Oil
USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 83.25.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 84.34 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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My Bullish Idea For USOIL Trade - Here is Why am Buying USOILFOREXCOM:USOIL
Here is why am bullish on USOIL.
1. The daily time frame structure is extremely bullish.
2. The 4hour is also bullish.
3. The 1hour chart structure is extremely bullish such that there is no reason to go short.
The orderflow on 1hour is very bullish, price is respecting bullish PD Arrays like Fair value Gaps (FVG), Bullish Orderblocks, bullish breaker etc.
My entry, target and stop loss are all on the chart.
I hope this inspires you.
Drop your idea in the comment section.
NFP FrYday Crude OilMy ultimate target for this week is the BSL marked with a magnet.
The main internal Liquidity I am looking at is marked with arrows.
Which ones get taken first near or at NFP is very important for the intra day BIAS
And I will be watching this.
Mainly Tape reading today, I have no interest in Engaging in the market
USOIL BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the USOIL pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 79.39.
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BTC Futures. Bulls fade. Robust gain de-established.BTC has reached the top around US$ 73700 on March 14, 2024 as it was clearly explained in previous publication.
Since that it's gone around 1 month till now, and no one new high was printed in BTC.
Bulls fade. Robust gain de-established. Upside bubble-alike trend transformed into detrend structure with flat top near US$ 73000 per BTC.
RSI (14) is sluggish also.
This idea is for b-adj CME’s Bitcoin futures contracts, ticker symbol BTC, which are a USD cash-settled contracts based on the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate (BRR), which serves as a once-a-day reference rate of the U.S. dollar price of bitcoin.
The BRR aggregates the trade flow of major bitcoin spot exchanges during a one-hour calculation window into the U.S. dollar price of one bitcoin as of 4 p.m. London Time.
The Bitcoin futures contract trades Sunday through Friday, from 5 p.m. to 4 p.m. Central Time (CT).
A single BTC contract has a value of five times the value of the BRR Index and is quoted in U.S. dollars per one bitcoin. The tick increments are quoted in multiples of $5 per bitcoin, meaning a one-tick move of the BTC future is equal to $25.
BTC futures expire the last Friday of the month, and are listed on the nearest six consecutive monthly contracts, inclusive of the nearest two December contracts.
Technical graph indicates on a detrend structure, where near 73K per BTC is the Top, and near 55K is the target.
Technically, BTC can retrace to mentioned above level as it still below reasonable resistance.
Oil Prices Climb on Inventory DrawdownOil prices edged higher on July 3rd, 2024, buoyed by signs of a significant decline in U.S. crude oil stockpiles. Brent crude, the benchmark for international oil prices, for September settlement rose 0.1% to $86.34 a barrel by 10:21 AM in London. Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. oil benchmark for August delivery, inched up to $82.88 a barrel.
This price increase comes amidst a wider risk-on sentiment in the global financial markets. Equity markets, including the S&P 500, have been reaching record highs, and this optimism appears to be spilling over into the oil market.
Inventory Drawdown: A Cause for Optimism
The primary driver behind the oil price increase is a report from the American Petroleum Institute (API) indicating a substantial drawdown in U.S. crude oil inventories. According to sources familiar with the data, crude inventories fell by a significant 9.2 million barrels last week. If confirmed by the official figures released by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) later this week, this would mark the largest single-week decline in stockpiles since January 2024.
A decline in stockpiles indicates a tightening of supply, which can lead to higher prices. This is because crude oil is a fungible commodity, meaning a barrel of oil from one source is generally equivalent to a barrel from another. So, if stockpiles decline in the United States, it can impact global supply and drive prices up.
Geopolitical Tensions and Summer Driving Season Lend Support
Apart from the inventory drawdown, several other factors are contributing to the current oil price rally. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated around the world, particularly in the Middle East. The ongoing war between Israel and Hezbollah, along with potential upcoming elections in France and the UK, are keeping investors on edge. Disruptions to oil supplies from these regions could significantly impact prices.
Summer is typically a season of increased demand for gasoline due to vacation travel. While the API report also indicated a decline in gasoline stockpiles, concerns linger about weak U.S. gasoline demand, which could temper the current price uptick.
Looking Ahead: Factors to Consider
The oil market remains susceptible to several factors that could influence prices in the coming weeks and months. Here are some key elements to keep an eye on:
• Confirmation of API Inventory Data: Official confirmation from the EIA regarding the inventory drawdown will be crucial. If the data is validated, it will solidify the current bullish sentiment in the market.
• Global Economic Growth: The health of the global economy, particularly major oil-consuming countries like China, will significantly impact demand. A strong global economic recovery will likely lead to higher oil demand and consequently, higher prices.
• The Upcoming Hurricane Season: The Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June 1st, 2024. If major hurricanes disrupt oil production facilities or shipping routes in the Gulf of Mexico, it could lead to price spikes.
• Geopolitical Developments: Any escalation of geopolitical tensions in major oil-producing regions like the Middle East could lead to supply disruptions and price increases.
Overall, the recent oil price increase is a result of a confluence of factors, including a potential decline in U.S. crude oil inventories, a risk-on sentiment in the financial markets, and ongoing geopolitical tensions. While some headwinds exist, such as concerns about weak U.S. gasoline demand, the near-term outlook for oil prices appears cautiously optimistic.
In conclusion, the oil market is currently in a state of flux. While several factors currently support higher prices, the path forward remains uncertain. Close monitoring of inventory data, global economic indicators, geopolitical developments, and the Atlantic hurricane season will be crucial for understanding how oil prices will behave in the coming months.
UPDATE: Sasol new upside in line to R242.67 target Since the last major update where we expected Sasol to reach a low of R112.00
Now the price has broken above the downtrend, we are seeing a more optimistic view.
And this is in the light that Brent Crude price is going up nicely along with a weaker US Dollar.
So, I am looking for upside for Sasol to around R242.67 now just to retest the resistance from the previous breakout.
USOIL BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello,Friends!
We are now examining the USOIL pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 77.09 level.
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Canadian Dollar Struggles Despite Oil SurgeUSDCAD – technical overview
Above 1.3000 signals an end to a period of longer-term bearish consolidation and suggests the market is in the process of carving out a more significant longer-term base. Next key resistance now comes in up into the 1.4000 area. Setbacks should be very well supported down into the 1.3000 area.
R2 1.3847 – 16 April/2024 high – Strong
R1 1.3792 – 11 June high – Medium
S1 1.3615 – 25 June low – Medium
S2 1.3586 – 10 May low – Strong
USDCAD – fundamental overview
The Canadian Dollar wasn't impressed at all with a surge in the price of oil, instead getting hit hard on Monday after Stats Canada said growth faded in May. The market has been pushing more towards a Bank of Canada rate cut and this has been weighing on the Canadian Dollar. Key standouts on Tuesday’s calendar come from Eurozone inflation and unemployment, Canada manufacturing PMIs, a Fed Chair Powell speech, and US JOLTs job openings.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
USOIL Price Consolidation: Potential for Bullish BreakoutTechnical Analysis: USOIL
Current Outlook:
The price is currently consolidating between 80.73 and 82.24. As long as it trades above 80.73, it will likely aim for 82.24.
Bullish Scenario:
Stability above 80.73 suggests a potential move to 82.24. Should the price close a 1-hour or 4-hour candle above 82.24, it would signal the start of a new bullish trend, with targets at 84.14 and 87.07.
Bearish Scenario:
For a bearish trend, the price must drop and break below 79.47, targeting 77.94. Stability below 77.94 would indicate further bearish movement towards the next target at 75.35.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 80.73
- Support Levels: 79.47, 77.94, 75.35, 69.78
- Resistance Levels: 82.24, 84.14, 87.07, 89.08
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to move between the support at 79.49 and the resistance at 84.14.
Tendency:
The current outlook favors a bullish scenario.
Crude Oil "Triangle Pattern" Target 7100 and "Wolf Wave Target"A "Triangle Pattern" has formed in Crude Oil and Downtrend has "Breakout". So market is Bullish Trend. And the Target is Triangle's Top Trendline at INR 7100. Additionally, Expect a Breakout of the Triangle Pattern.
Don't miss the "Wolf Wave Target" Opportunity. If Breakout the Triangle Pattern, then the Next 2nd Target is Wolf Wave. Refer to the below image for Wolf Wave Target Achieved in Ethereum.
Guess 3rd Target ???
I want to help people Make Profit all over the "World". Additionally, I am Eager to Receive Money form Worldwide because of my Potential. Thank you
OIL: First red day, as well pullback on previous weekly highHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week ✅ day 2 cycle
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day ✅
First Green Day
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump ✅
Dump&Pump
Frontside
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: secondary, but still a potential possibility for oil to keep going higher, why? Because the market broke out the previous high of week, and now is pulling back on it, consolidating for a potential trend continuation. The 3 sessions setup could be getting ready for it, but I will prioritise the short view.
Short: primary, first red day, Monday pumping day, typical for a 3 days pump and dump. However the 3 session setup is not ready for this move, news on calendar, is a move that can be completed with nfp on Friday.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
WTI Oil H4 | Potential bullish reversal off overlap supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 82.69 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 80.80 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 84.45 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: DXY, INDICES, GOLD, SILVER, US OILThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, S&P500 NASDAQ DOW JONES GOLD SILVER WTI CRUDE OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
USOIL - Long from bullish order block !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USOIL.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I want price to go a little bit lower to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block + FIBO 0.618 level.
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WTI Crude Oil - 4H Still BullishWTI Crude Oil shows promising bullish momentum as it consolidates above a key static support zone, indicating potential for further gains. The price action demonstrates two major bullish legs, with the current position in the middle of the second major leg, suggesting continued upward movement.
Additionally, the presence of a second minor leg forming suggests that the bullish momentum might lead to a breakout, propelling prices to higher targets. Traders should monitor the minor leg’s completion and potential further advances in the price of oil, taking advantage of the bullish trend.
WTI OIL Testing 9-month Resistance.WTI Oil (USOIL) has so far ignored last week's 1D Death Cross formation and made a strong jump yesterday that isn't about to only test Resistance 1 (84.50, the April 26 High) but also the Lower Highs trend-line, a 9-month Resistance going back to September 28 2023.
The 1D RSI approaching the 70.00 overbought level after a Double Bottom at 30.00, which is a pattern we last saw leading to the January 29 2024 High. That was also a Resistance test. As a result, it is now worth attempting a tight SL sell (using that level as stop) and Target 77.00, which is the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, being the target of the February 05 correction. That will also make a technical test of the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which is again what happened on Feb 05.
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A long-term bull market is likelyGreetings,
Dear friends, I hope you are well and have had a week filled with successful and profitable transactions.
Regarding the oil market, I believe that it has the same behavior as the gasoline market. Anyway, gasoline is one of the derivatives of oil. Now we need to examine patterns 1.2 and 1.2. We had an impulse pattern for the first wave in the larger degree and then again in the smaller degree, which did not look regular.
With this assumption, I have considered a shock pattern and the second wave is a zigzag, whose price has crossed the B wave and is expanding. The price action of the impulse pattern extended by a shallow correction completes the third wave of the same level. After the completion of five waves, it is expected to wait for a corrective pattern following growth and correction. It is possible that it can be a superficial correction and the continuation of the trend will happen quickly.
Note: I am a new analyst in the world of wave principles with three years of experience, and I am developing an analytical idea. There is no 100% certainty in financial markets due to the complexity of various patterns that can change. However, I do my best to back up any analysis I share with you guys with everything I've learned so far.
A brief explanation of the three fundamental laws of the wave principle:
1. The second wave should never go beyond the beginning of the first wave.
2. The third wave should never be the shortest wave between waves 1, 3, and 5.
3. The fourth wave must never enter the territory of the first wave.
Ralph Nelson Elliott was the founder of this theory, and when asked about his view of the market, he always referred to five waves in the direction of a larger trend and three waves against the direction it was taking. After completing an eight-wave cycle, a larger cycle is formed in the future. It's as simple as that.
May his memory be cherished, and may his soul rest in the shelter of God Almighty and the eternal world.
I am attaching the analysis of this market that I shared with you earlier to this current analysis.
The last word of my analysis text is repetitive, except for the explanation of the current analysis, because I also trade in the financial markets and am active in my social networks, working hard to improve my skills in analysis and trading to reach my goal.
I apologize for repeating the text.
I welcome suggestions and criticisms, and I will certainly respond, but a logical reason is important to me.
Thank you for taking the time to review my analysis, and thank you all.
To all my dear friends and colleagues, first of all, I wish you health and success in your goals.
Mehdi Abbasi with the nickname (Mr. Nobody)
Turbo Tuesday's So we are heavily bullish and in this scenario I like to see a retracement around NY that will enable me to start looking for my entry model that will Target the BSL that is marked.
Pretty simple today...
I have a 1hr fvg that I would like to be respected meaning 1hr candle closes above the discount of the FVG.
If before NY we take out the BSL marked I will update here..