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Oiltrading

Crude oil gets a chance to rise Crude oil targets resistance at $88. The important level after that is $90, which is a resistance level that the market needs to break. The prevailing sentiment suggests that it is only a matter of time before the market rises to these levels. Crude oil also found support from the 50-day moving average below, which acted as a stabilizing force. Additionally, the 200-day moving average provides a fundamental "bottom" for the market, which reinforces the idea of an upward bias. In addition, market sentiment due to the escalation of the conflict and the Iranian oil embargo have provided rising factors for crude oil. Crude oil resistance level focuses on 88, support level focuses on 86
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
Why hasn’t crude oil skyrocketed? There has been a lot of fundamental news in crude oil trading recently, with hospitals and schools in Gaza being bombed, and Iran calling for an oil embargo. Why haven’t oil prices exploded? Three major factors indicate that oil prices are in a storm! 1. OPEC+ has no plans to hold a special meeting and take immediate action. Judging from OPEC+'s recent statements, it expects global oil demand to remain optimistic in the second half of the year (Saudi Aramco CEO predicts that global oil demand will reach 1,030 barrels per day in the second half of this year), and the oil market situation is balanced and reasonable. In addition, if there is a sustained oil supply shortage in the market, OPEC+ may even increase production in 2024. The oil market currently has 3 million barrels per day of spare production capacity. 2. The Venezuelan government and the opposition reached an agreement on the presidential election. On Wednesday (October 18), the U.S. Treasury Department issued a suspension order authorizing transactions with the Venezuelan oil and gas sector, which is valid for 6 months. Venezuela's crude oil exports exceeded 800,000 barrels per day in September, the second-highest monthly export rate since the beginning of the year, and its oil exports are expected to rise further. However, due to Venezuela’s backward infrastructure, the short-term impact on the oil supply side is expected to be limited. 3. U.S. bond yields hit multi-year highs. U.S. retail sales in September announced on Tuesday (October 17) were stronger than expected, showing that consumer enthusiasm is still high. JPMorgan Chase raised its third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth forecast from 3.5 % was revised up to 4.3%. The market is betting that the Fed's interest rate cut will be further postponed to the third quarter of next year. The 10-year U.S. bond yield exceeded 4.9% intraday on Wednesday (October 18), reaching a maximum of 4.934, just one step away from the 5% level. To sum up, the author believes that oil prices are already in a "storm". Although oil prices are in a "dilemma" in the short term, when more oil supply and demand factors are involved, this often means that a new round of unilateral market may be about to occur. It is foreseeable that if the situation in Gaza worsens further, it will further unite Arab countries. In addition, once Iran joins the conflict, the possibility of Iran blocking the Strait of Hormuz cannot be ruled out, which may cause oil prices to hit the resistance above $100. On the contrary, if the situation in Gaza cools down, oil prices may give up the gains made in the past two weeks. In addition, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will deliver his last speech before the "silence period" in the early morning of Friday (October 20). As U.S. Treasury bond yields continue to surge and financial conditions tighten, it is expected that Powell will be more likely to release "dovish" remarks, which may be beneficial to short-term market sentiment. Emergencies based on conflicts in the Middle East may appear at any time, and crude oil is more likely to rise again in the short term. For short-term operations, enter quickly and exit quickly, and don’t be greedy for profit expansion. Short-term operation suggestions: OIL buy:86.5 -87 tp150pips sl 86 Since the crude oil prices in the delivery accounts are different, we need to buy within a reasonable range based on our own crude oil prices. Traders who need help in trading can join me, maybe you will find a good trading helper
FX:USOILLong
by Krause_Philipp
WTI CRUDE OIL: Short term sell signal unless this Fib breaks.WTI Crude Oil is on a neutral technical outlook on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 54.002, MACD = 0.110, ADX = 20.935), naturally so as it is ranged between the 1D MA50 and 0.618 Fibonacci level for the past four days. The MACD now formed a Bullish Cross, which gives an edge to buying but only if the 0.618 Fibonacci level breaks. A similar fractal in May-June offered excellent sideways opportunities until the 0.618 Fib broke. Consequently, we are selling (TP = 83.20) for as long as the price is under the 0.618 Fib (and buying the bounces) but will buy if the price crosses over it (TP = 95.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOIL
by InvestingScope
Crude oil target 90 Market analysis In the last post, we talked about the US crude oil market maintaining the price of crude oil to a certain extent, but the impact of the conflict in Pakistan on the crude oil market completely covers other market conflicts, and crude oil is bound to rise. Technical analysis After crude oil rose to 88.3, the short side gradually took over the main direction. From a larger level, it can be observed that the oil price just encountered resistance at the upper edge of the flag relay and fell back. Crude oil is bullish given the ongoing conflict.
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
Oil price is recoveringOil price trades rebounded strongly after finding strong support formed by the 50 moving average in front of the recent negative trading, to exceed the 88.79 level and attempt to return to the main ascending channel again, which leads the price to achieve expected gains during the coming sessions, on its way to visit the 90.39 and then 91.56 levels. As major positive stations. Therefore, the upward bias will be likely for today, influenced by the double bottom pattern that appears on the chart, keeping in mind that trading below 88.79 again will put the price under negative pressure targeting testing the 88.79level initially.
TVC:USOILLong
by Evar_Mayi
Bulls profit, market slowly rises The Israeli-Palestinian conflict supported gains in oil prices, but mail will slowly rise until there is no further conflict. Crude oil was blocked at the 21-day moving average. Secondly, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said last week that oil prices have fallen recently from their highs in late September, reflecting declining demand, especially in the United States. These market conditions have restrained the sharp rise in crude oil. However, conflicts in the Middle East will lead to a shortage in the crude oil market, which is also the biggest reason for the rise in crude oil. The overall bullish target for crude oil is whether it can break through the 89 and 91 resistance levels
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
CRUDE OIL PRICE ACTION I have marked the zone above which I am becoming bullish and expect testing at least POC of the same range and daily 89.30. After filling the gap we got a strong reaction. We are currently above 50 daily MA, above VAL and closing today we get a bullish divergence on the weekly RSI. We are monitoring the price and if they show weakness, I do not rule out the possibility that there will not be a test of $80 USA has also begun to use its reserves, which are currently at a minimum.
TVC:USOILLong
by learnfromfailure
Oil prices will rise to 100 The conflict may escalate further, and Iran warned Israel not to expand the situation, otherwise it will join the war. Once Iran joins the war, oil prices will skyrocket. Last week, due to the conflict, oil prices rose to close at 87.72. On Monday today, the opening momentum of oil prices has slowed down. On the one hand, it is due to some profit-taking. On the other hand, because the conflict and risk aversion fluctuations have been completed, the market is waiting for further factors to promote; Technically, the daily chart of oil prices rebounded sharply and closed positive last Friday, and today it is also running above the mid-track. The bearish signs continue to shrink and the bullish trend is getting stronger. The weekly chart has also returned to above the short-term moving average support. The current support levels for crude oil are 87.20 and 86.05. Resistance levels are 88.70 and 90.00.
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
The Unexpected Rise: How Potential USA Sanctions Drive Oil PriceAs I'm sure you are aware, recent developments have led to a rise in oil prices by a staggering $2. The main contributing factors to this increase are the potential imposition of sanctions by the USA and a significant tightening in global supply. This optimistic trend presents a golden opportunity for those looking to make a successful long play in the oil market! Now, this is where your expertise comes into play, dear traders. With all the indicators pointing towards a promising future for oil, I encourage you to consider long positions in your investment strategy. By taking advantage of this upward momentum, you have the chance to capitalize on potentially lucrative gains. So, without further ado, I urge you to kick-start your trading journey, ride the wave of rising prices, and seize this golden opportunity before it passes you by.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
Will oil prices break through 100? "A sharp escalation in geopolitical risks in the Middle East, which accounts for more than a third of global seaborne oil trade, is keeping markets on edge," the IEA said in its closely watched October oil market report. All this is as discussed in my previous post. The conflict caused the oil price to rise again. The continuation of the conflict will cause the oil price to break above 95 or even reach 100. However, we need to note that Canadian oil production will grow by about 10% in 2024, and the U.S.'s higher-than-expected inventories and rising interest rate expectations will hinder the rebound in oil prices. Combined with the overall market conditions and considering that the Middle East is a major crude oil trading region, oil prices are generally bullish.
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
Profiting from Oil Price Drops Recent events have led to a significant drop in oil prices, primarily due to the phenomenon known as "demand destruction." I believe this presents an opportune moment for traders like yourself to consider shorting oil and potentially reap substantial gains. Considering the conservative nature of your trading approach, shorting oil could be a prudent strategy to capitalize on this situation. By short selling oil, you can aim to profit from the further decline in oil prices. This approach aligns with a conservative trading philosophy, as it allows you to take advantage of the current market conditions while minimizing potential risks. To maximize your potential gains, I recommend conducting thorough research and analysis before executing any trades. Keep a close eye on global economic indicators, such as GDP growth forecasts, industrial production figures, and travel restrictions. Additionally, monitor geopolitical developments, as they often have a direct impact on oil prices. By staying informed and vigilant, you can make well-informed decisions that align with your trading strategy. I understand that shorting oil may not be suitable for everyone, and each trader has their own risk tolerance and investment goals. However, I believe that the present circumstances present a compelling opportunity for those who are willing to take a calculated risk. In conclusion, the recent oil price drops resulting from demand destruction offer a promising chance to profit from shorting oil. As a conservative trader, this strategy allows you to capitalize on the current market conditions while adhering to your risk management principles. Remember to conduct thorough research, stay informed, and make well-informed decisions aligned with your trading strategy. Should you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to comment below. Wishing you success in your trading endeavors
TVC:USOILShort
by bryandowningqln
Crude oil is poised to gain momentum Political tensions roiled global financial markets as the focus shifted to the Middle East. Oil prices have fluctuated sharply amid escalating risks, with worries that a war between Israel and Palestine could lead to supply disruptions easing, but market sentiment has been relatively cautious and investors have still refrained from aggressive selling as they watch further developments ahead. CBA energy analyst Vivek Dhar said that the disclosure of evidence of Iran's involvement will push up oil prices, and the conflict between Israel and Palestine increases the risk of crude oil prices rising to $100/barrel and above. Crude oil prices are bullish. The first target is 89, the second target is 93.
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
1
Trading advisory: Pause trading due to oil price target of 87.16I wanted to provide you with the latest update regarding the oil market and its recent volatility that demands immediate attention. After careful analysis, our experts have projected a significant revision in the oil price target, with the new estimated threshold being $87.16 per barrel. Given the sudden change in the market, I strongly urge you to exercise caution and consider adopting a temporary pause on oil trading activities until further notice. This move will allow for a more prudent approach in dealing with the uncertainties surrounding the current market conditions. Our decision to recommend this temporary halt is rooted in the desire to mitigate potential risks that may arise due to the oil price's downward trajectory. By taking a pause in oil trading, you can protect your investments and reassess your strategy in light of the evolving market dynamics. Remember, it is crucial to prioritize the long-term stability and profitability of your investments over short-term gains. In summary, I strongly advise you to pause your oil trading activities and analyze the market situation closely before making any new decisions. Your diligence and careful consideration at this critical juncture will go a long way in safeguarding your investments and optimizing your future trading success. Thank you for your prompt attention to this matter. We appreciate your understanding and willingness to adapt to the evolving market conditions. Together, we can weather this storm and emerge stronger.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
Crude oil ushered in a new opportunity for growth The latest exclusive report from the US "Wall Street Journal" claims that Saudi Arabia has told the White House that they are willing to increase oil production early next year if crude oil prices remain high. A new round of military conflict broke out between Israel and Palestine last weekend, causing international oil prices to soar more than 4% after opening. This week, it gapped higher and opened higher, breaking the weak pattern and regaining its position above the middle track. It is currently undergoing a rebound correction, and the space is slightly larger. In the short term, there is a high probability that oil prices will stabilize and then recover from the sharp drop during the holidays. Pay attention to the next changes in geopolitical factors and pay attention to the rhythm. During the day, focus on the first-line support of 84.4 at the bottom and the first-line resistance of 87.24 at the top. Above 84.4 is bullish, the target is 87.3-88.4. Below 84.4 is bearish, the target is 82.8-81.6. The RSI technical indicator is moving upward.
VANTAGE:CL-OILLong
by Anthony-Ryan
WTI CRUDE OIL: Sell right at the top.WTI Crude Oil has completed the short term bounce we warned you of last week and the technical outlook remains neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 52.922, MACD = -38.990, ADX = 32.850). The 4H timeframe is close to a Death Cross, the first one since May 3rd and that can form the LH at the top of a Channel Down. Our target remains the 1W MA50-1D MA50-S1 level (TP = 78.50). We will not consider buying before a MACD Bullish Cross on the 1D timeframe. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
4
Oil Spikes 5% Following Hamas Attack in Israel Following a recent attack by Hamas in Israel, oil prices have surged by 5%, and it is crucial for us to closely monitor this situation. The attack in Israel has heightened geopolitical tensions in the region, which historically have directly influenced oil prices. As traders, it is essential for us to exercise caution and remain vigilant during times of increased volatility. The recent spike in oil prices serves as a stark reminder of the potential risks and opportunities that can arise in the energy markets. Given the current circumstances, I strongly encourage you to closely watch the oil market and closely monitor any further developments in the region. It is essential to stay informed and be prepared to act swiftly if necessary. As we have seen in the past, geopolitical events can have a lasting impact on oil prices, and it is crucial to be proactive in managing our positions. In light of this situation, I suggest the following actions: 1. Stay informed: Keep yourself updated on the latest news and developments in the Middle East, particularly regarding the Israel-Hamas conflict. Reliable news sources and market analysis can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. 2. Monitor oil prices: Regularly track the price of oil and observe any significant fluctuations. Pay attention to key support and resistance levels, as they can help inform your trading decisions. 3. Diversify your portfolio: Consider diversifying your trading portfolio to mitigate potential risks associated with geopolitical events. A well-diversified portfolio can help protect against unexpected market movements. 4. Implement risk management strategies: Review and reassess your risk management strategies to ensure they are robust and aligned with your trading goals. Set appropriate stop-loss orders and consider using trailing stops to protect your positions. Remember, caution is key during times of heightened volatility. While the situation may evolve rapidly, it is essential to approach trading with a level-headed mindset and avoid making impulsive decisions based on emotions.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
1
The Price of Black Gold: A Poetic Analysis -- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price of a stock or other asset. -- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of prices. -- The MACD for Brent Oil is currently above the signal line and in positive territory. This suggests that the uptrend in Brent Oil remains intact. -- Potential Direction for Brent Oil Based on the Elliott Wave, RSI, MACD, and other technical tactics, the potential direction for Brent Oil on the weekly timeframe is bullish. Brent Oil is likely to continue its uptrend, with the next target being the 100 USD level. However, if Brent Oil breaks below the 80 USD level, it would suggest that the uptrend is at risk. -- Factors That Could Affect the Analysis There are a number of factors that could affect the analysis of Brent Oil, including: Global economic growth: A strong global economy will lead to increased demand for oil, which would support prices. Geopolitical tensions: Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and other oil-producing regions could lead to supply disruptions, which would boost prices. US monetary policy: The US Federal Reserve is raising interest rates in an effort to combat inflation. This could lead to a slowdown in the global economy and a decline in oil demand, which would weigh on prices. Overall, the technical outlook for Brent Oil is bullish on the weekly timeframe. However, investors should be aware of the factors that could affect the analysis and should adjust their positions accordingly. -- Additional Notes It is important to note that no technical analysis is perfect, and the price of Brent Oil could move in a way that is not anticipated by the analysis above. Investors should always do their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_BRENT
by YExplore