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Oilprice

Oil is Ranging. So Where Will it break? Oil has been in a range towards the end of last year and price is fighting against pushing below the 75 lvl and staying below it. It makes sense as the news is mixed because there are positive and negative news for Oil. Check out the following: Positives for Oil: -China economy recovering and demand increasing -Russia plans to cut Oil exports by 25% and cut oil production by 500,000 barrels -EU ban on Russian Oil -OPEC maintaining production cuts -JP Morgan looking at $90 a barrel for Oil in the middle of the year Negatives for Oil: -to the FED increasing rates for the next three meetings -a possible global recession as majority of the G7 nations increase rates So, what will win out? The negatives or the positives. I am thinking Oil will be able to push higher in the short term (next few months) and eventually fall as interest rates push higher and higher. If inflation does not drop as fast the FED wants, it will need to crank up the the heat on inflation, by doing it through interest rates. In 2025, I think Oil is going to push back up to $100, maybe higher and if this does happen, it would be good if I am still in the GBP/CAD as price would likely be around 1.45. On a side note, there is a big push to renewable energies and electric vehicles, but this requires a lot of resources to produce on a massive scales and in the interim Oil will be needed. If this massive push does happen, in the beginning, Oil will increase exponentially until renewables take over. In the next couple years, lets see if I am correct: -price by the end of the year $80 -price in the beginning of 2024 (first 6 months) $70 - $80 and end of 2024 (last 6 months) $95 -price in 2025 $100+ (I keep thinking production is going to go off the rails with what's going to come out and the new technology)
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by DollarSaenz
Oil Gap - A Game Changer for its PricesGap means a runaway in prices or a confirmation of a clean break away from its downtrend line. (Technical) OPEC-Plus made a surprise announcement to reduce oil production starting May. Unlike OPEC, OPEC-Plus involve many more countries. This signals a synchronise effort to boost crude oil prices. Expect a much higher oil prices to come. (Fundamental) My recent crude oil videos: • Crude Oil Outlook - USD106 as major resistance • Why Crude Oil is Trending Higher Again, Breaking Above US$100 • Correlation - Crude Oil & CPI • Crude oil a leading inflation indicator See its link below. 3 types of crude oil for trading: • Crude Oil Futures 0.01 per barrel = $10.00 Code: CL • E-mini Crude Oil Futures 0.025 per barrel = $12.50 Code QM • Micro WTI Crude Oil 0.01 per barrel = $1.00 Code MCL Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by konhow
OIL supply cut price effect 2023OIL ---IMPORTANT UPDATE Good morning everyone, here with an important update on OIL I have been charting and using the chart below as reference since Wave #2. I was hoping we could drop more but a turn of events has occurred on the past days with the world as we all know. Its all a mess and we got to figure out how the world is going to run now. However, as of yesterday, a game changer piece of news just dropped with talks about cutting oil production output until end of 2023. How will this affect the economy? -Cutting supply means shortage. Shortage means scarcity and we all know resources up in value when they are scarce. While cutting supply can lead to a shortage and eventually scarcity, the impact on a resource's value is not always straightforward. Scarcity can drive up the value of a resource in some cases due to increased demand and limited availability. However, in other cases, scarcity can lead to decreased demand as consumers may seek alternative resources or solutions. Therefore, it is important to consider the specific factors involved in determining the impact of supply, shortage, and scarcity on the value of resources. If Saudi Arabia, along with other countries, agreed to cut oil production until the end of the year, it could have several effects on the oil market, including: 1-Increase in oil prices: By reducing the supply of oil in the market, the demand for oil could exceed the available supply, which could cause oil prices to increase. 2-Increase in demand for alternative energy sources: As oil prices rise, consumers may begin to seek alternative energy sources, such as natural gas, solar, or wind power, which could reduce demand for oil. 3-Impact on global economic growth: Higher oil prices can lead to increased inflation and higher transportation costs, which can negatively affect global economic growth. 4-Geopolitical impact: Changes in oil production can also have a geopolitical impact, as oil-producing countries may have to renegotiate their trade relationships and alliances. My opinion on what is going on: US is dealing with banking crisis caused by growing inflation. Higher oils = increased inflation. A real recession is about to occur, however, the world believed it was going to affect globally and it is not going to be the case. Truth is, the only ones really experiencing a recession is the US as we are witnessing the death of the US DOLLAR. media.discordapp.net
TVC:USOILLong
by CryptoGao1
OPEC announced a production cut,how much upside is there for oilSaudi Arabia and other OPEC+ oil-producing countries announced further production cuts of about 1.16 million barrels per day on Sunday, which provided strong upward momentum for oil prices. They opened directly higher during the day and are currently slightly lower, trading near US 80.47. Judging from the trend of crude oil, the high price this morning just touched the important pressure level at the top of the platform in the early stage, so there is demand for a technical decline in the short term.The current rebound of crude oil has exceeded expectations, and the structure has also undergone variables. If the pressure continues, we will first look at the phased replenishment action. Short-term trading reference: Try to sell crude oil in small batches near 80.5, with a take profit level of 79.4--79 In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
TVC:USOILShort
by Short-term-king
Will oil prices continue to rise?The decline in U.S. crude oil inventories and the suspension of exports from the Kurdistan region of Iraq have supported the upward trend in oil prices, overshadowing the smaller-than-expected pressure on Russia's supply cuts.At the same time, five OPEC+ representatives said that the alliance may stick to the existing oil production reduction agreement at Monday's meeting. On the technical side, WTI crude oil fluctuated and fell after the opening of the market, and slowly recovered after reaching a minimum of 73.74. The current price is trading near 74.7. Although crude oil is currently facing strong technical pressure, which has led to a small decline in the current situation, but the short-term upward structure has still not been effectively destroyed, so it can maintain a low bullish pattern in the short term. Short-term trading reference: 1.Buy crude oil near the 73.7 position, stop loss level 73.3, take profit level 75.2 2.Try to sell crude oil in small batches near 75.3, with a stop loss level of 75.6 and a take profit level of 74.3 In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
TVC:USOILLong
by Short-term-king
Can the oil price recovery last?Judging from the trend of crude oil, since crude oil rebounded above 74, the technical bullish signal has been significantly strengthened.However, although the current oil price has returned to the range of the box, on the whole, the current price has basically touched the vicinity of the pressure zone of the previous box shock.In addition, judging from the strength of the recent rebound, it has not been as strong, so the trend may face a certain level of adjustment in the short term, and there is a technical need to step back on the midline of the channel to confirm the demand.After the last wave of the 4-hour level trend rose, the price was temporarily.The narrow volatility that remains at a high level weakens the strength of the upper attack, so there may be a trend of spatial correction in the short term. Short-term trading reference: Sell crude oil near the 74.3 position, stop loss level 74.7, take profit level 73.2 In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
TVC:USOILShort
by Short-term-king
Rising oil prices are under pressure, so be careful of trapsAlthough the interruption of some exports from the Kurdistan region of Iraq has raised concerns about tighter supply, the United States is expected to start strategic reserve repurchases during the year, which will also benefit oil prices to promote a rebound in oil prices.However, because of the geopolitical situation between Russia and Ukraine, it is more the West that sanctions Russia, so it will not allow oil prices to rise sharply and have sufficient income, thus limiting the room for oil prices to rebound to a certain extent. From the perspective of crude oil trends, since the surge on March 27, there has not been a decent pullback and repair, so crude oil technically needs at least a second pullback to prove the effectiveness of the oil price increase. Short-term trading reference: sell crude oil near 74, stop loss level 74.4, take profit level 73.3 In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
TVC:USOILShort
by Short-term-king
1
OIL ROAD TO $50 , CHEAP OILHello everyone, I have been using this chart ever since wave 2 and have been shorting OIL since $110ish. Why? We all know oil is overpriced and it went up parabolically after having crashed to negative prices. I believe oil has much more to go down as the PetroDollar is dying. China,alongside BRICS members, have united forces to create the PETROyuan and will definitely yield a problem to the PETROdollar. Prices may even go lower than what I especulate but it does not take rocket science to believe what I know. Some important facts about OIL we have to remember: -Oil is one of the most important commodities in the world, used for transportation, heating, and electricity generation. It is a global market with prices affected by supply and demand, geopolitical events, and global economic conditions. -The major players in the oil market used to be Russia and USA but its now China and mother Russia in an attempt to compete against the US economy. -The price of oil is typically quoted in US dollars per barrel but that is now changing as oil rich countries are looking for new relationships with BRICS. -Factors that can impact the price of oil include changes in production levels, geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, and global economic conditions. -The oil market can be traded through futures contracts, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and individual stocks of oil companies. -When analyzing the oil market, it is important to consider both technical analysis (chart patterns, support and resistance levels, and indicators) and fundamental analysis (supply and demand factors, geopolitical risks, and economic data). Have a nice day everyone!
TVC:USOILShort
by CryptoGao1
1
Crude oil continues to fall, where will it stop falling?Crude oil prices continued to fall today, and are currently trading near US 65 per barrel.On the fundamental level, the supply and demand structure of the international crude oil market is still a small oversupply. Unless OPEC has a significant production reduction, it will be difficult to achieve much growth on the demand side. Although UBS reached an agreement to acquire Credit Suisse over the weekend, and the Federal Reserve and other six major central banks jointly acted to enhance liquidity to appease and stabilize global financial markets, U.S. crude oil once rebounded by more than 1% to US 67.4 per barrel, but worries quickly picked up again, and the United States still has unresolved banking problems. The market is worried that the banking crisis will develop into a global financial tsunami, which in turn will drag down crude oil demand. U.S. crude oil quickly took back gains and continued last week's decline. It is currently down more than 2%, with a minimum of US 64.4 per barrel, which is December 2, 2021. A new low since then. From the trend point of view, oil prices broke down after a wide-ranging shock at the daily level, and continued to fall after losing the important support of the 70-integer mark. Even if the 70-integer mark was not recovered during the subsequent rebound and the decline continued, the downward break was basically determined. The technical side is biased towards bears, and the future market of oil prices is inclined to further test the support near the December 2021 low of 62.46, and even look at the 60-integer mark.The initial resistance above is near 67. If this position can be recovered, it will increase the possibility of low oil price shock adjustment. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
TVC:USOILShort
by Short-term-king
Crude oil bears are not finished, predict the trend of crude oilAs the banking crisis hit the global financial and oil markets, NYMEX crude oil and Brent crude oil both fell more than 9% this week, and oil prices will record their largest weekly decline since the week of December 9 last year. From the perspective of the trend, crude oil rebounded weakly after breaking through the level. Whether it is the daily or weekly line, it is effectively falling below. Pay attention to the trend after a few months of volatility. The market must continue to take advantage of the trend in the short term. Taken together, crude oil as a whole is still in a bearish trend. At the daily level, crude oil oscillates and breaks downwards, and oil prices lose important support near the 70 mark. The market tends to continue to run downwards in the Bollinger band. The target refers to the position near the low of 62.43 on December 2, 2021.Since oil prices have recorded a longer lower K-line for two consecutive trading days, suggesting strong lower support, a DOJI was recorded on Thursday, and the KD technical indicators are also close to issuing an oversold signal. There is still a possibility of volatility bottoming out in the short term; the initial resistance is near the intraday high of 70, and the short-term resistance can be reasonably lowered to near 68.6-68.8. In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
TVC:USOILShort
by Short-term-king
2
Continue to go long on crude oil. Due to positive data, the oil price continues to rise. Our long position took profit at 76.3. Currently, it seems that there is still momentum for oil to continue its upward trend, with the MACD indicator showing a second bullish crossover on the 2-hour chart. Resistance is near 78.5, so I believe we can continue to enter long positions with a trading strategy of entering around 76.3-75.8 and setting a profit target in the 78-79 range. If the oil price can break through the 79 level, the next target is around 80.8. TVC:USOIL MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
TVC:USOILLong
by Ice_and_Fire1
OIL: Expected to rebound to $80 The oil price also rose nearly $2 under the stimulus of data, reaching a high near $77. On the 30-minute chart, oil underwent a wave of pullback after consolidating near 76.6, and its current position is the previous consolidation level, which has some resistance but not strong. The short-term strong resistance should be around 77.4. From a technical standpoint, the current process resembles the formation of a U-shaped bottom, with the MACD indicator in a crossover state. If a death cross occurs, it means that oil prices will experience a short-term pullback to seek support, which is likely to be around 75.6-76. On the 4-hour chart, oil has been oscillating within a box range, and the range of 81-82 is a strong pressure level. The MACD indicator has formed a golden cross, and unless there are unexpected events, the oil price is expected to touch near 81 in the near future. Therefore, I believe that the current focus should be on long positions for oil, with buying points around the support level near 76. The first target is around 78, and the second target is around 80. If it breaks through 80, it can go up to around 82. The probability of a one-step trend is not high, and oscillating upward is the most likely event. Every pullback after each rise will be a very good long entry point. Thank you for your attention and trust. Please continue to follow me, and I will bring you more wonderful insights and help you gain more profits!
TVC:USOILLong
by triumphing
Crude Oil CROSSROAD! Reversal or Breakout? 12.0376.80-77.10-20 is a crucial resistance level. A break above may lead quickly towards 80.80 and beyond. Keeping below may lead to retest of 74.90 to 73.20 support trend-line. 74.90 is the trend-line, 73.20 is a cluster of horizontal support. Keep to the range and be patient! -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I do advise practicing caution while trading, especially leveraged products. Do your own research and never trade what you cannot afford to lose. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TVC:USOIL
by Exactus
7
Going long on crude oil. The crude oil is currently trading around 74.8, with some support visible on the 4-hour chart. In the short term, there is upward momentum observed on the 1-hour chart. As a trading strategy, one can go long near 74.8 and target 76.3, with the possibility of further upside if the resistance at 76.3 is breached. If unable to break through, a short position can be considered at 76.3. I will keep you updated in due course. Short-term trading strategy: Go long near 74.8 with a target of 76.3. MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
TVC:USOILLong
by Ice_and_Fire1
3
Going short on crude oil at 77.8. At the start of the Asian market on Thursday, crude oil is currently trading around $76.5 per barrel. On Wednesday, crude oil continued to fall as concerns about more aggressive interest rate hikes weighed on economic growth and oil demand, outweighing the larger-than-expected reduction in US inventories. Although yesterday's decrease in crude oil inventories did not cause significant fluctuations in the price and quickly recovered, it shows that the overall trend of crude oil is weak. My trading strategy remains short, with a focus on selling high. My trading strategy is to short crude oil at $77.8, with a stop loss at $78.6 and a target of around $75. Investors can choose their own profit-taking points according to their trading style. The above is only a short-term trading perspective. I will notify you promptly if there are suitable opportunities. Liking, commenting, and subscribing are the best encouragement for me. Follow me to make trading simpler! You are also welcome to read my other ideas below. MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
TVC:USOILShort
by Ice_and_Fire1
1