Crude oil analysis next week
The daily line has regained most of the losses, and the market is still in a bullish trend and is currently in a strong state. Whether there will be large fluctuations in the adjustment here. Crude oil pressure 83.3, support 81.5.
Crude oil operation is recommended to buy at 81.5 first-line, with a target of 82.2~82.7. If it breaks above, continue to look at 83.5.
usoil:buy81-81.5
tp82.2-82.7
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Oilanalysis
Oil Short Risk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:2 RR
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BluetonaFX - USOIL Heading Towards 80.00Hi Traders!
USOIL is looking extremely strong and does not look like it is slowing down; the psychological 80.00 level looks like the next resistance target.
Our bullish bias on this product has played out very nicely since the market finally broke above the previous range zone. We have since then stayed in the ascending price channel with higher highs and higher lows without any retracement waves, which confirms that USOIL is currently very bullish.
The first resistance level at 79.05 has been broken; the next level above 79.05 is the psychological 80.00. We expect some resistance here as we have not been this high in three months. If there is a break and a close above 80.00, then 83.49, which is April 2023's high, is the next big target.
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Thank you for your support!
BluetonaFX
Oil Price Cools Off as Fed Rate Increase LoomsAs a trader, it is crucial to approach these developments cautiously and consider their potential implications on oil prices.
Firstly, it is worth noting that the oil market has experienced a cooling effect in response to the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates. Historically, such rate hikes have led to a strengthening of the US dollar, which in turn tends to weigh on oil prices. This correlation suggests we may witness a temporary dip in oil prices in the coming weeks.
However, we must also be mindful of China's ongoing efforts to stimulate its economy. The Chinese government has recently implemented various measures, such as tax cuts and infrastructure spending, to counteract the economic slowdown. While these actions are expected to boost domestic demand and potentially increase oil consumption, there are concerns regarding the sustainability and effectiveness of these stimulus efforts.
Considering the potential volatility in the market, I encourage you to exercise caution when purchasing oil at this time. It is advisable to pause and carefully evaluate the market conditions before making significant trading decisions. By doing so, we can mitigate potential risks and position ourselves for better opportunities in the future.
In conclusion, the recent Fed rate increase has cooled oil prices, but China's attempts to stimulate its economy introduce uncertainties. I urge you to approach the market with caution and take a pause in your oil-buying activities. Evaluating the market conditions thoroughly will help us make informed decisions and navigate these challenging times more effectively.
7 Dimension Analysis For OIL😇7 Dimension Analysis
Analysis Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Price Structure: Sideways to Bullish
🟢 Structure Initial Behavior: Choch Bearish
🟢 Move: Corrective
🟢 Inducement: Done
🟢 Pull Back Count: 1st
1st OB mitigated
Extreme OB unmitigated
Touch count 4, breakout from the range
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢TREND LINES: Act as Support
🟢CHART PATTERNS:
Flag: Signaling Continuation
Triple Bottom: Indicates a potential move to the long side
Rectangle Breakout: Confirms bullish sentiment
Fakeout: Strong demand signals after the breakout
CIP: Holding at rectangle resistance, now acting as support
Buildup: Bullish momentum after the rectangle breakout
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
Record Session Count: 7 buy candles, transitioning to sideways during buildup
Change in Guard: Noted at the end of the record session count
Momentum (Engulfing): Indicates potential bullish continuation
Engulfing: Classic bullish pattern at the bottom
Good Momentum: Observed at rectangle breakout
Narrow Range 4: Bullish breakout during the buildup phase
Inside Bar: Current candle forming, confirmation needed at closing
Todays Open High: Sustained for 4 hours
3️⃣ Volumes
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Zone: Superbullish yet
🟢 Range Shift: Sideways to Bullish
🟢 Divergence: Hidden 5-candle divergence indicates loss of momentum
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
Middle Band S/R: Strong support
Squeez: 60 candles in range, poised for a breakout inside the bulls
Squeez Breakout, Outside Upper Band: Bulls showing strength
Headfake: Price closed outside the lower band multiple times but quickly bounced back
M Pattern: 2nd leg forming, potential small correction toward middle band support
Open with Gap and Equal High: May indicate a correction
6️⃣ Strength ADX:
Main line under 20 shows overall consolidation, but bulls have some power
7️⃣ Sentiment ROC:
Rate of change for oil is in demand compared to all other commodities according to available data
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ Current Move: Impulsive, waiting for a valid high after corrective move
✔ Support Resistance Base: Hourly trendline and wick OB area acting as strong support
☑️ Candles Behavior: (to be monitored after correction)
☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Not yet
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Not yet
☑️ Final Comments: Awaiting correction completion before considering buy position
💡 Decision: Buy
🚀 Entry: 75
✋ Stop Loss: 73.5
🎯 Take Profit: 81.54
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:5
🕛 Expected Duration: 15 days
USOIL:Analysis today
According to the analysis of the chart, the market stopped falling and rebounded at the bottom line of 73.80 as scheduled yesterday, and it was already informed yesterday that there was a super main force bottom-hunting signal in the bottom area.
In terms of operation, we will continue the high-altitude and low-many thinking, and focus on doing more on dips
oil buy 75.0-75.5 tp 76.5-77.5
OPEC Forecasts Robust Oil Demand from India and China!Recently, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) released a groundbreaking report that sheds light on the promising future of the global oil market. The report highlights the continued surge in oil demand from two of the world's fastest-growing economies, India and China, well into 2024. This revelation opens up opportunities for us to capitalize on, and I believe it's time to act!
According to OPEC's comprehensive analysis, India's oil demand is projected to grow annually over the following years. This is primarily driven by the country's rapid industrialization, urbanization, and the ever-increasing consumption patterns of its burgeoning middle class. Similarly, China's oil demand is set to rise annually, fueled by its robust economic growth and ambitious plans for infrastructure development.
You might wonder, "How can I take advantage of this incredible potential?" Well, my fellow investors, the answer lies in seizing the opportunity to go long on oil for the long term. By positioning ourselves strategically, we can leverage the projected growth in oil demand from these economic powerhouses and reap substantial rewards in the coming years.
This call to action is not merely based on speculation; it is supported by OPEC's extensive research and analysis conducted by industry experts. Their forecasts have proven remarkably accurate over the years, making them a reliable source for informed investment decisions.
To ensure we maximize this golden opportunity, I encourage you to consider allocating a portion of your investment portfolio toward long-term oil positions. By doing so, we can align ourselves with the projected surge in demand from India and China, potentially unlocking significant returns on our investments.
As always, I urge you to conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before making investment decisions. While the oil market's future appears promising, it is crucial to stay informed and adapt our strategies as circumstances evolve.
In conclusion, dear investors, the OPEC report has unveiled a world of exciting possibilities for us to explore. By embracing the forecasted growth in oil demand from India and China, we can position ourselves favorably in the market and potentially achieve remarkable success in the long run.
Potential Cautious Impact of US Slowing Economy on Oil PricesAs an astute investor in the oil industry, I wanted to bring to your attention a recent development that could potentially affect the price of oil. The current state of the US economy, which has been exhibiting signs of slowing down, has the potential to cast a shadow over the oil market.
Over the past few years, the US economy has been a driving force behind the global oil demand, contributing significantly to the increase in oil prices. However, recent economic indicators, such as declining consumer spending and a manufacturing activity slowdown, suggest a potential downturn in the US economy. This, in turn, may have a dampening effect on oil prices.
Given the interdependence between the US economy and the oil market, it is crucial to approach the situation cautiously. While it is impossible to predict the exact impact on oil prices, it is reasonable to expect that the slowdown in the US economy could lead to a tighter range-bound movement in oil prices.
In light of this, I encourage you to closely monitor the developments in the US economy and their potential implications on the oil market. Consider diversifying your investment portfolio and exploring strategies to help mitigate potential risks associated with the current economic climate.
It is important to note that various factors influence the oil market, and the US economy is just one of them. Geopolitical tensions, supply-demand dynamics, and global economic conditions also significantly shape oil prices. Therefore, maintaining a well-informed and balanced perspective is essential when making investment decisions.
As always, I recommend consulting with your financial advisor or conducting thorough research before investing. By staying informed and proactive, you can position yourself to navigate the potential challenges and capitalize on the opportunities that may arise in the oil market.
Oil Prices Has Bear Channel and SMA So Wait It Out I wanted to draw your attention to an essential development in the oil market that warrants caution and careful consideration.
As you may be aware, oil prices have recently entered a bearish channel, indicating a downward trend in the market. Furthermore, the simple moving average (SMA) for oil prices has declined steadily over the past few weeks. When taken together, these two indicators suggest a potentially prolonged period of price decline in the oil market.
While it is understandable that such news may raise concerns and prompt immediate action, I encourage you to adopt a patient approach and wait it out before making any hasty decisions regarding your oil positions. It is crucial to remember that the oil market is highly volatile, often influenced by a multitude of factors, both geopolitical and economic.
Instead of succumbing to panic or being swayed by short-term fluctuations, taking a step back and assessing the broader picture is essential. Consider the long-term prospects of the oil industry, the potential impact of global events, and the evolving energy landscape. By doing so, you will be better equipped to make informed decisions that align with your investment goals.
In light of these recent developments, I urge you to take the following actions:
1. Evaluate your current oil positions: Carefully review your portfolio and assess the potential risks associated with your oil investments. Consider diversifying your holdings to mitigate potential losses and protect your overall investment strategy.
2. Stay informed: Closely on market trends, industry news, and expert analysis. You can make better-informed decisions and adjust your investment strategy accordingly by staying informed.
3. Consult with a financial advisor: Seek guidance from a qualified financial advisor specializing in the energy sector. Their expertise and insights can prove invaluable in navigating the complexities of the oil market and making strategic investment decisions.
Remember, investing in oil requires a cautious approach, especially during times of uncertainty. While the current bearish channel and declining SMA may appear discouraging, keeping a long-term perspective and not letting short-term fluctuations dictate your actions is crucial.
Join the Excitement - Add Oil to Your Trading Watchlist!As you may be aware, recent market conditions have created a tight physical market for oil, presenting a promising landscape for traders like us.
The sentiment surrounding oil has been significantly impacted by various factors, including the slow growth of the Chinese economy and the aggressive rate increases implemented by the Federal Reserve. These developments have pushed oil prices down, making it an ideal time for us to consider adding oil to our trading watchlist.
Now, I know what you might be thinking - with all the uncertainties and challenges in the market, why should I consider oil? Well, my fellow traders, it is precisely during times like these that intelligent traders can seize the opportunity to make significant gains. By closely monitoring oil and its movements, we can position ourselves to benefit from potential price fluctuations and capitalize on market trends.
So, I encourage you to put oil on your trading watchlist. Keep a close eye on the latest news, market reports, and geopolitical developments influencing oil prices. By staying informed and proactive, we can make well-informed trading decisions and maximize our potential profits.
Remember, trading is not just about taking risks; it's about calculated risks. By carefully analyzing market conditions, understanding the factors impacting oil prices, and utilizing effective trading strategies, we can confidently navigate the market and increase our chances of success.
To assist your trading journey, I recommend exploring reliable sources of information, such as industry publications, financial news outlets, and market analysis reports Collaborating and learning from others can be invaluable in refining your trading approach.
Oil has the potential to offer us substantial gains, and by putting it on your trading watchlist, you'll be well-positioned to seize these opportunities.
I encourage you to take action now and add oil to your trading watchlist. Stay informed, stay focused, and let's make the most of this tight physical market!
consolidation Until Apex BreakoutGood evening, here's another view of oil im currently monitoring the 4hr chart. After the retrace from the bearish cypher pattern. Oil retested B leg and bounced back up to the supply zone.
There's a apex that has formed, that is set to be completed by Late Thursday Futures session-Early Friday Futures Session. Oil is showing oversold w/ below the cloud action. I'm anticipating price action to rise into the apex til we get another final confirmed direction for this 4hr trade. There are a lot of traders looking to get into oil long near $65-67, i'm definitely a buyer if we get another chance at that level. However, I believe oil is set to reach $74 per barrel. The conclusion of the Apex trade will dictate if we go higher, or if patient dip buyers will be rewarded.
Oil continues to drop despite China rate changeThe price of oil has taken a significant hit due to China's decrease in demand. As we all know, China is an essential player in the oil market, and any rate changes can significantly impact the industry.
This news is disheartening. We have seen oil prices drop dramatically recently, leaving many investors uncertain about this market's future. However, I want to encourage you not to lose hope.
Despite the current challenges, investing in oil is still a wise choice. While the market may be volatile right now, we know that oil is a valuable resource that will always be in demand. The need for oil will only increase as the world grows and develops.
Oil continues to drop because of these market conditionsAs you are likely aware, the oil market has been experiencing a significant drop in prices in recent weeks, and this warning serves as a reminder of the potential risks involved in short selling during times of volatility.
Furthermore, we are also waiting for China's announcement of interest rate cuts, which could further impact the oil market. It is essential to remain vigilant and cautious during these uncertain times.
As an oil trader, I urge you to pause and carefully consider your actions before making any decisions that could significantly impact the market. We must all act responsibly and with caution to ensure the stability and sustainability of the oil market.
In conclusion, I encourage you to take heed of the warning issued by Saudi Arabia and approach the current market situation cautiously.
Will oil continue with strong China refinery output?There is some exciting news about the oil market that I believe will pique your interest.
As you may already know, China's refinery output grew by a whopping 15% in May, which has contributed to a surge in demand for oil. Additionally, OPEC+ decided to cut supply in May, and Saudi Arabia has announced that it will cut supply for July due to a supply deficit in times of high demand.
These factors have led to a rise in oil prices, which is excellent news for those interested in oil investing. As an oil trader, I encourage you to consider taking advantage of this opportunity to invest in oil and potentially reap the benefits of this market growth.
So, what are you waiting for? Don't miss this chance to capitalize on the rising oil prices. Act now and explore the world of oil investing.
Oil moves up with US inflation and China boosting economyIt's worth noting that oil prices early on Wednesday extended the substantial gains from Tuesday, which were driven by brighter inflation figures from the United States and evidence that China taking steps to boost its economic growth.
I hope this information is helpful. Please let me know if you have any questions in your comments.
Can oil demand bounced back to drive pack price? As you may have noticed, oil prices have recently ticked up on bargain hunting, but demand worries continue to weigh heavily on the market. While this may seem like a good investment opportunity, I urge you to exercise caution.
The global pandemic has caused unprecedented disruptions in the oil industry, and the future remains uncertain. Demand for oil is likely to remain suppressed for some time. In addition, the ongoing trade tensions between major economies could also impact the market.
Therefore, it is important to be mindful of the risks associated with investing in oil at this time. While there may be opportunities for short-term gains, the long-term outlook remains uncertain.
I encourage you to carefully consider your investment strategy and consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions. It is important to prioritize your financial well-being and make informed choices in these challenging times.
OIL dropped 1% as Fed call this draws uncertaintityI wanted to bring to your attention some recent developments in the oil and financial markets. Specifically, there are concerns about the impact of upcoming signals on the U.S. economy and monetary policy.
This week, we expect U.S. consumer inflation data to be released on Tuesday, which will likely factor into the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates on Wednesday. While the Fed is expected to keep rates steady, there is still some uncertainty because U.S. inflation is trending above the central bank's target range.
As a result, markets are remaining cautious about any potential hawkish moves. Additionally, the dollar has firmed in Asian trade, putting pressure on oil markets by making crude more expensive for international buyers.
I thought bringing these developments to your attention was essential, as they could impact this week's oil price. Please let me know if you have any questions or concerns via the comments.
OPEC+ could push up oil price as China is most important According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), OPEC+ may push up oil prices, but China remains the most essential factor in the market.
As we all know, China is the world's largest oil importer, and any changes in their demand can significantly impact global prices. With their economy recovering and demand increasing, now is the perfect time to invest in oil.
The IEA also predicts that global oil demand will continue to rise in the coming years, further supporting the case for investing in this market. As traders, we can take advantage of this trend and potentially see significant investment returns.
Therefore, I encourage you to consider investing in oil and taking advantage of this exciting opportunity.
UKOIL LONG IDEAI believe the price will fall and tag the
POC from PD and then bounce back up
PD buyer heavy
L50 in buy zone.
we could go long as the price opens above
POC and AVWAP
something like illustration on chart.
NOTE - Not yet tagged in the position.
maybe entry will present post London open.
OIL Made H&S Pattern ,Not Confirmed , Short After 4H Closure !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.