Oillong
Are You Seeing What I'm Seeing?Hey trader, I hope you're having a profitable week ;)
The price is currently running in the bearish H&S L2 as well as below the 50 and bearish crossed short-term MA's. Usually when the price is in a patterns L2, it drops (or rallies) for the L3 after closing with a reversal candle pattern or breaking and retesting the levels support/resistant. But for that to happen, the short-term MA's must be crossed in direction of the market maker patterns trend. So in this situation, both the pattern and MA's are supporting a bearish trend. But it may not occur. The price will reject the drop after it has bullish broke and retested the 3rd Monthly Key and 8 MA or the first trades stop loss key level. With that said, enter these trades at your own risk!
That's it for today. I hope you found value in this article. If you have a different concept in mind, feel free to share it in the comments section, I'd love to know your thoughts!
Stay Blessed Baby,
Sphatrades.
Extra Cash For Christmas HolidayHey trader, I hope you having a profitable week. If not, try this:
But first, let me explain how these trades will be triggered. If the price bearish bounces off the 4H Half a Bat Neckline, 50 and short-term MA’s with a bullish reversal candle close (1st trade signal), then proceeds to bullish break and retest the (Possible) 4H H&S Neckline (2nd trade signal); according to the 4 Hour: the price would be or have formed a head and shoulde pattern and in prep to rally for its 3-level trend; and according to the daily: the price would be bouncing off the 50 and 8 MA’s - in prep to rally for the double bottoms L1, so once that hapens, then I should BUY → E.1 - E.2
That's it for today. I hope you found value in this article. If you have a different concept in mind, feel free to share it in the comments section (below), I'd love to know your thoughts!
Stay Blessed Baby,
Sphatrades.
OIL BEARISH DOWNTREND $$$Oil has been consistently declining since its last top, trading in a descending channel with lower highs and lower lows. I've highlighted the key areas of support and resistance for oil to help you see the broader picture. You may take advantage of this if you want to swing trade in the channel.
Visualising victory for Ukraine and the oil pricesBack in February, when Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine, a victory for Kyiv would have been almost impossible to imagine. It's the classic David and Goliath. Recent developments on the battlefront, however, are starting to paint a different picture, showing the possibility of Ukraine ending the conflict with a win.
On paper, the war is just between Ukraine and Russia. Its implications, on the other hand, knew no bounds and it demanded to be felt across the globe bringing about economic uncertainties and causing supply chain disruptions. While it did not start the energy crisis, the invasion surely made the situation worse.
Nearly seven months into the war, people are hoping it will be over soon. Along with these hopes is the dream that the underdog (and innocent party) will claim the victory.
Win for Ukraine
Earlier in September, Ukrainian forces managed to recapture swaths of lands in the country's northeast that a few months earlier have been taken over by Russia. Considering this and the possibility that China's tacit support for Russia could be waning, it seems like momentum is on the side of Ukraine.
If that indeed happens, it could mean good things not just for Ukraine but probably for the rest of Europe. Orysia Lutsevych, in an opinion piece for The Guardian, wrote that a victory for Ukraine is vital for Europe to be able to live in peace and work collectively to meet global challenges. Considering the support that a majority of the remainder of Europe and countries in other parts of the world have thrown behind Ukraine, defeat would further entice Russia to flout international law and the sovereignty of other nations.
"The restoration of Ukrainian territorial integrity and, ultimately, peace will mean the collapse of Putinism as a doctrine and an end to Russian claims to territorial dominance elsewhere in eastern Europe and Central Asia," Lutsevych added.
On the other hand, a victory for Russia would validate the country's aggressiveness and fuel its desire to further expand its territory. Russia uses newly conquered territories to stage further conflicts and a Ukraine victory would prevent that from happening. Aside from preventing future wars, a victory for Ukraine is also expected to reduce the risk of a mass famine and even restore the stability of economies that have been affected by the sanctions imposed on Russia for instigating the conflict.
What happens to oil when Ukraine wins the war?
When the war started, the price of oil surged past the $130 per barrel mark for the first time since 2008. The Brent benchmark neared the record high of $147 in March exacerbated by the conflict.
Almost seven months into the war, the prices of oil somehow stabilized and is now at ~$90 per barrel for Brent crude as concerns about weaker economic growth and demand drag prices down.
European countries have also been forced to impose price caps on electricity and oil and come up with new taxes for energy companies in order to support their people amid the ongoing energy crisis in the region. Many countries have also started finding alternative energy sources to compensate for the supply cut off from Russia.
Russia has been using the energy crisis as another ploy in its grand battle scheme. Earlier in September, Vladimir Putin said: "We will not supply anything at all if it is contrary to our interests. No gas, no oil, no coal, no fuel oil, nothing."
The potential impacts to the energy market of a Ukraine victory would depend on how Russia will take its defeat. Will it be a gracious loser and choose to capitalize on rebuilding bridges with countries that have been beneficiaries of its supply or a petty loser that will continue to lock in supply for it to use and to sell to select buyers who are probably allies and supporters?
WTI BULLISH OUTLOOKWTI rose in value in response of potential OPEC+ cuts and conflict in Libya. This possibility of supply cuts was enough to offset the effect of the strong US dollar.
WTI broke the resistance line of the ascending triangle pattern, a bullish outlook, supported as well by the RSI and MACD indicators.
The instrument might test its previous support level at 99.70, but if the break turns out to be false, the instrument might test its previous support at 94.70
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USOIL support reached, could get slippery for shortsIf they don't break 90, it's a buy. Inverted head and shoulders points to a target of 104-105. If the market rallies from here, Oil likely will as well, but we'll see about both quite soon. My feeling is it should continue up to correct the massive move down and this is the price to try a long. Good luck!
Oil Back to 100$ a barrelOil has had some strong buying volume around 85-86$ a barrel. Starting to break out of the downward slope to create a new higher low pattern.
If Iran doesn't except the deal the price of oil will pull back above 100$ a barrel
-Russia might also cut of demand for EU
-USA is going to stop adding supply in September because their reserves are running low
-Anything about 93.00 i would be going long TVC:USOIL
oil is going to ready to jump oil is ready to complete terminal as c in last lag of flat in d lag of big triangle
buy opportunity in 80-83 dollar for 140 dollar at least
oil bearish retest. So oil yesterday managed to pull a double top with a fake breakout and sellers stepped in hard. Oil is very bearish considering inflation is also topped out. so its bouncing off its lower descending wedge trendline and should be moving up to test its order block for a bearish retest before more downside.
CRUDE OIL: Bullish Pin Bar SignalCRUDE OIL – Futures: Price Moved Higher From Within The Range Of The Long-Tailed Bullish Pin Bar Signal
Price Action: Price formed a Bullish Pin Bar Signal overnight (We are not considering trading this signal).
Price moved higher from the prior Long-Tailed Bullish Pin Bar Signal that had formed late last week (We suggested buying on a retracement lower into the range of this signal in the July 15th daily newsletter and hopefully some traders got on board).
Potential Trade Idea: We are considering buying on a retracement lower to within the range of the prior Long-Tailed Bullish Pin Bar Signal that had formed late last week.
WTICOUSD (RESISTANCE ZONE)Hey guys!
How are you guys doing! O hope from the previous analysis, the daily fake out from DAILY timeframe got you guys a confirmation and brought toward more downside.
What I'm seeing now is that it shall go back and test 110.70 zone and probably bring more downside to 105, 103 and possibly to 95 range.
However, shall it
break the resistance zone with a strong candle, it will be bring us to a greater height.
As oil is a very volatile commodity and can easily go up/down a few dollars so do trade with minimal risk and not overtrade!
let me know how you guys think!