme: - USOIL tested EMAs' area confluence with 77.00 resistance before breaking below 71.50 support to maintain a bearish structure. - If USOIL maintains below the 71.50 level, the price may continue to decline to test 67.80 support. - On the contrary, if USOIL can close above 71.50, the price may retrace to retest its EMA21 along with the upper bound of its descending channel.
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by DatTong
2024-09-03 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Oil - Huge day for the bears. Both bull trend lines I had on my daily chart are now broken. 70 should be bigger resistance for now though. I expect the market to go sideways 69.5 - 71 for more time before another impulse. If bears manage to get below 69.5 tomorrow, that would bring 67 in play and really bad for the bulls. Neutral inside given range after such climactic selling but will join either side on strong momentum. comment : Very interesting day for the bears. We broke below the triangle and are at the huge support price 70. Bulls need to step in big here or next stop is 67. If bulls come around big time and bears fail to keep it below 72, they could face a bear trap and another move back up inside the trading range. Big day tomorrow. current market cycle: trading range (descending triangle now) key levels: 70 - 73 bull case : Bulls are in do or die mode tomorrow. Fail at 70 and we will go 67 next. If they could generate strong buying, bears could fear a trap and exit longs. Most reasonable outlook is some sideways to up movement tomorrow. Bulls need anything above 72. Invalidation is below 70. bear case: Bears are now in full control of the market and they want to break below 70 and retest the December and January close/open prices around 67. Oil has not traded below 70 since June and there only for 2 days. Bears would need a big surprise again to break the 70 price. On the 1h chart there is a clean bear channel, which would go as high as 73.5 as of now. That channel is my preferred pattern for now. Invalidation is above 73. short term: Neutral. Expecting some sideways to up movement unless bears print a 15m bear bar below 70. Bears in control. medium-long term: T riangle is dead. 70 has to hold or we might be in a new bear trend to 60 or lower. Will update after this week. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Shorting the double top above 74. Had to get short latest below 73 when the 15m or 1h bear bar closed.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
Natural Gas waking up? Nat gas showed some poise today. Holding green in a red market where most commodities saw negative price action. This is impressive to see because Nat gas has a long historical trend of diverging from many commodities. The price action today also saw a red to green reversal further emphasizing the positive potential trend shift. Nat gas stocks were discounted today despite the stronger price action in the commodity. We remain bullish and long UNG, our call positions in the money.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by Trading-Capital