Oil 4H continue to achieve negative targetsOil
The price suffered more damage yesterday
stabilizing above 87.08 will support rising to touch 87.67 , 88.54 then 90.39
stabilizing under 87.08will support falling to touch 83.26 and then 81.94
Pivot Price: 87.08
Resistance prices: 87.67 & 88.54 & 90.39
Support prices: 83.26 & 81.94 & 80.55
timeframe: 4H
Oiltrading
Oil (CL) Aggro/Oversold Fade BUYQuick take/analysis, but consider scooping some low-risk crude contracts here (break above 84.84). Better demand zones are lower, but we've had a sizable downdraft into buy areas + are testing a key support/resistance area (~84-85), so those traders may be at our backs. The US dollar has finally taken a pause at the supply zone we ID’d in posts from earlier this week/last week, so that may help commodity, including CL, longs. Keep this one a tight leash; the bounce we’ve had thus far has been tepid, a micro timeframe higher high/higher low hasn’t yet been put in , and daily/weekly “demand” is lower still (low-80s/upper-70s). That said, CL is certainly a trade to put on your radar. Given the technical structure of the recent selloff, consider taking any profits at 1:1, then 86, 87, and 88+. Again, better buys are lower, but start paying attention/stalking longs as remaining profit margin for short sellers is a lot smaller than it was at the beginning of the week (though there is still some downside risk)!
Happy trading!
Jon @ LionHart Trading
Oil price is trying to recover
The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and the price reached our target.
Additionally Today we have US crude oil stocks and it will affect the market.
WTI Crude Oil has been correcting, more aggressively than most thought after a High outside of the Channel Up.
Therefore, we expect to witness negative trading during the coming sessions, with the need to be aware that failure to break 88.54 will push the price to achieve additional gains of up to 90.39 initially.
stabilizing above 88.54 will support rising to touch 90.39 , 91.04 then 92.45
stabilizing under 87.67 will support falling to touch 86.08 and then 85.31
I prefer not to trade at this moment until today to know what the OPEC Plus will do.
Resistance prices: 90.39 & 91.04 & 92.45
Support prices: 86.08 & 85.31 & 84.35
The expected trading range for today is between support 87.67 and Resistance 91.04
Potential Oil Decline Amidst Tight Supply and Fed Rate HikeRecent market dynamics, characterized by a tight supply scenario and growing speculations of a Federal Reserve rate hike, have raised concerns about the future trajectory of oil prices.
1. Tight Supply Scenario
2. Speculations of a Federal Reserve Rate Hike
Given these circumstances, it is crucial to approach oil trading with caution. The combination of a tight supply scenario and the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike creates an environment of heightened volatility and increased risks. Therefore, we strongly recommend pausing oil trading activities until further clarity emerges.
At this juncture, it is essential to reassess your investment strategy and consider the potential impacts of these factors on your portfolio. We encourage you to consult with your financial advisor or reach out to our dedicated team of experts who are available to provide you with tailored guidance and support.
In conclusion, we believe it is prudent to exercise caution and refrain from making any hasty decisions regarding oil trading. The current market conditions, characterized by tight supply and speculations of a Federal Reserve rate hike, warrant a careful approach to mitigate potential risks.
CFDs on WTI Crude Oil 4H Hello Traders
WTI is continuing with major pullbacks off the upper resistance cluster level increasing the bearish momentum.
WTI is likely to finalize the whole ascending wedge with the main breakout below the boundary.
USOIL just retested the low of last week and started to rise from there without any stop.
stabilizing above 87.67 will support rising to touch 89.46, 90.39 then 90.98
stabilizing under 87.67 will support falling to touch 86.08 and then 45.59
Pivot Price: 87.67
Resistance prices: 89.46 & 90.39 & 90.98
Support prices: 86.08 & 84.59 & 83.69
timeframe: 4H
OIL, Crucial Wedge-Formation, Huge PLUNGE to Follow Next!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of OIL. Within the recent high inflation development with continued rate hikes in a lot of economic fields, it has to be mentioned that OIL could be on the brink of major market disruptions especially when the rate hikes continue to rise further together with the DXY printing the next new highs. In this case, I have detected important underlying dynamics within the analytics dashboard and I have put them into perspective to determine what should be considered with OIL in the upcoming times.
As when looking at my chart now, OIL could since May 2023 recover from the crucial bearish wave lows nonetheless this wave does not have a fundamental open interest and volume backing and this is why it can turn any time especially when a massive bearish supply wave is entering the market because of grievous rate hikes and potential new supply-chain disruptions that are going to trigger a supply shortage. Taking these crucial factors into consideration a major bearish decline and bearish momentum acceleration may be just around the corner.
OIL has also formed this gigantic descending channel formation in which it has the major bearish distribution resistances within the upper boundary as marked. The most determining factor here is the massive ascending triangle formation that leads directly into the upper resistance zone and is now about to complete the wave count within the ascending triangle. This means, that as the wave-count directly approaches the crucial upper resistance zone it is going to lead to an increased bearish volatility breakout below the boundaries within the next times.
Once the gigantic ascending triangle formation has been completed it is going to activate the next bearish continuation below the 100EMA and 300EMA. Especially, once the price-action formed the breakouts below the levels this is going to massively accelerate the bearish dynamics towards the lower levels and continue into the bearish momentum direction.
The bearish price dynamic is going to continue till the final targets have been reached and in this case, it will be highly determining how the final targets are actually approached especially when the interest rates continue to rise together with supply-chain disruptions to accelerate this is going to trigger the next bearish waves even below the final target zones.
Taking all the factors into consideration and because of the gigantic ascending triangle, together with the underlying indications with the interest rate dynamic as well as the supply-chain disruptions dynamic I am keeping the symbol on my watchlist and I am going to re-evaluate the situation once important changes happened within the bearish formation.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of OIL. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
Ride the Bullish Wave in Oil Trading with OPEC + Supply Cuts!As an oil trader, you'll be thrilled to know that the economic conditions remain bullish, thanks to the continued OPEC + supply cut.
The oil market has been experiencing a remarkable rebound, primarily driven by the collective efforts of OPEC + countries to stabilize prices. With the ongoing supply cut agreement, we have witnessed a gradual reduction in global oil inventories, leading to a more balanced market. This positive trend has undoubtedly instilled confidence in the market, and we believe it is an opportune time to capitalize on this bullish sentiment.
Now, you might be wondering, "How can I make the most of this bullish wave?" Well, fear not! I'm here to guide you towards the path of success. Here's a call-to-action that encourages you to long oil and seize the potential profits:
1. Stay Informed: Keep a close eye on the latest news and updates regarding OPEC + decisions, global oil demand, and geopolitical factors. Being well-informed will help you make informed trading decisions and stay ahead of the curve.
2. Analyze Market Trends: Utilize technical and fundamental analysis to identify key trends, support, and resistance levels in the oil market. By understanding the market dynamics, you can make more accurate predictions and execute well-timed trades.
3. Diversify Your Portfolio: Consider allocating a portion of your trading capital to oil-related assets, such as oil futures, ETFs, or energy stocks. Diversification can help mitigate risks and maximize potential returns.
4. Set Realistic Targets: Establish clear profit targets and stop-loss levels to manage your trades effectively. Remember, a disciplined approach to trading is crucial for long-term success.
5. Leverage Technology: Take advantage of advanced trading platforms and tools that offer real-time data, market analysis, and customizable indicators. These resources can provide valuable insights and enhance your trading strategies.
By following these steps, you'll be well-positioned to ride the bullish wave in the oil market and potentially reap substantial rewards. Remember, maintaining a positive outlook and embracing opportunities is key to achieving your trading goals.
So, dear traders, let's embark on this exciting journey together and make the most of the optimistic oil market conditions. Stay bullish, stay positive, and let's make some profitable trades!
Crude oil returns to 100
The latest consolidation in oil prices appears to be over, with both Brent and WTI posting solid gains. There are currently no signs of increased supply from major producers, and economic data continues to support the idea of more growth.
Crude oil has now reached 95.04, which has exceeded our expectation of 93.5. Under the current market conditions, crude oil will slowly rise to 100.
Now the trading strategy is pulling back and rising slowly. The range of 93.5-94.8 continues to rise.
Oil Prices Continue to Rise - Take Advantage and Long Now!Brace yourselves because Russia's push towards $100 per barrel is causing a wave of optimism that we simply cannot ignore!
The energy landscape has been buzzing with anticipation, and the recent surge in oil prices is a clear indicator of the incredible opportunities that lie ahead. With Russia's bold move, we are witnessing a significant shift in the market dynamics, and this is where you can make a smart move by long oil.
Why should you consider long oil at this moment? Let me break it down for you:
1. Russia's push: Russia's determination to drive oil prices up to $100 per barrel is a game-changer. Their actions are sending shockwaves throughout the industry, creating a perfect storm for traders to capitalize on this upward trend.
2. Global demand: As the world recovers from the pandemic-induced economic slowdown, the demand for oil is rebounding rapidly. With economies reopening, travel resuming, and industries ramping up production, the demand for oil is set to skyrocket, further fueling the price surge.
3. Limited supply: Despite efforts to diversify energy sources, oil remains the lifeblood of our modern world. The supply of oil cannot keep up with the ever-increasing demand, leading to a supply-demand imbalance that favors higher prices. This is an opportunity we cannot afford to miss!
Now, you might be wondering how you can take advantage of this incredible opportunity. Here's your call-to-action:
Act now and consider opening long positions in oil to maximize your potential gains. With the market sentiment favoring an upward trajectory, it's time to ride the wave and make the most of this exciting period. Whether you prefer futures contracts, ETFs, or other oil-related investment instruments, ensure you position yourself for success.
Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and this moment is ripe with potential. Seize the opportunity and make your move before it's too late!
Get ready to embark on an exhilarating journey as oil prices continue to soar. Buckle up, traders, because the time to long oil is now!
Wishing you profitable trades and an exciting journey ahead!
www.bnnbloomberg.ca
UsOil (OIL) -> Most Talked About AssetMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on UsOil.
Looking at the chart of UsOil you can see that just four months ago Oil perfectly retested and already rejected the 0.618 fib level in confluence with previous support structure.
The real next resistance is once again the previous swing high at $110 from which we already saw a major bearish rejection and this means that we have another +20% move on Oil.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
WTI Crude Oil 4H midday updateOil prices are under negative pressure to reach the level of 94.20, but requires anticipation from previous negotiations Today, the price is under further negative pressure during the previous session, including a break of 94.55 key price trend against the upside It has the chairman's target of 96.60.
stabilizing under 94.55 will support falling to touch 92.35the 90.98
Pivot Price: 94.55
Resistance prices: 96.60 & 98.34 & 100.14
Support prices: 92.35 & 90.98 & 88.73
timeframe: 4H
CVX, Major CONTINUATION-SETUP, Sector Rally, BREAKOUT INCOMING!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about CVX on several timeframe perspectives. The oil market since the corona pandemic supply-shock dynamics has formed a important dynamic and had the ability to form a major rebound recovery with several new highs being formed and CVX having the ability to bounce into a new all-time-high. Now a big part of the dynamic is the consideration of if CVX has the potential to continue with this established formation and with the established trend moving on with further determinations.
CVX on the local timeframe perspective is building this main wedge formation with great supports above the 140-150 area. If this wedge formation completes with the appropriate momentum breakout this will activate initial target-zones and above this considering the whole global big picture CVX is forming a much larger formation here with the broadening-wedge-formation on the global perspective being completed once the breakout of the local formation also setup. With the projection of this formation targets above 400 will be activated.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
Market tension is greater than the impact of the dollar
Expectations of tighter crude oil supply and an uncertain economic outlook have caused demand concerns. At the same time, crude oil continues to be hit by the double blow of the appreciation of the US dollar and expectations of interest rate hikes, and the impact of a rapid tightening of supply is offset by market investors' low risk appetite for higher interest rates in the long term.
Oil prices in Asia rose to 91.5. The subsequent trend will rebound and then rise slowly.
The overall market is bullish.
Oil Soars to 2023 Highs: Sets New Support Levels? WTI crude futures surged by 3.5% on Wednesday, briefly reaching above $94, marking their highest settlement price of 2023. This impressive rally followed the release of EIA data indicating a larger-than-expected decrease in US crude inventories, showing a 2.17 million barrel drop in the past week.
In parallel, Brent crude futures saw a substantial increase of 2.8%, reaching $96.55 and even breaching the $97 threshold during the trading session.
Market sentiment is increasingly concerned about tightening supplies as we approach the northern hemisphere winter. Earlier in the month, major OPEC+ players, Saudi Arabia and Russia, extended supply cuts of 1.3 million barrels through the end of the year.
The question that looms is whether oil can fall below the recent lows of $88.00 per barrel without a decision to raise production? And if we don’t see the impetus for oil to keep going higher, how well do we think the recent higher highs ($92.65) and lower highs ($91.30) will fare against some potential corrective downside pressure?
Oil Pushes Up Cushing Stock Supply Tightens - Time to Long Oil!Introduction:
Hey there, fellow traders! We've got some exciting news to share that'll make you want to jump on the oil bandwagon. The oil market has been buzzing lately, and we're here to shed light on how the recent developments are creating a golden opportunity for all you savvy investors out there. So sit back, relax, and let's dive into the world of oil!
Oil Pushes Up Cushing Stock Supply Tightens:
In recent weeks, the oil industry has witnessed a significant surge in prices, leading to a tightening of supply at the Cushing stock. For those unfamiliar, Cushing, Oklahoma, serves as a crucial hub for oil storage in the United States. This tightening supply indicates a strong demand for oil, which bodes well for those who are looking to invest in this lucrative market.
The recent push in oil prices has been primarily driven by several factors. Firstly, with the global economy gradually recovering from the impacts of the pandemic, the demand for oil is rapidly increasing. As travel restrictions ease and industries resume operations, the need for oil is skyrocketing.
Furthermore, geopolitical tensions and production constraints in certain oil-producing regions have also contributed to the tightening supply. These factors, coupled with the growing global energy demands, have set the stage for a potentially profitable opportunity in the oil market.
Call-to-Action: Long Oil and Reap the Benefits:
Now that we've established the positive outlook for the oil market, it's time to seize this opportunity and make some smart investment moves. Here's our call-to-action for all you traders out there: long oil!
By going long on oil, you can position yourself to take advantage of the rising prices and the tightening supply at Cushing. This strategy involves buying oil futures contracts or investing in oil-related exchange-traded funds (ETFs). With the bullish trend expected to continue, going long on oil could potentially yield significant returns in the near future.
Remember, as traders, it's crucial to stay informed and keep a close eye on market trends. Stay updated with the latest news, monitor supply and demand dynamics, and consult with financial experts to make informed decisions. With the right strategy and a positive outlook, you can ride the wave of this oil market surge and maximize your gains.
Conclusion:
There you have it, fellow traders - a golden opportunity awaits in the oil market! With the tightening supply at Cushing and the rising demand for oil, going long on oil could prove to be a smart investment move. So, let's embrace this positive momentum, stay informed, and make the most of the potential returns that lie ahead.
Remember, the key to success in trading lies in calculated risks and thorough market analysis. So, gear up, get ready, and let's ride the oil wave to financial success!
Disclaimer: Trading involves risks, and it is essential to conduct thorough research and seek professional advice before making any investment decisions.
WTI Crude Oil 4H Oil midday updateUSOIL
Oil price resumes its positive trading now, confirming the continued dominance of the upward trend during the coming sessions, and the way is open to achieving our first target at 92.19
.
stabilizing above 90.43 ill support rising to touch 92.19 then 93.27 then 95.07
stabilizing under 90.43 will support falling to touch 88.73 the 87.64
Pivot Price: 90.43
Resistance prices: 92.19 & 93.27 & 95.07
Support prices: 88.73& 87.64& 86.08
timeframe: 4H
The general trend expected for today: bullish
XOM, HUGE WAVE-EXTENSIONS, Oil-Market View, UPCOMING TRENDS!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about XOM on several timeframe perspectives. The oil market has shown up with a massive pullback to the downside since the war developments have put heavy pressure on the whole oil market and drove the supply rally within the market. Since then the market managed to recover with a substantial rally moving into new all-time-highs and is actually forming a massive gigantic formational-structure here from where the market is setting up further determination dimensions.
Currently XOM is forming a continuation-formation on the local timeframes which is an crucial wedge-formation, and this wedge-formation has a increased potential to complete within the next times. Once this formation has been completed the targets as mentioned in my analysis are going to be activated. From there on the volatility within the market has to be determined further and if the already established XOM developments hold on there is an increased possibility for the market to continue into the already established direction.
XOM being the largest market-cap stock within the oil market sector is driving the oil market and wall street developments of oil stocks increasing by over 60%. The fact that the oil market could recover from the main war shocks that showed up with massive bearish pullbacks within the whole market does not mean this holds true for the whole stock market because there are sector stocks within the market that actually show greater bearish inclinations. In this case it will be highly determining on how the whole oil market actually continues and if the established dynamic holds on for this sector stock.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
Crude oil in short supply
The supply side of the global oil market continues to reduce production, and oil prices will continue to rise in the short term. Russia's fuel export ban announced last week has raised supply concerns and demand woes from future interest rate hikes. In the current context of the crude oil market, what needs attention is that once the Federal Reserve misjudges the U.S. economy, superimposes a rebound in inflation, and excessively raises interest rates, it may suppress crude oil prices.
(The strength of the US dollar index has suppressed the prices of gold and crude oil)
The overall trend of crude oil was very weak yesterday. After a slow rise during the day, it did not continue, but the US market fell sharply.
The RSI technical indicator is bullish. Trading in the 89.5-91.5 range.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Long term target hit. Reversal to 1D MA50 imminenAfter WTI Crude Oil hit our long term target it managed to close a 1D candle under the 4H MA50 and on prior displays inside the three month Channel Up, that was a sell signal. The 1D timeframe has been normalized from the previous overbought technical state (RSI = 67.378, MACD = 2.060, ADX = 37.892), the 1D MACD is past a Bearish Cross, which makes a complete sell opportunity. We are short, targeting the bottom of the Channel Up and potentially the 1D MA50 as well (TP = 85.00).
We are on an early long trade, targeting the course of the 4H MA50 (TP = 1.2275), even though a Channel Down top extension can even reach as high as 1.2425.
Prior idea:
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Crude oil fluctuates at high levels
The supply side of the global oil market continues to reduce production, and oil prices continue to rise in the short term. A ban on fuel exports announced in Russia last week raised supply concerns and demand woes from future interest rate hikes. In the current context of the crude oil market, we need to pay attention to the fact that once the Federal Reserve misjudges the U.S. economy, superimposes a rebound in inflation, and excessively raises interest rates, it may suppress crude oil prices.
The price of crude oil first rose last week and then adjusted to 90.55. It has closed positive for three consecutive weeks, and the long-term upward trend of crude oil is obvious.
In the short term, crude oil is bullish when it is above 90.0 and bearish when it is below 90. The RSI technical indicator is bullish. The main transactions are range trading.
US Oil Approaches $90 Amidst Supply Scare and Cooling DemandIntroduction:
The oil market is heating up, and there's an exciting opportunity knocking at our doors. Brace yourselves as we delve into the recent surge in US oil prices, which have approached the $90 mark due to a scare in supply and cooling demand. In this article, we will explore the factors driving this upward trajectory and present a compelling call-to-action for those ready to seize this golden opportunity and long oil!
The Supply Scare:
In recent months, the global oil market has been grappling with a series of supply disruptions, sending shockwaves through the industry. From hurricanes disrupting offshore drilling in the Gulf of Mexico to geopolitical tensions impacting major oil-producing regions, the supply scare has created a perfect storm for oil prices to skyrocket. As traders, we understand the significance of such disruptions and the potential for them to create lucrative opportunities.
Cooling Demand:
Simultaneously, we have witnessed a cooling in demand, primarily driven by concerns over the resurgence of COVID-19 and its impact on global economic recovery. Travel restrictions, reduced industrial activity, and shifting consumer behavior have all contributed to a temporary dip in oil demand. However, as the world adapts to the new normal and economies gradually reopen, the demand for oil is expected to rebound, further fueling the potential for significant returns.
The Perfect Storm for Traders:
The convergence of supply disruptions and cooling demand has created an ideal environment for traders to capitalize on the oil market's upward momentum. With US oil prices inching closer to the $90 mark, there's an undeniable opportunity to long oil and ride the wave of potential profits.
Call-to-Action: Long Oil Now!
Fellow traders, it's time to seize the moment and embrace the exciting prospects that lie ahead. Here's a compelling call-to-action to encourage you to long oil:
Conduct Thorough Research: Dive deep into the current market dynamics, examining supply trends, geopolitical factors, and demand projections. This will enable you to make informed decisions and identify the best entry points for long positions.
Diversify Your Portfolio: Consider incorporating oil-related assets into your trading portfolio to leverage the potential upside. Options such as oil futures, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), or even energy sector stocks can provide exposure to the oil market's upward movement.
Set Realistic Targets and Manage Risk: Establish clear profit targets and implement risk management strategies to protect your investments. Utilize stop-loss orders, trailing stops, or other risk mitigation tools to ensure you don't get caught off guard by unexpected market fluctuations.
Stay Informed and Adapt: Monitor market news, industry reports, and expert opinions to stay ahead of the curve. The oil market can be volatile, and being proactive in adjusting your positions based on new information is crucial for maximizing returns.
Conclusion:
Traders, the time has come to embrace the exciting opportunity presented by the surge in US oil prices. With supply scares and cooling demand paving the way for potential gains, it's time to long oil and ride the wave of profits. By conducting thorough research, diversifying your portfolio, setting realistic targets, and staying informed, you can position yourself for success in this dynamic market. So, let's seize this moment and make the most of this exciting trading opportunity!
The High Oil Price ConundrumI'd like to draw your attention to an issue that has been brewing beneath the surface, silently impacting emerging market countries and their currencies. It is the high oil price, which many argue functions as a form of tax, cooling economic growth and putting additional strain on these nations.
The recent surge in oil prices has undoubtedly caught the attention of investors and traders worldwide. While this may appear to be a favorable opportunity for short-term gains, we must consider the long-term repercussions it may have, particularly on emerging market economies. These nations, often characterized by their growing industries and developing infrastructure, are now facing an unexpected challenge that threatens their progress.
The high oil price acts as a burden on emerging market countries, effectively functioning as a tax that hampers economic growth. As these nations rely heavily on imported oil to sustain their industries and meet domestic energy demands, the rising cost of oil significantly impacts their budgets. The increased expenditure on oil imports leaves less room for investment in vital sectors such as education, healthcare, and infrastructure development.
Furthermore, the high oil price also exerts pressure on emerging market currencies, leading to depreciation against major global currencies. This depreciation, in turn, makes imports more expensive, exacerbating the already strained economic situation. As a result, these countries face a double whammy of reduced purchasing power and increased inflationary pressures, further dampening their economic prospects.
In light of these challenges, I would like to encourage you to pause and reflect on the potential consequences of trading oil at its current high price. While the temptation to capitalize on short-term gains may be strong, let us not overlook the broader impact on emerging market economies. By exercising caution and restraint, we can contribute to a more sustainable and balanced global market ecosystem.
As traders, we have a responsibility to consider the long-term implications of our actions. By taking a step back and re-evaluating our trading strategies, we can help mitigate the negative effects of high oil prices on emerging market countries. This pause will allow these nations to regain their footing and implement measures to alleviate the burden imposed by soaring oil prices.
Let us remember that our actions have far-reaching consequences. By acting responsibly and with a cautious approach, we can contribute to a more equitable and stable global market environment. Together, we can help ensure the sustainable growth and development of emerging market economies, benefitting us all in the long run.
Thank you for your attention, and let us pause, reflect, and trade responsibly.