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Oiltrading

USOUSD (Crude Oil): 06/02/2023: Key levels of weekly chart Well here is our long-term view of crude oil. As you can see, the price is in the downtrend and we expect a continuation of a bear market. Bear scenario: In this scenario, we have 66.13- 69.544 as a key zone. The price should break down this zone and stay below. For this goal, the price can move upward till around 75 and then start the main decrease. Bull scenario: Although I see the market in a downtrend, I believe we should be ready for both sides of the market. In this scenario, there is a liquidity pool below 70.22 and exactly after that, we have an important demand zone of 66.13- 69.544. If this zone work, the price can rise to 78.18 as the first target after that goes higher than 82.37, and 87.83 is our last target. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️06/02/2023 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
VANTAGE:USOUSD
by VahidTradingCR
1
GTE The breakdown of the diagonal is likely a HTF Primary W1 into W2 because it's on the monthly. Typically a leading diagonal is a bearish precursor to a reversal. Also leading diagonals most likely form a wave 1 into w2 set ups. The 786% might be too optimistic, as the wave 1 was 5 up which means sub wave A which equals the 5 up diagonal which equals the HTF w1 is a HTF Zig Zag & Zig Zags can bounce off the 50%-618%. But the underlying nature of W2 is to destroy any hope of the wave 3. So rather the 786% is usually a trademark of the wave 2. Basically a lot of conflicting forces at play here as to where the bottom forms. But catching this dip for a LT play seems very smart as W3 is targeting $16-$18 & Wave 5 $200 plus.
AMEX:GTE
by Big_Mike716
3
Crude Oil Weekly Forecast 30 Jan - 3 Feb 2023 Crude Oil Weekly Forecast 30 Jan - 3 Feb 2023 Based on the data from OVX we can see that currently the IV for this week is at 40.5%, equal to last week. This can be translated in +/- 5.62% weekly movement from the open of the candle, which makes the next top/bot channel TOP: 84.54 BOT: 75.54 If we were to make a more accurate statement, based on the current percentile of the OVX( from 0 to 10) , we can apply a condition in the filter to look for scenarios when the volatility were lower than 50 percentile( bottom half). If we were to take this data we can see, that our numbers would be: 74% according to the last 20 years of data 50% according to the data since 2022( I would recommend the 72% instead) So we can use this data instead for proper calculation of our trading plan From the technical rating analysis point of view we can deduct the next information: Currently there is a : 31.5% to touch the previous weekly high 66% to touch the previous weekly low(already hit) At the same time if we are going to take a look at the moving average rating for different timeframes we can see : 4H Timeframe: -26% Bearish Trend D Timeframe: 0% Bearish Trend W Timeframe: -53% Bearish Trend Lastly on average, based on the current percentile, we can expect that our asset is going to move: 4.65% from the open to the close candle for the bullish scenario 5.6% from the open to the close candle for the bearish scenario
NYMEX:CL1!
by exlux
Crude oil a leading inflation indicatorTwo observation made the last two years between crude oil and CPI: 1) There were 5 waves up and 2) 3 significant peaks However, between the last 2 peaks of crude, it was a lower low follow-by its downtrend, and CPI followed this downtrend subsequently. Among many commodities, crude oil moves the most in tandem with CPI, but crude seems to lead in this study. Refer to the daily chart on your own, try drawing a downtrend line, you will see crude oil prices has broken above its downtrend line recently. If crude oil is going to transit to an uptrend from here, we will have to track CPI very closely. The inflation fear is still there. Did a video on this observation last week, refer to the link below. Crude Oil Futures Minimum fluctuation 0.01 = $10 0.10 = $100 1.00 = $1,000 10.00 = $10,000 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by konhow
2
Crude Oil. Winter isWhite Swan Harmonic Pattern Observed. Support & Resistance (8H to 1W) Falling wedge (Contracting) observed on 8H. Bearish Ranging Channel (This can give us the perfect entry) on 8H MACD divergence on Weekly Chart RSI 47 on Weekly Chart EMA 20 crossing over MA200 Last cross was observed on 6 Jan 2022 Looking forward... The above is an Educational idea only and not any kind of financial or investment advice. So please do your own DD (Due Diligence) before any kind of investment. Do leave your valuable feedback & comments for any improvisations.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDELong
by ShoibShafi
XTIUSD...SELL (5% Drawdown)The price of oil per barrel will definitely soar high but I see a chance of sell opportunity before its long momentum, currently looking at a clear sell chance for at least $4 price reduction per barrel of oil. XTIUSD is currently trading in my supply zone....so i expect more sells to jump into this market. NB: All eyes on the breakout zone (blue box region) to accelerate or decelerate rice movements. Red box ( rejection zone) might or will serve as a chance for another entry for sell or a push up to soar price movements high.
XShort
by DAdepa