Oilprice
OIL BUY TP_45.75_8.34%_3.52pips_SL_41.50_1.73%_0.73pipsOIL BUY TP_45.75_8.34%_3.52pips_SL_41.50_1.73%_0.73pips
Crude Oil - Buying the DipsOil prices are coiling up for a move which will eventually head towards to the mid $60s for the following reasons:
- Bankruptcies
- DXY destruction
- Demand bottoming
- Chaos in the Middle East at some point
Pit stops along the way are marked by the fib extension from the first impulsive move - 0.5 and 0.618 being the most significant.
The simplest strategy is to assume the fib levels are to at first sell the resistance levels and then buy when it flips to support.
Right now it looks like the 0.236 level is now support. Below that you have a possible floor at the macro fib level around $40 - any dips here will likely be bought up quick.
Still long QM @ $42.85
Total Oil P/L: $1,930
All trades linked below.
Oil buy setupDISCLAIMER:
My analysis is just a trading idea! As a trader you should consider your own risk:reward ratio and do proper lot sizing according to your margin and leverage level.
Good Luck!
CLM2021: A 1-Year ForecastThe oil market is held up by new long interest working the sell orders of prior buyers, who are by now feeling the urge to re-enter. In fact, the best time to counter a trend is when the urge gets too prominent; with another 10% of upside here, one can start switching from buy-into-weakness approach to sell-into-strength until that green rate is met by this contract's offer price.
CLU0: Sideways ActionHere is a road map for this contract's price development until its expiry. As the futures curve is in contango, the CLU2020, which is now the new front-month contract, is yet to test the supply around the 100% up area from its YTD low. Furthermore, 50% of the YTD range is also around the area where this contract is currently trading. These factors are expected to imply an increased interest to square off long exposure aka selling longs. So far, the price action is suggesting that there is new long interest working the orders of those selling their oil holdings. Nonetheless, there is a decent potential to slide down to the +50% area from YTD low. Caution is advised.
CLV0: Two Potential SetupsThe above chart shows potential price development scenarios before the expiry of this contract. The higher timeframes are showing signs of selling, any weakness in oil at this point can be justified by long interest vacating their holdings at almost a 100% gain from YTD low. Though aggressive bears might join in for a swing lower, it is imperative to be looking for buying opportunities upon signs of weakness. Another way to buy the dip is to sell a put option, let's say a CL Dec'20 strike @ $38.50, which would give the option writer a $1.5k premium at the current market, giving him/her a Break-Even price of around $37.00 where the stop sells would be placed separately on the CLZ0 contract.
Oil/USD : Brent gradually recoverAfter the big drop in oil prices, however, it recovered gradually swinging
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However, it is now in a confusing area at resistance and is likely to break it, despite the fact that the barrels of oil have been reduced
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Moving Average Indicator gives a good indication for the upside. Moving 20 has been breached, and the Moving 50 remains if the break occurred, it will continue.
USoil go long take profits on way to $44Nice place to add to oil longs, falling wedge onto trend line. Hourly moving averages are still very bullish here and price is trading some way below the 200 MA. Stop loss below the previous hourly swing low in case the wedge continues to slide a little.
Falling daily 200MA is the barrier so i'll still be taking long profits at each resistance point before my actual ideal target of $44.
UK OIL PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS & FORECASTHere as you can state we can tell that there is a very high respect toward the trend lines and that would help us to predict the next market movement
Please share with me your thoughts,
Regards.
the matrix was the door wayI understand to be able to trade like the best you must literally think like the best and if you have to, try to remember how they would have gone about utilizing the skills we learn to better advance their own trading skills. thus some people hold trades longer cause they know more. so just act like those people and ask a few questions here and there. but overall. the potential results is if they done because of the way they did it and then so can you. it's a bit like neo in the matrix. my sense of thinking is thinking like the ones and potential opportunities of the ones will present themselves. you're a newbie. think like you and you will always be a newbie. and sometimes want to run back to the matrix cause it's better for your taste bud. well while I say let's wrestle
oilusd at maximum will fall up to 20 USD till end of the year Oil form perfect arc and is at his maximum with potential fall back to 20 USD till end of the year
US Oil buy set-upUS Oil is ending today's trading session with a strong bullish candle. I expect uptrend to continue. So, keep buying the dips and enjoy the bullish ride.
Oil fall by 6%Firstly, please support our work by clicking like button & or following! These really assist us to reach more investors & traders like you!
Prices weakened amidst declining demand. Prices are holding for dear life below the monthly support line.
Ascending triangle implying a breakout of UKOIL Hi Traders
Ascending triangle on UKOIL on the daily implies a breakout to the top. But fundamentals are might not backing it so the risk of a fake breakout is very relevant. I will make it dependend on the strength of the breakout candle wether I will enter a trade or not.
Inter-commodity Spread (Dec20 +RB -CL)Looks like a good opportunity is coming up on this one. Fading the Dec20 RB(buy) CL(sell) Combo IC spread by selling into strength seems reasonable.
