Jump on the Oil Trend as Russia Refineries Attacks Drive Prices I wanted to bring to your attention the latest trend in the oil market - prices are on the rise due to recent attacks on refineries in Russia.
These attacks have caused disruptions in the supply chain, leading to an increase in oil prices. This presents a great opportunity for you to capitalize on this trend and make some significant profits by going long on oil.
Don't miss out on this golden opportunity to make some quick gains in the market. Take advantage of the current situation and place your bets on oil to see your investments grow.
So, what are you waiting for? Get in on the action and go long on oil today
Oilsignals
OIl Buy The Dips, Sell the RipsCrude OIl: Daily, Fibs & Indicators . . . Not as bullish as one would think. The move above the daily BB showed why you don't buy above the BBs . . . eventually, you get a correction. 3 days down for oil. The BB midpoint, yellow line, has been a support level for oil and will be interesting to see what happens down there. But, we are at a big resistance level based on the Oct - Dec 23 downdraft . . . so, we will be watching to see if we get support at 79.25 and then do we make a move back to highs at 83.22? That may be the trade in oil.
Crude oil is focusing on support near 80, how to trade today?
The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) fluctuated and hit new lows, testing the 80 support. The moving average system is arranged in a short position, and the short-term objective trend is downward. Oil prices hit around 80.70, forming a certain recurrence, and their upward strength is relatively weak. It is expected that crude oil will remain volatile in the short term during the day.
Trading strategy: 81.60 short, stop loss: 81.90, target 80.60.Trading strategies are for reference only
How will U.S. oil trade after the Federal Reserve decision?U.S. oil continued to fluctuate and repaired yesterday. The bullish EIA data in the evening failed to bring rebound momentum to U.S. oil. On the contrary, the market retreated to around the 80.8 line in response to technical needs before rebounding. Of course, this period was also affected by the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. , in the end, US oil still closed with a negative line.
If U.S. oil falls back to the 81-80.7 area today and tomorrow, you can be aggressive and light up your position. If you have long positions at this level overnight, you can still keep it. However, you can reduce your position as appropriate when the pressure is measured near 82 at the top during the day.
Can U.S. oil continue to be bullish? How to trade?The release of U.S. EIA crude oil inventory data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision may bring external interference to the trend, so U.S. oil needs to be careful in the short term.
The bullish tone at the daily level has been locked in. A firm hold at 80 will lay the foundation for medium and long-term bullishness. As long as there are no major negative fundamentals in the future, it is worth looking forward to the medium and long-term bullishness of the 84-85 area and even the 90 area for U.S. oil.
In the day, U.S. oil can see a temporary pressure correction on the 83 line, but don’t expect too much in the repair space below. You can focus on the 5-day line around 81.7-5. If the data tonight is negative, the short-term retracement target can be lowered. Moving to the 81-80.5 area, the main line of thinking is still bullish on US oil, so whenever a retracement is seen, we should still consider choosing lows to place long orders, provided that 80 cannot be broken. In addition, due to the frequent incidents affecting U.S. oil-related fundamentals from tonight to early tomorrow morning, conservatives can choose to wait and see and make relevant strategic adjustments after the fundamentals stabilize tomorrow. If you participate in radical activities during the day, you must also wait for the extreme point before participating, and you must make adjustments closely following fundamental events. Do not make judgments based solely on technical expectations.
Crude oil is long in the 81.60 area and looks at 82.80Crude oil’s weekly support is 79.70, daily support is 79.90, one-hour support is 81.60, and four-hour support is 80.40.
Yesterday, crude oil rose from 80.50 to 82.50, and the market currently maintains a bullish trend.
Crude oil recommendation today: Go long at 81.60 for U.S. crude oil WTI, stop loss at 81.15, look at 82.80
Crude oil made a profit yesterday. How to trade today?
Crude oil was prompted to go long near 81-81.1 yesterday, and it was also profitable yesterday. So how to trade today?
If there is a correction in U.S. oil today and tomorrow, and the retracement below is in the 81.5 and 81-80.7 areas, it can be regarded as an opportunity to enter the market with short-term long orders.
Crude oil continues to strengthen.How to tradeThe hourly trend of crude oil began to rise around the opening. In the short term, we will pay attention to the pressure zone around 82.5, where there may be a slight adjustment.
I was bullish on crude oil last week. It rebounded slightly after the market opened. Don’t chase higher. You can go short near the pressure level. After adjustment, you can go long.
WTI OIL Trade according to this Channel Up.WTI Oil (USOIL) is trading within a short-term Channel Up on the 4H time-frame, with the wider pattern still a Channel Up since the December 13 2023 market bottom. As long as the price keeps closing the 4H candles within the Channel Up, we remain bullish, targeting 81.85 (+6.64%, which is the rise of the previous Bullish Leg of the dashed Rising Megaphone).
If a 4H candle is closed below it, we will take the loss and open a sell aimed at the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 77.70.
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Bullish Fibs Upmoves in Oil - Now, Needs to Defend 61.8% LineOil has held bull fibs since Feb 1. The 3 previous fibs are documented and highlighted on the chart. We have been in a wide-range pattern for the past couple of weeks, threatening to keep and hold yearly highs, only to fall back down. Now, it is facing it's biggest test in the upmove, with two different saves at the 61.8% line over the last week. Given the dynamics of the recent down move, I expect this 61.8% line to be challenged early on Sunday night / Monday with a break of 40-60 cents. If we can hold those level above and regain this 77.60 level, I do anticipate a big move to new highs in oil, ALL THE WAY UP TO 82.11.
USOIL - BEARISH SCENARIO 📉Hi Traders !
On Friday 01 March, The USOIL Failed To Break The Strong Resistance Level.
Currently, The Price Reached The Support Line.
So, Let's Expect The Bearish Scenario:
If The Market Breaks The Support Line and Closes Below That,
We Will See a Bearish Move...
TARGET: 76.55🎯
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bullish Trend Continues 🛢️
Crude Oil is trading in a bullish trend.
The price retraced to a solid vertical trend line on a daily.
After its test, I spotted a confirmed bullish breakout of a resistance line
of a falling channel on an hourly time frame.
I think that bullish rally may resume soon.
Goals: 78.0 / 80.6
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WTI OIL Sell opportunity targeting the 1D MA50.Oil (USOIL) is trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 13 2023 market bottom and currently is on the 3rd Bullish Leg towards the top (Higher Highs trend-line). This indicates that on a R/R basis, there is greater incentive selling with the price being closer to the pattern's top than the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line).
As a result we are bearish, targeting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the bottom of the Channel Up at 76.00, which is also marginally above Support 1. Notice also how symmetrical the Higher Highs and Higher Lows legs have been within the pattern.
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WTI OIL Is this a rejection?Almost 3 weeks ago (February 07, see chart below), we gave a strong buy signal on WTI Oil (USOIL), right at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 2-month Channel Up:
The price is approaching the 81.50 target right at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. Since however we see a strong Resistance Zone that has been holding since the previous Higher High of the pattern, there is a very high probability for a pull-back, until it breaks. In fact, this Resistance Zone goes back to the November 14 2023 High (Resistance 1), with numerous rejections since.
As a result, we will only buy again after a 1D candle closes above the Resistance Zone, in which case we will pursue the 81.50 Target. Until then, we regard the recent rejection as a sell signal and we target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and bottom of the Channel Up at 75.00.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Important Key Levels 🛢️
Here is my latest structure analysis for WTI Crude Oil.
Resistance 1: 78.9 - 80.8 area
Resistance 2: 82.5 - 83.5 area
Support 1: 75.5 - 76.2 area
Support 2: 70.7 - 71.8 area
Support 3: 69.4 - 70.4 area
Support 4: 67.7 - 68.7 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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WTI OIL on critical crossroads long-term. Rejection or breakout?WTI Oil (USOIL) is being rejected once more on the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). Even though we are constructing this analysis on the 1W time-frame, in order to utilize the long-term dynamics and stress the importance of the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) as the long-term Support for exactly 3 years (since the weekly break-out of February 01 2021), the key that makes all the difference on the medium-term is the 1D MA100.
The reason is that with the exception of the April 03 2023 and July 10 2023 1W candles, all other tests on the 1D MA100 were emphatically rejected, closing the weekly below it and kick-started multi-week downtrends.
As a result, as long as WTI is closing below the 1D MA100, we are bearish on the short-term, targeting the 1W MA200 again at 73.00. Those who want to take more risk can extend selling to the top of the 3-year Higher Lows Zone (green circles) at 69.50, even though that would be the long-term buy entry with the lowest risk.
If the price closes a candle above the 1D MA100, we will buy the break-out and target the bottom of the (red) Symmetrical Resistance Zone at 82.50, which is marginally below the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the (blue) consolidation pattern. Similarly, if 1W closes a candle above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), which has only broken and closed above once since November 2022, we will buy that (2nd) break-out and target the bottom of the upper (red) Symmetrical Resistance Zone at 92.50 but with moving the SL constantly higher.
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WTI OIL Bullish reversal very likely here.WTI Oil (USOIL) gave us one of the best bullish break-out signals two weeks ago (see chart below):
Since almost touching the 79.75 Resistance, the price pulled back significantly and hit (even marginally breached but never closed) the bottom of the 2-month Channel Up. With the 4H RSI making a Bullish Cross, which was the absolute Buy Signal on the previous two Higher Lows of the Channel Up (January 03 2024 and December 13 2023), we see the start of the new Bullish Leg very likely here.
A break above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) should complete the buy signal. As long as that's the case, we will be bullish targeting a +14.41% rise at $81.50 (such as the one that peaked on the January 28 2024 Higher High). If the recent Low breaks, it would mean that the price will be going for a bearish extension such as December 2023 (yellow pattern). In that case we will take a quick sell and target Support 1 at $69.30.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Can We Expect a Pullback? 🛢️
Crude Oil is currently testing a solid rising trend line on a daily.
I see a double bottom formation on that on an hourly time frame
with multiple rejections and a peculiar gap up.
The price may bounce.
Goals: 73.27 / 74.16
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WTI OIL Technical pull-back. Buy on these levels.WTI Oil (USOIL) gave us the most optimal buy entry last time we made a call on it (January 22, see chart below) and almost touched the 79.40 Target before pulling back:
The pattern that has emerged is a Channel Up that started since the December 13 2023 bottom. The recent top at 79.30 is a technical Higher High for the Channel Up and the rejection has started the new Bearish Leg to a Lower Low (bottom of Channel Up). However the price may not pull-back that far this time as the 4H RSI is testing its Higher Lows trend-line that has been holding since the December 06 2023 RSI Low and has already given 3 contact points for buy entries.
As a result this is where we are placing our 1st buy, with which we are targeting 83.00, being the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the Top and right under Resistance 2 (83.60). That will establish a new 'diverging' Channel Up (dotted lines), that will aim for a similar Higher High range (+12.15%) as the January 28 High.
Since however the price already broke below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), we have to consider the possibility of a lower decline, which can indeed be as low as the bottom of the Channel Up, on a -9.00% decline (such as the January 03 Low). We believe though that in order to establish the new medium-term uptrend, the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) has to hold, so most likely this is the potential max downside extension. With that long, we will target the top of the (blue) Channel Up at 81.00, a little lower than the previous +14.40% Bullish Leg.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Morning Scalping 🛢️
Crude Oil is taking off from a major horizontal daily support.
As a confirmation, I spotted a tiny horizontal range with a confirmed neckline violation on that.
We can expect a pullback before the OPEC meeting today.
Goal - 77.0
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