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CHEVRON Ideal sell at the top of the 2-year Channel Down.Chevron (CVX) has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the November 14 2022 High (almost 2 years). The price is currently on a 4 week rejection streak on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but despite the selling pressure, it closes every 1W candle flat, refusing to decline. This is most likely the same accumulation/ pull-back phase that the previous two Bullish Legs went through upon testing the 1W MA50. They both eventually broke it and peaked at the top of the Channel Down. We expect a similar peak within the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and the 1W MA50. Once the 1W RSI also peaks and starts reversing (red arc), we will sell and target 132.00 (just above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:CVX
by TradingShot
EXXON MOBIL Buy signal on the 1D MA200.Exxon Mobil (XOM) has turned sideways since the June 17 Low and yesterday hit and held and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Technically this calls for at least a Resistance 1 test on the short-term so we turn bullish, targeting 120.00 (marginally below that level). If however it turns out that the dominant pattern is indeed now a Channel Up, on the long-term we can see prices as high as the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (131.50), which is where the previous Higher High was priced on April 12 2014. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYSE:XOMLong
by TradingShot
1
Oil Traders Navigate Geopolitical Risk in Already Tight MarketThe recent escalation in the Iran-Israel conflict has cast a long shadow over the global oil market. Already grappling with tight supply and high prices, oil traders are now forced to factor in the potential for disruptions caused by the ongoing hostilities. This idea explores the current situation, potential outcomes, and analyst perspectives on the future of oil prices. A Market on Edge: Tight Supply and Geopolitical Risk The oil market entered 2024 facing a confluence of factors pushing prices upwards. Limited production increases from OPEC+, ongoing geopolitical tensions surrounding the Russia-Ukraine war, and a rebounding global economy demanding more energy all contributed to a tight supply situation. This dynamic sent oil prices surging above $90 a barrel earlier this year. The escalation in tensions between Iran and Israel adds a new layer of uncertainty to this already volatile market. Iran's direct attack on Israel marks a significant shift, raising concerns about potential disruptions to oil supplies from the Middle East, a region that accounts for roughly a fifth of global oil production. Focus on the Strait of Hormuz A key concern for oil traders is the potential for disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint through which a significant portion of the world's oil transits. Any actions that threaten the free flow of oil through this strategic waterway could send prices skyrocketing. Iran has previously threatened to close the Strait in response to heightened tensions, and recent events have heightened focus on this possibility. Futures Market Reacts, But Risks Remain Following the initial attack by Iran, oil futures prices did experience a spike as traders factored in the increased risk premium. However, prices have since eased somewhat, indicating a degree of cautious optimism that the situation might not escalate further. Despite this, analysts warn that the underlying risks remain. Analysts Weigh In: Possible Outcomes and Price Predictions Several potential scenarios could emerge from the current situation, each with its own impact on oil prices. • Tighter Sanctions: Banks like Goldman Sachs highlight the possibility of stricter sanctions being imposed on Iran, potentially leading to a loss of 500,000 to 1 million barrels of oil per day from the global market. • Israeli Military Response: Analysts at RBC Capital Markets warn that a significant Israeli retaliation could trigger a destabilizing cycle, further disrupting oil supplies and pushing prices even higher. • Limited Conflict: Other analysts, like ING, suggest that the market had already priced in the possibility of a limited attack, and the potential for a measured Israeli response could see prices stabilize or even decline slightly. • Citigroup, however, takes a more cautious approach, raising its short-term price forecasts due to the "extremely high" tensions. They estimate that a full-blown conflict between Iran and Israel could see oil prices surge as high as $100 per barrel. Looking Ahead: A Market in Flux The future trajectory of oil prices hinges largely on how the situation between Iran and Israel unfolds. While the easing of futures prices offers a glimmer of hope, the underlying risks remain. Oil traders must closely monitor developments in the region and adjust their strategies accordingly. Analysts remain divided, with some predicting further escalation and others hoping for a de-escalation. One thing is certain: the coming weeks will be crucial in determining the fate of oil prices in the near future.
TVC:USOILLong
by bryandowningqln
Hedge Funds Go Long Oil as Middle East Tensions SimmerBuckle Up for Black Gold: Hedge Funds Go Long Oil as Middle East Tensions Simmer Oil Bulls Charge as Geopolitical Heat Rises The rumble of tanks in the Middle East is echoing through financial markets, with hedge funds piling into long positions on oil futures at a record pace. This aggressive bullish stance is a direct response to intensifying conflict in the region, a major source of the world's crude. The So Long, So Short of It The logic is simple: supply disruptions = higher prices. When tensions flare and the threat of production or export interruptions looms large, the perception of scarcity sends chills down the spines of oil-dependent economies. This fear translates into action, with buyers willing to pay a premium to secure reliable supplies, pushing prices upwards. Hedge Funds See Green in the Black Hedge funds, notorious for their high-risk, high-reward strategies, see this geopolitical instability as a golden opportunity. By taking long positions in oil futures contracts, they're essentially placing a hefty bet that oil prices will continue their upward trajectory. If their predictions hold true, they stand to reap significant profits. Hold Onto Your Stetsons: Prices Could Go Wild Should the situation in the Middle East escalate further, potentially leading to a disruption in oil production or exports, brace yourselves for a price surge. This scenario would be a boon for the long-oil hedge funds, but a major headache for consumers and businesses worldwide, as energy costs would skyrocket. A Word to the Wise: Don't Get Bucked Off The oil market is a complex beast, influenced by a multitude of factors beyond geopolitical tensions. A diplomatic breakthrough or the emergence of alternative sources of supply could cause prices to plummet. Before jumping on the long-oil bandwagon, investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and conduct thorough research. TradingView: Your Oil Market Oasis Navigate the volatile currents of the oil market with confidence using TradingView's robust charting tools and in-depth market analysis. Track oil price movements, stay updated on geopolitical developments, and leverage expert insights to make informed trading decisions. Disclaimer This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
TVC:USOILLong
by bryandowningqln
Exxon Mobil Signals Profit Dip Amidst Weak Oil and Gas PricesExxon Mobil ( NYSE:XOM ) faces turbulent seas ahead as it braces for a dip in first-quarter operating results, signaling a departure from the record-breaking profits of yesteryears. With weaker oil and gas prices, coupled with significant losses in fuel derivatives, Exxon ( NYSE:XOM ) finds itself navigating through challenging terrain after two years of unprecedented prosperity. Navigating Market Volatility: The once-profitable energy giant now grapples with the impact of fluctuating natural gas prices and fuel derivatives, marking a stark reversal from the buoyant market conditions of previous quarters. Despite its efforts to weather the storm, Exxon's operating profit for the quarter is projected to plummet, underscoring the harsh realities of a volatile market environment. Profit Projections and Investor Sentiment: Investors brace for a downturn in Exxon's fortunes, with adjusted per-share profit expected to fall short of previous benchmarks. Financial firm LSEG's consensus estimate paints a sobering picture, reflecting a decline in profitability compared to the company's robust performance in the year-ago period. As Exxon's profitability wanes, investor confidence faces a stern test amidst mounting uncertainties. Factors Contributing to Profit Erosion: The erosion of Exxon's profits can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including plummeting natural gas prices and adverse movements in fuel derivatives. The company's bottom line takes a hit as refining maintenance costs surge, exacerbating the financial strain caused by weakened market conditions. Against this backdrop, Exxon grapples with the formidable task of mitigating losses and safeguarding shareholder value. Strategic Moves Amidst Adversity: In the face of adversity, Exxon ( NYSE:XOM ) remains proactive in its pursuit of strategic opportunities to bolster its position in the market. From all-stock deals with U.S. shale oil producers to assertive claims over prized assets, Exxon ( NYSE:XOM ) demonstrates resilience in the face of market headwinds. However, the path forward remains fraught with challenges as the company navigates a rapidly evolving energy landscape. Technical Outlook Exxon Mobil ( NYSE:XOM ) stock is trading above the 200, 100, and 50-day Moving Averages respectively with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 85.21 indicating an overbought position for the stock. NYSE:XOM 's 1-day chart shows a cup and handle pattern indicting the potential for a downturn at any moment.
NYSE:XOM
by DEXWireNews
Will U.S. oil rebound and repair next week?Crude oil is currently going through a wave of surges and falls on the weekly trend, but it still maintains its operation on the short-term moving average. Pay attention to whether there will be continued adjustment on the line next week. On the daily trend, the current price has begun to touch near the previous support band, and the downward trend has begun to slow down. After the continuous low fluctuations in the intraday 4-hour trend, the technical form showed signs of gradual recovery. The K-line began to slowly stand on the short-term moving average. It is believed that crude oil will rebound to a certain extent in the short-term trend. If you are not confident in your trading, you can follow me and I will share trading ideas every day
TVC:USOILLong
by Donald-king
Jump on the Oil Trend as Russia Refineries Attacks Drive Prices I wanted to bring to your attention the latest trend in the oil market - prices are on the rise due to recent attacks on refineries in Russia. These attacks have caused disruptions in the supply chain, leading to an increase in oil prices. This presents a great opportunity for you to capitalize on this trend and make some significant profits by going long on oil. Don't miss out on this golden opportunity to make some quick gains in the market. Take advantage of the current situation and place your bets on oil to see your investments grow. So, what are you waiting for? Get in on the action and go long on oil today
NYMEX:CL1!
by bryandowningqln
USOIL continues to rise 85 today? Prices have pulled back after hitting a four-month high of $83 yesterday on Monday. Russia has increased exports in response to Ukrainian attacks on the country's oil infrastructure. Saudi Aramco CEO Amin Nasser has rejected the idea of phasing out fossil fuels, calling it a fantasy. Looking at the daily chart of crude oil, oil prices have fluctuated for about two weeks based on the moving average system, and oil prices have once again tested the upper edge of the channel. The two big positive lines show strong upward momentum, and it is expected that the mid-term rise will open up room for growth after adjustments within the week. Crude oil (1H) continues to trend higher and continues to hit new highs. The moving average system maintains a bullish arrangement and is supported by the 5-day moving average. The short-term objective trend is upward. Oil prices have adjusted slightly from high levels. It is expected that crude oil will continue to fluctuate upward in the short term during the day. Pay attention to the short-term support effect of 81.5.
TVC:USOILLong
by Crazy_money_making_signals
MEDC: Repeating Bullish Pattern, Upside Potential +16%?Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of IDX:MEDC ! The current market trend for the stock unmistakably showcases a bullish continuation pattern, marked by consistent upward movement above the EMA200 Line, signaling enduring momentum. At the same time, MEDC has formed a descending broadening wedge pattern twice. In December 2023, this pattern served as a catalyst, igniting a bullish reversal or heralding the start of a bullish trend. Yet, the subsequent formation of the descending broadening wedge pattern took on a new significance, becoming a widely recognized indication of ongoing bullish sentiment. What's particularly notable is the recent breakout from the DBW pattern, accompanied by a significant surge in trading volume. This reinforces our confidence in a sustained upward trajectory. Given these compelling indicators, we anticipate an exciting potential upward movement in price. Our analysis points to a designated target ripe for potential gains, making this an enticing opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on market trends. It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Medco Energi International." Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below!
IDX:MEDCLong
by financialfreedomgoals101
Crude oil fluctuates upward The daily K-line of crude oil continues to run above the short-term moving average and continues to maintain a high and strong trend. There is currently no particularly obvious trend in the 4-hour trend. After yesterday's adjustment, it is expected that there will be a rebound trend in the short term. In the small-level cycle trend, after continuous narrow range fluctuations, the technical form began to gradually recover, the K line began to slowly stand on the short-term moving average, and the short-term trend tends to continue to rebound. long-term trends.
TVC:USOILLong
by Crazy_money_making_signals
Today’s Profitable Trading Signals for Crude Oil Hello everyone. At present, crude oil continues to fluctuate at a high level on the daily trend, and the short-term moving average is basically in a flat state, tending to continue to maintain a relatively volatile trend in the short term. Currently, the 4-hour trend continues to fluctuate at a low level, and the K line continues to be under pressure. The short-term moving average maintains a slightly weaker trend. The bottom rebound after the U.S. market yesterday has continued, and the current range on the hourly level has been compressed very little. The current resistance is around 81, forming a short-term downward trend. So today we rebound and need to sell
TVC:USOILShort
by Crazy_money_making_signals
Diamondback and Endeavor Forge $50 Billion Powerhouse In a seismic shift within the energy sector, two major players in the U.S. shale oil industry, Diamondback Energy ( NASDAQ:FANG ) and Endeavor Energy Resources, are on the brink of sealing a historic deal worth a staggering $25 billion in cash and stock. Sources close to the negotiations reveal that this landmark agreement is poised to create a behemoth valued at over $50 billion, positioning it as the largest, pure-play oil producer in the prolific Permian shale field. The proposed merger, which could be announced as early as Monday, underscores a strategic move by Diamondback ( NASDAQ:FANG ) and Endeavor to consolidate their strengths and capitalize on synergies in a fiercely competitive market. With Diamondback's shareholders expected to hold the majority stake in the combined entity, the newly formed company is set to dominate the Permian landscape, surpassing even industry giants like Exxon Mobil and Chevron. Dan Pickering, Chief Investment Officer of Pickering Energy Partners, describes the impending merger as a "layup" due to the natural fit and acreage overlap between the two entities. This sentiment is echoed by industry analysts who anticipate that the deal will not only enhance operational efficiencies but also exert pressure on remaining players in the Permian basin to explore similar consolidation strategies. The consolidation trend within the Permian basin reflects a broader push among oil producers to secure future drilling inventory and optimize output amidst evolving market dynamics. Andrew Dittmar, Senior Vice President at data analytics firm Enverus, observes that while future deals may not match the magnitude of recent transactions, the Diamondback-Endeavor merger is poised to set a new benchmark for industry consolidation. Autry Stephens, founder of Endeavor Energy Resources, is expected to retain a significant role in the merged entity, underscoring the deep-rooted legacy of the company he built over four decades. Endeavor's formidable operations spanning 350,000 acres in the Midland portion of the Permian Basin reflect Stephens' astute strategy of acquiring undervalued assets and leveraging innovative technologies to drive profitability. The impending merger between Diamondback ( NASDAQ:FANG ) and Endeavor represents a pivotal moment in the oil industry, signaling a paradigm shift towards consolidation and collaboration in the pursuit of sustainable growth and operational excellence. As investors eagerly await the market's response to this transformative deal, all eyes are on Wall Street to gauge the resonance of this monumental merger within the energy sector and beyond.
NASDAQ:FANG
by DEXWireNews
Oil Market Volatility due to Shipping Disruptions in the Red SeaIt has come to our attention that several shipping companies have temporarily halted their operations in the Red Sea, leading to a slight disruption in the transportation of oil. As you are aware, the Red Sea is a crucial shipping route for oil tankers, connecting major oil-producing regions to global markets. Any disruption in this route can have far-reaching implications, causing ripple effects throughout the oil market. The current situation demands cautious consideration of our trading strategies, particularly regarding long oil positions. While the exact reasons behind the shipping companies' decision to temporarily halt their operations in the Red Sea remain undisclosed, it is imperative that we closely monitor the situation and assess its potential impact on oil prices. The reduced availability of shipping routes may result in increased transportation costs, delays in deliveries, and potential supply constraints. These factors can contribute to short-term volatility and uncertainty in the oil market. In light of this development, I encourage you to exercise caution when considering long oil positions. It is crucial to stay informed about the latest updates regarding the shipping disruptions in the Red Sea and their potential implications on oil supply and demand dynamics. We can better navigate the market and make informed trading decisions by remaining vigilant and responsive to these changes. To stay updated, I recommend closely monitoring reputable news sources, industry reports, and official statements from shipping companies and relevant authorities. Additionally, engaging in discussions with fellow traders and industry experts can provide valuable insights and perspectives. As always, I would like to emphasize the importance of conducting thorough research and analysis before making any trading decisions. While volatility can present opportunities, it also carries risks that need to be carefully evaluated. By maintaining a cautious approach and considering the potential consequences of the shipping disruptions in the Red Sea, we can mitigate potential losses and capitalize on favorable market conditions. Should you have any questions or require further information, please do not hesitate to reach out to me via comment.
TVC:USOILLong
by bryandowningqln
EXXON MOBIL: Strong buy at the bottom of a 1 year Rectangle.XOM has been trading inside a Rectangle pattern since the October 11th 2022 low and just last week the 1D RSI got oversold below 30.000. Now the 1D technical outlook is neutral (RSI = 46.595, MACD = -1.790, ADX = 43.208) but that oversold level was the first buy signal as it took place very close to the Rectangle's bottom. The second and final validation buy signal will be when the stock closes a 1D candle over the LH trendline. Yesterday it crossed over it but closed on it. We will take this opportunity to target the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 115.00) as this was the minimum target that the previous three rallies hit. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYSE:XOMLong
by InvestingScope
USO US Crude OIl ETF trending down SHORTUSO on the weekly chart over the past two and a half years makes a symmetrical triangle patter with the upper and lower trendlines drawn in. Price appears to be dropping out of the pattern in a breakdown and she now yet tested the prior support trendline as resistance. The Stochastic RSI and Zero Lag MACD are confirmatory. The Relative volatility indicator shows downward volatility exceeding upward for six weeks now. Putin just met with OPEC+ in Saudi Arabian. It is doubt that the OPEC+ has the fortitude to cut supply to force prices higher. Dropping the price of oil nicely supports global efforts to stymie inflation for the good of all except perhaps OPEC+ and Big Oil. I will take a short position in buying put options on USO. I will strike $ 60 because the puts will be cheaper and I expect the price to drop below that into a volume void on the profile and not be easily able to get above the volume shelf at $63 where I will set the stop. I am targeting $35.00 which is comfortably above the volume profile POC line. I will take an expiration next July during the presidential nominations. Politicians are also wanting oil prices to drop to keep voters happy. All goepolitical events will have a bid in the price action of the puts.
AMEX:USO
by AwesomeAvani
Evaluating OPEC+ Compliance Levels for Cautious Oil TradingAs you are aware, the upcoming OPEC+ member countries to implement potential oil-supply cuts has sparked considerable interest and speculation within the trading community. Today, I would like to draw your attention to the importance of evaluating the compliance levels of these member countries and how it presents a potential opportunity for cautious oil trading. The proposed oil-supply cuts have been designed to stabilize oil prices amidst the ongoing global economic uncertainties. However, it is crucial to assess the actual compliance of OPEC+ member countries with these agreed-upon cuts. By doing so, we can gain valuable insights into the potential impact on global oil supply and demand dynamics. To effectively evaluate compliance levels, it is recommended to closely monitor official statements, production data, and any relevant news updates from OPEC and non-OPEC countries. Analyzing these factors will provide a clearer understanding of how closely member countries are adhering to their commitments. While evaluating compliance levels, it is important to maintain a cautious approach towards trading oil. The current market conditions are highly volatile and unpredictable, influenced by various geopolitical and economic factors. It is advisable to exercise prudence and carefully assess the potential risks associated with any trading decisions. In light of the potential opportunities arising from the evaluation of compliance levels, I encourage you to consider engaging in oil trading. However, it is crucial to approach this market with a cautious mindset, ensuring that you have a well-thought-out trading strategy in place. Diversification and risk management should be at the forefront of your decision-making process. As always, it is essential to stay informed and updated on the latest developments in the oil market. By leveraging reliable sources of information, you can make informed trading decisions and navigate the market with greater confidence. In conclusion, evaluating the compliance levels of OPEC+ member countries with the proposed oil-supply cuts presents an opportunity for cautious oil trading. However, it is imperative to remain vigilant, assess the risks involved, and develop a sound trading strategy that aligns with your risk appetite. Should you require any further information or assistance in evaluating compliance levels or refining your trading strategy, please do not hesitate to comment below. Thank you for your attention, and I wish you successful and prudent trading in these challenging times.
TVC:USOILLong
by bryandowningqln
WTI Price Stability Around $75 Amid OPEC+ Cut ExpectationsWestern Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark crude oil, is currently trading near $75.05 as of Tuesday. WTI prices show modest gains, supported by expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) will extend oil production cuts in the upcoming Thursday meeting. Amid the recent oil price slump, analysts predict that OPEC+ might consider extending or deepening production cuts into the next year. Saudi Arabia, the world's major oil exporter, is expected to prolong its supply cuts by an additional 1 million barrels per day into the next year, while Russia may contemplate further supply reductions of 300,000 barrels per day. If OPEC+ decides on deeper production cuts next year, it could restrain the downward momentum of WTI prices. Furthermore, China is set to release National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data on Thursday. Better-than-expected data might uplift WTI prices, considering China's significant role as the world's leading producer and consumer of oil. On the flip side, the International Energy Agency (IEA) anticipates a mild surplus in crude oil production by 2024, even with OPEC+ extending cuts into the following year. Additionally, robust production from non-OPEC countries like the U.S. could contribute to price pressure. Traders in the oil market will closely monitor U.S. growth figures on Wednesday, with the annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q3 expected to rise by 5%, up from the previous 4.9%. On Thursday, U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation and China's NBS PMI data will be announced. The outcome of the OPEC+ meeting over the weekend will be crucial for oil traders, as these events could significantly impact WTI prices in USD. Oil traders will interpret signals from the data and explore trading opportunities around WTI prices.
TVC:USOIL
by oraleeogwynn1725