USOIl Crude Oil important Support LevelWTI Crude Oil is at a key support level now and i don`t think we have seen the last of it.
OPEC+ unexpectedly decided to cut output in October by 100,000 barrels a day.
It`s not much for now, but they will continue cutting the supply until they will get the oil to $90.
I`m looking for a bounce to the $85 - $92 area before heading to $62 by the end of next year, when i expect the beginning of an electric revolution worldwide.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Oilsignals
WTI OIL We caught a perfect buy entry, proceed as plannedOn our last WTI Oil (USOIL) analysis 6 days ago we caught the perfect buy entry after spotting the Lower Lows bottom fractal similar to September 26:
That chart was on the 1D time-frame and as you see, we got a perfect rebound that, moving into today's analysis on the 4H time-frame, broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). We now have a similar pull-back to September 30 and the price is testing the 4H MA50 as Support. If we get the 1D closing above it, we expect this rebound to continue at least 79.50 (which is the former Channel Down top (1st red flag), below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). If the price closes above the 1D MA50 (yellow trend-line), be prepared for a potential new Lower High on the diverging Channel Down (dashed lines, 2nd red flag).
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WTI: What will happen in next days?Crude oil (WTI) created strong downtrend and continues. If we see weekly and monthly charts then we can see this candles as downside direction.
But I don't think that it will go more down without any corrective waves. Firsly, we have to wait for 78.15 max then price will continue own movement again.
My targets for longterm are 71.91, 69.28 and 65.80.
Note: trading with commodities carries high risks.
WTI OIL Shouldn't rebound before testing this levelWTI Oil (USOIL) failed emphatically last week to break the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as it was rejected just below it and made yesterday and today a new market Low. Based on the RSI sequence as well, the rejection seems similar to September 14 that ended up making a new Low on the Lower Lows Zone (since July 14) on the -0.3 Fibonacci extension.
This extension is currently at 67.55 and we don't expect any meaningful rebound before testing that level. If it does, a rebound back to the 1D MA50 to test again the strength of this multi-month correction is very likely.
Alternatively you can keep an eye on the 1D RSI. Once it gets oversold near 30.00, buy and if it breaks the Lower Highs trend-line, confirm the 1D MA50 target.
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WTI OIL Inverse H&S completed. Ready for a $90 rebound?The WTI Oil (USOIL) materialized the rebound that we called on Monday exactly on the 73.60 bottom:
The pull-back since yesterday's High is close to the 4H MA50 (red trend-line) and is similar to the one during September 29/30, which is within the rebound sequence we've been modelling the new rebound from. The Channel Up (green) doesn't need to be as aggressive as then but the 1D RSI seems to be right on track also rebounding near oversold levels.
This time we see a clear Inverse Head & Shoulders forming (IH&S), basically about to get completed, which is a technical reversal pattern found on market bottoms. Short-term traders can target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) - 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) Resistance cluster. On the longer term we expect the price to reach the Zone within the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (89.45) and the 90.15 Symmetrical Resistance.
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20 Reason for sell OIL 🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️
1 ✨Eagle eye: Sideways
2 📆Monthly: Bullish to corrective mode
3 📅Weekly: a clear bear trend is established with proper lower lows
4 🕛Daily: bear and filled out corrective move now just ready for the next impulse move in bearish side
😇7 Dimension analysis
🟢 analysis time frame: Daily
5: 1 Price Structure: bear
6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: long shadow rejected at resistance
7: 3 Volume:
8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: Sideways to bear
9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: rejected at the middle band
10: 6 Strength ADX: just beginning strength for bears
11: 7 Sentiment ROC:
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
12: Entry TF Structure: sideways
13: entry move: wait yet
14: Support resistance base: upper resistence
15: FIB: nil
☑️ final comments: wait for breakout
16: 💡decision: sell
17: 🚀Entry:79.90
18: ✋Stop losel: 81.5
19: 🎯Take profit: 73.66
20: 😊Risk to reward Ratio: 1:6
🕛 Excepted Duration: 10 days
WTI OIL Strong rebound on oversold RSI Resistance.The WTI Oil (USOIL) almost turned oversold on its 1D RSI today and the last time it approached the 30.000 level was on September 26. That was the low of the multi-month downtrend, with Oil making a counter trend rebound to 93.65 in just 10 days!
On the short-term, the Resistance that has been intact since November 15 is the 4H MA50 (red trend-line). Breaking above it would be confirmation of the rebound extension. On the medium-term the target is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). On the long-term it can be within 89.50 - 90.00, the first is the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level and the second represents a +22.60% rise, identical with the rise of September 26 - October 10.
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Brent Crude Oil Simple Chart AnalysisBrent Crude Oil - Seem supported if we draw a 2 red arrow there. If this area indeed supported & rebound, we will see our KLSE energy moved. Might retest 100 as resistance here.
Risk side, it might just be a technical rebound here cause there are no red chip aggressively appearing.
WTI OIL Buy opportunity to 83.00 and 86.00 short-termWTI Oil (USOIL) posted a Bull Flag pattern today similar to September 28 - 30, which is the rebound formation is shares many similarities with. The drop that led to the bottom on both sequences is very similar and you can see that by plotting the September 14 - 26 on November 09 - 18.
The 4H MACD is also on the same pattern, it appears that the price is on the cross point (red flag). The target is now the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) with an early projected hit at 83.00 and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) around 86.00.
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Oil update Congratulation for how bought and trust my TA , and strategy .
Oil have been wild this days we need , what we need now is more confirmation.
We have to back test 78-77 area , where we deform the bullish pattern to continue up .
Target putted in red .
Accumelation 78,79 ,77
Selling is risky , you can start buying from here .
Today my target is 81.5 if break it hold to 85 .
GOOD LUCK
Why buying oil Oil have to scenarios on is going up to 106 $ where it will form double bottom pattern . At 75 $ which is forming now .
How it fail ? Close 2 days below 75 $
Second scenario , going down as we have double top at 92 $ . Where it can reach 70 $
I believe upside worth more risk . Because it more logical and reflect the indicators as we are in over sold monthly
If we cross bellow 75 $ 2 days ill be seller to 70 max 63
For daily trades i believe we have a big bounce can kill the seller soon .
GOOD LUCK
WTI CRUDE OIL BUY SAVE NOW
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WTI OIL Strong Support cluster. Fractal pointing to $93.00.The WTI Oil (USOIL) followed the exact projection we made earlier this week, as after a rebound to its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), it got rejected again and even broke as low as the Support Zone 1:
By doing so it reached the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which is the most important long-term Support. Last time it hit that level (September 26), it made an incredible rebound immediately. As you see we projected this drop on the bearish fractal of October 10 - 18. Plotting (yellow line) it on the price action since the November 07 rejection, it made a fairly accurate projection. This time we even looked at the September 14 - 26 bearish leg and as you see, the yellow fractal fits that one fairly well too. Also the resemblances between their 4H MACD sequences are evident.
Technically the 1W MA100 should hold and provide a rebound first to the 4H MA50 and 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and then towards the 93.75 Resistance. As with the September 26 bottom, we give it a small tolerance limit to allow for a fake-out. If this is exceeded, we'll take it as a sell break-out signal, targeting the 77.25 - 76.25 Support Zone (2).
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Crude prices under downside pressureCrude prices under downside pressure on the back of weaker demand outlook
The recent break below the $92 short term support level has opened up the prospects for a further decline towards a test of the September 30th lows near $84, the bearish outlook can be technically supported by the fact that current price is below its 20 and 50 day simple moving averages, as well as the fact that the 14 day relative strength index has crossed below its respective signal line (bearish). Short positions can therefore be technically supported provided price is unable to push back above the recent support now turned resistance at $92. Short sellers may be looking for $84 and $81 as potential downside targets, while longs may be aiming for a retest of the $92 area with $93.54 in extension.
USOIL Forecast: Position Trade IdeaHey trader,
As you can the price is currently bearish running in the head and shoulders level 2, and below the 50 and bearish crossed short-term MAs. It is preparing to drop for the patterns L3 together for the 200 MA (that's visible on the MT4 chart). But that bias will be fully confirmed once the price has bearish closed and retested below the Daily Neckline and 8 MA (1st trade) or 3rd Weekly Key Lvl (2nd trade), to trigger what I call the "H&S C-E.1 & E.2 signals". However if the price decides to bullish rally to break and retest the 3rd Monthly Key Lvl and 8 MA, the bias will be rejected.
With that said, take the trades at your own risk, because this is not financial advice. I'm just sharing my point of view, which you also can do in the comments section below. I don't mind if you do so; I'd love to know your thoughts!
That's it for today. I hope you found value from this article. If you wish to see more content on trade ideas and psychology, click the posts linked below. You won't regret it.
Trade Safe,
Sphatrades.
WTI OIL Hit the bottom of H&S. Scenarios and how to trade them.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit today the bottom of a Head and Shoulders pattern since late October. With the Head being on November 07 and rejected on the 93.75 Resistance (1), the current Low is a short-term buy opportunity, targeting the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), as long as today's Low holds.
A closing below the bottom targets the Support Zone 1 but the long-term Support is the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). We see that such scenario matches almost perfectly the previous Resistance (1) rejection from October 09 to October 18. The MACD sequences between the two fractals are similar.
On the other hand, a break above the top of the Right Shoulder, would be a bullish break-out signal targeting again the 93.75 Resistance (1).
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WTI CRUDE OIL WAITE FOR CONFARMANATION...
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
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WTI OIL Broke above the 1D MA100 for the first time in 4 months!WTI Oil (USOIL) didn't just break above its long-term Channel Down pattern on Friday, but at the same time broke and closed above its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since July 05. That alone is the second major bullish signal on WTI, after the September 27 rebound on the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). That is something we made clear on our previous analysis:
Right now the price is entering the Resistance Zone of August, which only broke once in August 29/30. This time however the technicals are different as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has become as Support and the MACD on the 1W time-frame has made a Bullish Cross, the first since January 17 2022! At the same time, the 1D RSI remains on Higher Highs and a huge bullish divergence as the actual price is on Lower Highs (since August 29).
As a result, trade within the medium-term (October) Channel Up (dotted lines) for as long as it lasts. A break above, targets the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and above the 0.618 Fib, strong bounce to the 0.786. On the other hand, we will turn bearish on if the price breaks below the 1D MA50, and target the 1W MA100.
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