WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
39.70 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 39.70 is broken.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI downtrend #1 is not broken, bearish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 39.50 on 11/05/2020, so more losses to support(s) 36.30, 34.60, 30.85 and more depths is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 44.
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Oilsignals
OIL - Our strategy of mixing BUY and SELL positionsOur technical analysis on Oil with the major key price levels.
Fundamentally and technically we see a drop, sooner or later, below 30 usd
At this stage there is a 60% drop, or a 40% rise to 42.50 resistance and a possible drop from there at 90% (10% only to break that level)
HOW WE TRADE THIS:
We have SELL and BUY positions at a rate of 7 (buy) to 3 (sell) (70%-30%)
If the price drops then we have a profit from 40% of the positions
If the price rises we will close all BUY positions at the major resistance of 42.5usd and hold our SELL positions for a drop back to where the price is now and the key take profit levels of 36.60, 34.60 , 31.70 and even the all time support of 30$ and 28.50$.
If all goes well we will consider Buying again at that level.
Take a look at how we perfectly sold in September s idea predicitng perfectly the beginning of the drop,
our tutorial on Oil analysis
Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
41.70 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 41.70 is broken.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the resistance #1 at 55 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.65 on 10/15/2020, so more losses to support(s) 36.95, 33.80, 19.40 and more depths is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 32.
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
41.70 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 41.70 is broken.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the resistance #1 at 55 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.65 on 10/15/2020, so more losses to support(s) 36.95, 33.80, 19.40 and more depths is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 32.
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WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: Channel Down on 4H.
Signal: Buy as the current bearish leg is forming a sequence similar to the September 01 - 14 leg = Death Cross, followed by a Triangle bottom. The signal is invalidated if the Channel breaks the Lower Low trend-line.
Target: The 4H MA200.
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.75, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 36.30 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the downtrend #1 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 41.94 on 10/19/2020, so more losses to support(s) 39.70, 38.15 and minimum to Major Support (36.30) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 47.
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.75, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 36.30 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the downtrend #1 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 41.94 on 10/19/2020, so more losses to support(s) 39.70, 38.15 and minimum to Major Support (36.30) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 47.
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.75, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 36.30 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The RSI bounced from the downtrend #1 and it prevented price from more gains.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 41.94 on 10/19/2020, so more losses to support(s) 39.70, 38.15 and minimum to Major Support (36.30) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 47.
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OIL Trading PlanPattern: Channel Up on 4H (inner/ blue and outer/ black lines).
Signal: (A) Buy as long as the 4H MA200 is holding, (B) Sell if the 4H MA200 breaks.
Target: (A) 42.00 (just under the Higher High trend-lines of both Channels), (B) 37.50 (just above the Higher Low trend-line of the inner (blue) Channel Up).
Most recent Oil trade:
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 46.50, resumption of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 38.90 breaks.
If the resistance at 46.50 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A trough is formed in daily chart at 38.90 on 10/02/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 44.15 and maximum to Major Resistance (46.50) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 53.
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WTI OIL just formed a Golden Cross on 1D!Oil is under pressure since Friday as it got rejected just short of the 41.70 Resistance. However as you see on the right chart (1D time-frame), that formed a Golden Cross, which is typically a bullish formation. Interestingly enough, the price action since the August high resemble that of early March - late May (when Oil formed a Bottom).
On the 4H chart, symmetry is having its way as we have 2 perfect contacts on the 41.70 Resistance and 36.60 Support already. If that pattern continues to be symmetrical, we may see a bounce on the 38.85 (or close) Interim Support (or Pivot however you may want to call it), as it happened on September 21.
Which pattern do you think will weigh more on Oil? The 4H Resistance/ Support or the 1D Golden Cross can make it finally break above and towards a new High? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section!
Most recent Oil signal:
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DOUBLE BOTTOM IN OIL + EMA resistancesGood day friends..Give us a thumbs up if you like our idea.Follow my profile to get new ideas and trade setups everyday
OIL
Due to the weaker demand in the Global market Oil felled towards the 36.12 which is the September low and then its formed a triangle pattern and went bullish up to 41.43 and traded in a range from September 17 to October 01 and again felled towards 36.63 and formed a dissimilar double bottom
Currently the 200 EMA is acting as resistance for the bull and 50,100 EMA is acting as support for the bull. And my bias is towards the bullish side and the primary target would be around 43.00 which is a swing high area stop lose may placed below the 38.45 price action level
OIL is currently in a consolidation phase if the price well above the 39.50 psychological level we can buy the oil.
Disclaimer
Its a forecast of the next expected moves Not a financial advice
WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: Descending Triangle on 4H.
Signal: Buy as the price rebounded on the Support making a Double Bottom event, while the MACD made a Bullish Cross.
Target: 40 (right on the Lower High trend-line and the 4H MA200).
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Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
46.50 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 44.15 on 09/18/2020, so more losses to support(s) 36.95, 33.80, 19.40 and more depths is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 34.
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.75, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 37.10 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 41.70 on 09/18/2020, so more losses to support(s) 38.85 and minimum to Major Support (37.10) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 49.
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WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: Triangle into Channel Up.
Signal: Bullish as the Triangle broke, the 4H MA50 has been crossed and the 38.45 Resistance is being tested.
Target: 40.10, that is roughly a +5% rise from the 4H MA50 break-out. Sinc June 16, every break-out above the 4H MA50 has resulted into at least a +5.50% rally.
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WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
While the price is below the resistance 43.75, beginning of downtrend is expected.
We make sure when the support at 37.10 breaks.
If the resistance at 43.75 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of downtrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
There is a divergence in RSI and price between the peak at 40.565 on 2020-06-08 and the peak at 43.835 on 2020-08-26, the probability of uptrend continuation is decreased and the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
The RSI support #1 at 52 is broken, so the probability of beginning of downtrend is increased.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 43.75 on 08/26/2020, so more losses minimum to Major Support (37.10) is expected.
Price is below WEMA21, if price rises more, this line can act as dynamic resistance against more gains.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 32.
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