Oilprice
Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
41.70 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 41.70 is broken.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the resistance #1 at 55 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.65 on 10/15/2020, so more losses to support(s) 36.95, 33.80, 19.40 and more depths is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 32.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
41.70 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 41.70 is broken.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the resistance #1 at 55 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.65 on 10/15/2020, so more losses to support(s) 36.95, 33.80, 19.40 and more depths is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 32.
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Oil price this week – how to trade?Oil price down and continue into down direction.
The Oil price follows our expectation into down direction. The lockdown in Europe is the major factor for the falling oil price. World-Signals in the forecast from October 26th predicted this scenario with target of oil price (US Oil) at $34-$35. If you are following our free forecasts hold this short position during the coming week because the first target of $34-$35 is almost reached and the price may continue down lower to levels of $32.
The other key news that will move the oil price is U.S. Election of course. If Biden takes the vote the oil price may continue down even below $30. Biden strategy is to stop the economy to prevent the population from the corona virus.
Repeated hammer for WTI OILCrude oil has been taking a beating the last few weeks. Lockdown crawling over Europe as Covid cases are increasing. Demand for Oil dropping. London into lockdown starting next week, low demand for oil still, lower prices expected.
We are noting a steady decline in oil, still hunting for the previous low target of 32.8
could be rocky with elections just round the corner so expected a volatile market for a couple of weeks.
Bias Oil Short
Read between the lines. Let the maths do the work for you. Observation is a key, patience is a virtue.
Early shorters are out, market could start dipping from now.Traders shorted $41.4 (Obvious Resistance), their SL's was approx. 30-40pips above. Market has cleared the SL's and early shorters are out now.
Im expecting $OIL to start dipping down and test $39.20 region. If breaks down, could continue falling to $36.80 area.
Please hit that like button if you agree with my analysis.
Oil prices down slowly due to corona virus crisis in EuropeThe financial markets do not calculate the markets in Europe. Almost all countries in the Euro Zone ban many actions due to the corona virus. At the same time the oil prices remain at the same level. The reason is that the locomotive of the world industry is South-East Asia. The situation in this part of the world with the corona virus is normal and the economy is in power.
The oil price (USOil) down from $40 to $38.40 today after the starting crisis couple of days earlier.
We expects to see not so big down movement to level of $34-$35 if the situation in China and rest countries in South-East Asia is under control.
As overall the crisis with corona virus in Europe will remain very difficult with new restrictions. The situation may change after U.S. Election after 10-days.
The trading strategy in trading with oil is to open short positions and avoid new position during the U.S. Election day.
WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.75, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 36.30 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the downtrend #1 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 41.94 on 10/19/2020, so more losses to support(s) 39.70, 38.15 and minimum to Major Support (36.30) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 47.
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.75, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 36.30 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the downtrend #1 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 41.94 on 10/19/2020, so more losses to support(s) 39.70, 38.15 and minimum to Major Support (36.30) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 47.
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.75, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 36.30 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the downtrend #1 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 41.94 on 10/19/2020, so more losses to support(s) 39.70, 38.15 and minimum to Major Support (36.30) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 47.
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USOIL Intraday Setup.WTI Crude Oil - Intraday - We look to Sell at 40.96 (stop at 41.29)
Price action has continued to range within a triangle formation.
Trend line resistance is located at 40.96.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 40.96, resulting in improved risk/reward. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 40.30 and 39.50
Resistance: 41.43 / 41.72 / 42.65
Support: 40.30 / 39.50 / 38.90
Oil to $41.2 again!WTI Crude Oil - Intraday - We look to Buy
Last time we've had superb success with Oil, now we have similar setup.
We expect an initial move lower to fail and look to set longs on a break back through 40.45.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Bespoke support is located at 40.45.
Levels close to the 38.2% pullback level of 40.47 found buyers.
We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 41.20 and 41.72
Resistance: 41.20 / 41.72 / 42.65
Support: 40.45 / 39.92 / 38.90
USOIL to retest $40Crude Oil - Intraday - We look to Sell
Price action has continued to range within a triangle formation.
Trend line resistance is located at 40.92
Further downside is expected although we prefer to set shorts at our bespoke resistance levels at 40.91, resulting in improved risk/reward. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Our profit targets will be 39.99 and 39.50
Resistance: 41.43 / 41.72 / 42.65
Support: 40.33 / 39.50 / 38.90
Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 46.50, resumption of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 38.90 breaks.
If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 38.90 on 10/02/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 44.15 and maximum to Major Resistance (46.50) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 53.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 46.50, resumption of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 38.90 breaks.
If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 38.90 on 10/02/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 44.15 and maximum to Major Resistance (46.50) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 53.
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USOIL to hit $41.Crude Oil - Intraday - We look to Buy
Trading within a Corrective Channel formation.
Our expectation now is for this swing lower to continue towards the bottom of the trend channel, to complete a correction before buyers return.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Bespoke support is located at 39.92.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 40.75 and 41.29
Resistance: 40.75 / 41.29 / 41.72
Support: 39.92 / 39.51 / 38.90
Oil prices consolidation after a slight recovery - Buy and HoldFundamental: U.S. crude oil inventories were seen falling last week, while distillate supply likely declined for a fourth week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed. Meanwhile, OPEC Cuts 2021 Oil Demand Forecast Again as Virus Cases Rise
World oil demand will rebound more slowly in 2021 than previously thought as coronavirus cases rise, OPEC said on Tuesday, adding to headwinds faced by the group and its allies in balancing the market.
Technical: The pandemic had a direct incident on oil prices, bringing the futures levels to a record negative value in March. After an ease on lockdowns, oil prices recovered and reached the institutional level of 40$ per barrel. Moreover, we experienced a ranging market within summer with prices bouncing between 36.00 and 44.00. Although we have an uncertainty due to the virus cases rise, the consolidation on the bullish market represents a bullish setup.
Beware of the strong resistance at 44.00.
Setup: Bought crude oil @41.00 with a target @50.00 and a stop @36.00 (2:1 risk reward ratio).