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Oil Update for 3/1/2022Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :) _________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________ Oil prices rose on Monday as the market began 2022 on a bullish note, with suppliers in the spotlight ahead of Tuesday's OPEC+ meeting, but rising COVID-19 cases dampening demand optimism. Brent crude was up 59 cents, or 0.76 %, to $78.37 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate oil futures in the United States rose 63 cents, or 0.84 %, to $75.84 per barrel. "Tightened Libyan supply ahead of an Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and Allies (OPEC+) meeting maintained market sentiments upbeat," said Abhishek Chauhan, head of commodities at Swastika Investmart Ltd. Libya's official oil company announced on Saturday that owing to maintenance on a critical pipeline connecting the Samah and Dahra fields, the country's oil output would be reduced by 200,000 barrels per day for a week. Meanwhile, four sources predict that OPEC+ will maintain to its plan of adding 400,000 barrels per day of supply in February. Oil prices surged about 50% last year, fueled by the global economic rebound from the COVID-19 pandemic depression and production restraint, even as infections hit all-time highs around the world. US crude is expected to average $71.38 a barrel in 2022, up from $73.31 in the previous month's consensus. Oil and natural gas rigs were installed in the United States for the 17th month in a row, as rising prices enticed some drillers back to the wellpad following last year's coronavirus-driven decrease in demand. As shown in a monthly report released on Thursday by the Energy Information Administration, U.S. crude oil production increased to 11.47 million barrels per day in October, up 6% from the previous month, as output climbed in the Gulf of Mexico as the region recovered from storms. This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice. If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !! Thank you for reading.
TVC:USOIL
by GabiDahduh
Oil Next BullRun ?? Hey Guys, This is a very similar setup to my Silver trade were they're showing signs of recovery and possible reversal to continue larger trends. Oil has now re-entered the channel it has been in since March and showing great strength busting past the 150 day MA with the trend line. on the on the smaller time frame it has broken out of its Bull Flag pattern so that means more upside to come. It has burnt off a lot of excess in the RSI giving it room to make a big push to my target at $83.75 target where it should take a breather on that resistance line. There is Still a downward trend line to beat for the move to confirm so possibly wait for that but I'm pretty convinced it will break. 3% risk to 15% reward With the warrants I'm buying its a: profit 30% loss 6%
OLong
by jackwheeler
WTI Falls 13% In A Day; The Battle For The Price Of Oil ContinueThe price of oil dropped 13% on Friday (26/11/21), marking the commodities worst single day in 2021. A drop in oil prices this large was last seen in January/February 2020, when WTI was making its way down to unprecedented negative per barrel territory. No one expects oil to veer this low again, but the comparison to 2020 is apt, with Coronavirus responsible for the commodity’s downfall on both occasions. New Coronavirus variant discovered in South Africa An effort to lower the price of oil had begun before the new Coronavirus strain, named the Omicron variant, appeared. Led by the US, a strategic release of Oil reserves was being enacted or considered by members of the International Energy Alliance (IEA) in an attempt to lower the price of oil, which they saw as hampering their respective economic recoveries. It has been claimed that the strategic release would have little effect on the oil price, as the quantity to be released is half of the world’s daily consumption. Yet, oil has fallen from its 2021 highs of US ~$85 per barrel since the announcement. In response, OPEC+ was said to be reconsidering its plan output increase to counter the strategic reserve release by the US and its IEA allies. The OPEC+ rumours helped plug some of the losses oil was experiencing, but not enough to stop consistent weekly losses in the commodity’s price. By Friday, oil had rung up five weeks of straight price decreases. Is the Omicron threat overshooting the fair price of oil? The Omicron variant is possibly the worst coronavirus variant known, as reported by the BBC. However, uncertainty exists as to how vaccine resistant, virulent, and deadly the strain is compared to its predecessors. As such, countries quickly moved to restrict travel from South Africa, reminiscent of January/February 2020, when international travel came to a screeching halt, and the price of oil fell from US $63 per barrel to sub-zero. Countries that have placed travel restrictions on South Africa (and other African nations) include the US, the UK, and Germany. As of writing, WTI is trading at US $68.16 per barrel, as mentioned above, 13% lower than Thursday’s price. Two questions come to mind: Has the market reacted too severely to the threat posed by Omicron? Can the strategic release of oil by IEA nations now be halted or pared back? Regarding the former, Goldman notes that Omicron should have only warranted a ~6.5% drop in the price of oil and that the commodity should quickly recoup some of Friday’s dip. Regarding the latter, it might not be too late to turn this tap off. IEA nations have pledged to release as much as 80 million barrels of oil, with 50 million of these barrels coming from the US. However, a genuine commitment from IEA members has yet to be agreed upon, with discussions still underway as of Friday.
TVC:USOIL
by BlackBull_Markets
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (19th October 2021)USOIL keeps climbing higher. However, we are growing little bit worried that price is too high at the moment. In our opinion it would be healthy for price to correct before further rise. We think that correction could take price as low as 76 USD. In medium-term and long-term we remain bullish , however, in short-term we voice our concerns. We would not be surprised to see quick drop with subsequent retracement and resumption of uptrend. Several indicators are flashing warning signals and because of that we would like to change our short-term stance to neutral. Technical analysis RSI is overbought. We will observe it closely and we will look for crossover below 70 points which we expect to be accompanied by selling pressure. Despite that Stochastic and MACD continue to be bullish . DM + and DM- are also bullish . ADX continues to grow which means that trend is strenghtening. Support and resistance Short-term support/resistance sits at 82.15 USD. Support 1 lies at 79.76 USD and Support 2 sits at 76.65 USD. Major resistance sits at 85 USD. Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
TVC:USOIL
by Tradersweekly
15
Oil Long SetupOil Long Setup - 3 Levels 🔵 Entry Level: $82.89 🟢 Take Profit: $85.29 (2.26) ⛔ Stop Loss: $81.83 🔵 Entry Level: $81.21 🟢 Take Profit: $84.35 (3.78) ⛔ Stop Loss: $80.38 🔵 Entry Level: $80.31 🟢 Take Profit: $82.83 (3.27) ⛔ Stop Loss: $79.54 Reasons: 1) I've marked the three levels of interest that I have for opening long orders. I will be monitoring each one BEFORE opening a trade, so I don't have them set as limit orders yet. 2) For Level 1 I would like to see a double bottom forming. If it doesn't I am inclined to set a limit for Level 2. 3) I am certainly setting a limit order for Level 3 if I see the other two levels fail, since that diagonal trend line in the ascending channel so far has been well respected. If it doesn't hold up, I will be looking for opening shorts only.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDELong
by Quant_
OIL Breaking out of the bull flag or another fakeout?Hello and welcome to my post ! OIL is still in a strong uptrend and we are just breaking out from a bullflag. We are getting strong resistances from EMA100 and MA200. Something worth mentioning is the purple boxes on the chart, they are indicating previously fake out areas, a think that might happen if the price action dosent break the previously mentioned resistances. If we continue from here the break of the bull flag strongly the target is 72$. Indicators: The combination of the overbought SRSI and the mid level RSI suggest a strong momentum for the bulls. Don't forget to protect yourself with proper Risk Management. Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market ! Feel free to ask anything in the comments or send me a message ! Thank you for reading my post,if you liked the idea you can support with a like and a follow have a great day !
O
by AM.98
6
Crude Trend analysisDue to a supply scarcity, rising gas and coal prices are gradually driving utilities to convert from gas and coal to fuel oil. Oil-fired power stations have started up in Sweden. Oil demand will be boosted further by the United States' announcement that the travel ban for fully immunized international visitors would be abolished in November. This could result in a big recovery in jet fuel consumption by the end of the year. "US oil producers are battling to regain output, "The Mars and Ursa platforms in the Gulf of Mexico will be shut down until the end of2021, according to Royal Dutch Shell. According to Bloomberg projections, this would cut supplies by about 300,000 barrels."
TVC:USOILLong
by meelbijendra
USOIL a possible breakout soon Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :) _________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________ The Crude Oil market has shown itself to be resilient as we had initially pulled back but now are turning around to show signs of life again. In the last 2 weeks, the market has been moving sideways between a Resistance located between 70.40 - 71.04 and a Support of 68.27 - 66.79. The price has increased from the last drop that happened last month in August by 15% where the market was trading near the 61$ range. Could this movement be the start of a Bearish long-term trend ?? Notice on the chart that for the last couple of months we've been having lower Tops and lower Bottoms, So if we look at the big picture of the market right now it seems that the market is having a corrective wave at the moment but a certain drop will most likely happen soon. But Technical Analysis shows that the market is still in a Bullish state. Possible Scenarios for the market : Scenario 1 : The market is having its corrective wave right now and trading near the resistance zone extended from 70.40 - 71.04, If the Bulls were able to group up and gather their power then we might see a breakout happening in that zone which could lead the market back up to the 73.84 resistance level. The market has formed 3 Outside up candlestick pattern (Strong Bullish Sign). Scenario 2 : Looking at the chart we notice that we are having some kind of a Bearish trend (It Could be Small it Could be BIg) and the price has reached the edge of the resistance zone, which could indicate that the bounce down from that zone will happen and it will drop the price to the 68.27 Level, Where the support zone start. A battle will happen between the Bulls and Bears and the Bears will win if it turns out that the bearish move is big, and a further drop will happen which could lead the market back to the 60$ level in the next 2 months. Technical indicators show : 1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign) 2) The RSI is at 56.00 showing strength in the market. No divergences were found between the indicator and the market. 3) The MACD is above the 0 line which indicates that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line. Daily Support and Resistance : support Resistance 1) 69.76 1) 70.40 2) 69.35 2) 70.63 3) 69.12 3) 71.04 Weekly Support and Resistance : support Resistance 1) 68.27 1) 70.63 2) 66.79 2) 71.51 3) 65.91 3) 72.99 Fundamental point of view : At the beginning of the week, OPEC ( Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries ) will release the latest monthly oil market report. WTI crude oil prices have been weakening since July. This comes amid concerns about the global growth outlook as the Covid Delta variant has been sapping demand woes. US retail sales may also stir volatility, especially if Covid shows increasing signs of making its way into the economy. Earlier this week OPEC decided to increase output by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) for the month of October, in line with its gradual plan to reintroduce supply into international markets after drastically withdrawing supply at the start of the pandemic. According to Dailyfx This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice. If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !! Thank you for reading.
TVC:USOIL
by GabiDahduh
Technical analysis update: WTI oil (22nd July 2021)On 20th July 2021 USOIL halted its decline at 65.11 USD per barrel. Price traveled back to its short term simple moving average. Simultaneously, RSI reversed above 30 points, not piercing oversold line. This phenomenon tends to accompany strong trends of higher degree. In regards to oil it suggests that bullish trend of higher degree remains intact. MACD is flattening out. We think there are high odds of that correction ceased already. Our medium term price target remains 77.50 USD and our long term price target remains 80 USD per barrel. Developements from 20th July 2021: Here we announced that OPEC deal would be bullish in medium and long term for price of oil. This is mainly due to clearing out uncertainties about future supply boosts to the market. We also hinted at possibility of WTI oil going towards 65 USD under selling pressure. We also stated that any price below 67 USD per barrel would be attractive entry point for taking long position. Prior developements from 5th July 2021: Here we stated that we remain bullish despite increasing odds of correction. We set medium price target to 77.50 USD and long term price target to 80 USD. More prior developements from 1st June 2021: Here we correctly predicted move above resistance and subsequently reached our short term price target of 70 USD. Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
TVC:USOILLong
by Tradersweekly
Halliburton HAL Continues To RiseSupporting News: Kuwait oil company selected Halliburton for digital transformation projects Crude oil climbed to their highest level since October 2018, on continued optimism about recovering demand as coronavirus restrictions continue to be relaxed in the U.S. and many parts of the world. Halliburton HAL rebounded from the lower boundary of the channel in addition to holding above the exponential moving averages. Price could target $24.85 and $26.00 consecutively.
NYSE:HALLong
by AlyaAkram
OILUSD On A Short Term ConsolidationHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow. Oil is consolidating on 57$ to 61$ region for the last days, not much is happening but opportunity's are everywhere. First of all what is consolidation ? Consolidation is generally market indecisiveness, which ends when the asset's price moves above or below the trading pattern. A consolidation pattern could be broken for several reasons, such as the release of materially important news or the triggering of a succession of limit orders. We can trade this region with a pretty simple plan. A break and a candle close of the resistance will lead us to the upside target. A break and a candle close of the support will lead us to the downside target. Also trading within the range is possible by just longing the support and shorting the resistance. Be on alert for important news about oil with the current world situation that can change the whole analysis with a sudden move. Thank you for reading my post, have a great day, wish you all the best ! Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market. Feel free to ask anything in the comments :)
O
by AM.98
10
Oil at a significant resistanceDuring the past month, Oil reached a significant resistance level of $67. As someone should expect the price fell back sharply to $63 and to $58 within two weeks of time. Then the price started rising again and finally at $61 level. Oil has to pass two significant resistance levels to continue the bullish trend. The first is at $62 and the second one is around $63. If Oil can close the price above $63, or keep the price above $63 for two market sessions Oil could go to retest the level at $67. The most likely scenario is Oil would continue the downtrend movement until it reaches $57.5 and $55.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by titusj
CrudeOil Breaks Out Of From The Up Trend Channel Hello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow. Oil price broke the lower trend line of the ascending channel, for the moment i am looking for a retest of the broken trend line as we found support at 59$ and the indicators showing strength to the upside. As market moves i will updating this post stay tuned. Thank you for reading my post, have a great day, wish you all the best ! Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market. Feel free to ask anything in the comments :)
O
by AM.98
1