NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
NZDJPY should be slightly SELL because the MARKET RISK is off now. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY.
Either way, NZDJPY should be a LONG TERM BUY.
Anyway, the PRICE can SELL again on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT, if the MARKET RISK OFF continues, to the 79.56 LEVEL. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF. After that, you can definitely BUY at 86.86 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY WEAK. Besides, the USD should be WEAK.
Oiltrading
Taf's Gun to the HeadShort the breakdown in Oil. Looking for a retracement of the bullish momentum we had from 26 September, targeting the 50% level.
Entry: 89.92
TP: 85.07
SL:92.00
RR:2.33
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
$XOM Analysis, Key levels, and Targets $XOM Analysis, Key levels, and Targets
So I got a little bit trigger happy today and I sold 95 puts for Friday, but that’s ok… I’m ok with that… However, had I had thought it through I would have used these targets as entries and maybe bumped out to next week… but this is why I make these charts, so that I can make more informed decisions on the spot… and to be able to pick better strikes on the spot… LOL…
Anyway, with OPEC cutting oil production I think 95 is a good entry… and seeing it from this angle is giving me so many ideas on how to play this…. Dang I should have organized my charts weeks agolll haha…
IF you trade $XOM, $SHEL, $CVX or oil in general let me know your thoughts….
I’m going through my entire stock list this week (definitely longer than a week) so sorry in advanced for blowing up your emails…
—-
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
WTI continues to defy the strong dollarWTI has been one of the few markets to stand up to recent dollar strength, with prices rising over 16% last week alone.
A strong bullish trend has developed on the 1-hour WTI chart. The 20 and 50-bar EMA’s have provided dynamic support throughout the trend and may provide bullish opportunities with a pullback towards them. The 20-bar EMA is near the daily pivot point and the 50-bar is near the $90 handle and daily 1 pivot. The next area for bulls to consider is around $94 or the daily R1 pivot.
WTI CRUDE OIL SEEM SELL CORRECTION THEN BUY....
AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it,
write in the comments. I will be glad.
The OPEC Supply Cut Effect will push the price = $110My bias,the market was overall bearish before the change in trends as a result of the double bottom chart pattern at around the .0 Fib level.
The latest cut of crude supply to the global market by opec will bring a rise in oil price up to 1500 Pips,ie price from current to $97 and a brief pull back before rising to $10. The would likely play out as sanctions on Russia oil left most market with lesser choice but to compete in purchase with the limited oil supply. Tell your oil producing countries to get ready for this price surge vice versa.
Phase 3 For OIL PirceThis is the seconded biggest update for oil this month !
You need a big pocket to go with the flow on this one, money management will be your biggest enemy and greed your second.
We have 85$ is the mid road for oil and 120$ the highest it can get !
Target Is 68$ for our next idea and politics is our enemy !
i recommend to open a position after an update or after the correction ! (WE can see 90$ before a drop)
Don't be greedy or you will swim in red and cry a river of poorness !
This an update to help you see the path only, I don't recommend anything
For Low And greedy People (75% Loser - 25% Winner) :
SL : 88$
-------------------------
Tp1 : 78$
Tp2 : 77$
Long Term And Big pocket user + Low Risk :
SL1 : 88$
SL2 : 112$
------------------------
TP1 : 75$
TP2 : 64$
WTI analysis: Will OPEC+ cuts boost crude to $100?OPEC+ has taken a tough stance, slashing output by 2 million barrels per day (bpd) beginning in November 2022, the largest reduction in crude oil production since March 2020.
In addition to production extending the agreement through 2023, oil producers have agreed to hold semiannual rather than monthly meetings.
WTI oil briefly spiked to $87/bbl following the OPEC+ announcement. It then broke through that level in response to disappointing US crude oil inventory data (-1.36 million barrels vs. 2.05 expected) and a strong US ISM Services PMI, which delayed recessionary warning signs following the weak ISM Manufacturing PMI earlier this week.
The move by OPEC+ risks putting renewed pressure on crude oil’s global supply-demand balance in the coming months, potentially resulting in a price floor at pre-OPEC+ meeting levels.
On a technical level, WTI crude and (also Brent) prices are currently testing a key resistance area, defined by the 50-day moving average and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the range between September lows and June highs.
A sharp break above this resistance zone and then the $90/bbl level (September highs) could put additional upward pressure on an extension towards the 50% of the Fibonacci level ($98.6/bbl) and then $100/bbl.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
How Iran's nuclear deal could crush sure of victory oil bullsOPEC wants to support the oil price by reducing production. At the same time, we hear from Iran that the nuclear agreement talks are progressing, if the talks are a success, in the near future Iran could again export oil to the wider world.
Last week we heard from the U.S. side that an agreement with Iran could not be reached. Today Iran has released a U.S. American (accused of spying) and yesterday announced that the talks in regards to the nuclear deal are (well) progressing and they could soon access their sanctioned funds. Coincidences? There aren't. Looks like europe/U.S & Iran are very close to sign an agreement, which might surprise oil bulls. If Iran resumed large scale exports, all OPEC members would come under very heavy pressure.
I expect the price to rise until a potential iran nuclear agreement is forged, and if forged, leading to a potential oversupply of oil and an avoid of recession (global/europe)
Disclaimer: The information mentioned in my post should be taken with a grain of salt. They are only my personal opinion and do not form facts. They are also not a call or recommendation to open trades, do trades or close positions.
USOIL Market OutlookHi friends, I hope y'all having a profitable week.
As you can see that the price is currently running above the double bottoms neckline and in between the short-term moving averages. Before it got to where its at, the price bearish broke and didn't retest the Weekly Neckline 2, 2nd Daily Key, and 1st Weekly Key Lvl - giving us our bullish targets; on the other hand, it gave us our bearish targets by previously bullish breaking without retesting the 5th Daily Key Lvl and Daily H&S Neckline. So, if the price bounces off the Mini Daily H&S Neckline with a bearish reversal pattern that leads the to break and retest the 8 MA, we'll be expecting a drop for the bearish targets. If the price bullish breaks and retests the Mini Daily H&S Neckline together with the double bottom neckline and bullish crossed short-term MA's with the patterns accumulation phase, we'll be expecting a 3-level uptrend to the bullish targets.
Just a friendly reminder:
Trading is not gambling if you know what you’re doing. It is gambling if you’re just throwing money into a deal and praying.
That's it for today. I hope you found value in this article. If you have a different concept in mind, feel free to share it in the comments section. I'd love to know your thoughts!
Stay Blessed Baby,
Sphatrades.
USOIL GAPPED UPsince market opened oil gapped up into a bearish order block on the 1hr, 4hr, and also daily. The trendline also still holding under the last lower high so even more confluence im looking for a nice move down it could retrace after filling that low or just keep pushing down since bias is still overall bearish
US Oil - is the bearish move still valid ? Hey all,
On a montlhy chart, prices are giving a bearish signal with a cross of EMA, on the MACD indicator .
This bearish signal open a wider window for a more important retracement. First target is located at 73$ , flat of monthly Kijun. Then, 70$ with the golden ratio of Fibonacci extension.
On short term the situation is definitely bearish, with prices below the daily cloud .
Let's see how it goes !
OIL BEARISH DOWNTREND $$$Oil has been consistently declining since its last top, trading in a descending channel with lower highs and lower lows. I've highlighted the key areas of support and resistance for oil to help you see the broader picture. You may take advantage of this if you want to swing trade in the channel.
USOILThis is my primary count on USOIL. Seems likely that we test $66-$70 for the intermediate wave 4 & confirm the higher low & also support on the monthly ema's 50,100,200 before the final pump to $300 plus.
So currently looks like we are in the 4th of the 3rd about to start the 5th of the 3rd and then correct into the HTF 4th wave before starting the last push to the 5th into 2027.
$UKOIL - Production cuts will pump it to $101Hi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 Surprisingly low US inventories data supported a short-term uptrend of Brent crude, comforting the price to hit $90 this week.
🔔 OPEC+ meeting scheduled on October 5 will be on the watch, as the cartel suggest a production cut of 100,00 barrels per day (bpd).
🔔 Brent once again retested the upper edge of the descending triangle, although the bullish run is yet to be confirmed. The confirmation is set under a breakout from the wedge and closing of the price above $91.60. If that is confirmed, then we expect the price to move further to $98 and $101.
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
If you like the idea hit the 👍🏻 button, follow me for more ideas.
Crude Oil Update: Going long.Just an update on my post from yesterday. I am planning on taking a long in the green box. This is a bit riskier trade than I normally like to take, but I think it will yield well. Possible add just below entry at 80.5. (this is a key level of a descending parallel channel)