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Can U.S. oil continue to be bullish? How to trade?The release of U.S. EIA crude oil inventory data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision may bring external interference to the trend, so U.S. oil needs to be careful in the short term. The bullish tone at the daily level has been locked in. A firm hold at 80 will lay the foundation for medium and long-term bullishness. As long as there are no major negative fundamentals in the future, it is worth looking forward to the medium and long-term bullishness of the 84-85 area and even the 90 area for U.S. oil. In the day, U.S. oil can see a temporary pressure correction on the 83 line, but don’t expect too much in the repair space below. You can focus on the 5-day line around 81.7-5. If the data tonight is negative, the short-term retracement target can be lowered. Moving to the 81-80.5 area, the main line of thinking is still bullish on US oil, so whenever a retracement is seen, we should still consider choosing lows to place long orders, provided that 80 cannot be broken. In addition, due to the frequent incidents affecting U.S. oil-related fundamentals from tonight to early tomorrow morning, conservatives can choose to wait and see and make relevant strategic adjustments after the fundamentals stabilize tomorrow. If you participate in radical activities during the day, you must also wait for the extreme point before participating, and you must make adjustments closely following fundamental events. Do not make judgments based solely on technical expectations.
TVC:USOILLong
by Donald-king
OPEC's production reduction measures will turn supply and demandCrude oil as a whole this week is going through a complex shock rebound. I have previously emphasized that from the perspective of the time cycle, the overall future focus will be on whether the low on the 26th breaks below. If it does not break below, the overall trend will be a shock upward, but we still have to wait for time to break through. This week, it rebounded further after gaining support at 76.7, closing up 4.07%, and finally closed at $80.96. From a fundamental perspective, the reasons for the continued complex fluctuations in crude oil prices this week are as follows: 1. Source: Venezuela’s Paraguana oil refining base suffered a power outage. The base’s daily output is 955,000 barrels. 2. IEA monthly report: Oil demand growth in 2024 is expected to be 1.3 million barrels per day; due to OPEC+ production reduction measures, oil supply and demand are expected to turn into a "slight deficit" in 2024. Global oil supply will increase by 800,000 barrels per day in 2024, reaching 102.9 million barrels per day. 3. The overall CPI in the United States unexpectedly rebounded in February; the market is worried that more Federal Reserve officials will adjust their expectations for interest rate cuts to two times this year. 4. The EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve inventory in the United States increased by 596,000 barrels to 361.6 million barrels in the week to March 8, the highest since the week of May 5, 2023. 5. OPEC Monthly Report: The 2024 global economic growth forecast is raised from .7% to 2.8%, and the 2025 forecast is maintained at 2.9%; the global crude oil demand growth rate in 2024 and 2025 is maintained at 2.25 million barrels/ and 1.85 million barrels per day. The above factors are the key to the continued upward fluctuation of crude oil, and the core reason is that OPEC+ has implemented new voluntary production reduction measures. The rise in gasoline has pushed the overall CPI higher, and the unexpected rise in inflation will also support oil prices to a certain extent. Moreover, I was worried about the decline of crude oil before. There is a risk of a breakthrough, so I would like to remind you that you need to wait for a breakthrough in time. However, the overall trend is still bullish, especially the upward trend on Thursday. This will be further analyzed later; From a technical point of view, the overall outlook for next week will remain bullish. In the future, the overall focus will be on whether the low on the 26th is broken. From a time cycle perspective, the overall outlook is bullish until March 29th, so there will be no downside next week. Before 75.8, the market continued to fluctuate and was mainly bullish. But the space up and down here is very large at the moment. Risk control still needs to be done well. Making bold predictions and carefully verifying is the long-term way of trading. It is more based on the intraday strategy. The expected trend chart next week: If you are a newbie, you will not be able to complete transactions independently yet. You can refer to my trading ideas. You can follow my channel and I will alert you when trading signals appear.
TVC:USOILLong
by Donald-king
1
Seven tips for investing in gold and crude oilThe financial market is fair to everyone. Since some people lose money, some people must make money. But if you want to make a profit in investment, there is no shortcut. You can only do your homework seriously every day and accumulate diligently like an ascetic. In addition to providing some investment experience and learning methods, I also hope to find like-minded investment friends and work together. Research. Investment does not happen overnight. Losses in the early period do not mean losses in the later period; profits in the early period do not mean profits in the later period. Therefore, friends who are losing money should not be discouraged, and friends who are making profits should not be complacent. Let yourself invest rationally with a peaceful mind. 1. Learn to establish positions, close positions and make profits "Establishing a position" means opening. Opening is also called exposure, which is the act of buying gold. Choose the appropriate gold price level And timing to establish a position is a prerequisite for profitability. If you enter the market at a good time, you have a greater chance of profit: On the contrary, if you enter the market at a bad time, you are prone to losses. "Liquidation" is a stop-loss measure taken to prevent excessive losses when the gold price suddenly drops after a position is established. For example, if you sell gold at a price of 157, and later the gold price drops to 150, you will see a nominal loss of 7 yuan. In order to prevent the gold price from continuing to decline and causing greater losses, I sold gold at the price level of 150 and ended the exposure with a loss of 7 yuan. Sometimes traders refuse to accept losses and insist on waiting, hoping that the price of gold will turn back. In this way, they will suffer huge losses when the price of gold keeps falling. The timing of "profit" is more difficult to grasp. After establishing a position, when the price of gold has developed in a direction favorable to you. You can make a profit by closing the market. For example, you buy gold at 145 yuan; when the gold price rises to 150 yuan, you have a profit of 5 yuan, so you sell the gold and make a profit. It is very important to grasp the opportunity to make profits. If the price is closed too early, the profit will not be much; if the price is closed too late, the opportunity may be delayed, and the gold price trend will reverse, with no profit but loss. 2. "Pyramid" overweighting The meaning of "pyramid" overweighting is: after buying gold for the first time, the price of gold rises. Seeing that the investment is correct, if you want to increase your investment, you should follow the principle of "the amount added each time is less than the last time". In this way, the number of incremental purchases will become less and less, just like a "pyramid". Because the higher the price, the greater the possibility of approaching the top of the rise and the greater the risk. 3. Buy (sell) when there are rumors and sell (buy) when the facts are real The gold market, like stocks, often circulates some news or even rumors. Some news turns out to be true later, and some news turns out to be nothing more than rumors. What traders do is buy as soon as they hear good news and sell as soon as the news is confirmed. Vice versa, when bad news breaks, sell immediately and buy back as soon as the news is confirmed. If you don't trade quickly enough, you may incur losses due to market changes. 4. Don’t increase your bet when you are losing money. After buying or selling gold, when the market suddenly advances in the opposite direction, some people will want to add more money, which is very dangerous. For example, when the price of gold continues to rise for a period of time, traders chase the high price and buy the currency. Suddenly the market reversed and plummeted downwards. Seeing that the traders were losing money, they wanted to add more orders at a low price. In an attempt to offset the gold price of the first order, and when the gold price rebounds, the two orders will be closed together to avoid losses. Be especially careful with this overweighting approach. If the gold price has been rising for a period of time, what you bought may be a "top". If the more it falls, the more you buy, and you continue to increase your investment, but the gold price never turns back, then the result will undoubtedly be a vicious loss. 5. Do not participate in unclear market activities When you feel that the trend of the gold market is not clear enough and you lack confidence, it is better not to enter the market. Otherwise it is easy to make wrong judgments. 6. Don’t blindly pursue integer points In gold investment, sometimes things go wrong in order to compete for a few points. After establishing a position, some people set a profit target for themselves, such as earning 200 US dollars, etc. They are always waiting for this moment to come. Sometimes the price has already It was close to the target, and the opportunity was very good, but it was still a few points short of reaching the target. It could have been a flat profit, but due to the original target, the best price was missed while waiting, and the opportunity was missed. 7. Establish a position when the volatile market breaks through The market situation refers to the volatile market. A volatile market is a sign that buyers and sellers are evenly matched and temporarily in balance. Regardless of whether it is a shock in the process of rising or falling, once the shock ends, the market price will break through upward or downward, showing a breakthrough. This is a good time to enter the market and establish a position. If the market has been in a volatile market for a long time, the market price will break through. Opening a position has a greater chance of making a big profit.
TVC:USOIL
by Donald-king
2
Bullish Fibs Upmoves in Oil - Now, Needs to Defend 61.8% LineOil has held bull fibs since Feb 1. The 3 previous fibs are documented and highlighted on the chart. We have been in a wide-range pattern for the past couple of weeks, threatening to keep and hold yearly highs, only to fall back down. Now, it is facing it's biggest test in the upmove, with two different saves at the 61.8% line over the last week. Given the dynamics of the recent down move, I expect this 61.8% line to be challenged early on Sunday night / Monday with a break of 40-60 cents. If we can hold those level above and regain this 77.60 level, I do anticipate a big move to new highs in oil, ALL THE WAY UP TO 82.11.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CeresTrader
1
WTI CRUDE OIL: Huge sell long term and this is why.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its technical outlook across the three different long term timeframes 1D, 1W and 1M (RSI = 50.461, MACD = 2.330, ADX = 15.020). The latter is the timeframe that we are looking at on this chart and as you can see, Oil is inside a Triangle pattern, which inside the 17 year Channel Down is the pattern that consolidates the price before a major selloff to its bottom. The similarities on the RSI sequences is further proof, so on the long term we are bearish on WTI (TP = 10.00), whose upside is limited to the 95.50 Resistance. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
3
Crude Oil Movement In Bearish Flag. Short long set up Hey guys! Quick long idea for oil chart, we're moving right now in the raising flag which is bearish, but we can to trade the long till red resistance line. Reasons to open positions: 1) The Awesome Oscillator is close to change the direction to upside, and we can see the similar movement before 2) By moving into the flag we cross the support lines, and we didn't go lower, so also seems like we're repeating the scenario Take profit, better to put on the resistance line. Stop loss by lowest candle. IMPORTANT! Always follow RM! We don't trade more than 2-3% of the deposit! Oil and stocks you can trade on this crypto exchange: bingx.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by CarpBuro
Head and Shoulders Tutorial on Crude Oil ChartI have decided to start a short series of tutorials covering common instruments used in technical analysis. In today's tutorial, we observe a successfully identified head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart of Crude Oil, resulting in a substantial movement of around 17%. Here's how to find the instrument: navigate to the left sidebar and select 'Patterns,' where you will find 'Head and Shoulders.' Analyzing and trading correctly involve the following steps: 1) Both shoulders must form within a rising or falling trend. In the case of that Oil chart, we observe a rising trend, indicating a potential short position. 2) The size of the head becomes our target for take profit (TP), and upon reaching TP, we close 80% of the position. 3) Ideally, volumes at the right shoulder should decrease, and upon breaking, they should increase. Risk Management Strategy: 1) Limit each trade to no more than 2% of your deposit. 2) Always utilize stop-loss and take-profit orders. 3) Never trade money you are not prepared to lose. 4) Start with small budgets. It is crucial to emphasize that risk management must be adhered to whenever you engage in trading! Register and trade stocks and crypto using my link with a discount on commissions: bingx.com/invite/E6RCUFJT
TVC:USOILEducation
by CarpBuro
WTI OIL: Bearish more likely long term.WTI Oil is neutral on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 51.426, MACD = -0.040, ADX = 21.884) as it is about to close the third straight week trading sideways on the 1W MA50. On this long term chart, we can clearly see that the price hasn't crossed over the R1 level (79.75) since November 13 2023. As long as it keeps closing the 1W candle under it, we are bearish aiming at the 1W MA200 (TP = 73.50), which has been the ultimate Support in tha past few years, closing all 1W candles above it (see the circles). If on the other hand the 1W candle closes over the R1 level, expect a 83.50 test of the Symmetrical Resistance and 1W MA100, which is a Resistance level only crossed once since December 2022. The 1W RSI trend looks like October 2022 (over the RSI's MA), which was a pattern that was followed by a strong decline. Consequently, we will sell one more time if the 1W candle closes under the 1W MA200 and target near the S1 Zone (TP = 65.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOIL
by InvestingScope
USOIL WTI Long Opportunity - Confirmation at SMC Orderblock FVG 📈 USOIL WTI Long Trade Setup - Confirmation at SMC Orderblock FVG 🔍 Technical Analysis: USOIL WTI presents a potential long opportunity with confirmation at the SMC Orderblock FVG zone. Historical analysis indicates this area has acted as strong support in the past. Confirmation involves observing clear signals on smaller timeframes (1, 3, or 5 minutes) within the order block zone. 📊 Trade Plan: Entry Point: Consider initiating a long position upon clear confirmation within the SMC Orderblock FVG zone on smaller timeframes. Stop Loss: Place below recent swing low to manage risk effectively. Take Profit: Targeting potential resistance levels or previous highs. 🚨 Risk Management: Implement appropriate risk management strategies to protect capital. Stay informed about economic events impacting USOIL WTI. 📈 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly and conduct thorough analysis. 👉 Note: Monitor price action closely for timely adjustments. Happy Trading! 🛢️📈
TVC:USOILLong
by MAAwan
WTI CRUDE OIL: Still bullish medium term to 83.50.WTI Crude Oil is on a healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.125, MACD = 0.800, ADX = 42.762), crossing today over the 1D MA200 for the first time in February. 79.75 (R1) is the first Resistance level but once the 1D MA50 broke (as we stated on our prior idea), the target is at least 83.50 (TP), which is what WTI delivered on the August 10th 2023 and April 12 2023 rallies. It is interesting to point out how strong of a Support the 1W MA200 has been acting those past few years and was the level that initiated February's (current) rebound. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
USOIL Sell Setup🚨 Crude Oil #WTI 🗓️ Date: 12 February, 2024 ⏰ Timeframe: Daily 💡 Given in the chart – ♦️ Green (long term support) = 67.50 ♦️ Red (resistance) = 78.85 The price has been in the range (red color) on the chart since December last year. Price touched this range several times but failed to deliver a breakout. As long as this range remains active, the potential trend will be neutral. ✅ Those who like to trade in Crude Oil, please take Buy position near the support level of the range and Sell position near the resistance level. That is, bounce trading strategy ✅ As long as the price is not able to break this range, you can accept entries according to this pattern. 🚫 Remember, while staying within the range, no Buy/Sell entry can be taken in intermediate positions. Either let the price approach the resistance level or the support level, then take a reversal entry.
FX:USOILShort
by GreenFxTrading
OIL If oil prices push higher above 81$, they will prop the dollar in the medium term. Higher oil prices will influence inflation globally. Central Banks particularly the Fed might not cut rates until the later part of 2024. Fed Chair has already echoed these words citing that fed cuts are years away. Once oil adds onto that equation, we might see a possible rate hike in 2024. On the monthly charts, we have a consolidation around a strong demand level. On the weekly timeframe we do not have a clear direction though the market seems to be pushing higher to mitigate inefficiencies at the 107-115 levels. Dropping down to the 4 hour chart, we have a bullish bias targeting 77-90 levels. Change of character plus flip zones in addition to multiple break of structures inform our bullish bias.
TVC:USOILLong
by morrisgitau
Oil: Thoughts and AnalysisToday's focus: Oil Pattern – Support Hold Support – 71.80 Resistance – 78.80 Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at Oil. After a solid three-day decline, buyers have put up a fight from 71.80, but is this enough to hold the current uptrend? A break below yesterday's bar with a trend break could suggest that the current move lower has further to go. We have reviewed a few scenarios we are looking for, depending on what we see today. Good trading.
EIGHTCAP:USOUSD
by Eightcap
Oil’s Tug-of-War: Iran Tensions vs. Evergrande Oil’s Tug-of-War: Iran Tensions vs. Evergrande On Wednesday, WTI crude futures dropped below $77 per barrel, undoing a 1.4% increase from the prior session, all while the U.S. readies itself to address a lethal attack on its troops in the Middle East. Perhaps traders are concerned more about the liquidation of China Evergrande, raising worries about the overall Chinese economy. There is fear that this uncertainty in China could lead to a decrease in demand for crude oil. However, there is a question of whether traders might be underestimating the potential for U.S. responses to the lethal attacks to escalate tensions or lead to a conflict with Iran. Despite President Biden expressing a desire to avoid a wider war in the Middle East, there are concerns about the unpredictable outcomes of such military actions. The Guardian predicts dire consequences if there is direct American military retaliation against Iran. This could prolong the Gaza conflict, trigger a Hezbollah attack on Israel, escalate conflicts in Iraq and Syria, and destabilize friendly regimes in Egypt, Jordan, and the Gulf. Additionally, such actions could inadvertently assist China in pursuing its anti-democratic geopolitical ambitions and provide justification for Russia's aggression in Ukraine.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by BlackBull_Markets