Crude Oil Outlook for the Next 3 MonthsThe outlook for WTI crude oil in the next 3 months is mixed. On the one hand, global oil demand is expected to continue to grow, as economies around the world recover from the COVID-19 pandemic. This will put upward pressure on oil prices.
On the other hand, supply of oil is also expected to increase in the coming months. OPEC+, a group of oil-producing countries, has agreed to gradually increase production. This will help to offset the decline in production from Russia, which has been hit by sanctions following its invasion of Ukraine.
As a result of these factors, analysts are predicting that WTI crude oil prices will average around $85 per barrel in the next 3 months. However, there is a wide range of possible outcomes, and prices could go higher or lower depending on the global economic and political situation.
How to Trade WTI Crude
There are a number of ways to trade WTI crude oil. One way is to buy and sell futures contracts on the NYMEX. Futures contracts are a type of derivative that gives the buyer the right to purchase or sell a certain amount of oil at a specified price on a specified date.
Another way to trade WTI crude oil is to buy and sell options contracts. Options contracts are a type of derivative that gives the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase or sell a certain amount of oil at a specified price on or before a specified date. Options contracts can be used to speculate on the future price of oil, or they can be used to hedge against the risk of changes in oil prices. For example, a company that uses oil in its production process might buy put options on WTI crude oil to protect itself from rising oil prices.
How to Trade WTI Crude Options
There are two main types of WTI crude oil options contracts: call options and put options. Call options give the buyer the right to purchase a certain amount of oil at a specified price on or before a specified date. Put options give the buyer the right to sell a certain amount of oil at a specified price on or before a specified date.
The price of an WTI crude oil option contract is determined by a number of factors, including the strike price, the expiration date, and the volatility of the underlying oil price. The strike price is the price at which the buyer of the option can purchase or sell the oil. The expiration date is the date on which the option contract expires. The volatility of the underlying oil price is a measure of how much the price of oil is expected to fluctuate over time.
To trade WTI crude oil options, you will need to open an account with a brokerage firm that offers options trading. You will also need to deposit funds into your account. Once your account is funded, you can place orders to buy or sell WTI crude oil options contracts.
How Companies Can Hedge Positions with Speculative Trading on the Stock Exchange
Companies that use oil in their production process can hedge against the risk of changes in oil prices by trading on the stock exchange. For example, a company that uses oil in its production process might buy shares of a company that owns oil wells. This will help to protect the company from rising oil prices, as the value of its shares will likely increase when oil prices go up.
Companies can also use options contracts to hedge against the risk of changes in oil prices. For example, a company that uses oil in its production process might buy put options on WTI crude oil. This will give the company the right to sell oil at a specified price, even if the market price of oil falls. This will help to protect the company from losses if oil prices fall.
Speculative trading on the stock exchange can be a risky proposition, but it can also be a way for companies to profit from changes in oil prices. However, it is important to remember that speculative trading is not a guaranteed way to make money. Companies should carefully consider the risks and rewards before engaging in speculative trading.
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Risk Warning
Trading stocks and options is a risky activity and can result in losses. You should only trade if you understand the risks involved and are comfortable with the potential for losses.
Rating: Mixed Outlook
Risk Disclaimer!
The article and the data is for general information use only, not advice!
The Trade Academy Team - The Professional Trader
Risk Disclaimer!
General Risk Warning: Trading on the Financial Markets, Stock Exchange and all its asset derivatives is highly speculative and may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. It is important that you understand how Trading and Investing on the stock exchange works and that you consider whether you can afford the high risk of loss.
Oilsignals
OIL SHORThello traders.well we are in weekly supply zone and as you see in 4hr, bearish candle closed under the last low and changed the trend direction(CHOCH).so in pullback in smaller time frame we wait for reason to open short position.
R:R 1.85
what do you think?
“”your follows and boosts encourage me to publish more analysis””
Crude oil can be shorted if it does not break through the resist
The daily line of crude oil shows that 84 is a strong resistance to the rise. If it continues to break through 84 then crude oil will continue to rise. On the contrary, if it can remain unchanged at the current resistance position. Crude oil will drop slightly. So I think you can go short crude oil near the resistance position first.83.6-84sell.tp82.6-82-81.6-80.6-79.6
WTI OIL Broke below the Channel Up. Potential downtrend startingWTI Oil (USOIL) broke yesterday below the 1.5 month Channel Up and is now the farthest it's been from the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the June 28 bottom. As long as it fails to close a candle above the 4H MA50, the short-term trend remains bearish, targeting the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 78.50. If however it closes above the 4H MA50, we will buy and target Resistance 1 at 84.85.
An addition indicator for buy and sell is the 4H MACD. Once it makes a Bullish Cross, you can buy for quick short-term profit and similarly once it makes a Bearish Cross, you can sell.
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OIL LONGRisk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:2 RR
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
XTIUSD: 15/8 crude oil trading strategy todayYesterday, oil prices continued to be suppressed technically, running below the 83 mark, showing a trend of shock consolidation. During the Asian-European trading session, the price was hit by the resistance of the 83.1 line, and quickly went down. In the afternoon, the price stabilized at the 82 mark and reversed. In the evening, it rushed up several times in the US market, but was suppressed by the 83 mark, weakened and fluctuated again, and was below 83 at the close, forming a negative line of shock and fall. Judging from the weekly chart, although there was a short-term correction of the cross K line after the continuous positive line rose last week, the overall market is still running in an upward channel. Although accompanied by a callback correction, the price shows a trend of horizontal consolidation, and there is no deep pattern of rushing up, falling back and closing down for the time being, implying that the current upward trend is not over yet, and it may still rise after the correction.
In the 4-hour chart, the local upward trend has slowed down and lost the support of the middle rail, but it is currently entering the process of correction and gaining momentum, waiting for a stable rise again. The overall price continues to fluctuate and adjust below the 83 mark, and there may be expectations of a further decline in the short term.
Crude oil operation strategy:
sell83.3-83.6,
sl60pips,
tp82.0
buy81.0-81.3,
sl60pips,
tp83.5
Oil Drops After Weak China - A Cautionary Call to Pause on Oil II am writing to you today with a sense of concern and urgency regarding recent developments in the oil market. As you may already know, oil prices have taken a significant hit following the release of weak economic data from China, a key player in the global oil market.
The recent slump in China's economic growth and the uncertain property market have sent shockwaves through the oil industry. As a result, oil prices have experienced a slight decline, leaving many investors worried about the future trajectory of this crucial commodity.
Given the current circumstances, we must take a step back and reassess our investment strategies in the oil market. While oil has historically been a lucrative investment avenue, the current volatility and uncertainty demand a more cautious approach.
Therefore, I encourage you to pause any immediate oil investments and carefully evaluate the potential risks involved. It is crucial to consider the following factors before making any further decisions:
1. China's Economic Slowdown: China's economic growth has been slowing down, and this recent data only adds to the concerns. As the world's largest oil importer, any further deterioration in China's economy could profoundly impact oil demand, leading to a prolonged period of low oil prices.
2. Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade tensions between the United States and China have already caused disruptions in global trade patterns. Any escalation in these tensions could further dampen oil demand and negatively impact prices.
In light of these factors, I strongly advise taking a cautious approach and closely monitoring the developments in the oil market. Diversifying your portfolio and exploring alternative investment opportunities less exposed to the risks associated with the current oil market conditions may be prudent.
Remember, it is always better to prioritize capital preservation during uncertain times rather than chasing short-term gains. By exercising caution and patience, we can better navigate the unpredictable nature of the market and protect our investments in the long run.
Please get in touch with me with any further questions or concerns in the comment section below. Together, we can navigate this challenging period and make informed decisions that align with our investment goals.
Is the Oil Trend Cooling Off? IEA Report LoomsIntroduction:
As the global energy landscape evolves, the oil market has long been a focal point for traders seeking lucrative investment opportunities. However, recent developments and the impending release of the International Energy Agency's (IEA) report have raised concerns about the future of oil investments. This article explores the potential cooling off of the oil trend and advocates a cautious approach to oil investing.
1. The Changing Dynamics of Energy
2. The Impending IEA Report
3. Volatility and Uncertainty
4. Diversification and Alternative Investments
Considering the current uncertainties surrounding the oil market and the imminent release of the IEA report, we urge traders to pause and re-evaluate their oil investments. It is essential to carefully assess the potential risks and align investment strategies with the changing dynamics of the energy sector. Exploring alternative investment opportunities that align with sustainability and renewable energy can offer long-term growth potential while reducing exposure to oil market volatility.
Conclusion:
The oil trend may be cooling off as the world transitions towards cleaner energy sources. With the IEA report looming, caution is advised when it comes to oil investments. By diversifying portfolios and exploring alternative energy sectors, traders can position themselves to adapt to the evolving energy landscape and potentially capitalize on emerging investment opportunities. Now is the time to re-evaluate investment strategies and embrace a cautious approach toward oil investing.
Ride the Oil Wave - Take Advantage of the Growing Supply Risks!As you may already know, the global oil market is experiencing a significant shift. Supply risks are rising, creating a perfect storm for traders like us to make substantial gains. With OPEC+ production cuts, geopolitical tensions, and the gradual recovery of global demand, the stage is set for oil prices to surge even higher.
Now is the time to act, and I strongly encourage you to consider going long on oil. By taking a bullish position, we can potentially reap the benefits of this upward momentum and secure substantial profits. The excitement is palpable, and the potential returns are too enticing to ignore!
Here's why we believe now is the perfect time to enter the oil market:
1. Supply Risks: Numerous factors, such as geopolitical tensions, production cuts, and supply disruptions, rapidly tighten the oil market. These risks put upward pressure on prices, creating an ideal environment for traders to go long and ride the wave of increasing demand.
2. OPEC+ Production Cuts: The recent decision by OPEC+ to maintain production cuts has further tightened the market's supply side. This strategic move indicates their commitment to stabilizing prices, making it an opportune time for us to take advantage of this bullish trend.
3. Gradual Demand Recovery: As economies worldwide continue to recover from the impacts of the pandemic, oil demand is steadily gaining momentum. The reopening of businesses, resumption of travel, and increased industrial activities are all contributing factors that will further drive up prices.
So, how can you seize this opportunity and maximize your gains?
I recommend considering a long position on oil futures or exploring other oil-related investment options. By leveraging this bullish sentiment and carefully analyzing market trends, we can position ourselves for potentially significant profits.
Remember, timing is crucial, and the current market conditions are ripe for us to make a move. Conduct thorough research, consult your trusted advisors, and devise a strategy aligning with your risk appetite and investment goals.
Don't let this exciting opportunity pass you by. Get in on the action and ride the oil wave to financial success!
If you have any questions or need further guidance, please comment. Let's embark on this thrilling journey together and maximize this remarkable opportunity.
WTI OIL Double Top rejection or break-out?WTI Oil (USOIL) almost hit today 83.50 (Resistance 1), which was the April 12 High that caused a rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The 1D MA200 is now long broken, so any 1D candle close above Resistance 1 will be a bullish break-out targeting Resistance 2. In that case we will buy and target 93.00.
Until it breaks though, especially after an initial bearish warning shot on the 1D RSI that broke below its MA trend-line from overbought levels, it is very likely today's test to end with a price rejection towards 74.00 (Support 1). In that case, we will wait for the most optimal bearish confirmation by the 1D MACD and sell after a Bearish Cross and a rejection on the 4H MA50 (red trend-line). Our target will be 74.00 (Support 1).
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Oil Holds Gains as Attacks Threaten Russia's Black Sea Exports!The world of oil trading is buzzing with opportunities, and I couldn't wait to share this with you. Brace yourselves because it's time to dive into the captivating world of long-term oil trading!
As many of you may have heard, recent attacks have significantly threatened Russia's Black Sea exports. While this news may sound alarming to some, we traders know every obstacle presents an opportunity. And this opportunity is nothing short of extraordinary!
Oil prices have been soaring, and the market is holding onto these gains, fueled by the uncertainty surrounding Russia's exports. Now, you might be wondering why this is such a big deal. Well, my friends, this is where long-term oil trading comes into play.
Long-term oil trading allows you to capitalize on the current situation and secure your position for the future. By taking advantage of the volatility in the market, you can make strategic investments that will pay off in the long run. It's time to think big and act boldly!
Imagine the thrill of making calculated moves, utilizing your expertise and market insights to predict future trends. With every trade, you can make substantial gains while riding the wave of uncertainty caused by geopolitical events. This is the moment to show your prowess and seize the opportunity!
So, what are you waiting for? It's time to take action and embark on an exhilarating journey into long-term oil trading. Don't let this opportunity slip through your fingers. Join us in this thrilling adventure, and let's make the most of the current market conditions together!
Get started today by analyzing the market trends, studying the geopolitical landscape, and identifying potential opportunities. Remember, knowledge is power, and the more you educate yourself, the better equipped you'll be to make informed decisions.
The time is now, my fellow traders! Let's harness the power of uncertainty and turn it into our advantage. Together, we can ride the wave of volatility and achieve remarkable success in long-term oil trading.
Oil Short Risk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:2 RR
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
Saudis Extend 1 Million-Barrel Oil Cut, Say It Can Be ExtendedThe Kingdom of Saudi Arabia has just announced an extension of its remarkable one million-barrel oil cut, and they even hint at the possibility of deepening this cut further!
This extraordinary development has sent shockwaves through the global oil market, giving us a golden opportunity to seize the moment and significantly impact our trading portfolios. The Saudis' commitment to stabilizing oil prices is a testament to their unwavering dedication to the industry, and we are fortunate to be part of this exciting journey.
Now, it's time for us to take action and capitalize on this momentous occasion. The market has potential, and we must act swiftly to maximize our gains. I urge you to consider adding more oil market orders to your trading strategies. By doing so, we can ride the wave of this positive announcement and propel our success to new heights!
Let's not forget the countless opportunities that lie ahead. As the Saudis emphasize the possibility of deepening the oil cut, we have a unique chance to leverage this news and make strategic moves that will yield substantial returns. During these times of market volatility, accurate traders shine, and I have complete confidence in your abilities to seize this opportunity with gusto.
Remember, success favors the bold. Now is the time to demonstrate our prowess and make our mark in oil trading. Let's show the world what we can achieve when we harness the power of determination, knowledge, and impeccable timing.
If you have any questions or require assistance placing your oil market orders, please comment away below.
Let's embark on this exhilarating journey together and make our mark in the oil trading world! The stage is set, the opportunity is knocking, and we must answer the call.
Oil Price Cools Off as Fed Rate Increase LoomsAs a trader, it is crucial to approach these developments cautiously and consider their potential implications on oil prices.
Firstly, it is worth noting that the oil market has experienced a cooling effect in response to the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates. Historically, such rate hikes have led to a strengthening of the US dollar, which in turn tends to weigh on oil prices. This correlation suggests we may witness a temporary dip in oil prices in the coming weeks.
However, we must also be mindful of China's ongoing efforts to stimulate its economy. The Chinese government has recently implemented various measures, such as tax cuts and infrastructure spending, to counteract the economic slowdown. While these actions are expected to boost domestic demand and potentially increase oil consumption, there are concerns regarding the sustainability and effectiveness of these stimulus efforts.
Considering the potential volatility in the market, I encourage you to exercise caution when purchasing oil at this time. It is advisable to pause and carefully evaluate the market conditions before making significant trading decisions. By doing so, we can mitigate potential risks and position ourselves for better opportunities in the future.
In conclusion, the recent Fed rate increase has cooled oil prices, but China's attempts to stimulate its economy introduce uncertainties. I urge you to approach the market with caution and take a pause in your oil-buying activities. Evaluating the market conditions thoroughly will help us make informed decisions and navigate these challenging times more effectively.
OIl Short In this short analysis, we will examine the recent price movement of oil within the range of $78.5 to $79 with a focus on the potential for a price reversal. We will explore key technical indicators, market sentiment, and other factors that suggest a possible shift in the oil's direction.
Price Movement Overview:
The oil market has seen a recent uptrend as the price climbed from $78.5 to $79. However, the current price range indicates a potential turning point, suggesting the possibility of a price reversal.
Technical Indicators:
Resistance Level: The $79 price level has acted as a significant resistance point in the recent past. Repeated failures to break above this level could signal a lack of bullish momentum and an increased probability of a reversal.
Overbought Conditions: If the price surge from $78.5 to $79 has been rapid and significant, technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Stochastic Oscillator might signal overbought conditions. An overbought market often precedes a reversal as traders take profits, leading to a downward price correction.
Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment plays a crucial role in price reversals. As traders and investors become wary of the extended rally and potential resistance at $79, profit-taking and cautious approaches might be observed, adding selling pressure to the market.
Fundamental Factors:
Demand-Supply Balance: An analysis of the supply-demand dynamics could reveal potential imbalances in the oil market. If the demand outlook weakens or if there are signs of oversupply, it could influence traders' expectations for a price reversal.
Global Economic Indicators: The health of the global economy can impact oil prices. Any negative economic data or uncertainties could lead investors to reevaluate their positions, potentially triggering a reversal.
Caution for Traders and Investors:
For traders seeking a potential reversal, closely monitoring key technical levels and trendlines will be essential. Confirmation of a reversal signal through technical indicators and candlestick patterns can provide a stronger basis for making trading decisions.
Conclusion:
The oil price movement from $78.5 to $79 indicates the potential for a reversal as the market approaches a critical resistance level and may experience profit-taking and cautious sentiment. However, traders should be cautious and use additional technical and fundamental analyses to confirm a reversal before making trading decisions.
7 Dimension Analysis For OIL😇7 Dimension Analysis
Analysis Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Price Structure: Sideways to Bullish
🟢 Structure Initial Behavior: Choch Bearish
🟢 Move: Corrective
🟢 Inducement: Done
🟢 Pull Back Count: 1st
1st OB mitigated
Extreme OB unmitigated
Touch count 4, breakout from the range
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢TREND LINES: Act as Support
🟢CHART PATTERNS:
Flag: Signaling Continuation
Triple Bottom: Indicates a potential move to the long side
Rectangle Breakout: Confirms bullish sentiment
Fakeout: Strong demand signals after the breakout
CIP: Holding at rectangle resistance, now acting as support
Buildup: Bullish momentum after the rectangle breakout
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
Record Session Count: 7 buy candles, transitioning to sideways during buildup
Change in Guard: Noted at the end of the record session count
Momentum (Engulfing): Indicates potential bullish continuation
Engulfing: Classic bullish pattern at the bottom
Good Momentum: Observed at rectangle breakout
Narrow Range 4: Bullish breakout during the buildup phase
Inside Bar: Current candle forming, confirmation needed at closing
Todays Open High: Sustained for 4 hours
3️⃣ Volumes
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Zone: Superbullish yet
🟢 Range Shift: Sideways to Bullish
🟢 Divergence: Hidden 5-candle divergence indicates loss of momentum
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
Middle Band S/R: Strong support
Squeez: 60 candles in range, poised for a breakout inside the bulls
Squeez Breakout, Outside Upper Band: Bulls showing strength
Headfake: Price closed outside the lower band multiple times but quickly bounced back
M Pattern: 2nd leg forming, potential small correction toward middle band support
Open with Gap and Equal High: May indicate a correction
6️⃣ Strength ADX:
Main line under 20 shows overall consolidation, but bulls have some power
7️⃣ Sentiment ROC:
Rate of change for oil is in demand compared to all other commodities according to available data
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ Current Move: Impulsive, waiting for a valid high after corrective move
✔ Support Resistance Base: Hourly trendline and wick OB area acting as strong support
☑️ Candles Behavior: (to be monitored after correction)
☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Not yet
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Not yet
☑️ Final Comments: Awaiting correction completion before considering buy position
💡 Decision: Buy
🚀 Entry: 75
✋ Stop Loss: 73.5
🎯 Take Profit: 81.54
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:5
🕛 Expected Duration: 15 days
USOIL:Analysis today
According to the analysis of the chart, the market stopped falling and rebounded at the bottom line of 73.80 as scheduled yesterday, and it was already informed yesterday that there was a super main force bottom-hunting signal in the bottom area.
In terms of operation, we will continue the high-altitude and low-many thinking, and focus on doing more on dips
oil buy 75.0-75.5 tp 76.5-77.5
Oil Indicates Bearish Trend as EMA 50 Crosses Fibonacci .618Recent technical analysis has revealed a bearish signal as the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 50 has crossed the Fibonacci .618 level, indicating a potential downward trend in oil prices.
Technical indicators serve as valuable tools to assess market movements and make informed investment decisions. The EMA 50, in particular, is widely recognized for its ability to provide insights into medium-term trends. When it intersects with significant Fibonacci levels, such as .618, it often signals a shift in market sentiment.
Given the current scenario, it is crucial to exercise prudence and consider the implications of this signal. While it does not guarantee a definitive outcome, it is a noteworthy indication that suggests a potential downward pressure on oil prices. Consequently, we should reevaluate our investment strategies and exercise caution before making further commitments in the oil market.
Given this information, I encourage you to hold on to your existing oil positions and refrain from further investing until we witness more precise market signals. It is essential to closely monitor the market and observe the subsequent price action to understand the potential trend direction better.
As always, it is essential to remember that market conditions can change rapidly, and it is crucial to remain vigilant and adaptable. I recommend staying updated with the latest market news and conducting thorough research before making investment decisions.
Please comment with me if you have any questions or require further clarification. I am here to assist you and provide additional insights to help you navigate these uncertain times.
USOIL - IMPORTANT BREAKOUT📈Hello Traders👋🏻
On The Daily Time Frame The USOIL Price Reached a Strong Resistance Level (74.92 - 73.91).
Currently, This Key Level is Broken (Resistance Level Becomes new Support Level)🔥
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET: 76.50🎯
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if you agreed with this IDEA, please leave a LIKE, SUBSCRIBE or COMMENT!
USOIL:Long/short switch, gain 35 points
Hesitating the fake news of today's morning session, which led to a sharp rise in crude oil and then a rapid decline, we also successfully made a short conversion and harvested a profit of nearly 35 points.
At present, crude oil is consolidating around 74.1, and it has not broken down, indicating that the pressure near 74 is very strong, and it also gives us a good opportunity to do more!
Join me and don't let hesitation and procrastination affect the speed at which you make money!
$74 could be pivotal for WTI over the near termCommodities were broadly lower yesterday with the CRB index falling to a 4-day low. Geopolitical tensions are rising following Russia’s decision to back out of a key grain deal which allowed Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea. Weak data from China and news that Libya will restart oil production also saw WTI fall for a second day.
What has caught our eye is that WTI played very nicely with its round numbers yesterday, printing the high of the day at $76, a lower high at $75 and lows around $74. It is also considering the break of a trendline, although unless volatility picks up it runs the risk of moving sideways through it (which is not in the spirit of a trendline break).
Still, $74 appears to be a pivotal level over the near-term. And if prices print a minor bounce, we’d still consider shorts below $75 with a view for it to trade to $73. Take note that it is contract expiration today so we may see spills of undesirable volatility, but overall we want to see which way momentum takes this market next.