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Oilforecast

How Iran's nuclear deal could crush sure of victory oil bullsOPEC wants to support the oil price by reducing production. At the same time, we hear from Iran that the nuclear agreement talks are progressing, if the talks are a success, in the near future Iran could again export oil to the wider world. Last week we heard from the U.S. side that an agreement with Iran could not be reached. Today Iran has released a U.S. American (accused of spying) and yesterday announced that the talks in regards to the nuclear deal are (well) progressing and they could soon access their sanctioned funds. Coincidences? There aren't. Looks like europe/U.S & Iran are very close to sign an agreement, which might surprise oil bulls. If Iran resumed large scale exports, all OPEC members would come under very heavy pressure. I expect the price to rise until a potential iran nuclear agreement is forged, and if forged, leading to a potential oversupply of oil and an avoid of recession (global/europe) Disclaimer: The information mentioned in my post should be taken with a grain of salt. They are only my personal opinion and do not form facts. They are also not a call or recommendation to open trades, do trades or close positions.
TVC:UKOIL
by Lobotto
1
Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ Analyze!!!Brent Crude ⛽️ Oil ⛽️ has passed the main wave W by Zigzag structure (5-3-5). Oil could finish Expanding Flat (3-3-5) or Main wave X at 138.03$ . Of course, the War can change my Scenario, but I don't expect Oil to break 177$ . I expect the Brent Crude Oil to go DOWN at least to the upper line of Descending Channe & Support Zone . Brent Crude Oil Analyze ( USDBRO ) Timeframe Monthly (Log Scale) 🔴 Resistance Zones 🔴 & 🟢 Support Zone 🟢 that we have in front of Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ . 🔴 Resistance Zone 🔴: 147$ until 135$ 🔴 Resistance Zone 🔴: 178$ until 159$ 🟢 Support Zone 🟢: 88.6$ until 83.3$ Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy , this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
FX_IDC:USDBRO
by pejman_zwin
6
USOIL - Similarities between 2008 and nowLast week, our short-term price target of 80 USD was reached. Because of that, we would like to reiterate that we remain bearish on USOIL. In addition to that, we maintain our long-term price target of 70 USD. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the similarity between the oil price pattern in 2008 and now. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, Stochastic, and MACD are bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
25
OIL Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September OIL Weekly Volatility Forecast 26-30 September Currently our volatility for OIL is at 6.6%, increasing from 4.7% last week, located on 100th percentile, placing us in a THE HIGHEST volatility environment Based on the previous calculations, there is currently a 15.5% chance that the asset is going to break the channel(the weekly candle it will close above/below) TOP 83 BOT 75.5 At the same time, based on the previous calculations: - There is a 30% chance that the previous high from last week of 86.6 is going to be touched - There is a 70% chance that the previous low from last week 78.02 is going to be touched(at the moment of the writing was already touched) We can deduct that we have a much higher probability to have a continuation of bearish candle than bullish. On average the weekly candle when the asset was located around this percentile are 4.5% for bull candles and 5.1% for the bear candles from the opening price. From the fundamental point of view, news that can affect this asset price this week: - Core Durable release, CB Consumer confidence and Powell Speech for Tuesday 27 Sep - Powell Speech for Wednesday 28 Sep - US GDP coming on Thursday 29 Sep Overall I believe for this week there is higher chance due to the overall global activity to have another bearish weekly candle.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by exlux
USOIL | Price Is Falling Despite The Energy CrisisUSOIL | Price Is Falling Despite The Energy Crisis It is strange that despite the energy crisis that all the countries are facing and the high inflation the USOIL is still very strong. It looks like it is moving down to the previous price levels close to $60 on the bigger picture. The market is still speculating a lot about the problem that with the economic recession the OIL price should decrease However, never knows what really is happening after the USOIL considering that it has been all the time on the opposite direction with the fundamental perspective. Thank you and Good Luck!
TVC:USOILShort
by KlejdiCuni
15
WTI Crude Oil OPEC+ Token Supply CutOPEC+ unexpectedly decided to cut output in October by 100,000 barrels a day. Emily Ashford (Standard Chartered analyst): “Last month’s adjustment provided a nod to the demands of the consumers, this monthly adjustment is a small nod to the concerns of the producers,” Deepening energy crisis in Europe after Russian energy giant Gazprom PJSC said gas flows along a key pipeline to Germany would not resume. In this economic context my short term price target for WTI Crude Oil is $99. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TVC:USOILLong
by TopgOptions
3
USOIL Sep 2022 W.1: F&T ForecastFundamental Forecast -There are several stories unfolding in the energy space that should keep volatility elevated across energy markets, none of which are likely to find any permanent resolution anytime soon. -Net-long positioning in the oil futures market remains near its yearly low, and its lowest level since August 2016. -The IG Client Sentiment Index suggests that crude oil prices have a mixed trading bias Technical Forecast The trade ideas are derived from the both the monthly and weekly time frames. On the monthly, the price recently closed with a bearish candle below the mini double top neckline and in between the short-term moving averages, dis-confirming the bullish half a bat pattern and the moving averages bullish trend, in confirming a bearish drop for the 3rd Monthly Key Lvl/Monthly Neckline 3 together with the 21/50 moving averages. Monthly Chart: Weekly Chart rundown: As you see in the first chart image, we're looking a 3 possible scenarios that will either confirm or disconfirm the bearish bias. Starting with how it will be rejected, the price will do so after it has bullish broke and retested the Weekly Neckline together with the 50 and 8 moving average. If it bounces off the 2nd Daily Key with a bearish candle formation that leads the price to bearish break and retest the 1st Weekly Key Lvl either on the current or lower time frame, that will trigger and fully confirm the bearish trend. That's it for today. I hope you gained value from this trade idea. If you have a different concept in mind, feel free to share it in the comments section. I'd love to know your thoughts! Stay Blessed, Sphatrades.
TVC:USOILShort
by Doji-2k1
2
WTI BULLISH OUTLOOKWTI rose in value in response of potential OPEC+ cuts and conflict in Libya. This possibility of supply cuts was enough to offset the effect of the strong US dollar. WTI broke the resistance line of the ascending triangle pattern, a bullish outlook, supported as well by the RSI and MACD indicators. The instrument might test its previous support level at 99.70, but if the break turns out to be false, the instrument might test its previous support at 94.70 Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by legacyFXofficial