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Oilsignals

WTI OIL Head and Shoulders within A Channel Up.WTI Oil (USOIL) eventually formed the Channel Up we projected on our most recent (see chart below) analysis 2 weeks ago: As the price is below both the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), we spot the completion of the Right Shoulder of a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern inside that Channel. We will not short however before the price closes a 4H candle below the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up. Technically the H&S targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (75.00) but for the time being, we will settle for a 79.00 target, which will be marginally above the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and 1.5 Fibonacci extension. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
2
Oil Prices Plummet as Russia Boosts ExportsTh oil market that might present a potential opportunity for those who are interested in shorting oil. Please note that this opportunity should be approached with caution, as market dynamics can be unpredictable. Over the past few weeks, we have witnessed a significant drop in oil prices, primarily driven by Russia's decision to ramp up its oil exports. As a result, the global oil market is experiencing an increased supply, which has put downward pressure on prices. As of today, oil prices have dipped below the $84 mark, signaling a potential bearish trend. Considering the current situation, it may be prudent to explore the possibility of shorting oil. However, I must emphasize the importance of conducting thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. As experienced traders, you understand the importance of managing risks and being prepared for any potential market fluctuations. To assist you in evaluating this opportunity, I recommend closely monitoring Russia's export levels, as well as keeping a close eye on global oil demand and geopolitical developments. Additionally, staying informed about any significant announcements or policy changes from major oil-producing countries will be crucial. As always, it is essential to remember that the oil market can be highly volatile, and timing is of utmost importance. Therefore, I encourage you to exercise caution and carefully assess your risk appetite before engaging in any short positions. Should you decide to explore this opportunity further, I encourage you to consult with your financial advisor or seek professional guidance. They will be able to provide tailored advice based on your individual circumstances and investment goals. In conclusion, the recent drop in oil prices, driven by Russia's increased oil exports, presents a potential opportunity for those interested in shorting oil. However, I urge you to approach this opportunity with caution, conducting thorough research and analysis before making any investment decisions. Remember to stay informed, manage your risks, and seek professional guidance if needed.
TVC:USOILShort
by bryandowningqln
Oil price is recoveringOil price trades rebounded strongly after finding strong support formed by the 50 moving average in front of the recent negative trading, to exceed the 88.79 level and attempt to return to the main ascending channel again, which leads the price to achieve expected gains during the coming sessions, on its way to visit the 90.39 and then 91.56 levels. As major positive stations. Therefore, the upward bias will be likely for today, influenced by the double bottom pattern that appears on the chart, keeping in mind that trading below 88.79 again will put the price under negative pressure targeting testing the 88.79level initially.
TVC:USOILLong
by Evar_Mayi
WTI OIL Channel Up. Short-term sell opportunity.WTI Oil (USOIL) got heavily rejected following our sell signal (see chart below) earlier this month (October 02) after failing to close above the 12-month Double Top: This long-term bearish trade is still valid but on the short-term (4H time-frame) we see another sell opportunity in the making. The Channel Up that is emerging after the price got rejected on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) calls for a sell back to the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the pattern. Our target is 83.50 (-5.66 bearish leg as the one before it). The 4H MACD is about to form a Bearish Cross so if the price breaks below the (dashed) Higher Lows trend-line, we will sell the break-out and target the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) at 78.50 (just above Support 1). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
4
The Unexpected Rise: How Potential USA Sanctions Drive Oil PriceAs I'm sure you are aware, recent developments have led to a rise in oil prices by a staggering $2. The main contributing factors to this increase are the potential imposition of sanctions by the USA and a significant tightening in global supply. This optimistic trend presents a golden opportunity for those looking to make a successful long play in the oil market! Now, this is where your expertise comes into play, dear traders. With all the indicators pointing towards a promising future for oil, I encourage you to consider long positions in your investment strategy. By taking advantage of this upward momentum, you have the chance to capitalize on potentially lucrative gains. So, without further ado, I urge you to kick-start your trading journey, ride the wave of rising prices, and seize this golden opportunity before it passes you by.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
Profiting from Oil Price Drops Recent events have led to a significant drop in oil prices, primarily due to the phenomenon known as "demand destruction." I believe this presents an opportune moment for traders like yourself to consider shorting oil and potentially reap substantial gains. Considering the conservative nature of your trading approach, shorting oil could be a prudent strategy to capitalize on this situation. By short selling oil, you can aim to profit from the further decline in oil prices. This approach aligns with a conservative trading philosophy, as it allows you to take advantage of the current market conditions while minimizing potential risks. To maximize your potential gains, I recommend conducting thorough research and analysis before executing any trades. Keep a close eye on global economic indicators, such as GDP growth forecasts, industrial production figures, and travel restrictions. Additionally, monitor geopolitical developments, as they often have a direct impact on oil prices. By staying informed and vigilant, you can make well-informed decisions that align with your trading strategy. I understand that shorting oil may not be suitable for everyone, and each trader has their own risk tolerance and investment goals. However, I believe that the present circumstances present a compelling opportunity for those who are willing to take a calculated risk. In conclusion, the recent oil price drops resulting from demand destruction offer a promising chance to profit from shorting oil. As a conservative trader, this strategy allows you to capitalize on the current market conditions while adhering to your risk management principles. Remember to conduct thorough research, stay informed, and make well-informed decisions aligned with your trading strategy. Should you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to comment below. Wishing you success in your trading endeavors
TVC:USOILShort
by bryandowningqln
Trading advisory: Pause trading due to oil price target of 87.16I wanted to provide you with the latest update regarding the oil market and its recent volatility that demands immediate attention. After careful analysis, our experts have projected a significant revision in the oil price target, with the new estimated threshold being $87.16 per barrel. Given the sudden change in the market, I strongly urge you to exercise caution and consider adopting a temporary pause on oil trading activities until further notice. This move will allow for a more prudent approach in dealing with the uncertainties surrounding the current market conditions. Our decision to recommend this temporary halt is rooted in the desire to mitigate potential risks that may arise due to the oil price's downward trajectory. By taking a pause in oil trading, you can protect your investments and reassess your strategy in light of the evolving market dynamics. Remember, it is crucial to prioritize the long-term stability and profitability of your investments over short-term gains. In summary, I strongly advise you to pause your oil trading activities and analyze the market situation closely before making any new decisions. Your diligence and careful consideration at this critical juncture will go a long way in safeguarding your investments and optimizing your future trading success. Thank you for your prompt attention to this matter. We appreciate your understanding and willingness to adapt to the evolving market conditions. Together, we can weather this storm and emerge stronger.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
Oil Spikes 5% Following Hamas Attack in Israel Following a recent attack by Hamas in Israel, oil prices have surged by 5%, and it is crucial for us to closely monitor this situation. The attack in Israel has heightened geopolitical tensions in the region, which historically have directly influenced oil prices. As traders, it is essential for us to exercise caution and remain vigilant during times of increased volatility. The recent spike in oil prices serves as a stark reminder of the potential risks and opportunities that can arise in the energy markets. Given the current circumstances, I strongly encourage you to closely watch the oil market and closely monitor any further developments in the region. It is essential to stay informed and be prepared to act swiftly if necessary. As we have seen in the past, geopolitical events can have a lasting impact on oil prices, and it is crucial to be proactive in managing our positions. In light of this situation, I suggest the following actions: 1. Stay informed: Keep yourself updated on the latest news and developments in the Middle East, particularly regarding the Israel-Hamas conflict. Reliable news sources and market analysis can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. 2. Monitor oil prices: Regularly track the price of oil and observe any significant fluctuations. Pay attention to key support and resistance levels, as they can help inform your trading decisions. 3. Diversify your portfolio: Consider diversifying your trading portfolio to mitigate potential risks associated with geopolitical events. A well-diversified portfolio can help protect against unexpected market movements. 4. Implement risk management strategies: Review and reassess your risk management strategies to ensure they are robust and aligned with your trading goals. Set appropriate stop-loss orders and consider using trailing stops to protect your positions. Remember, caution is key during times of heightened volatility. While the situation may evolve rapidly, it is essential to approach trading with a level-headed mindset and avoid making impulsive decisions based on emotions.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
1
Oil 4H midday updateThe price of oil has been fluctuating sideways since the morning Therefore, there is no change to the expected bearish trend scenario for today, which targets breaking the 82.00 level to confirm the extension of the bearish wave towards the 80.56 then 78.21 levels stabilizing above 83.26 will support rising to touch 84.55 , 86.08 then 87.67 Pivot Price: 82.00 Resistance prices: 84.55 & 86.08 & 87.67 Support prices: 80.55 & 78.21 & 74.52 The general trend expected for today: bearish timeframe: 4H
TVC:USOILShort
by Evar_Mayi
[EN] Shoulder-Head-Shoulder in oil? // GaliortiTradingIn the more immediate term, EASYMARKETS:OILUSD accumulates a large oversold position. In the August/October period of this year there was a clear bearish divergence between the RSI and prices, which together with the proximity of the top of the bearish channel presaged a price correction. This has been the case. The proximity to the 200-session EMA makes us expect an immediate rebound as the most likely scenario. Likewise, the entry into a liquidity zone ($80-82) will facilitate this rebound. However, we believe that the weakness of the rebound will lead to a second wave of declines based on: - the breakout of the 200 EMA support in a second attack - having previously swept the buy orders from the liquidity zone . It seems to us that this fall will be fast and vertical until it reaches the bullish trendline of May this year. Consequently, EASYMARKETS:OILUSD could be developing a shoulder-head-shoulder chart pattern within its bearish channel that had been configured since the summer of last year. A return to the lower portion of the channel by the end of the first quarter of 2024 would not be out of the question. This analysis, from a technical point of view, could be favored by the performance of the dollar index (depending on the Fed's rate decisions ) and by the weakness of global demand if global GDP slows down as current data suggest, which will slow down industrial activity. Also, the development of the Ukrainian war could condition Russia to unilaterally increase its production in order to finance its spending. We do not expect a supply/demand shock, but we do expect a downward restructuring of demand . The production restrictions of the other OPEC members to keep oil prices stable may be partially offset by China's objective to increase its production in order not to depend so heavily on the outside world. Pablo G.
EASYMARKETS:OILUSDShort
by GaliortiTrading
5
Oil price is trying to recover The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and the price reached our target. Additionally Today we have US crude oil stocks and it will affect the market. WTI Crude Oil has been correcting, more aggressively than most thought after a High outside of the Channel Up. Therefore, we expect to witness negative trading during the coming sessions, with the need to be aware that failure to break 88.54 will push the price to achieve additional gains of up to 90.39 initially. stabilizing above 88.54 will support rising to touch 90.39 , 91.04 then 92.45 stabilizing under 87.67 will support falling to touch 86.08 and then 85.31 I prefer not to trade at this moment until today to know what the OPEC Plus will do. Resistance prices: 90.39 & 91.04 & 92.45 Support prices: 86.08 & 85.31 & 84.35 The expected trading range for today is between support 87.67 and Resistance 91.04
TVC:USOIL
by Evar_Mayi
WTI OIL Rising prices are here to stay for years to comeUnderstanding WTI Oil (USOIL) on the larger, long-term time-frames such as the 1W or 1M charts can broader your perspective and allow you to consider market dynamics that you never thought they were possible to affect the trend. From time to time we tend to make such studies in order to give you an idea of how the long-term trend may be shaped. Example of such pieces of publications include the following, where a slow down on the Oil rise allowed us to realize that inflation peaked and get a timely sell: Or the following that got as a timely buy while the price was still at $69.20 to target $100 after a break above the 13 year Lower Highs Resistance: ** Why is Oil rising now? ** On today's study we look into the 1M time-frame and attempt to explain the current non-stop rise (completed 4 straight green 1M candles) that has taken most of the market by surprise. Let's start by acknowledging that it started on strong foundation as the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) held on 3 separate tests. The 1M MA100 (green trend-line) that was formerly the Resistance (had 2 emphatic rejections on June and October 2018) since October 2014, has been holding as Support since the April 2021 bullish break-out. ** The MA levels, Inflation and comparison with DotCom ** At the same time it is the first time we have all three 1M MA50, 1M MA100 and 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) squeezed so close to each other since late 2001. That was during the DotCom Bubble burst. As you can see, the patterns of now and then aren't all that different. In our time the market is attempting a recovery from the Inflation Crisis, coming off a war and the generational COVID crash (that led to the inflation crisis of course). The 1M RSI fractals have started and peaked on similar oversold and overbought levels respectively, while holding on their strong corrections the 0.786 Fibonacci level. Similar situation with the 1M MACD, Oil is about to form the 2nd Bullish Cross of the fractal, placing us in relative time terms to the 2002 rise. ** Importance of MACD and conclusion ** Similar oversold 1M MACD Bullish Crosses were during the 2016 Oil crisis (May) and in the aftermath of the 2008/09 Housing Crisis (October 2009). As a result, in our humble view, if Oil completes that Bullish Cross, it will give the market a signal that the price will continue to rise for many years to come (unless of course a higher fundamental intervention takes place). In conclusion, this shouldn't surprise us, as Oil has risen along with stocks following such Bear markets. Do you also expect rising Oil prices in the near future? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
3
OIL, Crucial Wedge-Formation, Huge PLUNGE to Follow Next!Hello There! Welcome to my new analysis of OIL. Within the recent high inflation development with continued rate hikes in a lot of economic fields, it has to be mentioned that OIL could be on the brink of major market disruptions especially when the rate hikes continue to rise further together with the DXY printing the next new highs. In this case, I have detected important underlying dynamics within the analytics dashboard and I have put them into perspective to determine what should be considered with OIL in the upcoming times. As when looking at my chart now, OIL could since May 2023 recover from the crucial bearish wave lows nonetheless this wave does not have a fundamental open interest and volume backing and this is why it can turn any time especially when a massive bearish supply wave is entering the market because of grievous rate hikes and potential new supply-chain disruptions that are going to trigger a supply shortage. Taking these crucial factors into consideration a major bearish decline and bearish momentum acceleration may be just around the corner. OIL has also formed this gigantic descending channel formation in which it has the major bearish distribution resistances within the upper boundary as marked. The most determining factor here is the massive ascending triangle formation that leads directly into the upper resistance zone and is now about to complete the wave count within the ascending triangle. This means, that as the wave-count directly approaches the crucial upper resistance zone it is going to lead to an increased bearish volatility breakout below the boundaries within the next times. Once the gigantic ascending triangle formation has been completed it is going to activate the next bearish continuation below the 100EMA and 300EMA. Especially, once the price-action formed the breakouts below the levels this is going to massively accelerate the bearish dynamics towards the lower levels and continue into the bearish momentum direction. The bearish price dynamic is going to continue till the final targets have been reached and in this case, it will be highly determining how the final targets are actually approached especially when the interest rates continue to rise together with supply-chain disruptions to accelerate this is going to trigger the next bearish waves even below the final target zones. Taking all the factors into consideration and because of the gigantic ascending triangle, together with the underlying indications with the interest rate dynamic as well as the supply-chain disruptions dynamic I am keeping the symbol on my watchlist and I am going to re-evaluate the situation once important changes happened within the bearish formation. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of OIL. Support from your side is greatly appreciated. VP
TVC:USOIL
by VincePrince
11
WTI OIL Huge Cup and Handle?WTI Oil (USOIL) hit and broke last week the 93.75 Resistance (which was the October 10 & November 07 2022 Highs) but failed to stay above it and got aggressively rejected back below it. This emphatic rejection indicates that as long as the price doesn't close a 1W candle above the Resistance, the short-term trend has more probabilities of being bearish. ** Cup and Handle ** We often like to view our financial assets on a more long-term scale using larger time-frames. We can claim that the recent Channel Up since June has completed a Cup formation. What technically follows within this pattern is the formation of the Handle. If Oil is indeed trading on the Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern, then once the bottom of the Channel Up breaks (assuming we keep closing below the 93.75 level), it can start the formation of the Handle part. ** The importance of the MA levels ** This 1W chart shows also the important that the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) have been having in the past year or so. They act as Supports until broken and move to the next one and similarly as Resistances. As you can see the current bull run since June started after the 1W MA200 held repeatedly (closed above it 7 candles despite hitting and breaking it), then broke above the 1W MA50 that was holding since August 2022 and 1W MA100 that was holding since November 2022. ** So what's the target? Fibs in play? ** So as long as the conditions mentioned above are met and Oil starts forming the Handle, you can use the 1W MA100 (closing below it) as the break-out sell signal and target the 1W MA50 at $80.00. This is marginally above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which has its own fair share of importance. Notice that the 1W RSI is just below the 70.00 overbought barrier. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILShort
by TradingShot
6
Oil Prices Continue to Rise - Take Advantage and Long Now!Brace yourselves because Russia's push towards $100 per barrel is causing a wave of optimism that we simply cannot ignore! The energy landscape has been buzzing with anticipation, and the recent surge in oil prices is a clear indicator of the incredible opportunities that lie ahead. With Russia's bold move, we are witnessing a significant shift in the market dynamics, and this is where you can make a smart move by long oil. Why should you consider long oil at this moment? Let me break it down for you: 1. Russia's push: Russia's determination to drive oil prices up to $100 per barrel is a game-changer. Their actions are sending shockwaves throughout the industry, creating a perfect storm for traders to capitalize on this upward trend. 2. Global demand: As the world recovers from the pandemic-induced economic slowdown, the demand for oil is rebounding rapidly. With economies reopening, travel resuming, and industries ramping up production, the demand for oil is set to skyrocket, further fueling the price surge. 3. Limited supply: Despite efforts to diversify energy sources, oil remains the lifeblood of our modern world. The supply of oil cannot keep up with the ever-increasing demand, leading to a supply-demand imbalance that favors higher prices. This is an opportunity we cannot afford to miss! Now, you might be wondering how you can take advantage of this incredible opportunity. Here's your call-to-action: Act now and consider opening long positions in oil to maximize your potential gains. With the market sentiment favoring an upward trajectory, it's time to ride the wave and make the most of this exciting period. Whether you prefer futures contracts, ETFs, or other oil-related investment instruments, ensure you position yourself for success. Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and this moment is ripe with potential. Seize the opportunity and make your move before it's too late! Get ready to embark on an exhilarating journey as oil prices continue to soar. Buckle up, traders, because the time to long oil is now! Wishing you profitable trades and an exciting journey ahead! www.bnnbloomberg.ca
TVC:USOILLong
by bryandowningqln
3
UsOil (OIL) -> Most Talked About AssetMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️ I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise. This is how you build real long term wealth! In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on UsOil. Looking at the chart of UsOil you can see that just four months ago Oil perfectly retested and already rejected the 0.618 fib level in confluence with previous support structure. The real next resistance is once again the previous swing high at $110 from which we already saw a major bearish rejection and this means that we have another +20% move on Oil. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy. Keep the long term vision🫡
TVC:USOILLong
by basictradingtv
24
WTI Crude Oil 4H midday updateOil prices are under negative pressure to reach the level of 94.20, but requires anticipation from previous negotiations Today, the price is under further negative pressure during the previous session, including a break of 94.55 key price trend against the upside It has the chairman's target of 96.60. stabilizing under 94.55 will support falling to touch 92.35the 90.98 Pivot Price: 94.55 Resistance prices: 96.60 & 98.34 & 100.14 Support prices: 92.35 & 90.98 & 88.73 timeframe: 4H
TVC:USOILShort
by Evar_Mayi