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7 Dimension Analysis For OIL🕛 TOPDOWN Analysis - Monthly Bullish Structure, Weekly Bearish Inducement Overview: The monthly market structure maintains a bullish stance, holding key supports. On the weekly chart, a valid low was established, accompanied by a strong bearish inducement. While a demand flip occurred, the overall trend remains bearish, marked by a record session count and inside candle price action. The daily time frame reveals a bearish swing structure with impulsive moves, indicating potential further downside. 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: Daily 1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish 🟢 Structure Behavior: ChoCh 🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive 🟢 Inducement: Suggests potential further downward movement. 🟢 Pull Back: No significant pullback observed. 🟢 Resistance Zones: Market encounters resistance at every supply zone post- ChoCh, forming a bearish build-up, indicating potential future downside. No traps observed. 2️⃣ Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS Continuation Symmetric Triangle Shakeout Continuation 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS Notable Observations: Momentum candles with Fake out/FOMO. Tweezer at the internal move top. Inside candles in the last three days. 3️⃣ Volume: Significant volumes observed at the beginning of the move. 4️⃣ Momentum RSI: 🟢 RSI Below 40: Indicates a super bearish zone with high selling pressure. 🟢 Range Shift: Shifted sideways to bearish, suggesting ongoing bearish activity. 🟢 Divergence: Hidden bearish divergence present. 5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands: 🟢 Middle Band Resistance: Strong rejection observed. 🟢 Head fake: At the top of the move, indicating a potential deep bearish move. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1 ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish ☑️ Current Move: Impulsive Bearish ✔ Support Resistance Base: Takes resistance at a significant level. ☑️ Candles Behavior: Extremely volatile bearish momentum. ☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed. ☑️ Final Comments: Sell at the open. 💡 Decision: Sell 🚀 Entry: 75.22 ✋ Stop Loss: 78.04 🎯 Take Profit: 68.07, 2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Exit on a trendline breakout or FOMO. 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3.5 🕛 Expected Duration: 7 days SUMMARY: The analysis reveals a monthly bullish structure but a weekly bearish inducement. The daily swing structure is bearish with an ongoing impulsive bearish move. Recognized patterns include a symmetric triangle and shakeout continuation. Critical levels, candle patterns, and trendline breakouts were considered for the entry decision. The suggestion is to sell at the open, with detailed entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels, presenting a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3.5, and an expected duration of 7 days.
TVC:USOILShort
by Optimum369
Crude oil market analysis The OPEC+ meeting has been postponed, and the market has doubts about whether oil-producing countries can insist on extending production cuts. As well as the recent weak performance of U.S. economic data, the margins of supply and demand are weak, which is not conducive to higher oil prices. The OPEC+ meeting at the end of the month will be the highlight of the oil market, and the market has a strong wait-and-see mood. Before OPEC+ announces a new production policy, oil prices may maintain a volatile adjustment. Current trading is around the 73.5-77.2 range
VANTAGE:CL-OIL
by Anthony-Ryan
WTI Price Stability Around $75 Amid OPEC+ Cut ExpectationsWestern Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark crude oil, is currently trading near $75.05 as of Tuesday. WTI prices show modest gains, supported by expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) will extend oil production cuts in the upcoming Thursday meeting. Amid the recent oil price slump, analysts predict that OPEC+ might consider extending or deepening production cuts into the next year. Saudi Arabia, the world's major oil exporter, is expected to prolong its supply cuts by an additional 1 million barrels per day into the next year, while Russia may contemplate further supply reductions of 300,000 barrels per day. If OPEC+ decides on deeper production cuts next year, it could restrain the downward momentum of WTI prices. Furthermore, China is set to release National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data on Thursday. Better-than-expected data might uplift WTI prices, considering China's significant role as the world's leading producer and consumer of oil. On the flip side, the International Energy Agency (IEA) anticipates a mild surplus in crude oil production by 2024, even with OPEC+ extending cuts into the following year. Additionally, robust production from non-OPEC countries like the U.S. could contribute to price pressure. Traders in the oil market will closely monitor U.S. growth figures on Wednesday, with the annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q3 expected to rise by 5%, up from the previous 4.9%. On Thursday, U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation and China's NBS PMI data will be announced. The outcome of the OPEC+ meeting over the weekend will be crucial for oil traders, as these events could significantly impact WTI prices in USD. Oil traders will interpret signals from the data and explore trading opportunities around WTI prices.
TVC:USOIL
by oraleeogwynn1725
Oil Continues to Decline Ahead of OPEC MeetingAs the global demand for oil continues to decline, coupled with the upcoming OPEC meeting, it is crucial to approach this situation with caution and strategic planning. Over the past few months, we have witnessed a steady decline in oil prices, primarily driven by various factors such as geopolitical tensions and a shift towards renewable energy sources. This downward trend has created a potential opening for traders who are keen on shorting oil. The upcoming OPEC meeting adds an additional layer of complexity to the situation. As market participants eagerly await the decisions and actions of major oil-producing nations, it is essential to stay informed and remain adaptable to potential market fluctuations. While the opportunity to short oil may seem enticing, it is crucial to acknowledge the inherent risks and volatility associated with this trade. As experienced traders, you understand the importance of conducting thorough research, analyzing market trends, and implementing risk management strategies. To maximize your chances of success, I encourage you to consider the following steps: 1. Stay updated: Continuously monitor the latest news and developments surrounding the oil market and the upcoming OPEC meeting. This will help you identify potential catalysts that may impact oil prices. 2. Utilize technical analysis: Leverage technical indicators and charts to identify key support and resistance levels, as well as potential reversal patterns. This will assist you in timing your trades effectively. 3. Implement risk management: Set clear stop-loss orders and determine your acceptable risk levels. This will help protect your capital and ensure you have a disciplined approach to trading. 4. Diversify your portfolio: Consider spreading your risk by exploring other trading opportunities within different sectors or asset classes. This will help mitigate potential losses and increase your chances of overall profitability. Remember, trading oil requires a cautious approach and a keen eye for market trends. While the current downtrend presents an opportunity, it is crucial to remain vigilant and adapt your strategies as new information emerges. Should you require any further assistance or have any questions, please do not hesitate to reach out in the comments. . I am here to provide the necessary guidance and support to help you navigate this volatile market.
TVC:DXYShort
by bryandowningqln
OPEC Close to Agreeing Product Cut as African Countries I wanted to draw your attention to recent developments within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) that could potentially impact the oil market significantly. It appears that OPEC is inching closer to reaching an agreement on production cuts, as several African countries have now joined forces. Over the past few weeks, discussions within OPEC have intensified, with member countries grappling with the ongoing challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on global oil demand. The recent addition of African nations, including Nigeria, Angola, and Gabon, to the group's production cut efforts, has injected a new sense of optimism into the market. This collective action aims to stabilize oil prices and reduce the global supply glut that has been weighing heavily on the industry. However, it is important to approach this development with caution. While the prospect of OPEC reaching an agreement is encouraging, we must acknowledge the inherent uncertainties that still loom over the market. The success of any production cut deal relies on the commitment and adherence of all participating countries, which historically has been a challenge. Moreover, the global economic recovery remains fragile, and the resurgence of COVID-19 cases in several countries poses a significant threat to oil demand. Any setbacks in the containment of the virus could further dampen the prospects of a sustained oil price recovery. Considering these factors, it would be prudent to exercise caution when considering investment decisions. As always, thorough analysis and risk management should guide your trading strategies. While the potential for shorting oil may seem compelling given the current situation, it is essential to carefully evaluate the associated risks and consult with your financial advisor. In conclusion, the news of OPEC's progress towards a production cut agreement, coupled with the involvement of African countries, certainly warrants attention. However, the volatile nature of the oil market demands a cautious approach. As traders, it is crucial to stay informed, adapt to evolving circumstances, and make well-informed decisions based on comprehensive analysis. Please feel free to reach out if you have any questions or require further insights. Wishing you successful trading ahead!
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
Expected to rise International oil prices rose more than 2% on Monday amid widespread expectations that OPEC+ will announce further production cuts after a meeting of member states early next week. Traders are eyeing potential speculative buying in crude oil trading as global risk sentiment appears to be strengthening and optimism returns among financial institutions. Crude oil continued its rebound trend and reached the pressure level, but was blocked and fell back. It is still falling back and adjusting. Since the bulls' main bottom-buying signals appeared continuously below, it has rebounded relatively slightly. At present, it should continue to fluctuate and adjust. Crude oil will currently fluctuate in the range of 78.8-75.5.
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
WTI OIL Excellent buy opportunity.WTI OIL (USOIL) has been trading within a long-term Rectangle since the August 30 High. This is most accurately displayed by the use of the Fibonacci retracement levels where we can see that the majority of the price action has been within the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci range. We call that the "High Volatility Zone". On November 16 the price almost hit the bottom of that Zone and since the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) is just below and has been the long-term Support (hasn't closed a 1D candle below it since January 29 2021!), we consider the commodity to have significant upside potential. On top of that, the 1D RSI has Double Bottomed on the oversold barrier of 30.00 (where it always gave strong rallies on May 04 2023, March 17 2023, December 09 2022 and September 26 2022) while the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross (with all such crosses below the 0.00 mark being a buy signal). We are bullish at least for the short-term, targeting the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 80.50, expecting also a potential contact with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
2
Crude oil range trading Crude oil prices fell for the fourth consecutive week last week. A substantial increase in inventories and record production were the main reasons for the decline in crude oil prices last week. The entire market has been weak recently due to supply concerns and a significant drop in demand. However, on Friday due to some short sellers Oil prices rose as profit-taking and U.S. sanctions on Russian crude shippers gave oil prices a bit of support. Market focus this week shifts to the upcoming OPEC+ meeting to discuss further production cuts, which could increase tensions with the United States, while the market focuses on whether Saudi Arabia and Russia extend voluntary production cuts until 2024 Crude oil support and resistance levels will continue to move upward. Crude oil is currently trading in a range. Support level 74.5 Resistance level 77.8
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
sell Oil now!The light crude oil futures market, with a current daily price of $73.18, is positioned below the 50-day moving average of $84.78, indicating a bearish trend in the short term. It’s also below the 200-day moving average of $78.11, reinforcing this bearish sentiment. The price hovers above the minor support level of $72.48 and is significantly above the main support at $66.85, suggesting that there might be some level of buying interest preventing a further drop. The proximity to the minor resistance at $77.43 could indicate potential challenges in upward price movements. Considering these technical indicators, the market sentiment leans towards bearish, with room for fluctuations near the minor support and resistance levels.
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by GrandeMaster
WTI OIL Short-term rebound expected.Last month's Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern (see chart below) hit both of our Targets (79.00 and 75.00) and transitioned into a Channel Down: The price almost hit the pattern's bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) and after a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection, the 4H RSI formed the same Higher Lows trend-line as it did on October 12. We are expecting this to be the start of the Lower High leg towards the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). This is expected to be within the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and a +10.25% range. Target 82.50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
2
Long term bullish Oil prices have risen in recent days on the back of a bullish outlook from OPEC+'s monthly report and the International Energy Agency (IEA) released a monthly report on Tuesday that raised its crude oil demand growth forecast for this year and next. Oil prices have been range-bound due to signs that tensions in the Middle East may be easing and uncertainty about U.S. oil inventories. The U.S. dollar index fell sharply to a more than two-month low after U.S. CPI data was weaker than market expectations, and the International Energy Agency ( The International Energy Agency (IEA) raised its forecast for crude oil demand, and oil prices once hit a one-week high. The trend of crude oil fluctuated upward and continued to be blocked near 80, forming a repetitive rhythm of alternating main and main markets. The current support level of 77.3 and resistance level of 80 are very strong. Crude oil will more likely fluctuate within this range. Watch today's EIA data. Long term bullish
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
Oil Rebounds Despite Weak Demand, OPEC's Optimism DimsOil prices are rebounding following a recent dip, sparked by the International Energy Agency's (IEA) announcement earlier this week, contrasting events from Monday. Monday's decline was largely influenced by the OPEC+ monthly report, hinting at potential price increases. However, sustained crude oil recovery requires further momentum, with a significant catalyst expected by the end of November when OPEC+ convenes to forecast the first half of 2024, potentially indicating further supply cuts. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar (USD) is weakening as recent U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports show declines across all segments, both Core and Headline. This convinces traders that the Fed has likely completed interest rate hikes and may even prioritize faster rate cuts. The higher crude oil prices in response to this reversal, combined with a weaker U.S. Dollar, are driving up black gold prices. At the time of writing, WTI crude oil is trading at $78.33 per barrel, and Brent crude is at $82.87 per barrel.
TVC:USOIL
by Larissa-Trader
1
OPEC Adds 2.5 Million Oil Barrels Per Day OPEC has recently made a significant announcement that they will be adding a staggering 2.5 million oil barrels per day to the global supply. This news couldn't be more opportune for those seeking to capitalize on potential gains. Now, more than ever, we have the chance to position ourselves and make a lasting impact on our trading portfolios. With OPEC's optimistic move, I strongly urge you to consider the idea of going long on oil. By embracing this initiative, we set ourselves up for success and open doors to a plethora of exciting trading prospects. Why should you consider long oil, you ask? Well, the answer lies in OPEC's strategic decision. Their decision to increase output reflects an underlying confidence in the steady surge of global oil demand. As economies rebound and international travel resumes, the upward trajectory of oil prices is not far behind. It's time to hop on board this thrilling wave and ride it towards potential profits! I encourage you to conduct thorough research into the current market trends and gather all the necessary information for making informed long oil trading decisions. Remember, knowledge is power, and armed with the right insights, we can navigate the markets with confidence and conviction. Now is the time for action! Discover the incredible potential OPEC's decision holds and let's embark on this journey together. Get ready to embrace the remarkable trading opportunities that lay ahead as we navigate the exciting realm of long oil.
TVC:USOILLong
by bryandowningqln
OIL price resumes declinehello everyone,The price of oil begins today’s trading with strong negativity, reinforcing expectations of a continuation of the downward trend, and the way is open to achieving our negative targets that start at 75.49 and extend to 73.80. The Stochastic indicator is providing clear negative signals now, to support the proposed bearish trend scenario, which is organized within the bearish channel that appears on the chart, with a reminder that stability below the 77.60 level is important to achieve the proposed goals. Pivot Price: 76.83 Resistance Prices: 79.18 & 80.80& 82.74 support price: 75.49 & 73.80 & 72.12 The general trend expected for today: bearish
TVC:USOILShort
by Evar_Mayi
2
Crude oil review of last week and analysis of this week This week, crude oil received support at 74.9 and the overall rebound rebounded. The week ended with an overall decline of 4.18%, and finally closed at $77.40. From a fundamental point of view, the reasons for the continued fluctuation of crude oil prices this week are as follows: 1. Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Zakharova: Russia will not give up its plan to increase liquefied natural gas production to 100 million tons per year because of US sanctions. 2. Three fuel producers said Russia will completely lift its ban on diesel and gasoline exports next week, sources said 3. Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov: The West’s green transformation has triggered a crisis in the global oil and natural gas market. Sanctions imposed on Russian oil have had a huge impact on global energy markets, causing costs to rise. Damage to the Nord Stream gas pipeline means Europe will no longer have access to cheap fuel. 4. After the United States eased sanctions on Venezuela, Venezuela’s state-owned oil company PDVSA is negotiating with local and foreign oilfield companies to rent equipment and services to enable it to restore sluggish production; 5. Russian Deputy Prime Minister Novak: Before the end of December 2023, Russia will continue to voluntarily cut its oil supply and petroleum product exports by 300,000 barrels per day. The voluntary production reduction decision will be reviewed next month to consider further production cuts or increases in oil production; The above factors are responsible for the continued complex and volatile trend of crude oil this week. Overall, it is the promotion of various factors that has caused the price adjustment. It has brought about chain reactions in some markets, and crude oil supply problems have led to changes in crude oil prices; In terms of news, next week’s regular data API and EIA’s overall expectations are still more likely to be small and bullish. Due to the EIA system upgrade, the EIA will release two crude oil inventory reports at 23:30 on November 15 (including those not announced last week). (one copy), due to the current tense geopolitical environment, the overall probability is still small and bullish, and of course the possibility of repairs on both sides is not ruled out. In addition, we need to focus on the release of OPEC's monthly crude oil market report (the specific release time of the monthly report is to be determined, usually around 18-21 o'clock on November 13, Beijing time). The follow-up of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict will affect the trend of the energy market. Keep an eye on this; The IEA releases its monthly crude oil market report. Fundamentals of supply and demand are weak. OPEC+ supply in October was higher than expected. The actual export volume of oil-producing countries increased by nearly 500,000 barrels per day. In addition, Russian oil exports rose to a nearly four-month high, with average daily oil exports of nearly 3.48 million barrels; in its monthly forecast, EIA lowered the growth rate of global crude oil demand in 2023 by 300,000 barrels per day. Inventories have increased significantly. In the week ending November 3, crude oil inventories increased by 11.9 million barrels, and distillate inventories increased by 980,000 barrels. The marginal demand for crude oil has weakened, and it is expected that supply and demand will develop from a tight balance in the third quarter to a balanced supply and demand in the fourth quarter, putting crude oil prices under pressure. On the macro front, non-farm payrolls data have lowered U.S. economic growth expectations, and Federal Reserve officials have been hawkish recently. If the focus of late trading returns to the U.S. economy, which is expected to enter recession, it may suppress crude oil prices. Overall, the fundamental margin has become looser, inventories have increased more than expected, and price weakness may continue. From a technical point of view, this time it has continued to fluctuate and bearish since it opened high on the 20th, and this week has made a low, and the latest will be next Monday's low. After that, the overall trend will continue to be bullish until the 1st or 5th, so next week From the beginning, if 74.9 does not break below, the overall trend is to continue to be bullish, and what we need to do is to close the short and add long ideas next week. The previous judgment was to be bearish to about 74, and the target has been achieved now. From a structural point of view, it is a good choice to see the current rebound to about 82, so in the later period, all short positions below 83 will be closed and harvested. U-turn is mainly bullish. Later development will be further judged. More based on the intraday strategy,
TVC:USOILLong
by Krause_Philipp
Crude oil prices have reached bottom Issues of demand and supply remain key considerations for crude oil. There are currently some signs of support for crude oil. Oil prices fell below 75 this week and have been repeatedly testing upwards around 75. If the current price falls further, market participants will worry about an economic recession. In the short term, crude oil returns to the 80 area and continues to test back and forth. All in all, the crude oil market's recent performance has been characterized by volatility, but signs of support have emerged. While questions surrounding demand, supply and geopolitical impacts remain, the potential for a short-term rebound is clear. It is unlikely that crude oil will fall sharply again, and the overall outlook is bullish.
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
WTI OIL Hit both bearish targets. Time to buy again?WTI Oil (USOIL) hit both our 79.00 and 75.00 targets on the H&S sell call we made (see chart below) on October 30: The trend on the 1D time-frame evolved into a Channel Down that broke below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but hit on Wednesday it's bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) and is so far holding. As the 1D RSI touched the 30.00 oversold barrier, we have a strong buy signal emerging as every time in the last 2 years the 1D RSI got oversold, Oil always rebounded to reach the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at least. The 1D MA50 has been the Resistance since October 24 and as Support 1 (73.85) is very close, we turn bullish again after a long time to target the top of the Channel Down at 82.00. Notice that this correction got closer to the 1W MA200 (red trend-line) which is the ultimate long-term Support and the one that held on 5 different times from mid March to June (closed all 1W candles above it and eventually led to September's High). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
4