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Oilcrude

Buy crude oil at 80.43. The core of trading is not how much profit can be made in a single transaction, but whether one can achieve sustained and stable profitability over the long term. In the previous article, the strategy given for crude oil was to go long at 78.5, with the target at 80.5, and it was a perfect take-profit. Currently, the support level on the hourly chart is at 80.43, and waiting for a pullback without breaking the support level is a suitable choice. Current trading plan: Go long at 80.43 for crude oil, with a stop loss at 80.13 and a target at 81.50. I will remind you when the trading point is reached. Liking, commenting, and subscribing are the greatest encouragement for me. Follow me to make trading easier! You are also welcome to refer to other ideas below.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ice_and_Fire1
Ready to buy crude oil again. Friends who followed my previous article have already sold at the perfect profit point. As expected, the trend is up from 78.5 to 80.5. So, there are still opportunities in the oil market. Personally, I believe that the 1-hour chart will form support around $80 and then continue to rise. It's not far from the buy point now! I will update the specific trading strategy later. Liking, commenting, and subscribing are the greatest encouragement to me. Follow me to make trading easier! Also, welcome to check out my other ideas below.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ice_and_Fire1
China's turmoil, SPRs, and further deterioration in outlookIn our previous update on West Texas Intermediate crude oil, we updated our price target from long-term to medium-term. Additionally, we stated that this price target could soon become short-term, depending on oil market developments. Today, finally, USOIL hit a new yearly low at 73.62$, further confirming our bearish thesis. Accordingly, we continue to maintain our price target at 70$. Our views are based on a combination of fundamental and technical factors. We expect the global recession to weigh heavily on oil prices in the coming months. In addition to that, we expect the United States to offset any price increases with more releases of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR). As if it was not enough, turmoil in China also does not support the bullish narrative, putting higher prices at risk. The same applies to OPEC member countries that seek to increase their production despite a slowing economy. Overall, we have no reason to change our bearish outlook. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Illustration 1.02 The illustration shows the daily chart of USOIL, simple support/resistance levels, and two moving averages. At the moment, the price appears too far from these moving averages, likely foreshadowing a correction to the upside (as the price deviated too far from its MAs). Now, these MAs act as significant resistance levels. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
16
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Oil set for higher pricesTrade Idea: Buying Oil Reasoning: Head and shoulders setup still possible on the daily chart. Entry Level: 86.46 Take Profit Level: 92.66 Stop Loss: 83.43 Risk/Reward: 2.05:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
OLong
by Signal_Centre
WTI oil - Oil continues to drift lowerOver the past four months, we repeated that oil prices were peaking and the downside was looming over the oil market. Despite the excess of bullish calls forecasting new ATH for oil prices, we stuck to our bearish bias. Indeed, a few months ago, we set price targets of 100 USD, 95 USD, and 90 USD for USOIL. After hitting the first two price targets, we still remain bearish and maintain a price target of 90 USD for WTI oil. Our views are based upon technical and fundamental factors. Illustration 1.01 The picture above shows the daily chart of USOIL. Two moving averages, 20-day SMA and 50-day SMA, reflect the downtrend. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Illustration 1.02 The weekly chart of USOIL shows 20-week SMA and 50-week SMA. The 20-week SMA appears to be reversing to the downside, which is bearish. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
6
The oil goes overboard (2030-2040)Today's energy crisis is not a sign of strength of the oil companies, it is rather witness to the fact that the world economy has a very high productivity, still partly based on fossil fuels, but now moving towards properly renewable and alternative resources. I believe that the tops we will reach in the next few months will only accelerate the transformation into properly renewable energies. Oil demand will drop rapidly in the next decades, altough the demand will remain for some products (plastics, mechanics, etc.). This is not a trading recommendation, nor an advise to buy or sell anything.
TVC:UKOILShort
by Lobotto
🗣 O I L These are levels that I'll be keeping an eye on when dealing with USOIL, and I'll revise as price action progresses. I adapt to the change in money flow. This is a representation of greed in play when it comes to oil. However, I do believe in the coming months things will get very interesting due to price action's placement in the market, things that have taken place in the past that left clues for what can possibly come in the near future along with any fundamentals that can play a part in this as well. As of right now I feel as though it wouldn't be smart to execute any short orders due to the higher perspective showing strong bullish sentiment. I did notice that P.A. is currently in between two daily ranges, so it's not entirely impossible to sell, but I'm sure some would agree to stay on bull's side. What am I waiting to see happen? I'm anticipating for price to reach around $140 per barrel (can possibly take place between July/August) which will then form a double-top from a monthly perspective. That's also where price pivoted back in 2008, the potential profit margin stretches down to the $40 range which can be seen from the 3 & 6 month perspectives. The 1st area where I would look to lock in some profits would be around the $80 price point. Why? That's right above EQ within the monthly ranges that can be seen on the chart. In conclusion, at this time I would simply sit on my hands and wait until price reach key levels I'm interested in to then zero in on smaller perspectives in order to receive the "signal" to execute. Just my thoughts..
TVC:USOIL
by ChrisJTradesFX
USOIL - Russian oil ban = higher oil pricesMore than a week ago, we warned about potential EU's ban on Russian oil and the risk it poses for the higher price of oil. We suggested that this step would lead to higher prices of oil in the short-term. Just two days ago, Germany was reported to back a gradual ban on Russian oil. Because of that we abandon our short-term and medium-term price targets. Although, our long-term price target remains in place. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI points to the upside which is bullish; however, over the past few days, it shows choppy pattern. MACD oscillates near the midpoint; if it manages to break above it, then we expect it to bolster a bullish case for USOIL. Stochastic is bullish. DM+ and DM- are bearish but due to perform bullish crossover. ADX signals presence of no significant trend. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish for USOIL. Illustration 1.01 The illustration above shows the rectangle pattern - in which most of the choppy price action has been going on lately. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is neutral. MACD is highly elevated and flattening at the same moment, which makes it neutral. Stochastic reversed to the upside. DM+ and DM- show bullish conditions in the market. However, ADX's signals that these conditions deteriorated over the past four weeks. Overall, the weekly time frame is mixed. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOIL
by Tradersweekly
3
UsOil in your HandsPlease read the description below carefully We have Scenarios about oil And for now two of them is important ! In this analysis, it is assumed that wave 5 is extended ! scenario 1 : we in wave 4 and the pattern is Triangle ! So after Wave e ( close 93 ) complete, we have an impulse to complete wave 5 ( 140 or above ) scenario 2 : in this scenario, Wave 4 has a zigzag structure ( abc ) And wave c is completed near 84 ! If price broke 84 dollar and stabilizes below that, then Wave 5 was not extended And the peak is before the end of wave 5 and we enter a heavy correction which is given an analysis update. wish you all the bset !
TVC:USOIL
by ali_amoori
USOIL WTI Crude Oil TrendlineIf you haven`t bought the $94 pullback: Then you should know that USOIL in on a bullish trendline for this summer. UBS laid out three reasons for its $125 USOIL this summer: 1. Russian oil exports hurt by sanctions, which will further tighten global supplies. 2. Spare capacity brought in by OPEC is less than 2% of global demand. 3. Global oil demand still heading for record highs with Europeans and Americans returning to normal travel patterns once COVID-19 restrictions are lifted. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TVC:USOILLong
by TopgOptions
3
BCO LONG OIL WTI LONGOil Price forecast for March 2022. In the beginning price at 107.02 Dollars. High price 139.13, low 90.50. The average for the month 107.13. The Oil Price forecast at the end of the month 91.88, change for March -14.1%. Brent oil price forecast for April 2022. In the beginning price at 91.88 Dollars. High price 91.88, low 84.91. The average for the month 88.72. The Oil Price forecast at the end of the month 86.20, change for April -6.2%. Oil Price forecast for May 2022. In the beginning price at 86.20 Dollars. High price 92.91, low 86.20. The average for the month 89.21. The Oil Price forecast at the end of the month 91.54, change for May 6.2%. Brent oil price forecast for June 2022. In the beginning price at 91.54 Dollars. High price 98.68, low 91.54. The average for the month 94.75. The Oil Price forecast at the end of the month 97.22, change for June 6.2%. Oil Price forecast for July 2022. In the beginning price at 97.22 Dollars. High price 104.80, low 97.22. The average for the month 100.62. The Oil Price forecast at the end of the month 103.25, change for July 6.2%. Why Oil Crashed Back Below $100 After a torrid three-week rally, energy markets have entered correction mode, with prices moving sharply lower. Over the past week, Brent has slipped 30% from the 7 March intra-day high while European gas prices have declined 65%. Brent for May delivery settled at USD 106.90 per barrel (bbl) on 14 March, a w/w fall of USD 16.31/bbl, and moved below USD 100/bbl in early trading on 15 March. WTI for April delivery fell USD 16.31/bbl w/w to USD 106.90/bbl at settlement on 14 March, while the value of the OPEC basket fell by USD 15.84/bbl to USD 110.67/bl and by EUR 15.40/bbl to EUR 101.16/bbl. You can blame speculative overshoot for the unfolding scenario though the overall outlook remains bullish. According to Standard Chartered commodity analysts, the correction tells us more about market positioning and the effect of extreme volatility than it does about changes in fundamentals over the past week. The increase in volatility across financial and commodity markets has led to a sharp rise in the level of risk held by traders, and an associated incentive to close out some positions to lower the risk. Oil traders have mostly been positioned with a highly bullish bias in terms of both outright positions and spreads in recent weeks, meaning optimization in a higher-risk environment has mostly involved closing out prompt longs. With speculative shorts being very thin on the ground currently, there have been few natural buyers, and the downside has quickly opened up. While the price ranges involved have been rather extreme, recent price dynamics bear all the hallmarks of a textbook speculative overshoot followed by the correction necessary to reset extreme positioning. The irony of the situation is that the dominance among oil traders of the belief that prices could only move higher has led to a position from which market dynamics dictated that in the short term, prices could only go lower. Replacing Russian Oil Despite the positioning-led price fall, StanChart says that the key fundamentals are largely unchanged and are also subject to an unusually high level of uncertainty. According to commodity analysts at Standard Chartered, Russian oil flows to Europe can be replaced in the short term, with the short-term price implications of that displacement potentially capable of being minimized by the extent to which OPEC members increase output beyond their current OPEC+ targets, and also by the possibility of a successful conclusion to talks in Vienna that results in higher volumes of Iranian exports. The analysts have projected that consumer reluctance to buy from Russia coupled with shortages of capital, equipment, and technology will continue to depress Russian output over at least the next three years. Russian output is expected to fall by 1.612 million barrels per day (mb/d) y/y in 2022, and by a further 0.217mb/d in 2023, with the y/y decline peaking at 2.306mb/d in Q2-2022. To avoid significant upside price pressure, StanChart reckons that the market would require around 2mb/d extra supply for the remainder of 2022, and an additional 2mb/d in Q2 to ease the dislocations caused by the displacement of Russian oil. The temporary 2mb/d Q2 boost could come from strategic reserves, but the 2mb/d additional flow for the remainder of 2022 would likely need to come from OPEC sources (including potentially Iran). Market tightness is, however, being helped by the fact that withdrawal from Russian markets has been less dramatic than anticipated. So far, there are indications that some of the larger EU countries are less keen than countries in the east of the EU to pursue the fastest possible reduction in Russian oil flows. Outside of the EU, the UK’s ban on the import of Russian oil has proved less dramatic than the headlines that accompanied the initial announcement, as it does not take effect until the end of 2022. In the private sector, while several companies have given assurances they will buy no more Russian oil on the spot market, there have been very few indications given about if, when, and how they will cut the volume of Russian oil purchased through their term contracts. Meanwhile, statements from some governments and some companies do appear to have become less hawkish over the past week, with an apparent lengthening of the timespan envisaged for the process of reducing dependence. StanChart says that Russian oil trade into Europe appears to be moving further into the shadows of term contracts and a greater reliance on third-party trading intermediaries. That does not make trading with Russia any less distasteful for European public opinion, but it does make the trade less visible and thus likely keeps oil flows from Russia higher than they would have been with more direct government targeting of those flows.
OANDA:BCOUSDLong
by DaveBrascoFX
USOIL to $125 this summer, UBS saysOil hits two-week low but UBS is still bullish on Crude. UBS laid out three reasons for its $125 USOIL this summer: 1. Russian oil exports hurt by sanctions, which will further tighten global supplies. 2. Spare capacity brought in by OPEC is less than 2% of global demand. 3. Global oil demand still heading for record highs with Europeans and Americans returning to normal travel patterns once COVID-19 restrictions are lifted. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TVC:USOILLong
by TopgOptions
USOIL down 17.40%USOIL was down 17.40% yesterday in a sell-off caused by the news that OPEC is considering higher production levels. The United Arab Emirates said it would support boosting oil supply because of the disruptions caused by sanctions imposed on Russia after Ukraine`s invasion. President Biden imposed an immediate ban on Russian energy imports. UK would phase out imports by the end of 2022. Only OPEC Can Help The West Replace Russian Oil but until we see that, i think USDOIL will have another rally to $127 - $130. I think the market overreacted to the news.
TVC:USOILLong
by TopgOptions
2
$NOV - Oil Drilling Equipment SupplierIf you missed out on the oil and crude plays of recent weeks, this play might be for you. Oil drillers are allegedly feeling the pain of a worker shortage, and drilling equipment shortage. According to CNN , "They can't find people, and can't find equipment," said Robert McNally, president of consulting firm Rapidan Energy Group. "It's not like they're available at a premium price. They're just not available." NOV Inc. designs, constructs, manufactures, and sells systems, components, and products for oil and gas drilling and production, and industrial and renewable energy sectors worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Wellbore Technologies, Completion & Production Solutions, and Rig Technologies. So this equation is simple. NOV makes the drilling supplies that companies are so eager to find right now. The stock is also at historic lows. This could be a very fun play heading forward.
NYSE:NOVLong
by jaykenneyTRT
1