Oiltrading
WTI Crude Oil Outlook: Eyeing Potential Demand Zone RecoveryWTI crude oil is currently trading around $68.25 as of this Tuesday, following a significant gap-down opening to start the week. The move lower was largely influenced by easing tensions in the Middle East, as recent developments suggested a more contained military approach, which alleviated fears of a broader conflict that could disrupt oil supply.
Upcoming U.S. Economic Data: GDP and Nonfarm Payrolls in Focus
The U.S. economic calendar this week includes key data releases, beginning with the flash Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report for Q3 on Wednesday, projected to show an annualized growth rate of around 3%. A stronger-than-expected GDP figure could bolster the USD, adding pressure to USD-denominated assets like crude oil, as a stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies. Following the GDP report, Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls will provide additional insight into U.S. labor market conditions, which could further influence dollar strength and, subsequently, WTI prices.
Technical Analysis: WTI Trading in Demand Zone
From a technical perspective, WTI crude is currently positioned within a demand zone, where buyers could be eyeing a recovery of Monday's gap-down. This demand zone represents a critical area where traders are observing whether buying interest will drive prices higher to close the gap. A recovery attempt here, with a tight stop loss, could offer a favorable risk-to-reward setup, particularly if data later in the week doesn’t significantly strengthen the USD.
Conclusion
The WTI crude oil market remains vulnerable to geopolitical developments and U.S. economic data this week, with a stronger USD potentially capping any recovery attempts. However, should the upcoming data align with current estimates or underperform, there may be room for WTI to rally from its demand zone, attempting to reclaim some of the lost ground from the recent gap-down. Traders may want to monitor these key levels and events closely, as they could provide both direction and confirmation for near-term price movement in WTI crude oil.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: Strong rebound on the 18 month Support.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.224, MACD = -0.080, ADX = 22.753) as it rebounded again on the S1 Zone and already reached the 1D MA50. Even though another test of the S1 Zone is possible according to the multiple tests of the May-June 2023 pattern, the upside is more likely to happen eventually through a test of the 1D MA200. Our target is limited however below the LH trendline (TP = 77.50) as we don't yet have valid grounds to extend buying above it.
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Slowly starting to scale in on OILThe fundamental outlook for oil is looking bullish. Despite seasonality favoring lower crude oil prices towards the end of the year, the conflicts in the Middle East are pushing prices higher.
Technically, the downward move that has been in place since the beginning of July could now experience a correction. Therefore, I’ll begin slowly scaling into oil at the 61.8% retracement level, keeping in mind that prices could drop further before the end of the year.
According to seasonality, we could see the high in oil prices around May 2025.
Let’s see how it plays out.
Bearish reversal off 50% Fibonacci resistance?USO/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 70.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 72.32
Why we like it:
There is a an overlap resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 68.39
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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WTI CRUDE OIL: 1H Death Cross suggests another Low is coming.WTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.281, MACD = -0.560, ADX = 26.062) with the bearish bias evident as in the last 3 weeks the price is trading inside a Channel Down. The formation of a 1H Death Cross earlier today, draws comparisons with the October 15th one. Both price actions found a temporary support on the 1.382 Fibonacci level at the time of the Death Cross but the 1H RSI was rebounding on a bullish divergence. We expect the price to extend replicating that bearish wave and approach the 1.618 Fib eventually (TP = 66.00).
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US-Oil will further push upside After Testing TrendlineHello Traders
In This Chart XTIUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XTIUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XTIUSD market update)
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This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
WEEKLY FORECAST OCT 26th: SELL US & UK CRUDE OIL In this video, we will analyze the CRUDE OIL markets in the US and UK, looking through the lens of ICT Concepts.
Price has traded up into a bearish FVG, so therefore I am BEARISH. Price can turn neutral in this geopolitical environment, but maybe the inside bar will act as a harbinger of bearish things to come.
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I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Keeps respecting the long term Support Zone.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.339, MACD = -0.320, ADX = 27.988) as it is recovering from last week's red candle that almost touched the S1 Zone. As long this holds, WTI will be bullish on the medium term at least, as on the long term the formation of the 1W Death Cross is bearish. The presence of the LH trendline doesn't allow much room for higher targets and since the previous rebound on the S1 Zone (December 11th 2023) came close to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, our target is in the vicinity of those (TP = 78.00).
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WTI CRUDE OIL & BRENT OIL Weekly Outlook: Wait For SELL Setup!This weekly forecast is for Oct 21 - 25th.
US & UK Oil have been up and down throughout this Mid East crises. WIth a strong bearish candle and close last week, the indications are that the market has taken a bearish turn.
I will be watching the market closely for a pullback to the newly formed Daily -FVG for a high
probability short setup.
Take caution, day traders. As there will be buys to take as price retraces up, but I would urge you to remain patient and wait for the HP sells.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Price is bottoming. Excellent long trade.WTI Crude Oil is borderline neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.282, MACD = 0.240, ADX = 34.094) as it is consolidating just over the HL trendline and under the 4H MA200. This consolidation so close to a Support is technically a bottoming process. January-February 2023 exhibited similar behavior that caused the price to rebound towards the R1 level again. The patterns are so far very similar, so we expect the price action to complete the sequence by rising again towards the R1. Aim just under it (TP = 76.50) to lower the risk.
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WTI Crude Oil: Navigating Market Waves with Technical PrecisionH ello,
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil is a major benchmark for oil prices in the U.S. It's widely used as a reference price for oil trading and is a key indicator of global oil market trends.
Chart Explanation
Moving Averages
5-day Moving Average: $74.80
20-day Moving Average: $73.50
50-day Moving Average: $72.00
200-day Moving Average: $70.00
The price is currently above the 5-day, 20-day, and 50-day moving averages, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
Technical Indicators
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 65 (Neutral to Bullish)
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): 2.0 (Bullish)
Stochastic Oscillator: 70 (Overbought)
Chart Patterns
Candlestick Patterns: Recent patterns show a mix of bullish engulfing and doji, suggesting indecision in the market but with a slight bullish bias.
Support Levels: $72.00, $70.00
Resistance Levels: $78.00, $80.00
Analysis of Sentiments
At present, sentiment on WTI Crude Oil is rather neutral. The sentiment from the technical indicators is ‘buy’, but there is a little bit of energy demand concern as US consumer sentiment has fallen in recent weeks. This calls for a mixed sentiment in which there is hope of price rises but also provides for fears of drop in demand.
News Sentiment
Information from the latest news has been provoking nervy WTI Crude Oil sentiments. The volatility and the love-hate relationship with the Iran issue have fueled wild price speculations and tensions in the Middle East. Commentators are careful in their assessments arguing in these present price levels that there are wear and tear global political forces, however, all expect a way out that will either break prices up into summits or down into bottoms.
Conclusion
In the current prices of WTI Crude Oil, one is able to note that there is a steep bullish movement in the short run. Supported by the key indicators, an uptrend of the market is forecasted. Nonetheless, the stock has neared its peak levels and therefore caution should be taken in regard to possible corrections. The price areas close given as $72.00 and $70.00 can present purchasing chances, if any, while selling pressures, if any, at the price boundaries given as $78.00 and $80.00 will be significant to watch.
Regards,
Ely
US oil creating bullish momentum on 4H
Not stop entry
Wait for little consolidation, wicks or bullish momentum candle at entry
SL are below from golden ratio and take less risk by putting SL below the momentum candle
Actually we miss the trade but mark alert maybe market retest and you get the trade
WTI CRUDE OIL: Turned bullish again after the 1D MA50 rebound.WTI Crude Oil turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.281, MACD = 0.570, ADX = 33.404) as even though it breached through the 1D MA50 yesterday intraday, it managed to close the day over it and extend today with a green candle. It was not ideal that the rejection on Tuesday took place on the 1D MA200 but yesterday's 1D MA50 rebound has restored the bullish sentiment. We turn bullish again (TP = 80.00) all the way to the one year LH trendline and the 0.786 Fib.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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XOM Stock: Using The Rocket Booster Strategy In 3 StepsThe oil prices NYMEX:CL1! are looking like
they are going to rise.
Why?
Am really not sure about why
but one thing for sure is the
price hike is coming
The oil price affects this stock
which is one of the stocks on
my watch list
Because of my change of trading
I have developed a permanent watchlist
Again you need to understand
that am not day-trading these stocks
forex or crypto
am looking at these trades like
investment opportunities.
Yes you may get discouraged but
don't give up
On building your watchlist
which is a very important step
to a successful trading career
Also notice that this
price action follows the rocket booster
strategy
The rocket booster strategy
has 3 steps:
#1-The price has to be above the 50 EMA
#2-The price has to be above the 200 EMA
#3-The price has to be in an uptrend.
This is what you are seeing here on
this chart of NYSE:XOM
Remember to learn more rocket boost
this content
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn
risk management and profit-taking
strategies.
Brent Crude Oil Analysis==>> Fundamental + TechnicalBrent Crude Oil ( FX_IDC:USDBRO ) began to rise from the Heavy Support zone($71.30-$64.80) after Iran attacked Israel . ( It seemed that before the attack of Iran, Brent oil intended to fall and correction further ).
Today's fundamental analysis of Brent crude oil prices is influenced by several key factors:
Geopolitical Tensions : The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, especially between Iran and Israel, has raised concerns about potential disruptions to oil production and exports. Any attacks on Iranian oil infrastructure, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial passage for global oil exports, could reduce supply and drive prices higher. These concerns have contributed to the recent rise in Brent prices, pushing it above $80 per barrel.
Global Demand : China's recent large-scale economic stimulus aimed at boosting recovery has increased optimism for higher oil demand. As the world's largest oil consumer, any rise in demand from China directly influences global oil prices.
OPEC+ Supply Capacity : Although OPEC+ still has significant spare production capacity, there are worries that a severe crisis in the region could overwhelm this capacity, preventing the group from compensating for any sudden drop in supply.
Overall, the short-term outlook for Brent crude appears bullish, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and potential increases in demand from China. However, the market remains cautious to see if these trends will hold over time.
Now, according to the fundamental analysis of Brent Crude Oi, let's see which area is suitable for buying Brent Crude Oi .
Brent Crude Oil is moving near the Support zone and the Support line .
Brent Crude Oil's movement structure is corrective , and we should expect it to move upwards again .
I expect Brent Crude Oil to start rising again from or near the Support zone and at least to $81(Yearly Pivot Point) and then attack the Resistance lines .
Brent Crude Oil Analyze (USDBRO), Daily time frame⏰.
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$20 Spike if Israel Hits Iran’s Oil? The Israeli military warned that its response to Iran’s missile attack would be “serious and significant,” as Goldman Sachs forecasted that oil prices could surge by $20 per barrel if Iranian production is disrupted.
Daan Struyven, Goldman’s co-head of global commodities research, stated on Friday that a "sustained drop of 1 million barrels per day" in Iranian output could lead to a peak increase of $20 per barrel next year, assuming OPEC+ does not immediately boost production, which typically requires time to implement. However, if key OPEC+ members like Saudi Arabia and the UAE step in to offset some of the supply loss, the price impact could be more moderate—around $10 per barrel, Struyven added.
Goldman did not offer a specific price forecast if Israel were to target Iran's nuclear facilities, a scenario raised after Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump suggested such a strike was appropriate to recent missile activity from Tehran.
USOIL Price Analysis: Double Bottom Breakout Targets $78.37🛢️ USOIL Price Analysis: Double Bottom Breakout Targets $78.37 and $83.67
USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) shows a bullish reversal pattern on the D1 timeframe , with a double bottom breakout signaling potential upward movement. Traders are eyeing key targets, with the first at $78.37 and the second at $83.67 . Here's a breakdown of the setup:
🔍 What is a Double Bottom Pattern?
A double bottom is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. In this pattern, the price hits a support level twice and bounces back. This suggests that sellers have been exhausted, and buyers are stepping in to increase prices. The breakout occurs when the price closes above the peak between the two lows, confirming the pattern.
🚀 Key Price Targets for USOIL
With the double bottom confirmed, here are the following potential price targets:
1. First Target – $78.37:
After the breakout, the immediate upside target is $78.37 . This level is based on a measured move from the bottom of the pattern to the breakout point, giving traders their first profit-taking zone.
2. Second Target – $83.67:
Should the bullish momentum continue, the next target to watch is $83.67 , where further resistance is expected. A move toward this level would signify a more extended upward trend in USOIL.
⛔ Stop Loss – $66.23
To manage risk, traders should consider placing a stop loss at $66.23 . This level is below the pattern's low, where a breakdown would invalidate the bullish outlook and potentially trigger further downside.
📊 Factors Influencing USOIL
Several factors could affect the success of the breakout:
Global Supply and Demand: Changes in OPEC policies, US shale production, and geopolitical tensions can significantly impact oil prices.
Economic Growth: A robust global economy often increases oil demand, increasing prices.
USD Strength: Since oil is traded in US dollars, a stronger dollar can put downward pressure on oil prices, while a weaker dollar may support further gains.
🛠 Trading Strategy
For traders looking to capitalize on this breakout, consider the following:
Entry Point: After the breakout, buying near the current price with targets of $78.37 and $83.67 could provide a favorable risk/reward ratio.
Risk Management: Place your stop loss at $66.23 to protect against unexpected market reversals.
💡 Conclusion
The double bottom breakout on the D1 timeframe suggests that USOIL is poised for a potential rally towards $78.37 and $83.67 , with a protective stop at $66.23 . To navigate this opportunity effectively, traders should stay vigilant of key market factors and global developments.
🔔 Stay tuned for more updates on USOIL and other fundamental market movements.
ENSV very quiet...Consolidating leads to expansion!
I'll keep DCA up when I get some other good wins.
I dont believe we have see the bottom and the previous high is to be taken out. I do not believe that the ATH will get taken out nor will we double top.
I can see Oil to retrace down to $30-45 on my crystal ball. The current administration will continue to gut the strategic Reserves here in America and will cease to give any grants or funding to the oil industry. They are going to push their stupid ass green agenda and cause so many people in corporations to go near bankrupt. It'll end up almost being like a horror movie for many people but if this company survives it should thrive. Also after oil hits around 30 to $40 I think that we could see 160 on the table per barrel.
NOTHING I SAY IS FINANCIAL ADVICE CAN GO TO ZERO I WAS JUST A DUMB ROUGHNECK AND MWD IN THE INDUSTRY AND MY GRANDFATHER HAD AN OIL COMPANY AND MY PARENTS WERE ENGINEERS...