Oil moves up with US inflation and China boosting economyIt's worth noting that oil prices early on Wednesday extended the substantial gains from Tuesday, which were driven by brighter inflation figures from the United States and evidence that China taking steps to boost its economic growth.
I hope this information is helpful. Please let me know if you have any questions in your comments.
Oilsignals
Can oil demand bounced back to drive pack price? As you may have noticed, oil prices have recently ticked up on bargain hunting, but demand worries continue to weigh heavily on the market. While this may seem like a good investment opportunity, I urge you to exercise caution.
The global pandemic has caused unprecedented disruptions in the oil industry, and the future remains uncertain. Demand for oil is likely to remain suppressed for some time. In addition, the ongoing trade tensions between major economies could also impact the market.
Therefore, it is important to be mindful of the risks associated with investing in oil at this time. While there may be opportunities for short-term gains, the long-term outlook remains uncertain.
I encourage you to carefully consider your investment strategy and consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions. It is important to prioritize your financial well-being and make informed choices in these challenging times.
OIL dropped 1% as Fed call this draws uncertaintityI wanted to bring to your attention some recent developments in the oil and financial markets. Specifically, there are concerns about the impact of upcoming signals on the U.S. economy and monetary policy.
This week, we expect U.S. consumer inflation data to be released on Tuesday, which will likely factor into the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates on Wednesday. While the Fed is expected to keep rates steady, there is still some uncertainty because U.S. inflation is trending above the central bank's target range.
As a result, markets are remaining cautious about any potential hawkish moves. Additionally, the dollar has firmed in Asian trade, putting pressure on oil markets by making crude more expensive for international buyers.
I thought bringing these developments to your attention was essential, as they could impact this week's oil price. Please let me know if you have any questions or concerns via the comments.
OPEC+ could push up oil price as China is most important According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), OPEC+ may push up oil prices, but China remains the most essential factor in the market.
As we all know, China is the world's largest oil importer, and any changes in their demand can significantly impact global prices. With their economy recovering and demand increasing, now is the perfect time to invest in oil.
The IEA also predicts that global oil demand will continue to rise in the coming years, further supporting the case for investing in this market. As traders, we can take advantage of this trend and potentially see significant investment returns.
Therefore, I encourage you to consider investing in oil and taking advantage of this exciting opportunity.
WTI OIL decline continuation and potential bounce around 69.40.WTI Oil (USOIL) almost hit our 75.00 target with Monday's gap up, as we discussed on our analysis last week (see chart below):
The rejection was made slightly above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Higher Highs trend-line. We now expect this pull-back to test the 69.40 Symmetrical Support and rebound. Our new target will be 74.00, at the bottom of the Triangle rejection Zone and below both the 1D MA50 and possibly at the time the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
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WTI OIL Buy signal targeting the 1D MA100.WTI Oil (USOIL) reversed after hitting our previous target (see chart below) and is now rebounding again:
As you see it bounced off the previous Support Zone of the candle bodies, which we view it as a Pivot Zone similar to the one formed on December 16 2022. On both sequences the 1D RSI rebounded after almost turning oversold (below 30.00) and the current rebound was from the symmetrical 37.50 level.
The technical target is the Higher Highs trend-line and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), as it did on January 18, which we project to be at 75.00. Keep in mind that since November 04 2022 (almost 7 months) of long-term Channel Down trading, the price almost hit the 1D MA100 before getting rejected.
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WTI OIL Triangle closing decides the trend.WTI Oil (USOIL) has easily hit our short-term target (see chart below) and is now consolidating:
This consolidation is being done within a Triangle pattern, which as we saw on Friday it remained valid despite the fact that the price broke marginally above it, as the 4H candle closed eventually back inside it. This suggests that the (currently neutral trend) will change only when we have a 4H candle closing outside of the Triangle.
If that is above it, then we will buy and target within the 76.50 Resistance and the 4H MA200 at 75.50. If it closes to the downside, we will sell towards the Support and target 68.00. The fact that the 1D RSI is above its MA line, indicates that the bullish case is slightly favored.
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USOIL:Trading straregy
Yesterday, the market continued to fall as scheduled and adjusted to reach the support level of the chips below. In the short term, we can continue to focus on the pressure of the chip peak (around 73.80). We can also clearly see from the above picture that the CCI has further upward movement In the short term, there is also a lot of pressure at the top, just focus on the pressure of 73.20 and 75.70. The specific suggestions are as follows:
usoil:sell@73.2-73.6 tp1 72.3 tp2 71.8
Accurate trading signals will be updated in real time in the follow-up, friends who need it follow me!
Crude oil continues to fall
My friends, the trend of crude oil today is consistent with what I expected. It is now almost close to TP. Crude oil is still in the range. Profitable friends can consider reducing their positions to maintain profits. I hope my suggestion will help you and allow you to continue to make a profit.
Follow my trading signals,Accurately grasp every trading signal, help friends who trust me, and realize freedom of wealth
USOIL CHART UPDATEHey Traders,
We posted this idea yesterday with our first TARGET now complete. Our level was respected perfectly.
At the end of last week's Friday close, WTI had settled after a three week continuous plunge that had hit a low that was last reached in late 2021. The crash was caused by anxiety over the US economy. Speculators and investors had rolled out of their positions and this dried up liquidity leaving the market mainly in the hands of algorithms and momentum traders, exacerbating volatility.
We have seen the effects of liquidity drying up in this market before and how it creates extreme price swings. Last year was a case in point where we had erratic intra-day price moves that were extremely lucrative for the professionals who know how to trade in that jungle but that chopped up the rest especially retail traders.
In the current setup, if oil breaks and closes below $63 it will cause a cascade in other markets. We at BluetonaFX are still long-term bullish on oil as the speculators and high liquidity will return. It's a good idea to trade crude in any case if you are also trading other commodities such as gold given that when the oil market collapses, it can pull other commodities lower due to margin calls across the class.
PREVIOUS POST
Please see our chart idea fir USOIL and range projection.
TARGET 1 - 73.61
TARGET 2 - 82.72
We are looking for break and retest as support to trade the movement.
Please like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it.
BluetonaFX
WTI OIL Very strong long-term Buy opportunity.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit the last remaining targets as pointed out on our April 24 idea:
In fact, this completed our long-term 3 target approach as presented on our analysis three weeks ago:
That has come after a Double Bottom buy almost 2 months ago (March 16), which falls into our usual long-term swing trading approach that we apply successfully on our activities:
Right now we are on a similar buy opportunity like that idea above almost 2 months ago, as not only did the price bounce aggressively on the 64.50 Support (previous Low) but also the 1D RSI got oversold (30.00) and is rebounding. That has been a common feature on all previous Lower Lows within the long-term (8-month) Channel Down pattern that started on the August 30 2022 High.
Every bullish leg towards the Channel Down Top, has always hit at least the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That is currently at 75.66 but declining aggressively and we expect contact to be made at 73.90, which is the top of the 5-month Pivot Zone (that has been a Support for 3 months straight). The previous Lower High (April 13) was made exactly on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) which is the long-term Resistance, so it is very likely to hit that level also on the long-term but until then we will have our outlook updated.
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WTI OIL Target hit. Now sell the rebound.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit our 72.50 target we set last week (see chart below) and maintains the tight trade within this short-term Channel Down pattern:
At the moment today's aggressive bearish leg can very well make a Lower Low of the Channel Down at 71.10 and then rebound, with the 4H RSI Rectangle giving a valid level on its bottom to be prepared for. Until the price closes above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), we will look to sell again near the top of the Channel Down and target the bottom at 68.10, near the 1W MA200 (yellow trend-line).
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Crude oil is about to return to the upward pathAt present, oil continues to fluctuate in the 70-83 region. Last month, OPEC suddenly announced a production cut and opened higher. After a month of fluctuation, the gap was finally filled last week. Then the top-bottom conversion to the 75.7-75 region has become an important support in the short term. As for crude oil short orders, there is no rush to participate for the time being, and the technical outlook is rising;
News that lower oil inventories are also a factor in the rise in crude oil; in addition, Saudi Arabia and Iraq will reduce production at any time to protect oil prices and revenue, and the probability of a sharp decline is very small, so today's crude oil trading is mainly based on low-level long positions.
So our trading strategy and signals are very clear. I have published the detailed trading signals in my channel. You can enter to receive them.
WTI OIL Channel Down extended selling to 72.50.Perfect execution of our plan last Monday for WTI Oil (USOIL) as the price initially rebounded to the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), got rejected and hit our 74.00 target:
That is the top of the Pivot Zone that started back in mid-December. We are now expecting a (near) test of the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) as a Resistance to see if we'll get the rejection for bearish continuation as it happened on April 25. Our short-term target in this case is 72.50, the bottom of the Pivot Zone.
All this is part of course to our long-term trading plan:
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USOIL - Waiting for a Breakout 📉On The Weekly Time Frame, The USOIL Price Reached a Major Key Level (80.46-83.32) ✔
The Price Failed To Break This Resistance Level !
So, I Expect a Bearish Move 📉
i'm waiting for a Successful Breakout in Support Trendline 🔥
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TARGET: 74.35🎯
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OIL BUYHey, the oil market has reached an important area as you can see in the analysis. There is a high probability of an uptrend with a retest of the descending channel. good luck for everbody .Note: If you like this analysis, please give your opinion on it. in the comments. I will be happy to share ideas. Like and click to get free content. Thank you
4/25 Crude oil trading signal: Sell
The pattern of crude oil is similar to a double top, with resistance levels near 78.8-79.2, so a short signal was given before the market today. Now the trend is still in a short form. The rebound is a short opportunity. If you can't grasp the timing well, you can find me
WTI OIL Filling the downside gap but short-term rebound.The WTI Oil (USOIL) got, as we expected, heavily rejected on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), starting to fill the gap of March:
Our next target is 74.00, just above the Pivot Zone, but on the short-term, with the 4H RSI rebounding after getting oversold (has given a 100% buy signal short-term in the past 4 months), we expect a rise towards the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) for rejection.
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Brent Crude Oil Swing TradeThe price of Brent Crude Oil has fallen and tested the previous support level (Blue Line) outlined in the previous newsletter. Currently, we could see a potential swing back upwards. If the price breaks the support level, we could see a fall in price. However, I see the former as the more likely scenario, as the 0.5 Fibonacci level (Green Line) is also below the trendline - providing further support.
This support is further backed by the Stochastic RSI and MACD indicator coming to show potential buy signals.
To see why I chose these support and Resistance Levels see my linked idea below.