WTI Crude Oil 4H Oil midday updateUSOIL
Oil price resumes its positive trading now, confirming the continued dominance of the upward trend during the coming sessions, and the way is open to achieving our first target at 92.19
.
stabilizing above 90.43 ill support rising to touch 92.19 then 93.27 then 95.07
stabilizing under 90.43 will support falling to touch 88.73 the 87.64
Pivot Price: 90.43
Resistance prices: 92.19 & 93.27 & 95.07
Support prices: 88.73& 87.64& 86.08
timeframe: 4H
The general trend expected for today: bullish
Oilsignals
USOIL: Crude oil analysis and planning
Last Friday opened 89.5, went up to 90.3 and then fell back up again at 89.7 to be supported, crossed the previous high of 90.3 to 91.2, which is near the upper edge of the adjustment range said before, the price fell as scheduled, was supported at 89.2, 91 short orders gained more than 10 points last week, and rebounded to 90.4 after being supported. The last line was pulled in at 90.2, and the day line recorded a small Yang of a long shadow line.
The crude oil adjustment level now comes to the 4-hour level, the adjustment range is 91.3 to 88.4, because the adjustment level has just been expanded from the 1-hour level to the 4-hour level, and it is still much lower in this range today.
Join me and don't let hesitation and procrastination affect your earning speed!
WTI OIL Channel Up rejection at the top. More selling ahead?WTI Oil (USOIL) almost hit our $93 target on our last idea two weeks ago (see chart below) and yesterday reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 3-month Channel Up:
The first reaction is so far a rejection that has already taken the price to the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). This is the first contact with it in 3 weeks but it's not a confirmed sell yet as during the previous Higher Highs run it got breached several times and still rebounded. The confirmation came when it broke below the 4H MA100 (green trend-line).
As a result, we are only willing to take a confirmed break-out sell below the 4H MA100 and target $85.00 which is the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up (-8.68% from the top).
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USOIL 4H RETEST USOIL
As we said the direction is still rising and did a retest ,and it will rise again
stabilizing above 90.43 ill support rising to touch 92.19 then 93.27 then 95.07
stabilizing under 90.43 will support falling to touch 88.11 the 86.08
Pivot Price: 90.43
Resistance prices: 92.19 & 93.27 & 95.07
Support prices: 88.11& 86.08& 85.00
timeframe: 4H
Exciting Opportunities Await! Join the Oil Boom Today!As you might have noticed, oil prices have been on the rise lately, and there are two compelling reasons behind this bullish trend. Firstly, the potential recovery of the Chinese economy has sparked a wave of optimism worldwide. China, the world's largest oil importer, is showing signs of bouncing back, which could significantly boost demand and drive prices even higher.
Secondly, concerns about global oil supply have been causing a stir in the market. Ongoing geopolitical tensions and production cuts by major oil-producing nations have created a sense of urgency, further pushing prices upward. This perfect storm of factors is creating a fantastic environment for traders like you to make some serious gains!
Now, you might be wondering, "How can I get in on this action?" Well, fear not, my friends, because I have an exciting call-to-action for you. It's time to consider going long on oil and ride the wave of this potential surge!
By taking a long position on oil, you can position yourself to benefit from the anticipated rise in prices. As demand increases and supply concerns persist, you can capitalize on these market dynamics and maximize your profits. It's time to put your trading skills to the test and make the most of this promising situation!
Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and this may be the perfect moment to dive into the oil market. Keep a close eye on the latest news, market indicators, and expert analysis to make informed decisions that align with your trading strategy. With a positive mindset and a well-thought-out plan, there's no limit to what you can achieve!
So, my fellow traders, are you ready to embark on this thrilling journey and make your mark in the oil market? The potential for substantial gains awaits you! Don't miss out on this golden opportunity to long oil and ride the wave of China's recovery and global supply worries.
Take action today, and let's make this an unforgettable trading experience!
Wishing you happy trading and abundant profits,
Crude oil trend analysis
Last Friday there was a unilateral rise of more than 20 points, which is not large in terms of magnitude. After all, the one-day fluctuation in previous years was 30 points. Crude oil prices have been rising for 3 consecutive months. I think that in The price will usher in a correction this week. There will be a certain degree of decline.
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il Data Reveals a 3 Million Barrel Shortfall on Saudi CutBrace yourselves for some exciting news from the oil market that might just make your day. Recent data analysis has uncovered a significant shortfall of 3 million barrels in Saudi Arabia's oil production cut. This revelation presents a golden opportunity for us to make some smart moves and potentially profit from a bullish oil market. So, let's dive right in and explore why it's time to long oil!
Unveiling the Shortfall:
In a surprising turn of events, the latest oil data has exposed a notable discrepancy in Saudi Arabia's oil production cuts. As we know, the Kingdom has been at the forefront of OPEC+ efforts to stabilize oil prices by curbing production. However, it appears that their output reductions have fallen short by a staggering 3 million barrels. This revelation has sent shockwaves through the market, opening a promising window for us to capitalize on this situation.
Seize the Opportunity:
Now, you might be wondering, "What does this mean for us as traders?" Well, my friends, this shortfall in production can have a profound impact on the global oil market. With demand steadily recovering and supply struggling to keep up, we can expect a surge in oil prices soon. This presents an ideal opportunity for us to take advantage of a bullish market and potentially reap substantial profits.
Call-to-Action: Long Oil Today!
So, how can we make the most of this exciting turn of events? It's simple, my fellow traders – it's time to long oil! By strategically positioning ourselves in the market, we can potentially ride the wave of rising oil prices and secure significant gains.
Here are a few steps to get you started:
1. Conduct thorough research: Dive deep into the oil market's current dynamics, keeping a close eye on supply-demand trends, geopolitical factors, and any other relevant news that might impact oil prices.
2. Develop a solid trading strategy: Craft a well-thought-out plan that aligns with your risk appetite and investment goals. Consider factors such as entry and exit points, stop-loss orders, and profit targets to maximize your gains.
3. Stay updated and flexible: The oil market can be volatile, so it's crucial to stay informed about any new developments or shifts in the market landscape. Be ready to adapt your strategy accordingly to make the most of emerging opportunities.
4. Leverage reliable trading platforms: Utilize trusted trading platforms that offer real-time data, advanced charting tools, and competitive spreads to execute your trades efficiently and effectively.
Conclusion:
Traders, the oil market is buzzing with potential, and the recent data revealing a 3-million-barrel shortfall on Saudi Arabia's production cut is a game-changer. By long oil today, we position ourselves to capitalize on the upcoming surge in prices and potentially secure substantial profits. So, let's embrace this opportunity with enthusiasm and make the most of a bullish oil market. Happy trading, and may the profits be ever in your favor!
USOIL: Range shock, high Sell opportunitySince I expressed my opinion, I have published a total of 3 articles, all of which have ended in profit. The winning rate currently remains at 100%. I hope it can continue to be maintained and point out a clear direction for everyone.
Recently, crude oil has been fluctuating within the range of 86.10-87.9. This oscillating trend has lasted for several days, and there is no sign of a breakthrough for the time being. The only way to achieve a breakthrough is to see how tomorrow's EIA data performs. Before that, we can just keep selling high and buying low.
At present, crude oil has reached a high of 87.9 again, and the opportunity to short is rare, so I am prepared to sell here and set two targets, 86.8 and 86.1.
Is WTI US oil upper resistance of $94 peak price? I am reaching out to discuss the recent developments in the US WTI oil market and shed some light on its potential to hit the upper resistance level of $94. As cautious investors, we must closely monitor this situation and make informed decisions regarding our oil investments.
Over the past few weeks, we have witnessed a steady rise in oil prices due to various factors, such as increased global demand, geopolitical tensions, and supply constraints. As a result, US WTI oil has been steadily climbing, approaching a critical resistance level of $94.
While it is essential to acknowledge the possibility of oil prices reaching this upper resistance level, we must approach the situation with caution. Several factors could influence the market dynamics, potentially causing a reversal or a temporary halt in the upward trend. It is essential to consider these factors before making any investment decisions.
Therefore, I encourage you to closely monitor the developments in the oil market, paying attention to critical indicators such as supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and economic data. By staying informed and conducting a thorough analysis, we can make well-informed investment choices that align with our risk tolerance and investment objectives.
Considering the current situation, I emphasize the importance of diversification in our portfolios. While oil investments can be lucrative, we must not overly concentrate our holdings in this sector. Diversifying across asset classes and industries can help mitigate risks and ensure a well-rounded investment strategy.
Lastly, I invite you to join me in regular discussions and forums to exchange insights and share valuable information about the oil market. By collaborating and leveraging our collective knowledge, we can make more informed decisions and confidently navigate the market.
In conclusion, let us remain cautious and vigilant as we observe the US WTI oil market approaching the upper resistance level of $94. By closely monitoring the situation, conducting a thorough analysis, and diversifying our portfolios, we can position ourselves for potential opportunities while managing risks effectively.
Thank you for your attention, and I look forward to engaging in fruitful discussions with you all.
Has Oil Price Reached Its Peak as Demand Weakens?Today, I would like to draw your attention to an important question that has been lingering in the minds of many: Has the price of oil reached its peak as demand begins to weaken?
As we all know, the global oil market is susceptible to various factors, including geopolitical tensions, economic fluctuations, and, most recently, the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Over the past year, we have witnessed unprecedented volatility, with prices plummeting to historic lows and staging a remarkable recovery.
However, recent indicators suggest that oil demand is showing signs of weakening, thereby raising concerns about a potential peak in oil prices. Several factors contribute to this observation:
1. Shift towards renewable energy: Governments worldwide are increasingly committed to reducing carbon emissions and transitioning to cleaner, more sustainable energy sources. This shift will likely impact long-term oil demand as renewable energy technologies gain traction and investment.
2. Slow recovery from the pandemic: Despite progress in vaccination campaigns, the global recovery remains uneven. Ongoing restrictions, travel limitations, and remote work arrangements continue suppressing oil demand, particularly in the transportation sector.
3. Emerging energy alternatives: The rapid advancements in electric vehicles (EVs) and the growing infrastructure to support them pose a potential threat to oil demand. As EV adoption accelerates, especially in major economies, the impact on oil consumption could be substantial.
While it is essential to acknowledge these trends, I emphasize that predicting the future trajectory of oil prices is inherently challenging. Complex market dynamics and unforeseen events can quickly alter the landscape. Therefore, caution should be exercised when making investment decisions.
In light of these developments, I encourage you to pause and reassess your long positions on oil. Diversifying your portfolio and exploring alternative investment opportunities that may offer more stability and long-term growth potential is crucial. You can position yourself in the changing energy landscape by staying informed about emerging trends, such as renewable energy, EVs, and other innovative technologies.
As always, thorough research, risk assessment, and a well-informed strategy are paramount in navigating these uncertain times. Stay vigilant, keep a close eye on market developments, and consider seeking advice from industry experts to make informed decisions.
Should you require any further insights or have specific queries, please comment to reach out. We are here to support you in making well-informed investment choices.
WTI OIL Pull-back and final buy opportunity before +$93.00.WTI Oil (USOIL) is trading within a Channel Up pattern since early June with the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) supporting since July 06. Based on the 4H MACD, the price is pulling back at the moment to test the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, similar to July 17. If it holds, it will be the final bullish sequence to test the 93.75 Resistance (October 10 & November 07 2022 Double Top), so we will buy and target 93.00. If not, the last opportunity will remain at the bottom of the Channel Up and on the 1D MA50.
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Goldman Says Risks in Oil Supply Cut Amidst Bullish SentimentGoldman Sachs, a leading global investment banking firm, has issued a cautionary note urging traders to exercise caution amidst the current bullish sentiment surrounding the late-stage oil rally.
In their latest analysis, Goldman Sachs has highlighted several risks that could potentially undermine the anticipated benefits of any oil supply cut. These risks may have adverse implications for traders like yourself if not carefully considered. Therefore, it is crucial to approach this situation with a cautious mindset and take appropriate measures to mitigate potential pitfalls.
While it is understandable that the current market dynamics favor a late-stage oil rally, it is imperative to remain vigilant and avoid complacency. Goldman Sachs' research suggests that certain factors, such as the potential resurgence of COVID-19 cases, geopolitical tensions, and unforeseen disruptions in the global supply chain, could significantly impact the oil market.
To ensure you navigate this uncertain landscape prudently, I encourage you to:
1. Stay Informed: Continuously monitor market trends, industry news, and expert opinions to understand the evolving dynamics that could influence oil prices comprehensively.
2. Diversify Your Portfolio: Consider diversifying your investment portfolio to include assets less susceptible to the oil market's volatility. This approach will help mitigate potential losses and buffer against unforeseen downturns.
3. Exercise Caution: Be mindful of your risk appetite and avoid making impulsive decisions based solely on short-term market fluctuations. Take a measured approach and carefully evaluate the potential risks and rewards before making significant investments.
4. Seek Expert Advice: Consult with experienced financial advisors or industry experts who can provide valuable insights and guidance tailored to your trading goals and risk tolerance.
By adopting a cautious approach and incorporating these recommendations into your trading strategy, you will be better equipped to navigate the potential challenges associated with the current oil supply cut discussions.
Remember, success in trading lies not only in recognizing opportunities but also in managing risks effectively. Goldman Sachs' warning serves as a timely reminder to exercise caution and prudence during this period of heightened volatility.
Please comment if you have any questions or require further information. Let's navigate these uncertain times with a steady hand and informed decision-making.
www.reuters.com
Russia and Saudi Arabia Extend Supply Cut Until Year-End 🚀It's time to buckle up and get ready for an exhilarating ride as we witness the recent developments that are set to fuel our profits. 📈
I am thrilled to share the fantastic news that Russia and Saudi Arabia have just announced their decision to extend the supply cut until the end of this year. This strategic move is expected to significantly boost oil prices, creating a perfect opportunity for us to make some serious gains. 🌟
With these two major players committed to reducing supply, the market is set to tighten further, putting upward pressure on oil prices. As a result, we anticipate a surge in demand, leading to a perfect storm for traders who go long on oil. 📈💰
Now, you might wonder, "How can I capitalize on this golden opportunity?" Well, fret not, my fellow traders, as I have an exciting call to action for you. It's time to get into the driver's seat and join the oil rally! 🚀
Here's what you can do to maximize your potential gains:
1. Stay informed: Keep a close eye on the latest news, market trends, and expert analysis related to oil. Being well-informed will help you make smarter trading decisions.
2. Conduct thorough research: Dive deep into the fundamentals of the oil market, including supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, and any other relevant indicators that may impact oil prices.
3. Develop a solid trading strategy: Craft a robust plan that aligns with your risk tolerance and investment goals. Consider entry and exit points, stop-loss orders, and profit targets to optimize your trading experience.
4. Leverage trading platforms: To enhance trading efficiency, utilize advanced trading platforms that offer real-time data, analysis tools, and features like stop-loss and take-profit orders.
5. Stay disciplined: Stick to your trading strategy and avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term fluctuations. Patience and discipline are critical to long-term success.
Remember, the oil market is buzzing with potential, and this extended supply cut presents an incredible opportunity for us to ride the wave of success. So, let's gear up, embrace the positive vibes, and make the most of this bullish momentum! 📈💪
If you have any questions or need assistance with your trading journey, please don't hesitate to contact our dedicated support team. We are here to help you navigate the exciting world of oil trading and ensure a seamless experience.
I am wishing you happy trading and abundant!
Crude OilI am looking for #crudeoil to pull back toward the 61.8% fib level on the 1-hour chart.
If so, then see the continuation down back to 85.00.
Each fib level will act as support and resistance.
Happy Trading!
Share your thoughts in the comments.
The Motivational Professor
"Leadership is the art of getting someone else to do something you want done because he wants to do it."-Dwight D. Eisenhower
Oil Pushes to $86 as Supply Cuts ContinueIntroduction:
We've got some exciting news to share today - oil prices are soaring to new heights as supply cuts persist! The black gold is inching closer to the $86 mark daily, and we couldn't be happier. So, prepare to seize this golden opportunity and long oil like never before!
The Rising Tide of Oil Prices:
In recent months, we've witnessed a remarkable surge in oil prices, driven primarily by the ongoing supply cuts. Major oil-producing nations, including OPEC and its allies, have worked diligently to stabilize the market. Their efforts have paid off, resulting in a steady reduction in oil supply. As a result, the demand-supply dynamics have shifted in favor of traders looking to go long on oil.
The $86 Milestone:
Now, let's talk numbers, traders! We're approaching the much-anticipated $86 milestone, and the excitement is palpable. With each passing day, oil prices are inching closer to this psychological barrier. As the global economy rebounds and oil demand grows more robust, we can expect prices to continue their upward trajectory. This is the perfect time to capitalize on this trend and make substantial gains!
Why Go Long on Oil?
The reasons to go long on oil are plentiful, my friends. Firstly, the ongoing supply cuts have significantly reduced the surplus fat in the market, paving the way for increased prices. Additionally, as the global economy recovers from the pandemic-induced slowdown, industries ramp up production, leading to a surge in oil demand. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions and uncertainties continue influencing oil prices, making it an attractive asset for traders seeking volatility and profit potential.
Call-to-Action: It's Time to Long Oil!
Fellow traders, the time has come to seize this incredible opportunity and long oil! With prices pushing towards $86, there's no better time to jump on this bandwagon. Here's what you need to do:
1. Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on market trends, news, and developments that impact the oil industry. Knowledge is power, and being well-informed will help you make informed trading decisions.
2. Analyze and Strategize: Develop a robust trading strategy based on your analysis of the market dynamics. Consider supply and demand, production levels, geopolitical events, and economic indicators to maximize profit potential.
3. Diversify Your Portfolio: While going long on oil presents an exciting opportunity, it's always wise to diversify your trading portfolio. Explore other commodities, stocks, or assets to mitigate risks and optimize your trading experience.
4. Consult with Experts: Seeking advice from experienced traders or financial advisors can provide valuable insights and help you refine your trading strategy. Utilize their expertise to make well-informed decisions.
Conclusion:
Traders, the oil market is buzzing with excitement as prices surge towards the $86 mark. With ongoing supply cuts and a growing global economy, the time is ripe to buy oil and make substantial gains. Stay positive, stay informed, and prepare for this wave of success. Happy trading, and may your profits soar higher than ever before!
Navigating Oil Price Rises as Supply Tightens and China PMI Edge
Introduction:
As the global economy gradually recovers from the pandemic-induced slump, a combination of factors has led to a tightening of oil supply, resulting in a notable rise in oil prices. Coupled with China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) showing signs of improvement, the time might be ripe for investors to consider long positions in oil. In this article, we will delve into the reasons behind the oil price surge the impact of China's PMI on the market, and provide a call-to-action for those seeking investment opportunities in the oil sector.
Understanding the Supply Tightening:
One of the primary factors driving the recent surge in oil prices is the tightening of supply. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, have been implementing production cuts to stabilize the market. These cuts and the ongoing global economic recovery have gradually reduced oil inventories, causing prices to climb.
China PMI and its Influence:
As the world's second-largest oil consumer, China is crucial in shaping global oil demand. The country's PMI, a key economic indicator, provides insights into the health of its manufacturing sector. As China's PMI edges higher, it suggests increased industrial activity and, subsequently, higher oil demand. This positive trend in China's PMI can potentially contribute to further price appreciation in the oil market.
Call-to-Action: Long Oil
For investors seeking potential opportunities in the oil market, now might be an opportune time to consider long positions in oil. As supply tightens and China's PMI shows improvement, the market dynamics appear favorable for potential gains.
However, it is essential to approach oil investment cautiously and conduct thorough research before making any decisions. Here are a few key points to consider:
1. Diversify Your Portfolio: While oil investment can be lucrative, it is crucial to maintain a diversified portfolio to mitigate risks. Allocating a portion of your investment to oil can help balance your overall portfolio and potentially enhance returns.
2. Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on global oil market trends, geopolitical developments, and economic indicators like China's PMI. Staying informed will enable you to make informed decisions and seize opportunities as they arise.
3. Consult a Financial Advisor: If you are unsure about navigating the complexities of the oil market, seek guidance from a qualified financial advisor. They can provide personalized advice based on your investment goals and risk tolerance.
Conclusion:
As supply tightens and China's PMI edges higher, the oil market presents potential opportunities for investors. By understanding the factors driving oil price rises and staying informed about market dynamics, investors can potentially make informed decisions to benefit from this upward trend. However, it is essential to approach oil investment cautiously and seek professional advice if needed. With careful consideration and prudent investment strategies, long positions in oil may prove advantageous for those seeking to diversify and capitalize on the current market conditions.
Oil Moves Up as China Extends Support to Boost EconomyIntroduction:
In a positive turn of events, the global oil market has witnessed a significant uptick as China, the world's largest importer of crude oil, continues to implement measures to bolster its economy. This development has injected a sense of cautious optimism among traders, who now have an opportunity to capitalize on the upward momentum. In this article, we explore the recent support from China and provide a call to action for traders to consider loading up on oil slowly and conservatively.
China's Economic Support:
China's commitment to revitalize its economy has been the driving force behind the recent surge in oil prices. The nation's robust economic recovery plan, including increased infrastructure spending and a boost in domestic consumption, has instilled confidence in the oil market. As China's demand for oil rises, traders can anticipate a positive impact on prices.
The Impact on Global Oil Prices:
China's unwavering support for its economy has a ripple effect on the global oil market. As the nation's demand for oil escalates, it creates a favorable environment for prices to climb steadily. This upward trajectory can be seen as an opportunity for traders to enter the market and potentially reap the benefits of this positive trend.
Call-to-Action: Load Up on Oil Slowly and Conservatively
While the recent developments in the oil market are encouraging, traders must exercise caution and adopt a conservative approach. Here are a few key considerations to keep in mind:
1. Analyze Market Trends: Before making investment decisions, carefully analyze market trends, supply-demand dynamics, and geopolitical factors that may impact oil prices. Stay informed by following reputable news sources and consulting expert opinions.
2. Diversify Your Portfolio: To mitigate risks, it is advisable to diversify your investment portfolio. Allocate a portion of your resources to oil while maintaining a balanced approach across various sectors and commodities.
3. Set Realistic Targets: Establish realistic profit targets and risk management strategies. Avoid succumbing to the temptation of quick gains, as oil prices can be volatile. A gradual and measured approach will help you navigate potential market fluctuations.
4. Stay Informed: Continuously monitor global economic indicators, geopolitical developments, and policy changes influencing oil prices. Being well-informed will enable you to make informed decisions and adjust your strategy accordingly.
Conclusion:
China's commitment to supporting its economy has breathed new life into the oil market, offering traders a window of opportunity. However, it is crucial to approach this opportunity with caution and a measured mindset. By following a conservative investment strategy, analyzing market trends, diversifying portfolios, and staying informed, traders can benefit from the current upward trend in oil prices. Remember, slow and steady wins the race.
Call-to-Action: Embrace this cautious optimism and consider loading up on oil slowly and conservatively regarding the considerations above. By doing so, you can align your investment strategy with the positive market sentiment and potentially capitalize on the upward movement in oil prices.
Crude oil prices reverse, or will launch a month-end sprint
Although the U.S. economic S&P global PMI and durable goods orders were weak last week, these did not dampen growth prospects. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model predicts that the U.S. GDP growth rate in the third quarter will reach 5.9%. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell also said at the central bank's annual meeting that "the U.S. economy is stronger than expected." Both the markets of China and the United States have seen positive changes, which is undoubtedly an important driving force for the stabilization and upward movement of WTI crude oil prices. In the short term, there are other supply concerns that boost oil prices. For example, some predictions that Saudi Arabia will further extend voluntary production cuts until October are circulating in the market, and the possibility of tropical storms affecting the short-term crude oil production capacity of the United States also supports oil prices.
The four-hour chart shows that WTI crude oil prices stabilized and rebounded around 78 last week, and have now completed a bullish wedge-shaped reversal, which means that the downward trend from the August high has ended, and oil prices may turn upward. If it meets expectations, the initial upward target of WTI crude oil price will look at the 81.50-82 area, and the further upward target is also the more important resistance in the 83-84 area. If this resistance area is broken, the trend will gain a wider upward space.
And if it falls back in the short term, focus on the support of the 79-80 area. Holding this support area will maintain a bullish outlook. If it falls back to the inside of the wedge, the bullish outlook will be invalidated.
Short oil Above 38.2% Fib LineCrude oil is trading it highs to low short fib at the 38.2% line. Oil has a history of trading this short fib line in this downtrend. The last time it traded this level, crude dropped from 81.72 level to 77.57, hitting the objective to nearly the penny. Now, we are trading the highs to low 38.2 level. And, once again, we are having issues getting past it. So, let's take a small risk here and see if we can get a trade out of it.
I am looking for a 15 minute candle with a wick or two above this 80.37 level. A rapid fall back beneath this level would be the right price action for a big break to the downside, targeting the objective at 75.87.
The chart shows the previous Fib draw (left) and subsequent decline to the target objective. On the right, the current fib draw from low to highs, including this 38.2% line. For this trade risk no more than 25 cents on your fill. Based on projected move, this is a 20:1 Reward:Risk level.
China's Economic Woes and Increased Oil Production Introduction:
Recently, the global oil market has been experiencing significant fluctuations due to a combination of factors. The economic slowdown in China and the increased oil production in Iran and Venezuela have led to a drop in oil prices. As traders, it is crucial to approach this situation cautiously and explore opportunities to take advantage of this market scenario.
Understanding the Factors at Play:
1. China's Economic Deterioration: China, the world's second-largest economy, has been grappling with a slowdown, which has had a direct impact on the oil demand. As the country's manufacturing and industrial sectors face challenges, the need for oil decreases, contributing to the price drop.
2. Increased Production in Iran and Venezuela: The easing of sanctions on Iran and the resurgence of oil production in Venezuela have further added to the supply glut in the market. As these countries ramp up their production, the oversupply of oil leads to a downward pressure on prices.
Capitalizing on the Situation:
While the oil price drop may pose risks, it also presents opportunities for traders to profit from the market. However, it is crucial to approach this situation with a cautious mindset and consider the following strategies:
1. Diversify Your Portfolio: As the oil market remains volatile, it is essential to diversify your trading portfolio to minimize potential risks. Consider exploring other sectors or commodities less affected by the oil price drop.
2. Monitor Global Economic Indicators: Keep a close eye on economic indicators, particularly those related to China's financial performance. You can make more informed trading decisions and mitigate potential losses by staying informed about the latest developments.
3. Analyze Geopolitical Factors: Stay updated on geopolitical events that may impact oil prices. Developments in Iran and Venezuela, such as political tensions or changes in production policies, can significantly impact the oil market. Remain vigilant and adapt your trading strategies accordingly.
4. Utilize Risk Management Tools: To protect your investments, implement risk management techniques such as stop-loss orders and trailing stops. These tools can help limit potential losses in case of unexpected market movements.
Call-to-Action: Seize the Opportunity to Profit from Oil
While the oil price drop may seem daunting, it presents a unique opportunity for traders to capitalize on the market situation. By carefully analyzing market trends, diversifying portfolios, and utilizing risk management tools, traders can navigate the oil market cautiously and potentially secure profitable outcomes.
Stay informed and adapt your trading strategies to the evolving market conditions is crucial. Take advantage of this period of oil price drop by making well-informed decisions and seizing the profit potential.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Traders are advised to conduct their own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Note: It is essential to consult with a financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.
Russia's Oil Exports Plummet to Lowest Volume Level Since JanIntroduction:
In a surprising turn of events, Russia's oil exports have hit their lowest volume since January, raising concerns within the trading community. This unexpected decline has far-reaching implications for the global oil market, warranting a moment of reflection and reconsideration for traders worldwide. In this article, we delve into the reasons behind this decline and propose a call to action, urging traders to pause oil trading temporarily.
The Unforeseen Decline:
Russia, one of the world's largest oil producers, has experienced a significant drop in its exports, catching many traders off guard. The recorded volume level was the lowest since January, sending shockwaves through the trading community. This decline raises several red flags and highlights the need for a cautious approach in the current market.
Factors Contributing to the Decline:
Several factors have contributed to Russia's plummeting oil exports. First and foremost, the ongoing China economic slowdown has severely impacted oil demand, reducing production and exports. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, and changing market dynamics have all affected this downward trend.
The Call-to-Action: Pause Oil Trading:
Given the current circumstances, traders must take a moment to pause and reassess their trading strategies. The declining oil exports from Russia should serve as a wake-up call for the trading community. It is crucial to adopt a more cautious and responsible approach to trading oil, considering the volatility and unpredictability of the market.
Traders can mitigate potential risks by temporarily pausing oil trading and avoiding unnecessary losses. This pause allows for thoroughly evaluating market conditions, including supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical developments, and economic indicators. This step will enable traders to make informed decisions and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Additionally, this pause serves as an opportunity to explore alternative investment avenues. Diversifying portfolios and considering other commodities or sectors can help traders reduce their dependence on oil and navigate the market with greater resilience. Exploring renewable energy sources like solar or wind power could also be a long-term investment consideration.
Conclusion:
The recent decline in Russia's oil exports indicates that the global oil market faces unprecedented challenges. As responsible traders, we must pause and reevaluate our strategies in light of these developments. We can protect our investments, mitigate risks, and explore alternative opportunities by temporarily taking a step back from oil trading.
Let us collectively embrace this call to action and make informed decisions contributing to a more stable and sustainable trading environment. We can only navigate these uncertain times and emerge more robust in adversity through careful consideration and responsible action.