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USOIL Crude Oil WTI Price Prediction for Winter The potential for an increase in oil prices looms as supply disruptions in Libya unfold. Additionally, heightened tensions in the Middle East, fueled by another attack on a container ship in the Red Sea and explosions in Iran, contribute to the uncertainty. Shipping giants temporarily halted Red Sea shipments last month due to attacks by Houthi rebels, who were influenced by the conflict between Hamas and Israel. On a recent Wednesday, the Yemeni militant group, supported by Iran, claimed responsibility for targeting a container ship en route to Israel. Concurrently, OPEC announced its members' commitment to unity and cohesion within the organization, emphasizing their dedication to shared objectives. Adding to the complex landscape, last month saw Angola, a member of OPEC for 16 years, decide to exit the cartel due to disputes over quotas. In light of these developments, my forecast for oil prices is set at $80 by March 2024.
TVC:USOILLong
by TopgOptions
WTI CRUDE OIL: Targeting the 1D MA50.WTI Crude Oil is rebounding today aggressively after hitting and holding the 1W MA200, which as we've discussed on our channel, has been the long term Support since February 1st 2021. The rebound has turned the 1D technical outlook neutral (RSI = 47.857, MACD = -0.970, ADX = 22.204) but the 1D RSI is inside a Channel Up, which indicates that there might be a hidden bullish divergence for the long term. Nevertheless, we cannot discuss any +25% to +30% moves as those in April and July 2023 unless the 1D MA50 breaks. Until then, we will focus on the short term and aim just under the 1D MA50 (TP = 74.50). See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
4
Crude oil wants to make money to read this article!The recent rise and fall of crude oil, as a whole is a big shock, although it is an upward trend, but not so clear, yesterday's daily line is very unexpected unexpectedly closed the negative line, the rise is not coherent, such a market we understand as shock, today's thinking of shock more treatment, today's crude oil attention yesterday back to the low point is the bottom of the upward trend of 1 hour, Strong support is near 73.10, these two positions are the positions of bull sniping, and the positions of pressure are 75.50 and 76.50
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by the_Hand_of_God
2
WTI CRUDE OIL: Bearish until the 1D MA50 breaks.WTI Crude Oil broke yesterday over the two month Channel Down but the 1D candle closed back inside it and today is turning into a red session so far. The 1D technical outlook is barely neutral (RSI = 50.474, MACD = -0.620, ADX = 28.954), indicating no clear direction. We shouldn't technically see a sustainable bullish extension before the market closes a 1D candle over the 1D MA50, which was the case on April 3rd and July 5th. All other occasions failed and reversed back to the 1W MA200. Consequently until the 1D MA50 is crossed, we will sell and target the 1W MA200 (TP = 71.00). If the 1D MA50 breaks, we will buy and target the symmetrical R level (TP = 83.50). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOIL
by InvestingScope
WTI H4 / A KEY LEVEL FOR OIL 🛢📊Hello Traders! This is my perspective on WTI H4. OIL is currently at a key level, and I'm waiting for a confirmation. At the moment, OIL is in a bearish channel pattern and has now reached the resistance level. I anticipate a move until the OB from the price of 78.200. Additionally, there is a significant possibility of a strong bearish move down to the price of 65.000. If there is confirmation of a retracement from the resistance level, I will execute a short trade. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
BLACKBULL:WTI
by GoodTradeST
Oil traders overreacting to the wrong triggers? Oil traders overreacting to the wrong triggers? Divisions within OPEC have caused WTI crude to fall below $74 per barrel, ending a three-day climb for the commodity. Angola, which joined OPEC in 2007, said it is leaving the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. This move raised concerns about OPEC's capacity to stabilize global prices, particularly amid disagreements over oil production quotas. However, operational challenges in Angola have hampered the country's ability to reach its sanctioned daily output of 1.5 million barrels; so maybe its departure is not hugely damaging to OPEC’s control, and the market is overreacting to the wrong thing here. Maybe, a more pressing issue could be the surging production in the United States. Recent data from the Energy Information Administration revealed a record-breaking daily output of 13.3 million barrels last week. For one, Goldman Sachs has adjusted its forecast for the average oil price next year, reducing it by 12% due to ample production in the United States. In a note released last Sunday, Goldman revised its estimate, projecting an average of $81 per barrel in 2024, down from the previous estimate of $92 per barrel. Goldman Sachs anticipates it to reach its peak at $85 per barrel in June. Meanwhile, Citigroup offers a more cautious outlook by forecasting an average 2024 oil price of $75. This stands as the lowest projection among the major U.S. banks
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
Oil Market Volatility due to Shipping Disruptions in the Red SeaIt has come to our attention that several shipping companies have temporarily halted their operations in the Red Sea, leading to a slight disruption in the transportation of oil. As you are aware, the Red Sea is a crucial shipping route for oil tankers, connecting major oil-producing regions to global markets. Any disruption in this route can have far-reaching implications, causing ripple effects throughout the oil market. The current situation demands cautious consideration of our trading strategies, particularly regarding long oil positions. While the exact reasons behind the shipping companies' decision to temporarily halt their operations in the Red Sea remain undisclosed, it is imperative that we closely monitor the situation and assess its potential impact on oil prices. The reduced availability of shipping routes may result in increased transportation costs, delays in deliveries, and potential supply constraints. These factors can contribute to short-term volatility and uncertainty in the oil market. In light of this development, I encourage you to exercise caution when considering long oil positions. It is crucial to stay informed about the latest updates regarding the shipping disruptions in the Red Sea and their potential implications on oil supply and demand dynamics. We can better navigate the market and make informed trading decisions by remaining vigilant and responsive to these changes. To stay updated, I recommend closely monitoring reputable news sources, industry reports, and official statements from shipping companies and relevant authorities. Additionally, engaging in discussions with fellow traders and industry experts can provide valuable insights and perspectives. As always, I would like to emphasize the importance of conducting thorough research and analysis before making any trading decisions. While volatility can present opportunities, it also carries risks that need to be carefully evaluated. By maintaining a cautious approach and considering the potential consequences of the shipping disruptions in the Red Sea, we can mitigate potential losses and capitalize on favorable market conditions. Should you have any questions or require further information, please do not hesitate to reach out to me via comment.
TVC:USOILLong
by bryandowningqln
Oil's Next Move: Red Sea Conflict and $75? Oil's Next Move: Red Sea Conflict and $75? BP has suspended all oil and gas shipments through the Red Sea due to a rise in attacks on cargo ships and a deteriorating security situation attributed to Iran-aligned Houthi militants in Yemen. This move has caused a 2% surge in oil prices, pushing WTI crude futures to $72.5 per barrel. This development signals the first indication of a spill-over effect in Israel-Palestine tensions that could impact global supply chains in 2024. Some shipping companies are now avoiding the Red Sea/Suez Canal, choosing to navigate around Africa instead. This shift will likely contribute to increased supply costs and delays in the coming weeks. There is a possibility of the U.S. military intervening to ensure the critical shipping route remains open. However, reports also suggest a potential near-term peace agreement between the Houthis and Saudi Arabia, which could eliminate the need for U.S. intervention. Despite these uncertainties, the current abundance of oil supply might be constraining upward pressure on prices. The recent price increase could be attributed more to short covering, as money managers have consistently reduced their net long U.S. crude futures and options positions for the eleventh consecutive week, as reported by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission on Friday. From a technical standpoint, WTI is currently making an effort to secure a closure above the $72.5 threshold, and beyond that, it aims for the $73.5 level, where the 20-day Moving Average is situated. The subsequent resistance lies at a significant psychological milestone of $75. The geopolitical situation holds a crucial role. If tensions persist, there is a possibility of breaching the current levels and a subsequent upward movement toward the $80 benchmark.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets
WTI / OIL H4 Possible LONG Trade. 📈 ✅Hello Traders! This is my view related to WTI / OIL H4. As you can see, OIL is in a very interesting phase, It took liquidity, set a new daily high, react from the OB (D1), and I expect a bullish movement until the level of 78.000. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ______________________________________________________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by GoodTradeST
Weekly Price Prediction: $78.00 (Min) and $87.50 (Max)Projected Price Range The anticipated weekly price range for Brent Crude Oil is expected to fluctuate between $75.62 (Min) and $81.93 (Max). Contended Price Levels $81.00 - $78.00 High Volume Node - potential support $81.73 Resistance Line - potential resistance $75.62 Support Line - potential support Technical Analysis Fibonacci Retracement Breakout: The price has gone below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. This level is currently just a dollar above the blue resistance line. Volume Profile Analysis: High Volume Nodes (HVM): Bottom HVM: Signifying an area of good liquidity and a potential support region. The price has stalled in this area over the last few weeks. If the price breaks downwards it could carry on. MACD and Stochastic RSI: Stoch RSI (Bottom Indicator): It has crossed over at the bottom and now has just about crossed over at the top. Showing overbought pressure and a potential downturn. MACD (Top Indicator): This indicator has maintained just below the negative region and has refused to move out over the last few weeks. I don't see it going anywhere this week. I believe it will stay and we won't see a bullish signal this week from this indicator. Additional Factors Prior Resistance ( Top Blue Line): Just above the Bottom HVM, a blue line represents a prior resistance level. The blue line just crosses over the current price bar. Could be a potential resistance area as well. Prior Support (Bottom Blue Line): This represents a support level for the price. This may be crucial if broken as the HVM is just above it. The blue line just crosses over the current price bar. Could be a potential support area as well. Geopolitical Events: Given the volatile nature of the commodities market, traders are advised to stay vigilant regarding any geopolitical events in the upcoming week, as these events can significantly impact oil prices. Conclusion To conclude we see the price range being between $75.62 (Min) and $81.93 (Max). This is due to the price staying within the HVM and seeing support with also a support line just below the HVM. However, there is a resistance line just above the HVM as well. These two support and resistance lines make our price range for this week. The Stoch RSI is showing a bearish sentiment so this will be crucial to watch out for. Also, something else which is crucial to watch out for is the blue line that has already crossed the current price bar. This will form new support/resistance. The MACD is effectively null this week.
OANDA:BCOUSD
by BlackbearTrader
No bullish sign Crude oil fell below 70, with no bullish signals in the short to medium term. Oil prices have continued to fall since the second rebound in late October failed, and eventually formed a downward trend. Oil prices have hit the August low of 77.80. Oil prices showed a minor shock pattern around the lows, forming a flag relay pattern. Oil prices successfully fell below the lower edge of the flag pattern. Overall, oil prices have been weak, facing pressure from a variety of sources, including oversupply, doubts about planned production cuts, global economic uncertainty and weak gasoline demand. Investors will pay close attention to market dynamics to obtain signals on the future trend of oil prices. The focus this week will be Friday’s U.S. non-farm payrolls data. Oil prices are currently bearish, pay attention to 71.5 above.
VANTAGE:CL-OILShort
by Anthony-Ryan
WTI CRUDE OIL: Below the 1W MA200. Critical Support to hold.WTI Crude Oil crossed today under the 1W MA200, which is a level that, even though it broke on occassions this year, hasn't closed a 1D candle under it since February 1st 2021. Those occasions are marked by circles on your chart and as you see despite breaking under it, the price rose intraday closing the candles over the 1W MA200 at the end of those sessions, essentially holding it as long term Support. It is now critical therefore for buyers to hold the 1W MA200 and push the candle above it before the closing bell today. The 1D technical outlook is strongly bearish (RSI = 31.049, MACD = -2.590, ADX = 35.758), which is normal considering that the commodity has been trading inside a Channel Down since the September 28th High. However having touched the 30.000 oversold level on the 1D RSI, it makes the case for a rebound stronger, since every time it gold oversold during this (almost) 2 year span, an aggressive rebound followed. Consequently, as long as the 1D candles close over the 1W MA200, we will be buying and aming for the top of the Channel Down (TP = 76.50) and potentially the 1D MA50. If however the candle closes under it, we will aim for the 1.786 Fibonacci extension (TP = 66.50) as the November 8th Lower Low did. See how our prior idea has worked: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOIL
by InvestingScope
Range trading The market's reaction to OPEC+'s announcement of voluntary production cuts was a further decline in oil prices. According to reports, investors were pessimistic about crude oil ahead of the OPEC+ meeting and had already priced in their expectations that production cuts would not be enough to push oil prices higher. The market's economic recession and investors' disappointed attitude towards crude oil have caused oil prices to continue to fall despite production cuts. At present, crude oil pays attention to the resistance level of 75 and the support level of 72. The current market situation is still range trading and there will be no one-sided situation.
TVC:USOILShort
by Anthony-Ryan