Oil looking weak After a correction push it now resting at 67-66 zone
Upside breakout of that white zone could be choppy
Down side breakdown could be smooth
Just about the probability for more chances of easy flow (is downward)
Analysed based on technical charts (considering) daily, 4h, 1h time frame
Oilforecast
Analyzing RECAF and USOIL Recently, USOIL and RECAF have both taken a tumble. Named "The Hottest Oil Play in Decades," we surely have more to see from RECAF in 2021 and 2022.
As you can see, USOIL's candlestick progression is clearly notated by the dark grey line displaying price action on the front.
Experts predict USOIL to bottom around $55-60 USD. After that, experts predict OIL to stabilize around $65-80 USD levels. The ultimate top predicted is $100. This would lead to gas prices around $4/gallon for your Suburu's fill up. At around $2.50, we still have plenty of room to run. However, Biden's administration has asked for lower gas prices for now, as the economy continues to recover from COVID. Will the Oil Barons be able to produce more oil to lower gas prices, or will we see gas prices once again rising up? I wouldn't put it out the question.
ACTION PLAN:
Currently, RECAF is still in a bear pattern, though we still a slight uptick today as price actions grapples for the last few bites of the bear.
1. Can RECAF's stock price go down to the most favorable price target for longs, $1.80-3.50 USD? Formidable support levels lie here, protecting it from falling lower.
2. Or will we remain in a bottoming formation pattern around $4.75-5.25 USD? The median price is $6.20 USD and that may be met sooner or later.
Overall long price target for long-term holders: $12.81 USD
Feel free to write your thoughts in the comments as well.
Breaking: The OPEC report is issuedOPEC monthly report was issued a few minutes ago, and the report was not positive for OPEC+ and the oil-producing countries within the group, led by Saudi Arabia. OPEC kept its forecast for oil demand in 2021 unchanged at an increase of 6 million barrels per day, bringing the average to 96.6 million barrels per day, and also kept its forecast for the growth of oil demands in 2022 by 3.3 million barrels per day, bringing the average production to 99.86 million barrels per day.
While OPEC+ raised its expectations for an increase in the production of oil-producing countries outside the group by 840 thousand barrels per day, to reach an increase of 2.9 million barrels per day, with a total average of 66.9 million barrels per day in 2022.
It also raised its forecast for the production growth of oil-producing countries outside the group in 2021 by 270,000 barrels per day to reach 1.1 million barrels per day, with a total average of 64 million barrels per day.
Has Oil's uptrend come to an end?My short answer is no. Oil hasn't peaked yet in my opinion, although in the short term it might chop between 63-77$ before a big breakout. As OPEC+ has decided to increase production, we might slowly see the effects of that + there are some general deflationary pressures like new Covid strains and endless lockdowns that might push oil lower in the short term.
However in my opinion due to the ESG movement and the climate change proponents in general, the underinvestment in oil + forced production cuts due to protests might limit supply so much that if demand slowly increases the price of oil could skyrocket.
Technically Oil is still in an uptrend and its more than a decade long bear market has come to an end. Speculators were flushed out but oil has manage to hit some key levels which if broken might attract more speculative capital in the market. Above 77$, 90$ is a very easy target and we could see it go even to 100$+. In the short term if there is a panic across all markets and we get a strong dip everywhere, I think oil could get to 42-55$, which in my opinion would be an incredible opportunity.
Oil around 50$ is ok for allowing for more global growth, but it is also signaling slow growth. Low oil prices could translate in lower bond yields which would mean deflation which would allow the status quo to remain.
OIL speculative A-B-C short setup- if you follow this setup, do not overleverage
- do not use more than 1% of your balance
simple and effective:
-speculative setup
-short at point B between R1-M Pivot and 88.2 fibonacci
-target between S2-M Pivot, 1.809 and 2 trend based fib
-TP +15% gains
-RR 8.58
-updates will follow
-like so you don't miss anything
-follow me for more
good luck
not a trading recommendation or a investment advice
just my own opinion
USO: TurmOIL!🪔🪔🪔The discussions at the tables at the OPEC+ conference do not end, and it shows. We expect the course to drop for quite a bit now. In total, the correction should end somewhere between $41.29 and $39.27, before new bullish runs set in. Once that happens, prices above $59.35 will be targeted.
Let’s go Bears!
Oil still going up ? 1W analysis Hello everyone , as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
The WTI/USD closed at 74.64 last week dropping from 75.28 but the market is showing great strength , and the bears trying to stay in control . The market seems to be moving in an upward channel between the range of 83 and 63 with no breakouts yet . no signs of a reversal pattern yet .
for the daily basis seems like the price might drop a bit , but on a weekly chart the data is telling us that the market seems to be getting some momentum , where indicators are telling us the movement is still bullish , lets check that data :
1_Market price trending above then 10MA , 20MA and the EMA (bullish sign).
2_RSI at 71.31 sitting in overbought zone and showing great strength in the market (bullish sign).
3_MACD creating a positive crossover with the market price (bullish sign).
Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1_71.43 1_77.66
2_68.07 2_80.53
3_65.20 3_83.89
Fundamental point of view :
Margaret Yang stated that :
Crude oil prices pulled back slightly during Monday’s APAC mid-day session after rising 3.5% over the last two days. The emergence of the Delta variant of Covid-19 is threatening a new round of lockdowns around the world, casting a shadow over the outlook for energy demand. A stronger US Dollar also weighed on commodity prices.
"Meanwhile, unresolved deadlock between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) remains a wildcard in the oil market. Traders are worried that escalated disputes may reignite a price war among OPEC+ members and hammer oil prices. On the other hand, a resolution may lend support for prices to aim at higher levels. This is because the planned 400k bpd production hike marks only a small fraction of an estimated global supply shortfall of 3 million bpd by the end of this year."
Oil and gas production is becoming a tedious business, like coal mining or nuclear power, after the hype of previous years. Weekly data shows an increase in drilling activity in the US oil and gas sector. However, new rigs are only enough to maintain production at 11m BPD since last September, after the peak in March 2020 above 13m b/d. Even two-year highs in prices and extremely favourable financial conditions on the markets do not inspire active expansion. Without the US as a contender for market share, the main balancing force is the OPEC cartel, whose overall policy is well within the new "standards" of boring oil producers: high dividends and slow-growing supply. If the production boom is behind us, we should expect a price boom along with a demand boom.
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This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view , not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask
Thank you for reading.
OIL- OPEC Deal or No Deal?What a lovely day this is, what a fantastic thing Technical Analysis is.
Yes, we took profit perfectly today on what was a rather easy and predictable trade.
The price dropped minutes later from resistance to support and off from support bouncing back up at the moment.
What is important to understand now is the fundamentals.
Oil price surge triggers new inflation fears as Opec talks break down
The United Arab Emirates refused Saudi Arabia’s demands to increase production, leaving the meeting collapsing with no decision.
Some analysts are now predicting oil will climb to $100 a barrel. Economists said surging oil prices threaten to destabilise the world economy’s fight back from the Covid doldrums. As well as being key to the cost of powering factories, oil and its associated products form a key element in most consumer goods...
Check the idea below and remember who the greatest Bull of ALL TIMES is...(inflation)
USOIL 13/06/2021 - WEEKLY FORECAST TF 2HHello Traders!
While Penguins are on the hunt, you can easily join them as well!
It is easy, all you need to do is to collect the hearts and watch for the eye signs.
Heart in the box - a place to take profits
Eye sign - spot to jump in, or watch
Penguin - expected direction
Have fun with it, and remember - this game is about the patience. Keep yourself cool.
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GOD BLESS U ALL !!!
Global view Crude Oil. Hello trenders,
I am not really into futures but I like to see the future :)
What I just saw is not pleasent, we are into a bearish channel and on top of it.
So down we go with a long bearish trend.
Retest failed, all indicators in a bubble ready to explode.
Dollar loosing its power is another factor that confirms the idea.
Check the larger view under.
M.M.M Make Motherfuc.in Money
Be wise: don´t work for the money, make your money work for you.