OIL SELLPeace be upon you, according to my analysis of the oil market. There is a very good selling opportunity. The market has reached an important point, which is the 61% Fibonacci retracement of the golden ratio. It also reached a very strong resistance level at 89. We also notice the formation of a red candle with a tail on the 2-hour frame, indicating a strong entry by sellers. All these factors confirm that the market is for sale. Good luck everyone
Oilanalysis
Oil price analysis in weekly timeBut black gold
What is 100% clear and certain for me is that there is no seller in the upper price levels and the price level of $130 is empty of heavy sellers and oil has a target of $138.
But until the price reaches 138 dollars, many ups and downs are possible, because the weekly price structure is currently downward and the price has made a PA in the range of 75 dollars.
My event is determined by the fluctuations in the price of the red chart.
In my opinion, inflammation and big events are happening in the world, which we will witness in these years, and these developments have started from the Middle East.
Like a 52 Hz whale whose sound cannot be heard by any other whale. I am watching.
USOIL DOUBLE BOTTOM ? BULLISH MOVE VERY SOON Hello traders ,
on daily TF USOIL has formed a double bottom reversal pattern and broke its neckline.
and also because the tension in the middle east and the current dollar economic situation
we might see a bullish move from the neckline maybe back to the 93 level.
trade safe !
Oil (CL) Aggro/Oversold Fade BUYQuick take/analysis, but consider scooping some low-risk crude contracts here (break above 84.84). Better demand zones are lower, but we've had a sizable downdraft into buy areas + are testing a key support/resistance area (~84-85), so those traders may be at our backs. The US dollar has finally taken a pause at the supply zone we ID’d in posts from earlier this week/last week, so that may help commodity, including CL, longs. Keep this one a tight leash; the bounce we’ve had thus far has been tepid, a micro timeframe higher high/higher low hasn’t yet been put in , and daily/weekly “demand” is lower still (low-80s/upper-70s). That said, CL is certainly a trade to put on your radar. Given the technical structure of the recent selloff, consider taking any profits at 1:1, then 86, 87, and 88+. Again, better buys are lower, but start paying attention/stalking longs as remaining profit margin for short sellers is a lot smaller than it was at the beginning of the week (though there is still some downside risk)!
Happy trading!
Jon @ LionHart Trading
Market tension is greater than the impact of the dollar
Expectations of tighter crude oil supply and an uncertain economic outlook have caused demand concerns. At the same time, crude oil continues to be hit by the double blow of the appreciation of the US dollar and expectations of interest rate hikes, and the impact of a rapid tightening of supply is offset by market investors' low risk appetite for higher interest rates in the long term.
Oil prices in Asia rose to 91.5. The subsequent trend will rebound and then rise slowly.
The overall market is bullish.
Oil Soars to 2023 Highs: Sets New Support Levels? WTI crude futures surged by 3.5% on Wednesday, briefly reaching above $94, marking their highest settlement price of 2023. This impressive rally followed the release of EIA data indicating a larger-than-expected decrease in US crude inventories, showing a 2.17 million barrel drop in the past week.
In parallel, Brent crude futures saw a substantial increase of 2.8%, reaching $96.55 and even breaching the $97 threshold during the trading session.
Market sentiment is increasingly concerned about tightening supplies as we approach the northern hemisphere winter. Earlier in the month, major OPEC+ players, Saudi Arabia and Russia, extended supply cuts of 1.3 million barrels through the end of the year.
The question that looms is whether oil can fall below the recent lows of $88.00 per barrel without a decision to raise production? And if we don’t see the impetus for oil to keep going higher, how well do we think the recent higher highs ($92.65) and lower highs ($91.30) will fare against some potential corrective downside pressure?
Crude oil in short supply
The supply side of the global oil market continues to reduce production, and oil prices will continue to rise in the short term. Russia's fuel export ban announced last week has raised supply concerns and demand woes from future interest rate hikes. In the current context of the crude oil market, what needs attention is that once the Federal Reserve misjudges the U.S. economy, superimposes a rebound in inflation, and excessively raises interest rates, it may suppress crude oil prices.
(The strength of the US dollar index has suppressed the prices of gold and crude oil)
The overall trend of crude oil was very weak yesterday. After a slow rise during the day, it did not continue, but the US market fell sharply.
The RSI technical indicator is bullish. Trading in the 89.5-91.5 range.
Exciting Opportunities Await! Join the Oil Boom Today!As you might have noticed, oil prices have been on the rise lately, and there are two compelling reasons behind this bullish trend. Firstly, the potential recovery of the Chinese economy has sparked a wave of optimism worldwide. China, the world's largest oil importer, is showing signs of bouncing back, which could significantly boost demand and drive prices even higher.
Secondly, concerns about global oil supply have been causing a stir in the market. Ongoing geopolitical tensions and production cuts by major oil-producing nations have created a sense of urgency, further pushing prices upward. This perfect storm of factors is creating a fantastic environment for traders like you to make some serious gains!
Now, you might be wondering, "How can I get in on this action?" Well, fear not, my friends, because I have an exciting call-to-action for you. It's time to consider going long on oil and ride the wave of this potential surge!
By taking a long position on oil, you can position yourself to benefit from the anticipated rise in prices. As demand increases and supply concerns persist, you can capitalize on these market dynamics and maximize your profits. It's time to put your trading skills to the test and make the most of this promising situation!
Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and this may be the perfect moment to dive into the oil market. Keep a close eye on the latest news, market indicators, and expert analysis to make informed decisions that align with your trading strategy. With a positive mindset and a well-thought-out plan, there's no limit to what you can achieve!
So, my fellow traders, are you ready to embark on this thrilling journey and make your mark in the oil market? The potential for substantial gains awaits you! Don't miss out on this golden opportunity to long oil and ride the wave of China's recovery and global supply worries.
Take action today, and let's make this an unforgettable trading experience!
Wishing you happy trading and abundant profits,
Russia and Saudi Arabia Extend Supply Cut Until Year-End 🚀It's time to buckle up and get ready for an exhilarating ride as we witness the recent developments that are set to fuel our profits. 📈
I am thrilled to share the fantastic news that Russia and Saudi Arabia have just announced their decision to extend the supply cut until the end of this year. This strategic move is expected to significantly boost oil prices, creating a perfect opportunity for us to make some serious gains. 🌟
With these two major players committed to reducing supply, the market is set to tighten further, putting upward pressure on oil prices. As a result, we anticipate a surge in demand, leading to a perfect storm for traders who go long on oil. 📈💰
Now, you might wonder, "How can I capitalize on this golden opportunity?" Well, fret not, my fellow traders, as I have an exciting call to action for you. It's time to get into the driver's seat and join the oil rally! 🚀
Here's what you can do to maximize your potential gains:
1. Stay informed: Keep a close eye on the latest news, market trends, and expert analysis related to oil. Being well-informed will help you make smarter trading decisions.
2. Conduct thorough research: Dive deep into the fundamentals of the oil market, including supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, and any other relevant indicators that may impact oil prices.
3. Develop a solid trading strategy: Craft a robust plan that aligns with your risk tolerance and investment goals. Consider entry and exit points, stop-loss orders, and profit targets to optimize your trading experience.
4. Leverage trading platforms: To enhance trading efficiency, utilize advanced trading platforms that offer real-time data, analysis tools, and features like stop-loss and take-profit orders.
5. Stay disciplined: Stick to your trading strategy and avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term fluctuations. Patience and discipline are critical to long-term success.
Remember, the oil market is buzzing with potential, and this extended supply cut presents an incredible opportunity for us to ride the wave of success. So, let's gear up, embrace the positive vibes, and make the most of this bullish momentum! 📈💪
If you have any questions or need assistance with your trading journey, please don't hesitate to contact our dedicated support team. We are here to help you navigate the exciting world of oil trading and ensure a seamless experience.
I am wishing you happy trading and abundant!
Oil Pushes to $86 as Supply Cuts ContinueIntroduction:
We've got some exciting news to share today - oil prices are soaring to new heights as supply cuts persist! The black gold is inching closer to the $86 mark daily, and we couldn't be happier. So, prepare to seize this golden opportunity and long oil like never before!
The Rising Tide of Oil Prices:
In recent months, we've witnessed a remarkable surge in oil prices, driven primarily by the ongoing supply cuts. Major oil-producing nations, including OPEC and its allies, have worked diligently to stabilize the market. Their efforts have paid off, resulting in a steady reduction in oil supply. As a result, the demand-supply dynamics have shifted in favor of traders looking to go long on oil.
The $86 Milestone:
Now, let's talk numbers, traders! We're approaching the much-anticipated $86 milestone, and the excitement is palpable. With each passing day, oil prices are inching closer to this psychological barrier. As the global economy rebounds and oil demand grows more robust, we can expect prices to continue their upward trajectory. This is the perfect time to capitalize on this trend and make substantial gains!
Why Go Long on Oil?
The reasons to go long on oil are plentiful, my friends. Firstly, the ongoing supply cuts have significantly reduced the surplus fat in the market, paving the way for increased prices. Additionally, as the global economy recovers from the pandemic-induced slowdown, industries ramp up production, leading to a surge in oil demand. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions and uncertainties continue influencing oil prices, making it an attractive asset for traders seeking volatility and profit potential.
Call-to-Action: It's Time to Long Oil!
Fellow traders, the time has come to seize this incredible opportunity and long oil! With prices pushing towards $86, there's no better time to jump on this bandwagon. Here's what you need to do:
1. Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on market trends, news, and developments that impact the oil industry. Knowledge is power, and being well-informed will help you make informed trading decisions.
2. Analyze and Strategize: Develop a robust trading strategy based on your analysis of the market dynamics. Consider supply and demand, production levels, geopolitical events, and economic indicators to maximize profit potential.
3. Diversify Your Portfolio: While going long on oil presents an exciting opportunity, it's always wise to diversify your trading portfolio. Explore other commodities, stocks, or assets to mitigate risks and optimize your trading experience.
4. Consult with Experts: Seeking advice from experienced traders or financial advisors can provide valuable insights and help you refine your trading strategy. Utilize their expertise to make well-informed decisions.
Conclusion:
Traders, the oil market is buzzing with excitement as prices surge towards the $86 mark. With ongoing supply cuts and a growing global economy, the time is ripe to buy oil and make substantial gains. Stay positive, stay informed, and prepare for this wave of success. Happy trading, and may your profits soar higher than ever before!
China's Economic Woes and Increased Oil Production Introduction:
Recently, the global oil market has been experiencing significant fluctuations due to a combination of factors. The economic slowdown in China and the increased oil production in Iran and Venezuela have led to a drop in oil prices. As traders, it is crucial to approach this situation cautiously and explore opportunities to take advantage of this market scenario.
Understanding the Factors at Play:
1. China's Economic Deterioration: China, the world's second-largest economy, has been grappling with a slowdown, which has had a direct impact on the oil demand. As the country's manufacturing and industrial sectors face challenges, the need for oil decreases, contributing to the price drop.
2. Increased Production in Iran and Venezuela: The easing of sanctions on Iran and the resurgence of oil production in Venezuela have further added to the supply glut in the market. As these countries ramp up their production, the oversupply of oil leads to a downward pressure on prices.
Capitalizing on the Situation:
While the oil price drop may pose risks, it also presents opportunities for traders to profit from the market. However, it is crucial to approach this situation with a cautious mindset and consider the following strategies:
1. Diversify Your Portfolio: As the oil market remains volatile, it is essential to diversify your trading portfolio to minimize potential risks. Consider exploring other sectors or commodities less affected by the oil price drop.
2. Monitor Global Economic Indicators: Keep a close eye on economic indicators, particularly those related to China's financial performance. You can make more informed trading decisions and mitigate potential losses by staying informed about the latest developments.
3. Analyze Geopolitical Factors: Stay updated on geopolitical events that may impact oil prices. Developments in Iran and Venezuela, such as political tensions or changes in production policies, can significantly impact the oil market. Remain vigilant and adapt your trading strategies accordingly.
4. Utilize Risk Management Tools: To protect your investments, implement risk management techniques such as stop-loss orders and trailing stops. These tools can help limit potential losses in case of unexpected market movements.
Call-to-Action: Seize the Opportunity to Profit from Oil
While the oil price drop may seem daunting, it presents a unique opportunity for traders to capitalize on the market situation. By carefully analyzing market trends, diversifying portfolios, and utilizing risk management tools, traders can navigate the oil market cautiously and potentially secure profitable outcomes.
Stay informed and adapt your trading strategies to the evolving market conditions is crucial. Take advantage of this period of oil price drop by making well-informed decisions and seizing the profit potential.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Traders are advised to conduct their own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Note: It is essential to consult with a financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.
OIL LONGRisk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:2 RR
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
BluetonaFX - USOIL Potential Double Top OpportunityHi Traders!
We have a potential double-top opportunity on the USOIL 1D chart.
Our previous bullish view worked perfectly, and our prediction of reaching the 83.49 resistance after the psychological 80.00 break came through. The market looks to now be exhausted near the 83.49 resistance level, and the price action is indicating a possible reversal of the bullish trend we have had over the past couple of months.
If 83.49 resistance continues to hold here, it will be a confirmed double top, which is a reversal chart pattern. We are looking for additional confirmation signals; the first one is a break and close below the 20 EMA, and the second one is a lower break below our RSI indicator. A lower break on the RSI will give us extra confirmation that the market has been overbought. The first target is at 77.02, and further below we have a second target at 73.75.
That being said, we must be wary of this not happening and a continuation to the upside, so stops must be very tight, ideally just above 83.49. The market is still above the EMA, so we must not rule out the possibility of a continuation upward.
Please do not forget to like, comment, and follow, as your support greatly helps.
Thank you for your support.
BluetonaFX
Crude oil analysis next week
The daily line has regained most of the losses, and the market is still in a bullish trend and is currently in a strong state. Whether there will be large fluctuations in the adjustment here. Crude oil pressure 83.3, support 81.5.
Crude oil operation is recommended to buy at 81.5 first-line, with a target of 82.2~82.7. If it breaks above, continue to look at 83.5.
usoil:buy81-81.5
tp82.2-82.7
Share free trading signals every day, if you need, please join me
Oil Short Risk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:2 RR
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
BluetonaFX - USOIL Heading Towards 80.00Hi Traders!
USOIL is looking extremely strong and does not look like it is slowing down; the psychological 80.00 level looks like the next resistance target.
Our bullish bias on this product has played out very nicely since the market finally broke above the previous range zone. We have since then stayed in the ascending price channel with higher highs and higher lows without any retracement waves, which confirms that USOIL is currently very bullish.
The first resistance level at 79.05 has been broken; the next level above 79.05 is the psychological 80.00. We expect some resistance here as we have not been this high in three months. If there is a break and a close above 80.00, then 83.49, which is April 2023's high, is the next big target.
Please do not forget to like, comment, and follow, as your support greatly helps.
Thank you for your support!
BluetonaFX
Oil Price Cools Off as Fed Rate Increase LoomsAs a trader, it is crucial to approach these developments cautiously and consider their potential implications on oil prices.
Firstly, it is worth noting that the oil market has experienced a cooling effect in response to the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates. Historically, such rate hikes have led to a strengthening of the US dollar, which in turn tends to weigh on oil prices. This correlation suggests we may witness a temporary dip in oil prices in the coming weeks.
However, we must also be mindful of China's ongoing efforts to stimulate its economy. The Chinese government has recently implemented various measures, such as tax cuts and infrastructure spending, to counteract the economic slowdown. While these actions are expected to boost domestic demand and potentially increase oil consumption, there are concerns regarding the sustainability and effectiveness of these stimulus efforts.
Considering the potential volatility in the market, I encourage you to exercise caution when purchasing oil at this time. It is advisable to pause and carefully evaluate the market conditions before making significant trading decisions. By doing so, we can mitigate potential risks and position ourselves for better opportunities in the future.
In conclusion, the recent Fed rate increase has cooled oil prices, but China's attempts to stimulate its economy introduce uncertainties. I urge you to approach the market with caution and take a pause in your oil-buying activities. Evaluating the market conditions thoroughly will help us make informed decisions and navigate these challenging times more effectively.
7 Dimension Analysis For OIL😇7 Dimension Analysis
Analysis Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Price Structure: Sideways to Bullish
🟢 Structure Initial Behavior: Choch Bearish
🟢 Move: Corrective
🟢 Inducement: Done
🟢 Pull Back Count: 1st
1st OB mitigated
Extreme OB unmitigated
Touch count 4, breakout from the range
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢TREND LINES: Act as Support
🟢CHART PATTERNS:
Flag: Signaling Continuation
Triple Bottom: Indicates a potential move to the long side
Rectangle Breakout: Confirms bullish sentiment
Fakeout: Strong demand signals after the breakout
CIP: Holding at rectangle resistance, now acting as support
Buildup: Bullish momentum after the rectangle breakout
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
Record Session Count: 7 buy candles, transitioning to sideways during buildup
Change in Guard: Noted at the end of the record session count
Momentum (Engulfing): Indicates potential bullish continuation
Engulfing: Classic bullish pattern at the bottom
Good Momentum: Observed at rectangle breakout
Narrow Range 4: Bullish breakout during the buildup phase
Inside Bar: Current candle forming, confirmation needed at closing
Todays Open High: Sustained for 4 hours
3️⃣ Volumes
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Zone: Superbullish yet
🟢 Range Shift: Sideways to Bullish
🟢 Divergence: Hidden 5-candle divergence indicates loss of momentum
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
Middle Band S/R: Strong support
Squeez: 60 candles in range, poised for a breakout inside the bulls
Squeez Breakout, Outside Upper Band: Bulls showing strength
Headfake: Price closed outside the lower band multiple times but quickly bounced back
M Pattern: 2nd leg forming, potential small correction toward middle band support
Open with Gap and Equal High: May indicate a correction
6️⃣ Strength ADX:
Main line under 20 shows overall consolidation, but bulls have some power
7️⃣ Sentiment ROC:
Rate of change for oil is in demand compared to all other commodities according to available data
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ Current Move: Impulsive, waiting for a valid high after corrective move
✔ Support Resistance Base: Hourly trendline and wick OB area acting as strong support
☑️ Candles Behavior: (to be monitored after correction)
☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Not yet
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Not yet
☑️ Final Comments: Awaiting correction completion before considering buy position
💡 Decision: Buy
🚀 Entry: 75
✋ Stop Loss: 73.5
🎯 Take Profit: 81.54
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:5
🕛 Expected Duration: 15 days
USOIL:Analysis today
According to the analysis of the chart, the market stopped falling and rebounded at the bottom line of 73.80 as scheduled yesterday, and it was already informed yesterday that there was a super main force bottom-hunting signal in the bottom area.
In terms of operation, we will continue the high-altitude and low-many thinking, and focus on doing more on dips
oil buy 75.0-75.5 tp 76.5-77.5
OPEC Forecasts Robust Oil Demand from India and China!Recently, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) released a groundbreaking report that sheds light on the promising future of the global oil market. The report highlights the continued surge in oil demand from two of the world's fastest-growing economies, India and China, well into 2024. This revelation opens up opportunities for us to capitalize on, and I believe it's time to act!
According to OPEC's comprehensive analysis, India's oil demand is projected to grow annually over the following years. This is primarily driven by the country's rapid industrialization, urbanization, and the ever-increasing consumption patterns of its burgeoning middle class. Similarly, China's oil demand is set to rise annually, fueled by its robust economic growth and ambitious plans for infrastructure development.
You might wonder, "How can I take advantage of this incredible potential?" Well, my fellow investors, the answer lies in seizing the opportunity to go long on oil for the long term. By positioning ourselves strategically, we can leverage the projected growth in oil demand from these economic powerhouses and reap substantial rewards in the coming years.
This call to action is not merely based on speculation; it is supported by OPEC's extensive research and analysis conducted by industry experts. Their forecasts have proven remarkably accurate over the years, making them a reliable source for informed investment decisions.
To ensure we maximize this golden opportunity, I encourage you to consider allocating a portion of your investment portfolio toward long-term oil positions. By doing so, we can align ourselves with the projected surge in demand from India and China, potentially unlocking significant returns on our investments.
As always, I urge you to conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before making investment decisions. While the oil market's future appears promising, it is crucial to stay informed and adapt our strategies as circumstances evolve.
In conclusion, dear investors, the OPEC report has unveiled a world of exciting possibilities for us to explore. By embracing the forecasted growth in oil demand from India and China, we can position ourselves favorably in the market and potentially achieve remarkable success in the long run.
Potential Cautious Impact of US Slowing Economy on Oil PricesAs an astute investor in the oil industry, I wanted to bring to your attention a recent development that could potentially affect the price of oil. The current state of the US economy, which has been exhibiting signs of slowing down, has the potential to cast a shadow over the oil market.
Over the past few years, the US economy has been a driving force behind the global oil demand, contributing significantly to the increase in oil prices. However, recent economic indicators, such as declining consumer spending and a manufacturing activity slowdown, suggest a potential downturn in the US economy. This, in turn, may have a dampening effect on oil prices.
Given the interdependence between the US economy and the oil market, it is crucial to approach the situation cautiously. While it is impossible to predict the exact impact on oil prices, it is reasonable to expect that the slowdown in the US economy could lead to a tighter range-bound movement in oil prices.
In light of this, I encourage you to closely monitor the developments in the US economy and their potential implications on the oil market. Consider diversifying your investment portfolio and exploring strategies to help mitigate potential risks associated with the current economic climate.
It is important to note that various factors influence the oil market, and the US economy is just one of them. Geopolitical tensions, supply-demand dynamics, and global economic conditions also significantly shape oil prices. Therefore, maintaining a well-informed and balanced perspective is essential when making investment decisions.
As always, I recommend consulting with your financial advisor or conducting thorough research before investing. By staying informed and proactive, you can position yourself to navigate the potential challenges and capitalize on the opportunities that may arise in the oil market.