OILUSD/H4 WTI oil fluctuates in the stable range of $70 - $80.OILUSD forecast on August 13, 2024:
WTI oil is under pressure from the war and DXY is decreasing. Currently, the oil price has risen from the $71 region back to the $80 area. It is likely that oil will experience a correction before continuing its upward trend. The trading trend today is BUY.
Key levels to watch are: 76.5, 78, 80, and 82.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY OILUSD zone 76-76.5
SL 75.5
TP 78 - 80 - 81.
Plan 2: BUY OILUSD zone 77.60 - 78.10
SL 77.20
TP 79 - 80 - 81.
Plan 3: SELL OILUSD zone 83.30 - 83.50
SL 83.80
TP 82 - 81 - 78.
Oilwti
Crude Turbo Tuesday'sYesterday we saw a nice bulish displacement and I would like price to stay above the 1hr FVG..
We can wick bellow on the 1hr but leading into CME open I would wait for bullish price to reach to the 80.00 level which is the Daily FVG..
Once we close inside the Daily FVG we can start looking at CE of it.
Crude Oil Tuesday.Daily Bearish
Stay Bearish bias until 1hr -OB is closed above with a displacement candle @ 83.25
In this chart I am illustrating why IMO, this is a High resistance Liquidity run and not LRLR.
The Price in the circle is Balanced, so for price to cut through this with ease is difficult all be it we have a signature LRLR bellow.
So if a bearish setup appears don't expect it to run through like butter..
I am looking for bearish PA
Crude oil pays attention to short-term adjustments
Crude oil currently continues to maintain a good oscillatory upward trend along the short-term moving average on the weekly trend. It also maintains a good oscillatory upward trend on the daily trend. Although it has gone out of a slight rise and fall, the strong technical form is still the same.
Nothing has changed. There is a certain degree of divergence in the 4-hour trend. The K-line has begun to gradually break through the short-term moving average. There may be a certain degree of adjustment in the short-term trend.
Crude oil is at a high level, don’t be aggressive in chasing bulAt present, crude oil is around 86, which has reached the expected high point. Although technically bullish, this level is no longer suitable for chasing the rise. According to technical expectations, it should be temporarily suspended between 86-85. If crude oil does not stop in the short term, then the short-term market will exceed expectations, so it is okay to miss it and not participate. And if crude oil has a correction in the short term, it will be an opportunity for long orders to enter the market. In the short term, 85.35 will continue to be bullish. If there is a sudden adjustment and correction, the double bottom support above 84.2 will be bullish, and the resistance target is 86.5-87.
Trading strategy: You can go long with light positions near 85.5-3, stop loss at 84.8, if there is support at 84.5 above the 4-hour mid-rail, you can participate with long orders here.
Crude oil pressure is obvious, bulls are cautious
U.S. crude oil inventories continue to rise, and short-term demand concerns have also increased. However, as expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts have increased, the loose atmosphere has given crude oil some support. At the same time, short-term supply-side pressure has increased as geopolitical conflicts intensify.
Crude oil also stretched again after repeated repetitions. Technically, longs and shorts closed alternately. The top still focused on the pressure around 84, but did not chase the rise too much.
Will U.S. oil rebound and repair next week?Crude oil is currently going through a wave of surges and falls on the weekly trend, but it still maintains its operation on the short-term moving average. Pay attention to whether there will be continued adjustment on the line next week. On the daily trend, the current price has begun to touch near the previous support band, and the downward trend has begun to slow down. After the continuous low fluctuations in the intraday 4-hour trend, the technical form showed signs of gradual recovery. The K-line began to slowly stand on the short-term moving average. It is believed that crude oil will rebound to a certain extent in the short-term trend.
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Futures market backwardation suggests a sluggish outlookDefying our expectations, the West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose above $75 and began to form a rectangle pattern between $76.16 and $79.25 (following a breakdown of negotiations between Israel and Hamas). Currently, the USOIL is trading near the lower bound of this range, which also coincides with the 20-day SMA that acts as an alternative support level. On the daily timeframe, the MACD performed a bearish crossover, and RSI with Stochastic reversed to the downside. Simultaneously, the ADX continued lower, indicating a lack of any trend. Yet, despite that, the futures contracts continue to trade backward, which suggests the market’s sluggish outlook for the oil’s future price.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the USOIL’s daily chart and simple support/resistance levels.
Illustration 1.02
The MACD line and signal line performed a bearish crossover. However, they are still within the bullish area above the midpoint.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Neutral
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor or any other entity. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Crude oil trend analysis
Last Friday there was a unilateral rise of more than 20 points, which is not large in terms of magnitude. After all, the one-day fluctuation in previous years was 30 points. Crude oil prices have been rising for 3 consecutive months. I think that in The price will usher in a correction this week. There will be a certain degree of decline.
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USOIL:I think it will fall first and then rise
Dear trader, I think crude oil will fall first and then rise, what do you think?
Crude oil has been in a fluctuating upward trend recently, and it is possible to end the wide fluctuations that lasted for more than two months. The main trend is still low bullish mentality trading
At present, you can go short first, and then go long
The specific strategy is: buy short around 75, tp73.5-74
After going flat, buy long positions near 73.5, TP75-76
If you agree with my point of view, welcome to follow
TVC:USOIL BLACKBULL:USOIL.F FX:USOILSPOT
OIL dropped 1% as Fed call this draws uncertaintityI wanted to bring to your attention some recent developments in the oil and financial markets. Specifically, there are concerns about the impact of upcoming signals on the U.S. economy and monetary policy.
This week, we expect U.S. consumer inflation data to be released on Tuesday, which will likely factor into the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates on Wednesday. While the Fed is expected to keep rates steady, there is still some uncertainty because U.S. inflation is trending above the central bank's target range.
As a result, markets are remaining cautious about any potential hawkish moves. Additionally, the dollar has firmed in Asian trade, putting pressure on oil markets by making crude more expensive for international buyers.
I thought bringing these developments to your attention was essential, as they could impact this week's oil price. Please let me know if you have any questions or concerns via the comments.
WTI BEARISH OUTLOOKWTI had fallen for 3 consecutive days in Wednesday. The bank crisis is calling banks to deleverage their positions, pulling back on their exposure on oil and causing the price to fall.
International Energy Agency (IEA) is also reporting that the current situation in the oil market is a situation of oversupply, while Russia is looking for buyers for its oil.
The price of WTI broke the support of the rising wedge pattern and continues to drop. Both MACD and RSI indicators are confirming the pattern as well.
If the current scenario continues, the price might reach levels of 62 or even 54.
In the opposite scenario the price might reach levels of 77.5 and pivot into an uptrend.
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Buy crude oil at 78.5.
Trading is about making profits, not about venting frustration or trading for the sake of trading. Therefore, traders must understand what stage the price is at and take appropriate actions. Traders are neither always long nor always short, but always adapt to changes in the market. Traders must have their own defense system to control risks. Risk control and capital management are essential in your trading.
On Friday, oil prices recovered from a brief sell-off, rising more than $1 and the weekly chart also showed an increase, boosted by new optimism surrounding demand from the largest oil importing countries. Friday saw a large bullish rally, closing at a high level, while on Monday prices weakened during trading.
Regarding operations, the key point to watch above the crude oil price is near the 80.5 level, which can serve as a reference for selling. Looking below, the support near the 78.5 level is a good point to buy in with a small position, while the strong support at the 77 level can be a point to buy in with a large position.
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The morale of crude Oil bulls is strong, breakthrough!Fundamentals:
On Tuesday (March 7), international oil prices tended to fluctuate.Previously, the UAE's withdrawal from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries was proved to be untrue, and there was a need for technical correction after the surge in oil prices.And cautious investors are waiting for Fed Chairman Powell's upcoming testimony later this week.However, signs of China's economic rebound have prompted Saudi Arabia to continue to increase its prices in Asia, bringing support to the oil market.
Technical aspects:
At the daily level, after oil prices have risen for five consecutive trading days, oil prices have initially stood above the 80 integer mark. The daily line has gotten rid of the downward trend channel, and the opening of the technical indicator Bollinger band continues upward. MACD golden fork, KD stochastic indicator golden fork, technical bullish signal continues, if it can withstand the short-term pullback pressure, it is expected to continue to oscillate higher, the initial resistance is near the Bollinger band rail 82; further strong resistance is near 83, which is where the top of the box that has oscillated extensively since the end of November is located. If it breaks further, it will increase the medium- and long-term bullish signal.
At the 4-hour level, oil prices as a whole are still in the channel of rebounding upward trend, but they are still suppressed by the short-term moving average, and the KD stochastic indicator sends a short-term overbought signal. It is still necessary to beware of the risk of short-term oil prices falling back.However, the short-term volatility here is still within the normal range, which is a technical repair to the short-term rally, and the 79 position of the 20-day moving average below has been transformed into a preliminary support position. If this position is lost, it can be judged to weaken the bullish signal in the future.
Taken together, today's short-term crude oil operation ideas are mainly based on stepping back and lower, supplemented by rebounding high altitude, which can be done at the 79 position and the target position is 80.5
WTI oil - Deteriorating demand to weight on the higher oil priceSince our short-term price target of 80 USD was taken out a few weeks ago, we abstained from setting short and medium-term price targets because of very high volatility in the oil market. Despite that, we stuck to the long-term price target of 70 USD, to which we remain committed.
Our views are based mainly on fundamental factors concerning the deteriorating global demand for oil, with the OPEC slashing demand for 2023 and China maintaining its zero covid policy for longer.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic are bearish. MACD is neutral. DM+ and DM- strive to perform a bearish crossover. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral/slightly bearish.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL and two simple moving averages. Yellow arrows hint at bullish breakouts (above SMAs) and subsequent invalidation.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and MACD are bearish. Stochastic is bullish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02
The picture shows the weekly chart of USOIL and two moving averages. The yellow arrow points to the impending bearish crossover between two SMAs; if successful, it will bolster the bearish case.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
USOIL - Oil will continue to drift lower over medium/long termWe continue to be bearish on USOIL. Accordingly, we still maintain our price target of 90 USD per barrel of WTI oil. Indeed, we would like to change this price target from medium-term to short-term. Additionally, we would like to set a new long-term price target for USOIL at 80 USD.
Illustration 1.01
The sloping line acts as the resistance; the more touches it gains, the more important it grows.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is neutral. MACD is also neutral. Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
🗣 O I L These are levels that I'll be keeping an eye on when dealing with USOIL, and I'll revise as price action progresses.
I adapt to the change in money flow.
This is a representation of greed in play when it comes to oil. However, I do believe in the coming months things will get very interesting due to price action's placement in the market, things that have taken place in the past that left clues for what can possibly come in the near future along with any fundamentals that can play a part in this as well.
As of right now I feel as though it wouldn't be smart to execute any short orders due to the higher perspective showing strong bullish sentiment. I did notice that P.A. is currently in between two daily ranges, so it's not entirely impossible to sell, but I'm sure some would agree to stay on bull's side.
What am I waiting to see happen?
I'm anticipating for price to reach around $140 per barrel (can possibly take place between July/August) which will then form a double-top from a monthly perspective. That's also where price pivoted back in 2008, the potential profit margin stretches down to the $40 range which can be seen from the 3 & 6 month perspectives.
The 1st area where I would look to lock in some profits would be around the $80 price point. Why? That's right above EQ within the monthly ranges that can be seen on the chart.
In conclusion, at this time I would simply sit on my hands and wait until price reach key levels I'm interested in to then zero in on smaller perspectives in order to receive the "signal" to execute. Just my thoughts..
USOUSD Oil, continuation higher watch.Good morning/good afternoon TradingView community.
Today's video idea is focused on oil as we saw a solid reversal yesterday sellers did their best to get a new leg lower going. Buyers not only stopped the run but put in a solid reversal bar that finished above the 50% point of the previous lower bar.
This action has us thinking, could this be the start of a new trend continuation? We are watching to see if buyers can break yesterday's high. A break could be the starting point of confirmation of this idea. The MA and CCi both support further buying, but we really want to see yesterday's high beaten to show that buyers retain momentum.
Please check out our video for more detail on our trade idea.
Good trading. We hope everyone has a great weekend.