USOIL Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Oil
Decoding USOil TrendsHello traders,
Here, I aim to decipher the trends of USOIL across all timeframes.
On the weekly chart, a cup & handle pattern is evident, with $84 serving as the pivotal price. A clear breakout on the daily timeframe could signal a bullish stance for USOIL.
First target: $94
Second target: $109
Stop-loss: Close below $72 on a daily basis.
I'll keep you updated as the situation evolves.
Best of luck
USOIL Higher Time Frame Possible Bullish ScenarioThis is higher time frame bullish scenario on USOIL (WTI). This is only applicable if a bullish breakout occurs.
1. The price is inside a triangle which is getting squeezed and reaching its apex. That means we are going to have a breakout very soon.
2. Recently the price completed and M pattern and jumped higher. When M pattern completes the market goes higher.
3. If we get a bullish breakout from this triangle and if this breakout confirms, we can have formation of a potential W pattern. This when completed will have the potential to make oil fall again.
4. After that if the price stays bullish or becomes bullish again, we have a gap available around 100 area which needs to be filled at subpoint.
5. That will also lead us into a bigger multiple month and possibly multi year bullish formation of a W pattern.
But first, we need to see how price breaks out of the triangle.
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USOIL Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 82.14
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 82.92
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the USOIL pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 81.86 level.
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WTI Crude oil trading strategy on July 12
WTI Crude oil trading strategy on July 12
I give several safe trading areas:
sell:
83.6-84 (scalping. Small profits are enough)
84.3-84.55 (suitable for selling, sl84.8)
buy:
81.6-81.8
80.9-81.2
Trading according to these indicators will allow you to make safe profits.
If you make a profit using my signals. Please join me and give me a thumbs up
OIL: Day 3 breakout short, first green dayHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2 ✅ day 2 cycle
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout ✅
Inside Day
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside
Backside ✅
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, signal day, potential weekly dump and pump can be completed by today. At the moment the market is dumping in the day, if I will see a consolidation holding till CPI or 9am (OIL opening ), I will be willing to take this long setup
Short: secondary, Asia pumped into yesterday HOD, and failed, I can not exclude a retest of the LOW if the market keep going breaking down.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
USOIL ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )USOIL
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency after the price breakout , indicates the price is under bearish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : there is a purple line around 82.84 , indicates if the price trade below this level reach a support level , but if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level
RESISTANCE LEVEL: there is a green line around 85.25 , indicates selling have already increase this level , when you reach this level buyer have more supply for oil
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line around 79.66 , indicates buying have already increase this level , when you reach this level selling have more demand for oil
PRICE MOVEMNET : the price stabilizing below turning level around 82.84, in my opinion until the price trade below turning level ,indicates selling have more demand for oil , so reach a support level at 79.66, then breaking this level reach a next target at 77.37, if the price breaking turning level , indicates buyer have more supply for oil , so reach 85.25 and 87.41
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 85.25 , 87.41
SUPPORT LEVEL : 79.66 , 77.37
USOIL Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 81.984.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 78.552 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Overbought Market?!
Crude Oil leaves multiple bearish clues.
The price formed a double top and a rising wedge pattern on a daily
and broke a neckline and a trend line of both patterns.
On an hourly time frame, I see an inverted cup & handle with a confirmed
violation of its neckline.
Looks like the market is overbought.
We may expect a correction to 82.07
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Bearish drop?WTI/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 82.94
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 84.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 81.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
WTI tests key supportWTI was testing a key support area after falling for the third consecutive day. As can be seen on the chart, US oil was testing support around the upper end of the 80.00 - 81.50 support area, which had been resistance in the past. Here, we are expecting to see a rebound given the bullish price structure of crude oil over the past several days. If so, another test of the bearish trend line going back to September 2023 should not come as surprise, around the $84.00 area. The line in the sand is now at around $80.00, the most recent low prior to the latest rally. Should WTI break below this level, then it would invalidate its still-bullish technical picture. But my base case scenario is that we could see a recovery from around the current levels.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
WTI Crude Oil Falls for the 4th Straight DayWTI Crude Oil has been trending consistently lower dating back to Friday reverting to the $80 "magnet" that has continually attracted prices since Q4 2022.
In a rangebound market like this, traders may consider selling rallies meaningfully above $80 and buying dips toward $70, using oscillators like RSI to identify overbought and oversold markets.
-MW
WTI Oil H4 | Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 82.94 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 84.80 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 80.42 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?WTI/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 80.86
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 79.33
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 82.96
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
WTI OIL Rejected on the 9-month Resistance. Still good to sell.Last week (July 02, see chart below) we called for a short-term correction upon a potential Lower Highs rejection on WTI Oil (USOIL):
As you can see, the strong rejection was materialized last Friday on that 9-month Resistance, and the long-term Triangle pattern is technically looking for a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level test.
Zooming out on the 1W time-frame, we can see even more relevant info. During the previous two 0.618 Fibonacci pull-backs, the price also hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which has served as Oil's long-term Support in the last 3.5 years (since February 01 2021). The only time it closed a 1W candle below the 1W MA200 during this time span was recently on the week of June 03 2024.
As a result, besides the 0.618 Fib, we expect the 1W MA200 to be tested also, so depending on the decline's strength, we may have to move our 77.00 Target a bit higher (e.g. 78.00). It has to be mentioned though that the decline to the 0.618 Fib during the past 2 corrections has been dealt within a week. So technically we should be expecting an aggressive move this week.
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2024-07-04 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Good follow through by the bears and a clear break below the bull channel. If we continue down from here, I would be surprised. More likely is another retest from the bulls to 83/84. Selling is strong enough that we have a decent chance of 84.52 being the high of this bull trend that’s now over and we are in a trading range at the highs. Odds strongly favor the bears since we are in a huge triangle.
current market cycle: Trading range
key levels: 80 - 84
bull case: Bulls failed at the 1h 20ema multiple times today but held it above 82 which means we are forming a smaller descending triangle which will likely break out early tomorrow. Retest of the bull channel to 83.5 is reasonable.
Invalid below 82.
bear case: Bears showed strength by consecutive decent bear bars on the daily chart. They want the 1h 20ema to be resistance as long as possible and their next target is the daily 20ema at 81.2ish which is also the recent trading range and a magnet.
short term: Two bear trend lines which can both work and we will only find out tomorrow. Market should stay below 82.9 if bears are in control. If bulls break above, can see 83.4/84 again. So looking for shorts near 1h 20ema and upper bear trend lines. Long scalps above 83.
medium-long term: We are seeing the big triangle playing out between 72 and 86 (could also be 87 but for now I see the spike above 83 as a failed breakout of the triangle. We hit the lower trend line and now we will test back up to above 83. —will update this Wednesday
current swing trade: Small short initiated and will add on higher if necessary. Plan to hold this to at least 76 with profit taking/adding on in between.
trade of the day: Look at all the bars with a tail above 82.7. That’s more than enough reason and time to place some shorts because market is screaming at you, that bulls are not strong enough above 82.7.
Slow Monday? Crude OilSo we took some Daily BSL last week on Friday and since we have sold off slowly.
NWOG gapped down and this indicates for at least today some sort of Raid or hunt to also touch a PD array thats near to a discount.
We have no major news catalyst today and that brings slow PA although it may travel its not ideal for scalpers. ( Lots of back and forth )
Wednesday and Thursday have crucial Crude Oil news events and these will be the optimum days to trade.
For Today I am bearish until we reach these targets and or a htf Market structure shift.
Be prepared to stay dynamic.