Oilstocks
Oil prices start to rebound, go long?Oil prices bottomed out and rebounded on Thursday, ending a three-day decline. Earlier, there were reports that Saudi Arabia and Russia met to discuss how to strengthen market stability. The two countries continue to promise to abide by the decision to reduce their production target by 2 million barrels per day by the end of 2023; helped by a strong rebound in the financial sector, US stocks closed sharply higher and also boosted oil prices.
However, the risk of spread between banks still makes investors nervous, suppressing their appetite for assets such as commodities, because they fear that further rout may trigger a global recession and reduce oil demand.In addition, market concerns about oversupply still cast a shadow over the outlook for the oil market.The IEA said on Wednesday that commercial oil stocks in developed OECD countries have hit an 18-month high, and Russia's oil production in February remained near the level before the war in Ukraine, despite sanctions on maritime exports.
From the trend point of view, oil prices have recorded a longer downward K-line for two consecutive trading days, suggesting strong downward support. On Thursday, a doji was recorded. The technical indicators are close to issuing an oversold signal. There is still a possibility of short-term volatility in oil prices. Bottoming out; however, before regaining the 70 mark, oil prices as a whole are still running in the air.At present, the initial resistance is near 70. If this position can be further recovered, it will increase the bullish signal in the future.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
Crude oil continues to fall, where will it stop?After the recent bankruptcy of Bank of America, the pessimism of global investors lingered, and the increase in API crude oil inventories was greater than expected. It is expected that oil prices will still be at risk of further decline in the future.
In the trend of crude oil, the short-term decline continued during the day. The current lowest point during the day reached near 69.82, which broke the support near 70.09 at the bottom of the shock box for the past four months since December 9, and fell below the 70 integer mark, which means that oil prices have broken the shock trend for the past four months and have the possibility of accelerating the decline. Once it is established that the fall below the 70 mark is effective, further strong support refers to the low of 66.15 on December 20, 2021 and the low of 62.46 on December 2. Near the position.
In addition, this trading day also needs to focus on the EIA crude oil inventory series data and the IEA monthly crude oil market report.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me.
Short crude oil when reboundingBecause the market is vigilant about frequent and more substantial interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve, concerns about the global recession have increased, and the global stock market has generally weakened, which has dragged down oil prices.
On the daily chart, oil prices continued to weaken in the short term, and fell back after the rebound in the previous trading day was blocked, suggesting strong selling pressure above.From the technical structure point of view, oil prices have still been in a wide fluctuation trend in recent months, and at the same time, they have also formed a short-term wedge-shaped consolidation trend to make a transitional market before the direction is chosen.The current support and strong support for oil prices are the 74.3 line on the wedge-shaped extension cord and the 72.3 line on the extension cord of the shock box below. The resistance above the short period is at the 76.5 line, and the stronger resistance is at the 77.6 line at the intersection of the short-period moving average and the Bollinger band.
In order to facilitate everyone to continue to follow up on my analysis and sharing, you can like and follow me; in addition, I will share the daily real-time strategy in the channel. If you can't follow up in real time, you may make operational errors.You can use the following methods to enter my channel for free to follow the latest news and follow up on market trends in real time.
OIL: Trade at these levels
Recently, the technical trend of crude oil has mainly been volatile, with support around 76.5-75.7 and short-term resistance around 78.1-78.8.
Trading is dominated by short positions, with long positions being secondary.
Specifically, short positions can be entered around 78.15, with a target around 77.5-77, while long positions can be entered around 76.5-76, with a target around 77.5-78.
I will continue to track the market trends in real-time and share strategies. Thank you for your support and attention, and I hope you continue to follow me as it will contribute to the completeness of the trade. I will also share more interesting trading strategies for you to refer to! If you have any questions, please leave a message in the comments section, and I will provide you with the most reliable solution with the most serious and responsible attitude to help you solve the problem!
The morale of crude Oil bulls is strong, breakthrough!Fundamentals:
On Tuesday (March 7), international oil prices tended to fluctuate.Previously, the UAE's withdrawal from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries was proved to be untrue, and there was a need for technical correction after the surge in oil prices.And cautious investors are waiting for Fed Chairman Powell's upcoming testimony later this week.However, signs of China's economic rebound have prompted Saudi Arabia to continue to increase its prices in Asia, bringing support to the oil market.
Technical aspects:
At the daily level, after oil prices have risen for five consecutive trading days, oil prices have initially stood above the 80 integer mark. The daily line has gotten rid of the downward trend channel, and the opening of the technical indicator Bollinger band continues upward. MACD golden fork, KD stochastic indicator golden fork, technical bullish signal continues, if it can withstand the short-term pullback pressure, it is expected to continue to oscillate higher, the initial resistance is near the Bollinger band rail 82; further strong resistance is near 83, which is where the top of the box that has oscillated extensively since the end of November is located. If it breaks further, it will increase the medium- and long-term bullish signal.
At the 4-hour level, oil prices as a whole are still in the channel of rebounding upward trend, but they are still suppressed by the short-term moving average, and the KD stochastic indicator sends a short-term overbought signal. It is still necessary to beware of the risk of short-term oil prices falling back.However, the short-term volatility here is still within the normal range, which is a technical repair to the short-term rally, and the 79 position of the 20-day moving average below has been transformed into a preliminary support position. If this position is lost, it can be judged to weaken the bullish signal in the future.
Taken together, today's short-term crude oil operation ideas are mainly based on stepping back and lower, supplemented by rebounding high altitude, which can be done at the 79 position and the target position is 80.5
Oil: Go long on this range.
After analyzing the 4-hour chart of crude oil, it is found that yesterday's market first fell and then rose, rebounding after reaching support near 78. In the short term, it has broken through resistance at 79 and 80 and now support has formed around 78 and 79. If there is a substantial breakthrough and stabilization around 81.5, there is a high probability of further rising towards the strong resistance level near 83. However, the market currently needs further consolidation and momentum to complete the potential breakthrough, so we recommend shorting at higher levels and going long at lower levels.
The specific recommendations are as follows:
short around 81-80, long around 79-78, with a stop loss of 70 points and a take profit of 200 points for each.
$XOM: Strong uptrendNice setup here in $XOM, new 52 week highs on higher than average volume with a Time@Mode trend signal confirmation this week. Monthly and yearly trends are up, overall oil stocks could continue being the best prospect with a potential rebound in inflation figures coming next, Russia 'cutting' production (likely forced to do so by the effect of crippling sanctions) and China reopening boosting aviation fuel demand, while the economy possibly dodges a recession, and business investment goes back to pre-pandemic trend levels, among other factors. The latest State of the Union speech has likely contributed to weakness in US Treasury bonds, and coupled with NFP might have triggered rotation back into value/energy from growth names ahead of CPI data.
All in all, low risk to follow this development and be positioned in value stocks and particularly energy for the coming months (and likely years).
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Crude oil💥1D -TIMEFRAME ANALYSISCrude oil💥1D -TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
💗Hello ladies and gentlemen
This is my new idea for 💥Oil
I hope my idea is clear
Support me by like and share thank you
Stay Safe💯💲💲💲
Good luck💰😍
Short ExxonToday I bought some put options on Exxon (before rate hike announcement). Some may say its to late to get in on this play but I believe Exxon will drop to $106 minimum. There are multiple lower targets such as $101.5, .5 fib, GP and bottom of the P channel (mid-long term).
LMK what you think!
20 Reason for sell OIL 🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️
1 ✨Eagle eye: Sideways
2 📆Monthly: Bullish to corrective mode
3 📅Weekly: a clear bear trend is established with proper lower lows
4 🕛Daily: bear and filled out corrective move now just ready for the next impulse move in bearish side
😇7 Dimension analysis
🟢 analysis time frame: Daily
5: 1 Price Structure: bear
6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: long shadow rejected at resistance
7: 3 Volume:
8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: Sideways to bear
9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: rejected at the middle band
10: 6 Strength ADX: just beginning strength for bears
11: 7 Sentiment ROC:
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
12: Entry TF Structure: sideways
13: entry move: wait yet
14: Support resistance base: upper resistence
15: FIB: nil
☑️ final comments: wait for breakout
16: 💡decision: sell
17: 🚀Entry:79.90
18: ✋Stop losel: 81.5
19: 🎯Take profit: 73.66
20: 😊Risk to reward Ratio: 1:6
🕛 Excepted Duration: 10 days
Brent Crude Oil Simple Chart AnalysisBrent Crude Oil - Seem supported if we draw a 2 red arrow there. If this area indeed supported & rebound, we will see our KLSE energy moved. Might retest 100 as resistance here.
Risk side, it might just be a technical rebound here cause there are no red chip aggressively appearing.
10/30/22 SLBSchlumberger N.V. ( NYSE:SLB )
Sector: Industrial Services (Oilfield Services/Equipment)
Market Capitalization: 71.538B
Current Price: $50.45
Breakout price trigger: $52.50
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $51.00-$47.40
Price Target: $61.20-$62.40
Estimated Duration to Target: 56-60d
Contract of Interest: $SLB 12/16/22 55c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.63/contract
10/5/22 XOMExxon Mobil Corporation ( NYSE:XOM )
Sector: Energy Minerals (Integrated Oil )
Market Capitalization: $413.096B
Current Price: $99.12
Breakout price: $100.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $97.60-$87.90
Price Target: $105.00-$106.20 (3rd), $120.10-$121.70 (4th)
Estimated Duration to Target: 26-29d (3rd), 85-91d (4th)
Contract of Interest: $XOM 10/21/22 100c, $XOM 12/16/22 105c, $3.80/contract
Trade price as of publish date: $2.69/contract, $3.80/contract
Sitting on a strong support Oil hit this support more than five times and it respected this support so if we received candle confirmation above the support rectangle (the green one) we can long oil
But if it closed under the support wait for retest and then we can go short.
Good luck all if you like my idea like it and comment your opinion 🍀💰😊
8/31/22 XOPSPDR S&P Oil & Gas Explor & Product ( AMEX:XOP )
Sector: Miscellaneous (Investment Trusts/Mutual Funds)
Market Capitalization: $ --
Current Price: $144.75
Breakout price: $147.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $140.20-$120.00
Price Target: $166.70-$170.60
Estimated Duration to Target: 76-80d
Contract of Interest: $XOP 11/18/22 145c
Trade price as of publish date: $13.20/contract
$INDO Next Target PTs 18-30 and higherIndonesia Energy Corporation Limited operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in Indonesia. It holds interests in the Kruh Block, a producing block covering an area of 258 square kilometers with net crude oil proved reserves of 1.52 million barrels located to the northwest of Pendopo, Pali, South Sumatra; and the Citarum Block, an exploration block covering an area of 3,924.67 square kilometers located onshore in West Java. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia. Indonesia Energy Corporation Limited is a subsidiary of Maderic Holding Limited.