Oilsignals
Oil Short SetupOIL Short Setup
🔵 Entry Level: $84.72
🟢 Take Profit: $80.03 (3.58R)
⛔ Stop Loss: $86.03
Reasons:
- I'm expecting the price to bounce off the first level (marked for a long position) and continue trending up until it reaches the upper trendline again.
- So far the price has been respecting this ascending channel
- I am not taking the long position, but I've marked it so that I have more confidence in my short if the price does behave in the above-described way
WTI OIL is about to top soon. Reversal imminent.On my most recent WTI Oil idea I laid out the reason why I expected it to tun parabolic towards $82.50:
That target has now been reached and on the 1D time-frame, WTI is approaching a very strong Support cluster both on price and RSI terms.
As you see the price is close to the internal Higher Highs trend-line that connects the March 08 and July 06 Highs. Also it is approaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of the Fibonacci Channel that is trading on since March. This extension is key because as you see the previous Higher Highs have been rising on a +0.5 Fib interval (1.0 and 1.5). The next in line is arithmetically 2.0.
At the same time, the 1D RSI is testing the 76.30 Resistance. The July 06 High came on a RSI Triple Top. We already have a Double Top. Watch this sequence closely as a potential Triple Top may be the signal for the correction. The 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 are there to offer Support.
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OIL Intraday. Aiming 1:10 RRRisk 1% and aiming for 10% on this trade. No indicators used. Pure price action. Like to keep my chart clean. Simply trading structure, nothing else!!
All trades closed on the same day. Entries are taken on 1 min chart. Stop loss is moved to cost after structure break. Don't chase the trades, wait for the next opportunity.
Also, please view price action on 1 min chart if you're following my entries. It will make sense. Trading view doesn't allow to post entries on charts smaller than 15 minutes.
Mostly trade 12-5pm UK time NY session. Sometimes London Session. Don't like the idea of watching charts the whole day.
OIL Intraday. Aiming 1:10 RRRisk 1% and aiming for 10% on this trade. No indicators used. Pure price action. Like to keep my chart clean. Simply trading structure, nothing else!!
All trades closed on the same day. Entries are taken on 1 min chart. Stop loss is moved to cost after structure break. Don't chase the trades, wait for the next opportunity.
Mostly trade 12-5pm UK time NY session. Sometimes London Session. Don't like the idea of watching charts the whole day.
WTI OIL turning Parabolic Towards $82.50.Since WTI Oil broke the former two Resistance levels (74.15 and 77.00), the price turned parabolic outside the Channel Up that dominated most of the price action in September. There seems to be a Buy/ Support Zone consisting of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) and a Resistance Zone on the RSI Higher Highs trend-line.
Technically those two pressure levels should provide the next dip buy and target. I've applied the Fibonacci Channel to assist in finding the target and as you see every Fib extension prices a Higher High (1.0, 1.5, 2.0). Naturally the 2.5 Fib extension is next, I project a Higher High around $82.50.
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WTI OIL Buy levels the MA50/200. Potential $90 move if 77 breaksOn my most recent WTI Oil idea two weeks ago, I highlighted the importance of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern that emerged on the 1D time-frame and why the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) was the 1st buy candidate of the current bullish leg:
As you see the 1D MA50 worked perfectly as a buy entry and the upper Resistance targets have been hit. However since the price was rejected just below the 77.00 Resistance, it is possible to see another 1D MA50 test, which again will be our first buy entry. Second and final will be the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) if the Pivot Zone fails to support.
If however we close a 1D candle above the 77.00 Resistance then it will be a bullish break-out of the Inverse Head and Shoulders, in a similar way as the previous IH&S that broke upwards on May 28 2021. The break-out extended as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. If the same sequence is followed, then the 2.0 is currently at 92.24. In that case our long-term target will be $90.
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24th Sep 2021: OIL Price Will Drop To $50.60 Prediction50/60 is the next prediction number.
50.60 is the new number lottery price.
The 50/60 agenda is just about to begin with from the oil.
This will take time. This is not just one day work.
Agenda and cards has been planned on the oil production company.
There will be an event will about to occur between middle party.
50/60 is a clash.
My prediction towards after the pass successful prediction on Putin President to $42.00 per barrel will end its trend.
It is a second chapter.
We will might dont want to hear any hard agenda will be going on towards the Q4.
We will see the secondary reset of the century.
Lots of crash and clash will about to occur.
Keep this number and mind and stay towards the prediction.
Zezu Zaza
2048
OIL Breaking out of the bull flag or another fakeout?Hello and welcome to my post !
OIL is still in a strong uptrend and we are just breaking out from a bullflag.
We are getting strong resistances from EMA100 and MA200.
Something worth mentioning is the purple boxes on the chart, they are indicating previously fake out areas, a think that might happen if the price action dosent break the previously mentioned resistances.
If we continue from here the break of the bull flag strongly the target is 72$.
Indicators: The combination of the overbought SRSI and the mid level RSI suggest a strong momentum for the bulls.
Don't forget to protect yourself with proper Risk Management.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market !
Feel free to ask anything in the comments or send me a message !
Thank you for reading my post,if you liked the idea you can support with a like and a follow have a great day !
Crude Trend analysisDue to a supply scarcity, rising gas and coal prices are gradually driving utilities to convert from gas and coal to fuel oil. Oil-fired power stations have started up in Sweden. Oil demand will be boosted further by the United States' announcement that the travel ban for fully immunized international visitors would be abolished in November. This could result in a big recovery in jet fuel consumption by the end of the year. "US oil producers are battling to regain output, "The Mars and Ursa platforms in the Gulf of Mexico will be shut down until the end of2021, according to Royal Dutch Shell. According to Bloomberg projections, this would cut supplies by about 300,000 barrels."
WTI OIL Inverse Head and ShouldersLast time I made a post on WTI Oil the price was still struggling to get past both a very strong Lower Highs trend-line and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line on the left chart):
Well the price managed to break and close above both and rallied. The rejection though near the 74.15 Resistance has formed an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). Look how the Pivot Zone mentioned on the previous analysis is almost perfectly matched as the Shoulder line. Naturally, we should be expecting an initial pull-back and since the IH&S is a bullish reversal pattern, break above the 74.15 afterwards.
However we need to consider an earlier potential Support and that's the 1D MA50 which, as mentioned, was previously the Resistance since August 03. That fits well the pattern on the right side (which is on the 4H time-frame) which is a Channel Up whose Higher Lows trend-line limit is currently roughly where the 1D MA50 is.
Short-term target if the Pivot Zone holds is the 74.15 Resistance (1). Long-term target is the 77.00 Resistance (2). A candle close below the Pivot Zone temporarily sets this back to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line on the left chart).
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USOIL a possible breakout soon Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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The Crude Oil market has shown itself to be resilient as we had initially pulled back but now are turning around to show signs of life again.
In the last 2 weeks, the market has been moving sideways between a Resistance located between 70.40 - 71.04 and a Support of 68.27 - 66.79.
The price has increased from the last drop that happened last month in August by 15% where the market was trading near the 61$ range.
Could this movement be the start of a Bearish long-term trend ??
Notice on the chart that for the last couple of months we've been having lower Tops and lower Bottoms, So if we look at the big picture of the market right now it seems that the market is having a corrective wave at the moment but a certain drop will most likely happen soon.
But Technical Analysis shows that the market is still in a Bullish state.
Possible Scenarios for the market :
Scenario 1 :
The market is having its corrective wave right now and trading near the resistance zone extended from 70.40 - 71.04, If the Bulls were able to group up and gather their power then we might see a breakout happening in that zone which could lead the market back up to the 73.84 resistance level.
The market has formed 3 Outside up candlestick pattern (Strong Bullish Sign).
Scenario 2 :
Looking at the chart we notice that we are having some kind of a Bearish trend (It Could be Small it Could be BIg) and the price has reached the edge of the resistance zone, which could indicate that the bounce down from that zone will happen and it will drop the price to the 68.27 Level, Where the support zone start. A battle will happen between the Bulls and Bears and the Bears will win if it turns out that the bearish move is big, and a further drop will happen which could lead the market back to the 60$ level in the next 2 months.
Technical indicators show :
1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign)
2) The RSI is at 56.00 showing strength in the market. No divergences were found between the indicator and the market.
3) The MACD is above the 0 line which indicates that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line.
Daily Support and Resistance :
support Resistance
1) 69.76 1) 70.40
2) 69.35 2) 70.63
3) 69.12 3) 71.04
Weekly Support and Resistance :
support Resistance
1) 68.27 1) 70.63
2) 66.79 2) 71.51
3) 65.91 3) 72.99
Fundamental point of view :
At the beginning of the week, OPEC ( Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries ) will release the latest monthly oil market report. WTI crude oil prices have been weakening since July. This comes amid concerns about the global growth outlook as the Covid Delta variant has been sapping demand woes. US retail sales may also stir volatility, especially if Covid shows increasing signs of making its way into the economy.
Earlier this week OPEC decided to increase output by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) for the month of October, in line with its gradual plan to reintroduce supply into international markets after drastically withdrawing supply at the start of the pandemic. According to Dailyfx
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
CL futures .Good opportunity to buy higher 70Oil stil having a bull trend, it accumulate energie more than a week, clean zone until price 74$.
I will by oil only when price will broke 70 and make retest so its confirm that our level is good and buyers trying to ceep price over this level.
Stopp loss not more than 10-15% from ATR (arround 20 cents). Take Profit minimum 60 cents .Enterin only with law volatility.
WTI OIL analysis on the 1D and 4H time-framesLast time I analyzed WTI Oil on August 24, I made it clear that it was trading within a long-term Triangle and until it broke, its price action would be sideways:
I stressed out the importance of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Lower Highs trend-line of that Triangle. Well as you see on the chart, WTI Oil got rejected exactly on that Resistance level twice and has been pulling-back since. Until the price closes a 1D candle above the 1D MA50, the bias are towards the Pivot Zone. A 1D closing below it, sees the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as target, which last time held (August 20-23). That is on the left chart which is on the 1D time-frame.
On the 4H time-frame (right chart), a Channel Up has been formed, which naturally is limited by the Lower Highs trend-line (and 1D MA50) of the Triangle. The previous 4H candle, even though it broke below the Channel Up, it managed to close inside it, so as long as we close within the pattern, the short-term target is 71.50. On the long-term, as shown on the 1D chart, it is the 74.15 Resistance.
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WTI OIL had the biggest weekly rise since May 31 2020!WTI Crude Oil posted last week the strongest 1W candle (+10.30%) since May 31 2020 (+11.44%). What can this possibly mean for future prices? Alone nothing. But as you see, last week's bounce came after a 1W RSI touch on the 43.50 Support which has been holding since May 2020 as well. That makes the bullish case stronger but based on the September - October 2020 fractal (right before the U.S. elections) we may see one last pull-back before a new rally. As seen on the chart, that pull-back may find Support on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as this holds, the trend will remain bullish, so for a swing trader, the best course of action would be to scale with a buy now and if the price pulls back, add another closer to the 1W MA50.
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WTI OIL aiming at the 1D MA50Pattern: Triangle on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price (a) made a strong rebound on the Higher Lows trend-line, (b) near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and (c) broke above the Pivot Zone.
Target: The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
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Oil analysis updateOil ended the week on 64 zone
Probably it will be consolidating
Between 65-64
Strong bearish pressure, no sign of reversals yet
Will update after next structure
Oil looking weak After a correction push it now resting at 67-66 zone
Upside breakout of that white zone could be choppy
Down side breakdown could be smooth
Just about the probability for more chances of easy flow (is downward)
Analysed based on technical charts (considering) daily, 4h, 1h time frame
Analyzing RECAF and USOIL Recently, USOIL and RECAF have both taken a tumble. Named "The Hottest Oil Play in Decades," we surely have more to see from RECAF in 2021 and 2022.
As you can see, USOIL's candlestick progression is clearly notated by the dark grey line displaying price action on the front.
Experts predict USOIL to bottom around $55-60 USD. After that, experts predict OIL to stabilize around $65-80 USD levels. The ultimate top predicted is $100. This would lead to gas prices around $4/gallon for your Suburu's fill up. At around $2.50, we still have plenty of room to run. However, Biden's administration has asked for lower gas prices for now, as the economy continues to recover from COVID. Will the Oil Barons be able to produce more oil to lower gas prices, or will we see gas prices once again rising up? I wouldn't put it out the question.
ACTION PLAN:
Currently, RECAF is still in a bear pattern, though we still a slight uptick today as price actions grapples for the last few bites of the bear.
1. Can RECAF's stock price go down to the most favorable price target for longs, $1.80-3.50 USD? Formidable support levels lie here, protecting it from falling lower.
2. Or will we remain in a bottoming formation pattern around $4.75-5.25 USD? The median price is $6.20 USD and that may be met sooner or later.
Overall long price target for long-term holders: $12.81 USD
Feel free to write your thoughts in the comments as well.